Baseline characteristics
This study included a total of 136 HBV-ACLF patients who met the inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria, including 89 patients in the control group and 47 patients in the G-CSF group (Fig. 1). There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, cirrhosis, baseline blood biochemistry indicators, complete blood count, and other parameters between the two groups (P > 0.05). The MELD scores and CTP scores showed no statistical differences between the two groups (P = 0.642, P = 0.088). The baseline conditions were generally consistent between the two groups. (Table 1)
Table 1
Baseline characteristics of the entire HBV-ACLF patients
Variables | Groups | Total number | G-CSF group | Control group | P value |
(n = 136) | (n = 47) | (n = 89) |
Age | | 45.00 [38.00, 52.00] | 42.00 [33.50, 52.50] | 47.00 [40.00, 52.00] | 0.100 |
Sex (%) | Male | 122 (89.7) | 41 (87.2) | 81 (91.0) | 0.491 |
| Female | 14 (10.3) | 6 (12.8) | 8 (9.0) | |
Cirrhosis (%) | No | 55 (40.4) | 16 (34.0) | 39 (43.8) | 0.269 |
| Yes | 81 (59.6) | 31 (66.0) | 50 (56.2) | |
TBIL | | 342.30 [278.90, 428.45] | 347.50 [266.25, 458.55] | 341.70 [279.80, 417.90] | 0.442 |
ALT | | 160.00 [71.00, 387.00] | 132.00 [67.00, 332.00] | 161.00 [75.00, 387.00] | 0.564 |
AST | | 138.50 [89.00, 248.75] | 129.00 [91.50, 207.50] | 151.00 [89.00, 277.00] | 0.373 |
ALB | | 31.70 [29.80, 34.08] | 31.70 [29.05, 35.10] | 31.60 [30.10, 33.90] | 0.998 |
Cre | | 69.50 [58.75, 86.00] | 67.00 [57.50, 75.00] | 72.00 [59.00, 93.00] | 0.149 |
Hb | | 122.50 [108.00, 137.00] | 119.00 [107.00, 130.50] | 124.00 [110.00, 137.00] | 0.313 |
PLT | | 87.50 [62.00, 123.00] | 81.00 [64.00, 124.50] | 89.00 [62.00, 117.00] | 0.621 |
WBC | | 6.80 [5.10, 8.21] | 7.02 [4.92, 9.20] | 6.49 [5.15, 8.00] | 0.731 |
INR | | 1.94 [1.68, 2.41] | 1.92 [1.65, 2.58] | 1.95 [1.70, 2.30] | 0.849 |
NEUN | | 4.41 [3, 11] | 4.34 [4, 9] | 4.43 [3, 11] | 0.755 |
AFP | | 29.86 [11.90, 98.70] | 30.10 [14.10, 126.50] | 29.83 [9.25, 93.98] | 0.677 |
MELD score | | 23.77 [20.44, 26.72] | 23.10 [19.60, 27.03] | 23.80 [21.11, 26.48] | 0.642 |
CTP score | | 11.00 [10.00, 12.00] | 11.00 [10.00, 11.00] | 11.00 [11.00, 12.00] | 0.088 |
All data were present as mean ± SD, median (IQR) or number (%). G-CSF, Granulocyte-colony stimulating factor; TBIL, total bilirubin; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALB, albumin; Cre, creatinine; Hb, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet; WBC, white blood cell count; INR, international normalized ratio; AFP, alpha fetoprotein; NEUN, neutrophil; MELD score, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score; CTP score, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores.
Survival outcomes between two groups
We employed Kaplan–Meier curves (K-M curves) to analyze the differences in prognosis outcomes between HBV-ACLF patients treated with or without combined G-CSF therapy. At the 30-day follow-up endpoint for 136 patients, 104 were alive, and 32 had deceased, resulting in a 30-day survival probability of 76.5% (104/136). The cumulative survival rate for the control treatment group was 71.9% (64/89), and for the G-CSF group, it was 85.1% (40/47). According to the Log-rank test, the comparison between the two groups showed no statistical significance (P = 0.082). At the 90-day follow-up endpoint for 136 patients, 89 were alive, and 47 had deceased, resulting in a 90-day survival probability of 65.4% (89/136). The cumulative survival rate for the control treatment group was 59.6% (53/89), and for the G-CSF group, it was76.6% (36/47). According to the Log-rank test, the comparison between the two groups showed no statistical significance (P = 0.039). (Table 2) (Fig. 2)
Table 2
Survival outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients in each group.
Variables | Groups | Total number | G-CSF group | Control group | P value |
(n = 136) | (n = 47) | (n = 89) |
Status30 (%) | Alive | 104 (76.5) | 40 (85.1) | 64 (71.9) | 0.084 |
| Dead | 32 (23.5) | 7 (14.9) | 25 (28.1) | |
OS30 | | 30.00 [30.00, 30.00] | 30.00 [30.00, 30.00] | 30.00 [26.00, 30.00] | 0.072 |
Status90 (%) | Alive | 89 (65.4) | 36 (76.6) | 53 (59.6) | 0.047 |
| Dead | 47 (34.6) | 11 (23.4) | 36 (40.4) | |
OS90 | | 90.00 [32.00, 90.00] | 90.00 [90.00, 90.00] | 90.00 [26.00, 90.00] | 0.24 |
All data were present as mean ± SD. G-CSF, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor; OS, overall survival.
Univariate and multi-variate analysis of overall survival.
As is summarized in Table 3 and Table 4, the results of univariate analysis indicate that, for the 30-day prognosis outcome, an increase in CTP (P = 0.013) and MELD scores (P <0.001) is an independent risk factor for the prognosis outcome of HBV-ACLF patients. For the 90-day prognosis outcome, an increase in CTP (P <0.001) and MELD scores (P <0.001) remains an independent risk factor for the prognosis outcome of HBV-ACLF patients, while standard treatment combined with G-CSF therapy is a protective factor (P = 0.043).
The results after multivariate analysis correction indicate that, for the 30-day outcome, MELD score (P = 0.003) is the sole risk factor for the prognosis. For the 90-day prognosis outcome, an increase in both CTP (P = 0.017) and MELD scores (P <0.001) is still an independent risk factor for the prognosis outcome of ACLF patients, and standard treatment combined with G-CSF therapy remains a protective factor for the prognosis (P = 0.009).
Table 3
Univariate and multi-variate analysis of overall survival of all patients in a 30-day.
Variables | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis |
HR (95%CI) | P value | HR (95%CI) | P value |
Age | 1.014(0.979,1.050) | 0.444 | —— | —— |
Sex | 0.870(0.265,2.856) | 0.818 | —— | —— |
CTP score | 1.483(1.087,2.022) | 0.013 | 1.284(0.922,1.788) | 0.139 |
MELD score | 1.113(1.053,1.177) | <0.001 | 1.095(1.031,1.163) | 0.003 |
G-CSF | 0.482(0.209,1.115) | 0.088 | —— | —— |
Setting the control group (receiving standard treatment only), female gender as the control. A significance level of p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; MELD score, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score; CTP score, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores; G-CSF, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor.
Table 4
Univariate and multi-variate analysis of overall survival of all patients in a 90-day.
Variables | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |
HR (95%CI) | P value | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Age | 1.025(0.996,1.054) | 0.088 | —— | —— | |
Sex | 1.499(0.671,3.347) | 0.323 | —— | —— | |
CTP score | 1.646(1.271,2.132) | <0.001 | 1.427(1.066,1.910) | 0.017 | |
MELD score | 1.110(1.059,1.163) | <0.001 | 1.116(1.052,1.185) | <0.001 | |
G-CSF | 0.498(0.253,0.978) | 0.043 | 0.378(0.182,0.788) | 0.009 | |
Setting the control group (receiving standard treatment only), female gender as the control. A significance level of P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; MELD score, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score; CTP score, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores; G-CSF, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor.
The impact of co-administering G-CSF on the change in liver disease model scores and AFP level during the 14-day hospitalization.
We analyzed the impact of co-administering G-CSF on the improvement of liver function during hospitalization in HBV-ACLF patients. Specifically, we compared the reduction in MELD score (or CTP score) from baseline to the 14th day between the G-CSF group and the control group. The differences in the changes in liver disease model scores between the two groups were assessed for statistical significance through t-tests to evaluate whether the addition of G-CSF treatment promotes the improvement of liver function in HBV-ACLF patients. The results showed that, compared to the control group, the G-CSF group experienced a more significant decrease in MELD score on the 14th day of hospitalization (P = 0.001). Additionally, the CTP score in the G-CSF group decreased more than the control group on the 14th day of hospitalization (P = 0.007). These findings indicate that the addition of G-CSF to standard treatment can further promote the recovery of liver function during the hospitalization of HBV-ACLF patients. (Table 5) We also found that the decrease in serum AFP in the control group was greater than that in the G-CSF group, although there was no statistical difference (P = 0.112). This phenomenon probably prove that G-CSF promotes HOC proliferation.
Table 5. The change in liver disease model scores and AFP level during the 14-day hospitalzation between two groups.
Variables
|
Total number
|
G-CSF group
|
Control group
|
P value
|
(n=136)
|
(n=47)
|
(n=89)
|
ΔMELD score
|
1.59 [-1.34, 3.53]
|
2.70 [0.77, 4.45]
|
0.86 [-3.40, 2.51]
|
0.001
|
ΔCTP score
|
0.00 [-1.00, 0.00]
|
0.00 [0.00, 1.00]
|
0.00 [-1.00, 0.00]
|
0.007
|
ΔAFP
|
10.80 [2.75, 23.42]
|
10.40 [1.90, 22.72]
|
15.00 [6.58, 26.45]
|
0.112
|
Δ= value before treatment – value after treatment. A significance level of P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. MELD score, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score; CTP score, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores; AFP, alpha fetoprotein; G-CSF, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor.
In the G-CSF group, there were 3 cases of fever (6.3%), 2 cases of transient rash (4.2%), and 4 cases of lumbosacral pain (8.5%). All patients recovered from these symptoms after receiving appropriate treatment. No patients discontinued the use of G-CSF due to these potential adverse reactions.