MM is an incurable malignant plasma cell tumor that leads to irreversible organ damage. Typically, MM progresses through three stages: MGUS, SMM, and Symptomatic or active multiple myeloma (AMM)32. In individuals over 50, MGUS prevalence exceeds 3%, with an annual progression rate to MM of 1%. SMM advances to MM at approximately 10% per year during the first five years post-diagnosis33,34. Early intervention and proactive prevention are crucial for slowing MM progression, yet reliable biomarkers for predicting the transition from MGUS to MM remain elusive. Understanding the molecular basis of this progression is essential for identifying high-risk patients with MGUS and developing new therapeutic targets.
This study conducted bioinformatics analyses on MGUS (GSE5900) and MM (GSE6477) to identify common DEGs in MGUS, MM, and control samples. The WGCNA algorithm, known for its reliability, facilitated co-expression clustering analysis in MGUS and MM. Disease-relevant modules were selected and intersected with DEGs, resulting in the identification of 12 intersecting genes.
Univariate analysis and LASSO regression pinpointed four core genes: DAP3, HIST1H1C, MRPL4, and UBE2S. These genes formed the basis of a new risk score for managing patients with MM. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that this risk score is an independent prognostic factor for MM, with the high-risk group exhibiting significantly shorter OS compared to the low-risk group. The ROC curve further confirmed the risk score's predictive accuracy. Additionally, a nomogram was developed to predict MM patient prognosis.
Clinical correlation analysis revealed significantly higher expression levels of the four core genes in MM compared to MGUS and healthy controls. These genes are not only associated with OS and PFS but also correlated with ISS staging, with higher stages exhibiting elevated gene expression levels. Interestingly, HIST1H1C, MRPL4, and UBE2S showed higher expression in groups with 1p, 13q, and 1p32 deletions compared to normal subgroups with intact 1p, 13q, and 1p32, while DAP3 was specifically associated with 13q deletions. Studies indicate that the frequency of 1p deletion in MM is approximately 30%, compared to only 6% in MGUS. This deletion often co-occurs with amplification of the 1q21 region, observed in 40% of MM and 25% of MGUS cases, and is linked to a higher risk of MGUS progressing to MM and poorer prognosis in patients with MM35. Additionally, del13 is associated with progression from MGUS to MM36. These findings suggest that these four core genes may play a role in the malignant transformation from MGUS to MM.
DAP3, also known as S29mt, MRPS29, and bMRP-10, is an apoptosis-associated protein37. Recent research indicates that DAP3 is closely related to tumor progression38 and chemotherapy resistance39. As a mitochondrial ribosomal component located primarily in the mitochondrial matrix, DAP3 is crucial for regulating mitochondrial function. Silencing DAP3 sensitizes cells to mitochondria-mediated intrinsic death pathways40. Additionally, DAP3 is implicated in cancers as a splicing-regulatory RNA-binding protein (RBP), with erroneous splicing events regulated by DAP3 occurring in various cancers41. HIST1H1C, a member of the histone H1 family, regulates higher-order chromatin structure42. Mutations in HIST1H1C occur in ≥ 5% of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), follicular lymphoma (FL), or Burkitt's lymphoma (BL) cases, contributing to the malignant progression of lymphomas43,44. Mitochondrial ribosomal proteins (MRPs) aggregate in ribosomes to synthesize proteins encoded by mtDNA, crucial for mitochondrial bioenergetics and metabolic processes45. MRPL4, a member of the MRPs, is reported as a high-risk factor in prostate cancer and a potential diagnostic biomarker46. UBE2S, or Ubiquitin-conjugating enzyme E2S, plays a crucial role in the pathogenesis and progression of various malignant tumors by promoting cell invasion, migration, and proliferation through the regulation of DNA repair, DNA damage, and cell cycle processes47–49. This study supports these findings. KEGG and GO analyses of the four genes, as well as GSEA conducted after grouping based on risk scores calculated from these genes, indicate that these genes are involved in critical biological pathways related to cell metabolism, growth, and DNA maintenance.
MGUS and MM are both plasma cell-related disorders. Increasing evidence suggests that the development of MGUS and MM is closely associated with the TME. Our study confirms that the four core genes are associated with various immune cells, particularly B cells and plasma cells. Single-cell studies have confirmed that these four genes are primarily expressed at the level of B cells and plasma cells. The ESTIMATE algorithm confirmed that the immune scores were lower in the high MGUSscore group, indicating higher tumor purity and poorer prognosis. The high MGUSscore group was also associated with higher levels of plasma cells and memory B cells.
MGUS and MM are plasma cell-related disorders, with growing evidence linking their development to the TME. This study confirms that the four core genes are associated with various immune cells, particularly B cells and plasma cells. Single-cell studies further validate that these genes are predominantly expressed in B cells and plasma cells. The ESTIMATE algorithm indicated lower immune scores in the high MGUSscore group, suggesting higher tumor purity and poorer prognosis. Additionally, this group exhibited higher levels of plasma cells and memory B cells.
In this study, RcisTarget was used to identify key binding motifs of hub genes and their associated transcription factors. One notable motif is "taipale_tf_pairs__MYBL1_MAX_NCACGTGNNYAACSGNN_CAP_rep," representing binding sites for transcription factors MYBL1 and MAX. MYBL1, a member of the MYB family, regulates cell cycle and proliferation50, while MAX, as a MYC partner, influences cell growth and apoptosis51. These transcription factors play crucial roles in cell proliferation, differentiation, and apoptosis, which are central to cancer development.
The ceRNA regulatory mechanism plays a pivotal role in various biological processes and is critical in cancer treatment. To delve deeper into this mechanism, a ceRNA regulatory network was constructed, revealing 108 mRNA-miRNA relationship pairs through reverse miRNA prediction. Key miRNAs identified include hsa-miR-17-5p, hsa-miR-193b-3p, hsa-miR-106b-5p, hsa-miR-16-5p, and hsa-miR-34a-5p. miR-17-5p is linked to the progression and metastasis of colorectal cancer and acute myeloid leukemia52. Elevated plasma levels of miR-17-5p predict treatment response in CRC, making it a valuable non-invasive biomarker for liver metastasis and treatment efficacy53. miR-34a-5p interacts with breast cancer markers CD44 and CD24 and influences drug response by regulating the cholesterol pathway54. miR-106b-5p functions as a tumor suppressor, regulating critical processes such as cell cycle, proliferation, apoptosis, differentiation, invasion, angiogenesis, drug resistance, and metastasis in various cancers, including cervical, gastric, bladder, and colorectal cancers. Additionally, miR-106b-5p serves as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for cervical cancer55. miR-16-5p, produced by the MIR16-1 gene, was first identified in chronic lymphocytic leukemia due to its deletion and downregulation56. This miRNA is downregulated in various cancer cell lines and clinical samples of multiple cancers, including neuroblastoma, osteosarcoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, cervical cancer, breast cancer, brain tumors, gastrointestinal cancers, lung cancer, and bladder cancer, playing significant roles in their pathogenesis57.
In addition to miRNAs, 10 lncRNAs were identified that can regulate core genes by competitively binding to miRNAs. Among these, HAGLR (also known as HOXD-AS1 and Mdgt) plays crucial roles in intestinal development and various cancers, promoting cancer cell proliferation and invasion58. FGD5-AS1, a newly discovered lncRNA, is abnormally highly expressed in multiple cancer tissues and is closely associated with lymph node metastasis, tumor invasion, survival time, and recurrence rates in cancers such as bladder and gastric cancer. It is involved in multiple signaling pathways, including TGF-β, ERK/AKT, Wnt/β-catenin, and PD1/PD-L159. Notably, the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway mediates the proliferation, migration, drug resistance, and development of osteolytic lesions in MM cells60. These findings underscore the complex roles of miRNAs, lncRNAs, and transcription factors in cancer biology and suggest potential links between them and MM and MGUS, offering new insights for diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment.
Several limitations should be noted in this study. Firstly, only four hub genes were identified. Secondly, the detailed molecular mechanisms by which hub genes, miRNAs, and transcription factors affect these diseases remain unclear. In summary, this study explores the common pathogenesis of MGUS and MM, elucidates the roles of these four core genes in the malignant progression of these diseases, and identifies them as potential therapeutic targets for patients with MGUS and MM.