The diagnosis and pathological staging of prostate cancer primarily rely on prostate biopsy. However, biopsy only samples limited tissue, and prostate cancer often exhibits multifocality and heterogeneity, leading to discrepancies between biopsy results and actual postoperative pathology. A study [8] reported that the proportion of ISUP grade ≥ 2 at biopsy was 37.3%, but this increased to 71.8% postoperatively. Biopsy pathology grading is crucial for deciding between active surveillance and radical surgery. Studies have shown that patients with pathological upgrading postoperatively have shorter biochemical recurrence times [9]. Therefore, accurately assessing the Gleason score preoperatively is critical for formulating individualized treatment plans and predicting prognosis. Our study found that the rate of ISUP upgrading postoperatively in patients with localized prostate cancer undergoing radical surgery was 39.5%, consistent with domestic and international research.
PI-RADS v2.1, based on multiparametric MRI, scores prostate cancer by evaluating lesion performance on T2WI, DWI, and DCE sequences to estimate the probability of clinically significant prostate cancer. Multiple studies [10] have demonstrated that PI-RADS v2.1 has high efficacy in diagnosing prostate cancer and predicting the Gleason score. One study [11] found that for patients with a biopsy Gleason score of 3 + 3, the pathological upgrading rate after radical prostatectomy was 38.1% when the PI-RADS score was < 3, but increased to 85.7% when the PI-RADS score was > 3. This suggests that patients with a low Gleason score but a high PI-RADS score may need further biopsy to reassess risk. Our multivariate logistic regression analysis also showed that a PI-RADS score > 3 is an independent risk factor for postoperative pathological upgrading (OR = 17.111, 95% CI 2.388-122.592, P = 0.005). This should be included in preoperative risk assessments to guide clinical decision-making.
The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) is an immunoinflammatory marker based on neutrophil, platelet, and lymphocyte counts. Elevated SII levels indicate a high and uncontrolled tumor-associated inflammatory state. Previous studies have shown that SII is closely associated with the prognosis of various cancers such as renal, bladder, and prostate cancers. Rajwa et al. [12] demonstrated that elevated preoperative SII is significantly associated with adverse pathological features and biochemical recurrence in patients with localized prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP). However, its role in pathological upgrading after prostate cancer surgery remains unclear. Our study found that a high preoperative SII level is significantly associated with pathological upgrading post-radical prostatectomy (OR = 1.009, 95% CI 1.001–1.016, P = 0.028).
Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is widely used for screening, assessing disease severity, and evaluating prognosis in prostate cancer due to its low cost and ease of use. However, PSA lacks specificity for prostate cancer and is influenced by various factors. Therefore, we introduced %PSA, combining free PSA and total PSA levels for a comprehensive evaluation. Studies have shown that %PSA is a protective factor against postoperative Gleason score upgrading, with a critical value of 0.16 [13]. We found that when %PSA is below 0.099, the risk of pathological upgrading post-surgery significantly increases. The prostate health index (PHI), which combines tPSA, fPSA, and p2PSA, has shown greater advantages in predicting the occurrence and progression of prostate cancer [14]. Due to data limitations in this study, we could not analyze PHI, which may be an important direction for future research.
Biopsy pathology results significantly impact postoperative pathological upgrading. Leeman et al. [15] indicated that the number of positive biopsy cores and the proportion of tumor tissue are independent predictors of pathological upgrading in patients with ISUP1 from biopsy. In our study, the proportion of biopsy tumor tissue was defined as the proportion of tumor tissue obtained from the biopsy relative to the total tissue. When this proportion was below 8.15%, the risk of pathological upgrading post-surgery significantly increased. This may be due to the multifocal nature of prostate cancer leading to sampling errors and missing critical tumor tissue. With advancements in medical imaging technology, the accuracy of tumor lesion biopsies will continue to improve, reducing sampling errors.
Our multivariate logistic regression analysis found that imaging indicators PI-RADS v2.1 score, inflammatory marker SII, clinical pathological marker %PSA, and biopsy tumor tissue proportion are risk factors for pathological upgrading post-radical prostatectomy in patients with localized prostate cancer (AUCs were 0.607, 0.711, 0.618, and 0.778, respectively). The AUC for traditional clinical pathological indicators (%PSA combined with biopsy tumor tissue proportion) was 0.791. After incorporating new imaging and inflammatory markers (PI-RADS score, SII), the combined model's predictive ability significantly improved, with an AUC reaching 0.914. This indicates that PI-RADS score and SII have significant predictive value for pathological upgrading in prostate cancer, providing strong references for treatment decisions and showing clinical application prospects.
This study has certain limitations. First, as a retrospective study, data collection has inherent limitations that may lead to selection bias; second, the high proportion of high Gleason score (GS) patients in our hospital may cause potential evaluation bias; finally, this is a single-center study with a limited number of cases, and large-scale, multicenter, prospective studies are needed in the future for further validation. In summary, imaging indicator PI-RADS score and inflammatory marker SII play a role in predicting pathological upgrading post-radical prostatectomy in prostate cancer patients. Diagnostic models combining these new indicators have better predictive performance than traditional clinical pathological indicators.