Public health programmes
All the prevention measures found concerned tobacco: the introduction of health warnings and shock images on cigarette packets in Belgium (2006), Spain (2011), France (2011), Romania (2008) and the United Kingdom (2008), and the enforcement of directive 2014/40/EU in all 28 EU countries.
Three awareness campaigns were analysed: the MSC in Europe (every September since 2013), Mouth Cancer Awareness Day (MCAD) in Ireland (every September since 2010) and Mouth Cancer Action Month (MCAM) in the United Kingdom (every November since 1977).
Google Trends©
20 EU countries were included and 8 countries (Cyprus, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Malta, Portugal, Romania and Sweden) were excluded due to a lack of usable data.
In total, 43 searches in 17 languages for 4 key words were carried out: lip cancer (10 times), tongue cancer (13 times), gum cancer (6 times) and mouth cancer (13 times).
We noted a general increase in the popularity of the search terms over the period studied with an average increase in interest of 8.1% (mouth cancer: 14.2%, lip cancer: 8.3%, gum cancer: 5.5%, tongue cancer: 4.5%).
Wikipedia
The statistics for Wikipedia page views connected to oral cancers were available in 9 languages (Table 1).
Table 1. Visits of the Wikipedia pages on oral cancers in different languages, Descriptive statistics (July 2015- September 2018).
|
Language
|
Page visits (2015-2018)
|
Monthly mean
|
Monthly median
|
Standard deviation
|
Variance
|
Range
|
Minimum
|
Maximum
|
1
|
English
|
966625
|
24785.25
|
24120
|
3111
|
9678349.72
|
12161
|
18894
|
31055
|
2
|
German
|
333502
|
8551.33
|
8694
|
1851.90
|
3429543.54
|
3769
|
5206
|
12739
|
3
|
Italian
|
147616
|
3785.02
|
3767
|
981.37
|
963085.39
|
3769
|
2145
|
5914
|
4
|
French
|
77300
|
1982.05
|
1628
|
1170.44
|
1369946.89
|
6098
|
936
|
7034
|
5
|
Dutch
|
55216
|
1415.79
|
1349
|
280.36
|
78601.69
|
1140
|
838
|
1978
|
6
|
Polish
|
50757
|
1301.46
|
1298
|
274.76
|
75493.20
|
1295
|
799
|
2094
|
7
|
Portuguese
|
39018
|
1000.46
|
1001
|
297.19
|
88323.83
|
1380
|
477
|
1857
|
8
|
Slovenian
|
14180
|
363.59
|
367
|
67.99
|
4622.62
|
307
|
257
|
564
|
9
|
Finnish
|
11080
|
284.10
|
279
|
74.65
|
5572.30
|
316
|
167
|
483
|
Figure 1 shows the evolution of Wikipedia page views over the period. We noticed a slight decrease in interest in these pages (-2.5%).
Twitter©
125.595 Tweets published by 49.168 users were documented in the 24 EU languages between January 1st, 2013 and September 30th, 2018. They generated 116.444 reactions (62.000 likes and 53.507 retweets).
On average, 1820 Tweets about oral cancers were published every month (median=1427 standard deviation=1268.81). The number of Tweets decreased by 22.65% between 2013 and 2018.
91% of Tweets about oral cancers were published in English. The 100 Tweets with the most reactions were published using accounts with high numbers of followers and routinely relayed the oral cancer diagnosis of a public figure.
Press articles
Searches on Europresse revealed 787 articles in English, 735 in French and 392 in German (Figure 1). Searches for articles in other languages did not return enough results to be useful.
On average, 4.44 articles about oral cancers in English (median=3, standard deviation=3.93), 4.15 in French (median=4, standard deviation=2.24) and 2.21 in German (median=2, standard deviation=1.57) appeared in the press every month between 2004 and 2018, with an overall increase of 12.2%.
Bibliometric analysis
11.875 scientific articles about oral cancers were published worldwide between 2004 and 2018, a yearly average of 789. The number of publications increased by 225% between 2004 and 2018 (Figure 1).
Worldwide, the most prolific countries were: The United States (3693 articles, 31.1% of publications), China (1710, 14.4%), Japan (1561, 13.14%), Taiwan (1486, 12.51%) and India (1410, 11.8%).
33.7% of articles (3998 articles) were published in EU countries. The United Kingdom (6th, 1068 articles, 8.99% of publications), Germany (8th, 557, 4.7%) and Italy (9th, 467, 3.93%) were the three most productive countries in the EU.
Introduction of new public healthcare programmes
The influence of the introduction of public health measures on the interest shown in oral cancers on Google©, Wikipedia and in the press, is shown in Table 2.
Table 2. Influence of public health policies on Google© and Wikipedia searches for oral cancers and in press articles on the subject in Europe. When one of the search terms studied isolated produced a significant result, it was highlighted (bis).
|
Country or language
|
Monthly mean
|
Mean before the 2014/40/EU directive
|
Mean before health warnings (countries having adopted them before the 2014/40/EU directive)
|
Mean before the introduction of a national campaign
|
Mean after the 2014/40/EU directive
|
Mean after health warnings (countries having adopted them before the 2014/40/EU directive)
|
Mean during MSC
|
Mean during a national campaign
|
Google Trends© (RSV) 2004-2018
|
1
|
Germany
|
25.45
|
24.80
|
-
|
-
|
28.21
p=0.175
|
-
|
26.38
p=0.87
|
-
|
1bis
|
Germany
(for the isolated term “Mundkrebs”)
|
23.21
|
21.68
|
-
|
-
|
29.67
p<0.01
|
-
|
28.3
p=0.24
|
-
|
2
|
Austria
|
15.40
|
15.49
|
-
|
-
|
15.06
p=0.842
|
-
|
12.21
p=0.85
|
-
|
3
|
Belgium
|
15.84
|
15.57
|
9.99
|
-
|
17.00
p=0.741
|
16.73
p= 0.06
|
15.33
p=0.88
|
-
|
3bis
|
Wallonia (keywords in French isolated)
|
27.5
|
26.95
|
12.25
|
-
|
29.82
p=0.48
|
29.87
p=0.02
|
27.83
p=0.97
|
-
|
4
|
Bulgaria
|
9.35
|
9.19
|
-
|
-
|
9.99
p=0.68
|
-
|
9.33
p=1.00
|
-
|
4bis
|
Bulgaria
(for the isolated term “Рак На Гърдата”)
|
0.98
|
0.85
|
-
|
-
|
1.5
p=0.03
|
-
|
1.66
p=0.35
|
-
|
5
|
Croatia
|
11.50
|
12.03
|
-
|
-
|
9.26
p=0.236
|
-
|
7.25
p=0.86
|
-
|
6
|
Denmark
|
21.08
|
18.24
|
-
|
-
|
33.15
p<0.001
|
-
|
32.50
p=0.17
|
-
|
7
|
Spain
|
30.66
|
30.17
|
27.57
|
-
|
32.74
p=0.450
|
33.43
p= 0.03
|
30.67
p=1.00
|
-
|
8
|
Estonia
|
3.00
|
3.09
|
-
|
-
|
2.62
p=0.808
|
-
|
0.00
p=0.47
|
-
|
9
|
Finland
|
10.01
|
7.28
|
-
|
-
|
21.53
p<0.001
|
-
|
12.33
p=0.69
|
-
|
10
|
France
|
16.03
|
15.32
|
14.51
|
-
|
19.05
p=0.01
|
17.43
p= 0.01
|
17.28
p=0.75
|
-
|
11
|
Ireland
|
9.12
|
8.48
|
-
|
6.87
|
11.82
p=0.18
|
-
|
13.00
p<0.001
|
10.4
p=0.03
|
12
|
Latvia
|
3.60
|
3.24
|
-
|
-
|
5.10
p=0.16
|
-
|
3.50
p=0.97
|
-
|
13
|
Lithuania
|
4.66
|
3.92
|
-
|
-
|
7.79
p=0.063
|
-
|
8.33
p=0.41
|
-
|
14
|
Luxembourg
|
15.34
|
14.82
|
-
|
-
|
17.55
p=0.283
|
-
|
15.44
p=0.88
|
-
|
15
|
Netherlands
|
16.52
|
16.89
|
-
|
-
|
14.94
p=0.527
|
-
|
10.50
p=0.36
|
-
|
16
|
Poland
|
12.51
|
12.43
|
-
|
-
|
12.84
p=0.764
|
-
|
8.00
p=0.58
|
-
|
17
|
Czech Republic
|
4.16
|
4.15
|
-
|
|
4.20
p=0.96
|
-
|
2.54
p=0.69
|
|
17bis
|
Czech Republic
(for the isolated term “Rakovina Úst”)
|
0.37
|
0.27
|
-
|
-
|
0.79
p=0.01
|
-
|
0.16
p=0.64
|
-
|
18
|
United Kingdom
|
24.82
|
23.79
|
26.1
|
24.82
|
29.21
p<0.001
|
24.35
p= 0.11
|
27.33
p=0.35
|
28.79
p= 0.02
|
19
|
Slovakia
|
10.07
|
9.48
|
-
|
-
|
12.59
p=0.247
|
-
|
9.83
p=0.97
|
-
|
20
|
Slovenia
|
1.63
|
1.60
|
-
|
-
|
1.79
p=0.896
|
-
|
2.67
p=0.75
|
-
|
Wikipedia (Number of page visits) 2015-2018
|
1
|
English
|
24785
|
25109
|
-
|
-
|
24726
p=0.78
|
-
|
21836
p=0.08
|
-
|
2
|
German
|
8551
|
10269
|
-
|
-
|
42874
p= 0.01
|
-
|
7352
p= 0.21
|
-
|
3
|
Italian
|
9785
|
3799
|
-
|
-
|
3782
p= 0.02
|
-
|
3612
p= 0.73
|
-
|
4
|
French
|
1982
|
2972
|
-
|
-
|
1807
p< 0.001
|
-
|
1661
p= 0.59
|
-
|
5
|
Dutch
|
1416
|
1864
|
-
|
-
|
1285
p= 0.39
|
-
|
1211
p= 0.18
|
-
|
6
|
Polish
|
1301
|
1390
|
-
|
-
|
1285
p= 0.39
|
-
|
1096
p= 0.15
|
-
|
7
|
Portuguese
|
1000
|
682
|
-
|
-
|
1058
p< 0.001
|
-
|
1067
p= 0.66
|
-
|
8
|
Slovenia
|
363
|
331
|
-
|
-
|
369
p= 0.2
|
-
|
341
p= 0.53
|
-
|
9
|
Finnish
|
284
|
321
|
-
|
-
|
277
p= 0.18
|
-
|
235
p= 0.21
|
-
|
Europresse© (Number of articles) 2004-2018
|
1
|
English
|
4.44
|
3.86
|
-
|
-
|
6.3
p= 0.001
|
-
|
8.83
p= 0.007
|
MCAD
11.15
p<0.001
MCAM
9.17
p<0.001
|
2
|
French
|
4.15
|
4.17
|
-
|
-
|
2.51
p= 0.34
|
-
|
9.33
p<0.001
|
-
|
3
|
German
|
2.21
|
2.02
|
-
|
-
|
3.78
p= 0.22
|
-
|
5.33
p<0.001
|
-
|
A significant increase in Google© searches followed the introduction of health warnings on cigarette packets in Spain(P=0.03), France (P=0.01) and in the French speaking part of Belgium (P=0.02). We observed a significant increase in interest shown in oral cancers since the enforcement of directive 2014/40/EU in Denmark (P<0.001), Finland (p<0.001), France (P=0.01) and the United Kingdom (P<0.001). A significant increase in search terms corresponding to "mouth cancers" was also seen in Germany (p<0.001), Bulgaria (p=0.003) and the Czech Republic (P=0.01).
The MSC had no influence on Google© searches, except in Ireland (P<0.001).
Interest shown in oral cancers has increased significantly in Ireland since 2010 and the introduction of MCAD (P=0.03) as well as in the month of September when this week of awareness raising (P<0.001) coincides with the MSC. A significant difference in search volume for oral cancers was found during the MCAM in the United Kingdom (P=0.02).
On the contrary, the data obtained for Wikipedia searches showed a significant decrease in the number of average monthly visits after the enforcement of directive 2014/40/EU on the German (P =0.001), Italian (P=0.02), French (P<0.001) and Portuguese (P<0.001) pages.
There was no significant temporal association between the MSC and the number of Wikipedia page visits concerning oral cancers.
On Twitter, we observed a significant increase in the number of Tweets in April (P<0.001), as shown in the regular peaks seen in Figure 2. There was no change during the MSC (P=0.13).
The study of the temporal association between the introduction of public healthcare programmes and the publication of articles in the press showed a significant increase in the number of publications about oral cancers during each awareness campaign.
Several peaks in interest common to several databases were observed in September 2010, January and October 2016, March 2017 and January 2018.
The analysis of the relationship between the ANOVA results and the calculation of the Pearson coefficient of linear correlation (Table 3) showed that associations and correlations existed between our results.
Table 3. Measurement of the Pearson correlation coefficient (CCC) between the results obtained after ANOVA analysis.
|
Google Trends©
|
Wikipedia
|
Twitter©
|
Europresse
|
Bibliometrics
|
Google Trends©
|
-
|
CCC=0.04
P<0.001
|
CCC=0.07
P<0.001
|
CCC=0.11
P<0.001
|
CCC=0.21
P<0.001
|
Wikipedia
|
-
|
-
|
CCC=0.06
P<0.001
|
CCC=-0.08
P<0.001
|
Insufficient data
|
Twitter©
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
CCC=0.8
P<0.001
|
CCC=0.96
P<0.001
|
Europresse
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
CCC=0.12
P<0.001
|
Bibliometrics
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
All our results were positively associated outside of the relationship between articles in the press and the number of Wikipedia page visits, but the correlation was extremely weak, if not zero.
A weak correlation was found between the publication of articles in the press about oral cancers and 1) the interest shown in them on Google© (0.11, P<0.001), and 2) the publication of scientific articles (0.12, p<0.001). We observed a weak correlation between the publication of scientific articles and interest shown in oral cancers on Google© (0.21, P <0.001). Finally, a very strong correlation was found between the publication of scientific articles and 1) articles appearing in the press (0.8, P <0.001) et 2) the number of Tweets published (0.96, P <0.001).