Diabetes stands as one of the top non-communicable diseases worldwide and is a significant contributor to global mortality rates(1). The International Diabetes Federation's 2021 report indicates that diabetes impacts 537 million people, or 10.5% of the global population, with projections estimating this number to rise to 783 million by 2045. The financial implications are considerable, with expenditures reaching at least $966 billion in 2021, reflecting a 316% increase over the past decade and a half (2).Diabetic retinopathy (DR), a prevalent complication of diabetes, affects approximately 30 to 40% of those with the condition(3, 4). Presently, over 100 million people globally are living with DR, which is a primary cause of blindness and visual impairment, particularly among adults in the workforce (3, 5). The prevalence and burden of DR are predicted to escalate dramatically in the coming decades, with numbers expected to jump from 103 million in 2020 to 130 million by 2030 and 161 million by 2045(6). This escalation is attributed to the growing incidence of diabetes, shifts in lifestyle, and the expanding aging population(6). The anticipated 25% increase in DR's disease burden within a decade is poised to place additional pressure on healthcare systems that are already under strain. The economic impact of DR, including its complications, is significant, with direct healthcare costs for vision loss in the United States alone amounting to $134.2 million in 2017(7).
Coffee, ranking just behind water in global popularity, boasts an estimated market value of $10 billion. This widely enjoyed drink is a rich source of various bioactive compounds, including chlorogenic acid, caffeine, and diterpenes. These components are known for their multifaceted health benefits, such as antioxidant properties(8), anti-inflammatory effects(9), chemo-preventive actions(10), modulation of glucose and fat metabolism(11, 12), enhancement of gut microbiome health(13), and other biological activities(14–16). Epidemiological research indicates an inverse relationship between coffee consumption and the risk of insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes (17–21), suggesting that coffee may offer long-term, dose-dependent protective effects. The potential mechanisms behind these benefits could include the acarbose-like activity of coffee phenolics(17), which may inhibit glucose absorption by altering the expression of glucose transporters like GLUT-2 and SGLT-1(18). Additionally, chlorogenic acids (CGAs) and their metabolites might stimulate insulin synthesis, enhance insulin secretion, and ameliorate insulin resistance by influencing plasma levels of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) and gastric inhibitory polypeptide (GIP)(19).
The observable retinal abnormalities in DR, including microaneurysms, hemorrhages, and hard exudates, stem mainly from damage to the retinal microvasculature. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) has revealed significant thinning of the inner retinal layers in diabetic patients, notably the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) and the ganglion cell layer (GCL), a process that is progressive and may occur before the emergence of overt DR lesions (20, 21). This thinning is further supported by histological evidence from enucleated eyes, which show decreased retinal ganglion cell density in cases of DR (22). Functional evaluations in diabetic patients have uncovered diminished contrast sensitivity, visual field impairments, electrophysiological deficits, and weakened pupillary responses(23). Observational research has linked higher coffee consumption with a thicker macular RNFL and a reduced risk of hypoxia-induced retinal degeneration(24, 25), as well as a decreased likelihood of developing diabetic retinopathy and cataract(26, 27). However, some studies have reported that coffee consumption could negatively affect glucose tolerance and insulin sensitivity(28, 29), raise intraocular pressure, and decrease blood flow to the macula, optic nerve head, and choroid(30, 31). Yet, other research has not found a connection between coffee intake and retinopathy(32). In conclusion, the relationship between coffee intake and DR lacks a consistent pattern, making it difficult to draw a definitive conclusion about the impact of coffee on the development or progression of DR.
Mendelian randomization (MR) is a valuable research technique that investigates causality by leveraging the random assortment of genetic variants related to a risk factor (33). These genetic variants act as a natural stand-in for exposure, creating an experiment-like scenario to determine causal relationships. By doing so, MR significantly reduces the influence of confounding variables, reverse causality, and measurement errors, providing stronger evidence for causality than traditional epidemiological methods(34). The effectiveness of MR is particularly notable when conventional methods for controlling confounding factors are insufficient, as it helps to avoid confounding biases and enhances the credibility of causality assessments.
In our study, we sought to examine the genetic causality between coffee consumption and DR using a two-sample MR analysis based on data from the Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) database. This method estimates the causal relationship between a biomarker, such as coffee intake, and a disease, like DR, by utilizing genetic variants that are reliably associated with the exposure of interest. By applying two-sample MR and utilizing summary statistics from extensive GWAS on coffee intake and diabetes-related conditions, our study aimed to uncover the causal impact of coffee consumption on the risk of developing DR.