Medulloblastoma (MB) is one of the most prevalent childhood brain tumors, with the highest incidence in children aged 10–14 years [43]. Children aged under three years have a higher risk of death from the disease, especially those with Grp3 or Grp4 tumors [6]. The recurrence rate for MB is high at 30% [44]. Different MB subgroups have different etiologies and cells of origin [4], and the resulting tumors progress differently, requiring personalized management. Subgroup classification requires histopathological analysis, but the Grp3 and Grp4 subgroups are challenging to differentiate, with costly and time-consuming DNA methylation-based classification currently the gold standard for Grp3 and Grp4 classification. There is therefore a clinical need for rapid point-of-care diagnostics for accurate subgroup classification and prognostication, especially in low-resource settings.
Our group previously reported a significant role for ncRNAs in MB subgroup classification and therapy [15–17, 32], and previous studies have reported the dynamics and dysregulation of m6A regulators in MB patients [21, 45]. RNA methylation is vital for regulating lncRNA-related disease progression and is an important therapeutic target. Nevertheless, m6A-based lncRNA regulation of tumor progression and clinical outcomes in MB have largely remained unexplored.
Here we systematically analyzed bulk transcriptomes from MB patients and integrated clinical traits and metadata to identify an m6A-associated lncRNA gene signature (M6LSig) with diagnostic and prognostic potential. LncRNAs co-expressed with m6A regulators are potentially regulated in an m6A-dependent manner. Our analysis revealed a five-gene signature significantly associated with prognosis in the context of age and sex. Due to intragroup heterogeneity and significantly different prognostic outcomes of subtypes within each subgroup, additional covariate of subgroup classification was not included in the model. The risk score calculated based on the expression values of these five genes was significantly associated with OS. High concordance of observed versus expected probabilities on calibration curves indicated that the model generated for predicting OS was highly accurate for one-, three-, and five-year survival. To aid clinical implementation, we generated a nomogram requiring the patient’s risk score, age, and sex for OS prediction. Eight ML-based classification models were also evaluated to determine the most precise algorithm for subgroup classification based on the 67-genes signature. XGBoost outperformed the other approaches, with > 90% accuracy for subgroup classification. These models have direct clinical application and are adaptable to diverse gene analysis platforms. Compared to other high throughput techniques dependent on quantifying bulk transcriptomes or DNA methylation profiles from patients, our small panel of genes are easier to scale and implement in clinical settings, even with limited resources availability. Although the roles of the lncRNAs forming this signature are not currently understood in MB, they have been implicated in many other cancers. For example, GAS5 has been reported to have prognostic value in CRC, where GAS5 regulates the transport and decay of YAP, an oncogene responsible for tumor progression in the disease. YTHDF3 can recognize and degrade m6A-containing GAS5 transcripts and hence negatively impact YAP degradation [28]. Further work is now needed to explore the functions and regulation of these lncRNAs.
Immune cell infiltration in the TME significantly impacts tumor progression, patient survival, therapy responses, and metastasis, including in MB, where CD8+ T cell infiltrates are associated with prognosis of MB patients. However, most MB tumors are considered ‘cold tumors’, i.e., the immune response is suppressed or inactive. Hence, immune modulation is a potentially important strategy for treating MB tumors, and novel targets for immune modulation hold important therapeutic and commercial potential. We explored correlations between expression of the five m6A-associated lncRNA genes and the abundance of 22 immune cell types within the MB TME, and all five genes showed significant positive or negative correlations with at least one of the 15 immune cell types (Fig. 6A). Correlating risk scores with immune cell type abundance in the TME identified a negative correlation with follicular helper T cells and eosinophils and a positive correlation with naive CD4+ T cells. Hence, the role of m6A-associated lncRNAs in regulating T cell and eosinophil infiltration and disease outcome is a novel therapeutic avenue for further exploration.
Clinically-applicable risk scores are important for personalized medicine. The result shown in Fig. 7b reports the dynamic expression patterns of the immune checkpoint and ligand genes in high- and low-risk patients, classified by their assigned subgroups. The plot shows the heterogeneity in the expression pattern of the immune checkpoint and ligand genes in the risk score-based stratified population of patients. Risk stratification by risk score is distinct from the subgroup classification-based risk stratification and that expression of immune checkpoint and ligand genes in samples with the same assigned subgroups are not similar. This indicates that an immune therapy approach and understanding the tumor microenvironment might involve additional risk factors than subgroup classification alone. Patients with a high-risk score showed significantly increased expression of 4-1BB, which is a positive stimulator of an anti-oncolytic immune response [46, 47]. Previous reports have shown positive outcomes for patients stimulated with anti-4-1BB antibodies, and combined low-dose radiation and anti-4-1BB antibodies have also been explored as a potential alternative therapy in MB patients [47, 48]. Taken together, our newly developed risk score has many clinical and personalized medicine applications in MB treatment and care.
The m6A writers METTL3 and METTL14 were significantly associated with proliferation of Grp3 cells in vitro. Zhang et al. similarly showed that METTL3 knockdown in SHH MB cell lines (DAOY and ONS-76) significantly impacted cell proliferation [45]. Hence, m6A regulatory genes are important for tumor progression and growth. Our results also indicate that manipulation of part of the m6A machinery has a significant impact on the regulation of many genes including three of the five lncRNAs forming part of the M6LSig in Grp3 MB cells, suggesting that these lncRNAs may be functional. Taken together, these results highlight a key role for m6A regulators in MB tumor growth and potentially influencing expression of prognostic lncRNAs in an m6A-dependent manner.
The results of this study highlight a crucial role for m6A-dependent lncRNAs in MB prognosis and immune responses. Further exploration and functional characterization of these identified genes and pathways is now required to determine the role of m6A in regulating immune cell infiltration. Our nomogram provides the basis for a useful and practical tool that can be rapidly deployed in clinical settings for translational applications.