2.1 Research flow chart and main results.
In this study, 600 twin pregnancies between 12 to 27+6 gestational weeks were initially collected, and the pregnancy outcomes were followed up. During the follow-up period, 136 cases were excluded due to natural abortion (n=58), pregnancy reduction (n=37), and pregnancy loss (n=41). Finally, 464 cases were included in the analysis, comprising 377 cases (81.0%) without PE, 66 cases (14.2%) with PE (19 cases (4.1%) with ePE, 47 cases (10.1%) with lPE), and 21 cases (4.5%) with gestational hypertension. Among the 181 cases evaluated at 12-15+6 weeks of gestation.,26 cases tested positive on the CRD test. Of these, 13 cases (50.0%) developed PE, including 2 cases (7.7%) of ePE and 11 cases (42.3%) of lPE. Among the 155 cases with negative CRD test results during this period, 15 cases (9.7%) developed PE, including 3 cases (1.9%) of ePE and 12 cases (7.7%) of lPE.
Addionally, 283 cases were evaluated at 16-27+6 weeks of gestation. Among the 33 cases with positive CRD test results, 15 cases (45.5%) developed PE, including 6 cases (18.2%) of ePE and 9 cases (27.3%) of lPE. Among the 250 cases with negative CRD test results during this period, 23 cases (9.2%) developed PE, including 8 cases (3.2%) of ePE and 15 cases (6.0%) of lPE. Table 1 shows the details.
Table 1 Research flow chart and preliminary experimental results
2.2 Clinical characteristics of pregnant women unaffected PE and PE
In this study, 464 patients were classified into three groups according to the presence of PE: no PE group, ePE group, and lPE group. Significant differences were observed among these groups in maternal age, pre-pregnancy BMI, BMI≥28km/m2, mean sBP, dBP, MAP, MAP ≥ 85 mmHg, history of PE, history of chronic hypertension, and positive urine protein. However, there were no significant differences in parity, intake of folic acid, chorionicity, pregnancy interval≥10 years, and gestational week at testing (P> 0.05) (Table 2).
Table 2 Maternal and pregnancy characteristics in the screening population
Variable
|
Unaffected
(n=377)
|
Early PE
(n=19)
|
Late PE
(n=47)
|
P值
|
Matermal age,yearsa
|
34.7±2.3
|
32.0±1.4
|
35.0±1.1
|
0.000
|
Maternal BMIb,kg/m2
|
21.9±3.2
|
24.1±5.0
|
23.7±4.7
|
0.000
|
BMI≥28,kg/m2
|
16(4.4)
|
3(15.8)
|
6(12.2)
|
0.009c
|
Parity
|
|
|
|
|
≤2
|
299(79.3)
|
14(73.7)
|
39(81.6)
|
0.683
|
≥3
|
78(20.7)
|
5(26.3)
|
8(16.3)
|
|
Nulliparous
|
310(82.2)
|
16(84.2)
|
40(81.6)
|
0.960c
|
Parous
|
67(17.8)
|
3(15.8)
|
7(14.9)
|
|
Folic acid
|
282(74.8)
|
11(57.9)
|
32(65.3)
|
0.185
|
Conception
|
|
|
|
|
Spontaneous
|
183(48.5)
|
5(26.3)
|
12(24.5)
|
0.020
|
In-vitro fertilization
|
118(31.3)
|
9(47.4)
|
21(42.9)
|
|
ICSI
|
68(18.1)
|
5(26.3)
|
14(28.6)
|
|
PGT
|
8(2.1)
|
0
|
0
|
|
Chorionicity
|
|
|
|
|
Monochorionic
|
173(45.9)
|
13(68.4)
|
27(57.4)
|
0.061
|
Dichorionic
|
204(54.1)
|
6(31.6)
|
20(42.6)
|
|
Blood pressure,mmHg
|
|
|
|
|
sBP,mmHg
|
113.1±9.1
|
120.5±11.2
|
117.0±11.2
|
0.001
|
dBP,mmHg
|
69.4±6.7
|
73.8±9.2
|
71.2±8.2
|
0.023
|
MAP,mmHg
|
83.8±6.6
|
89.3±9.0
|
86.5±8.6
|
0.001
|
MAP≥85,mmHg
|
179(47.4)
|
13(68.4)
|
27(57.4)
|
0.045
|
previous PE
|
7(2.1)
|
2(10.5)
|
2(4.3)
|
0.047
|
Chronic hypertension
|
10(2.7)
|
3(15.8)
|
2(4.3)
|
0.026c
|
Pregnancy interval ≥ 10 years
|
8(2.1)
|
0
|
1(2.1)
|
1.000
|
dipstick proteinuria
|
|
|
|
|
1-2+
|
55(14.6)
|
10(52.6)
|
22(46.8)
|
0.000
|
≥3
|
11(2.9)
|
5(26.3)
|
8(20.5)
|
0.000
|
Gestational age at screening, weeks
|
|
|
|
|
12-15+6
|
148(39.3)
|
5(26.3)
|
23(48.9)
|
0.637c
|
16-19+6
|
72(19.1)
|
6(31.6)
|
9(19.1)
|
|
20-23+6
|
60(15.9)
|
3(15.8)
|
6(12.9)
|
|
24-28
|
97(25.7)
|
5(26.3)
|
9(19.1)
|
|
Abbreviations:
BMI, body mass index; PE, pre-eclampsia;
ICSI, Intracytoplasmic sperm injection PGT,Preimplantation genetic technology
sBP,systolic systolic blood pressure;
dBP,diastolic Blood pressure; MAP, mean arterial pressure;
Early PE,PE defined as detection at less than 34 weeks gestation;
Late PE, PE defined as detection at greater than or equal to 34 weeks;
a,Maternal age at expected date of delivery;
b,Pre-pregnancy BMI; c,Tested by Fisher’s exact test.
2.3 Comparison of the area under the ROC curve of single and combined
detection in predicting PE.
The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of MF, MAP, and MP for predicting ePE and lPE were compared. MF exhibited the largest AUC [0.739 (95%CI: 0.619-0.860) and 0.692 (95%CI: 0.603-0.782)] among the single indices. The AUC of the combined detection of the three factors was 0.770 (95% CI: 0.703-0.837), which was higher than that of any single index alone (See Table 3 and Figure1-5).
Table 3. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of MF, MAP, and MP in predicting PE
Screening
|
Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve
|
Early PE (n=19)
|
Late PE (n=47)
|
All PE(n=66)
|
MP
|
0.676(0.530-0.822)
|
0.678(0.584-0.772)
|
0.691(0.611-0.770)
|
MAP
|
0.675(0.530-0.820)
|
0.588(0.504-0.672)
|
0.604(0.531-0.678)
|
MF
|
0.739(0.619-0.860)
|
0.692(0.603-0.782)
|
0.699(0.627-0.772)
|
MF+MAP
|
0.740(0.604-0.876)
|
0.702(0.616-0.788)
|
0.710(0.640-0.779)
|
MF+MP
|
0.755(0.627-0.882)
|
0.753(0.665-0.842)
|
0.759(0.687-0.830)
|
MAP+MP
|
0.720(0.571-0.869)
|
0.731(0.648-0.815)
|
0.736(0.663-0.809)
|
MF+MAP+MP
|
0.755(0.619-0.891)
|
0.763(0679-0.847)
|
0.770(0.703-0.837)
|
Abbreviations:
MF,maternal factors;MAP,mean arterial pressure; MP,misfolded protein.
2.4 Predictive value of MP in PE
Table 4 presents the positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity, specificity, and Youden index for predicting PE using urinary MP. For pregnancies between 12 to 15+6 gestational weeks, MP predicted a PPV and NPV of PE at 57.9% and 89.2%, respectively. For pregnancies between 16 to 27+6 gestational weeks, MP predicted a PPV and NPV of PE at 36.2% and 89.9%, respectively. Across 12-27+6 gestational weeks, MP predicted a PPV and NPV of PE at 42.4% and 92.2%, respectively.Whlie MP alone exhibited a sensitivity and PPV for predicting PE of apporximately 50% during 12-27+6 gestational weeks, both specificity and NPV were apporximately 90%. Detaled values can be found in Table 4.
Table 4: Predictive values of MP detection for PE
Gestational weeks
|
Maker
|
PPV
(%)
|
NPV
(%)
|
Sensitivity (%)
|
Specificity (%)
|
Youden
index
|
12-15+6
|
MP
|
57.9
|
89.2
|
42.1
|
88.5
|
0.306
|
16-27+6
|
MP
|
36.2
|
89.9
|
41.7
|
90.6
|
0.323
|
12-27+6
|
MP
|
42.4
|
92.2
|
46.5
|
93.4
|
0.399
|
Abbreviations: NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.