The results obtained in this study confirmed the progressive expansion of the species to north described in the monitoring carried out at the state level (Roviralta 2022) and predicted by the different predictive models linked to global warming (Araujo 2011). The nomadic character of this species in the post-nuptial period (Asensio and Cantos 1989) together with its ability to adapt to various habitats (Roviralta 2016 and references contained therein) and its high reproductive rate (Alonso 1984; Marques et al. 2006) make the SS a good colonizer capable of experiencing large jumps in its distribution area. This situation has already been previously described in other regions of Spain such as Levant (Ferrero-García et al. 2018), where there could have been a mass arrival of hundreds of specimens to a region in which there was no evidence of their existence, becoming classified as a pest species. In our case, it so happens that the year 2023 has been unusually dry in the southern half of the peninsula (MITECO 2024), which may have pushed SS populations to move hundreds of kilometers north, reaching beyond the Ebro River, the traditional limit of distribution of the species (Martí and Del Moral 2003; Roviralta 2022).
Regarding the characteristics of the colonies detected in our work, the 3.24 nests per colony are a value similar to that described for the species in the northern subplateau of Spain (Román et al. 1997), but notably lower than those existing in the traditional distribution area of the species in the southeast of the Iberian Peninsula (Alonso 1982, 1984; Marques et al. 2002; Prieta 2002) where the average exceeds 200 nests per colony and maximum values greater than 30,000 nests can be reached (Prieta 2002). Our results agree with those previous studies in the choice of trees for nesting (Alonso 1984; Román et al. 1997; Marques et al. 2002; Prieta 2002) and in the species of birds of prey or storks with which they were associated (Román et al. 1997; Roviralta 2022). Regarding the percentage of colonies isolated or associated with large birds, we have not found values in previous works, although it seems that this behavior is more common in the northernmost areas of the distribution area (Roman et al. 1997) than in the south (Alonso 1984). Nor have we found in the existing bibliography information about the selection by the SS of the nests of one or another species of raptor or stork for nesting. In our case, it has been possible to verify the reproduction associated with White Storks and four species of raptors, although without apparent selection. However, it must be taken into account that the sampling effort has not been homogeneous among the different species, so solid conclusions cannot be drawn.
In respect of the association with HS, the constant presence of this species in the SP colonies from our study area is very different from what is described in the rest of the SP distribution area where the HS occupies only the most humanized habitats (Alonso 1982, 1984; Päckert et al. 2019; Murgi 2022), while the SS focuses on more natural environments (Alonso 1984; Román et al. 1997; Marques et al. 2002; Prieta 2002; Päckert et al. 2019; Roviralta 2022). This greater spatial coincidence found in our region could facilitate hybridization between both species, as has been suggested for some populations in North Africa (Guezhul et al. 2011; Päckert et al. 2019). More intensive monitoring that includes capture for ringing and genetic analysis of the specimens would allow us to confirm or deny this hypothesis.
Finally, our results have shown how the observation.org and eBird platforms have been able to detect the rapid expansion of the species towards the north, going from only 5 records until 2022 to more than 120 in 2023. The easy detection and identification of colonies (Alonso 1982) and the large flocks that form during the winter (Alonso 1982; Asensio and Cantos 1989; Ferrero-García et al. 2018) make this species a good candidate to be monitored through citizen science (Cooper et al. 2014). If we combine this peculiarity with the fact that it is a typical species of hot habitats in northern Africa with a well-defined northern distribution limit, this makes the species a good indicator of climate change in southern Europe (Araujo et al. 2011; Devictor et al. 2012).