In this analysis, we report, for the first time, data related to the efficacy and safety of SGLT2i in a large cohort of KTRs from a large global federated healthcare network. Patients prescribed SGLT2i had statistically significantly improved five-year kidney outcomes and reduced MACE compared to a matched cohort not prescribed SGLT2i. There was also no evidence to suggest significant drug related side effects associated with SGLT2i use. No large, published studies have reported long-term outcomes on chronic allograft function, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and graft and patient survival to compare this study's outcomes, making the study's findings novel.
CKD and proteinuria are independent predictors of mortality within the general population.21 Three landmark trials have evidenced the significant benefit for long-term cardiovascular and renal outcomes in initiating SGLT2i for CKD cohorts.1,2,22 Renal outcome-specific analysis for the DAPA-CKD study2 has shown the effectiveness of Dapagliflozin in reducing proteinuria and attenuation of eGFR decline.23The outcomes of our study are comparable to the major trials and meta-analysis of SGLT2i in CKD cohorts despite the measured outcomes not being completely identical.1–3
To date, there is limited published data to evaluate the benefit of SGLT2i in KTRs, especially regarding improvement in graft specific outcomes.24 A retrospective clinical study by Demir. et al.25 comparing diabetic KTRs (Post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) PTDM or pre-existing diabetes)) who were prescribed SGLT2i (n = 36) or SGLT2i naïve (n = 21) demonstrated higher acute rejection rates in the SGLT2i naïve cohort (11.1% vs 33.3%, p = 0.04) over 12month follow- up. Similarly, our study displayed increased acute rejection rates in SGLT2i naïve cohort over five-year follow-up ( 5.6% vs 20.17% p < 0.0001).
CVD remains the leading cause of death in KTRs.10 It has been established that proteinuria post-transplant is associated with MACE.26,27 Retrospective analysis from Mathur. et al. 28 on United States transplant data showed 30% of hospitalisation post-transplant was due to CVD. It must be acknowledged that KTRs do have significant 'traditional' risk factors for CVD, such as hypertension and dyslipidaemia and therefore also stand to benefit from the cardioprotective effects of SGLT2i.29 Furthermore, immunosuppressive medication such as glucocorticoids and calcineurin inhibitors (CNI) also exacerbate risk of CVD.30,31
This study has reported graft-specific outcomes and MACE events, which are important for this cohort of patients. We hypothesise the benefits of SGLT2i to KTRs observed in this study could be explained based on the following mechanisms. The well acknowledged renoprotective mechanisms of SGLT2i are through inhibiting sodium reabsorption and decreasing intraglomerular pressure through tubuloglomerular feedback.32–34 However this retrospective study is not designed to formally test this hypothesis. Similar to the non-transplant population KTRs show a drop in eGFR following initiation of SGLT2i, which may highlight that SGLT2i are more effective than renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system blockade in inducing a haemodynamic response, given that a renal transplant is considered denervated.35,36 These postulated pharmacodynamics may explain the observed benefit of 43% reduction in death-censored graft failure (HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.37, 0.51) and 20% (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.70, 0.92) reduction in MACE compared to the SGLT2i naïve cohort.
Interstitial fibrosis is a cardinal feature in chronic renal allograft injury, with research identifying inflammatory macrophages and associated profibrotic cytokines such as interleukin-6 (IL-6) and Tumour necrosis factor (TNF) leading to deterioration in graft function.37,38 An in-vitro study of canagliflozin effect on human proximal cells showed that SGLT2i reverse molecular inflammatory processes within extracellular matrix that leads to fibrosis.39 A further in-vitro study has shown luseogliflozin induced neoangiogenesis via increasing vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A) and hence halting pathways leading to interstitial fibrosis, although this was performed in a mouse model and translation of the findings to human pathology is uncertain.40 In addition, a systematic review and meta-analysis by Theofilis. et al. 41 on mouse models exposed to SGLT2i has demonstrated the pleiotropic effect of the drug in reducing levels of inflammatory markers such as (IL-6) and TNFα. These mechanisms of SGLT2i not only would be protective in CAN and death-censored graft failure but potentially confer protection against rejection. Whilst our study is not designed to elucidate a mechanism of action of SGLT2i in KTR, it is hypothesised that these may explain, in part, the 44% (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.39, 0.50) lower observed rejection rate in the SGLT2i cohort observed in our large retrospective study cohort of 4704 SGLT2i treated patients.
PTDM is a relatively common phenomenon and can also be attributed to a proinflammatory state that triggers renal fibrosis.42 PTDM has its unique pathophysiology and is associated with an 2–3 fold increase in risk of CVD, death-censored graft failure and mortality.43,44 In our study, a significant number of participants were coded to have diabetes and, therefore, are at increased risk of MACE.45 A RCT by Halden. et al.46 investigated empagliflozin versus placebo for 49 KTRs with PTDM. The primary outcome was glycaemic control; there was 0.2% (p 0.025) decrease in glycated haemoglobin, which correlates with our awareness of a loss of SGLT2i-induced glucosuria at lower levels of kidney function. Importantly, as reported in our study data, there was no significant increase in UTI and no episodes of rejection in this study. Twenty-seven percent of participants reported adverse events, seven patients in the empagliflozin group and six in the placebo group, which included three episodes of UTI in both groups (P = 0.68).46
An observational, multicentre study by Sánchez Fructuoso. et al.47 from Spain, including 339 patients with pre-existing Type 2 diabetes or PTDM. Primary outcome was adverse effects within six months of commencing SGLT2i treatment. Fourteen percent of adverse events were due to UTI. Of those patients who had to stop taking SGLT2i, 3% definitively was due to UTI. A systematic review of 123 KTRs aimed to review the efficacy and safety of SGLT2i for diabetes management. The infection rates were low; 14 patients had UTI, and 1 had genital mycosis.48 Data from major trials of SGLT2i alongside real world data have not showed an increased risk of UTI including in comparison to other antidiabetic medication.49 In our study, with a significantly larger dataset, 3.5% of patients on SGLT2i developed genitourinary infections as a composite outcome compared with 10.6% of patients in the SGLT2i-naïve group.
A single-centre RCT in Norway (NCT05788276)50 is evaluating the outcomes in Dapagliflozin prescription in KTR six weeks post transplantation with the primary outcome measure being effect on eGFR slope, and renal graft fibrosis as a secondary outcome. Furthermore, a multicentre RCT, The RENAL LIFECYCLE trial (NCT05374291)51 has commenced recruitment intending to evaluate Dapagliflozin 10 mg versus placebo in previously excluded cohorts such as KTRs and dialysis patients. The RCT aims to assess a combined endpoint of all-cause mortality, kidney failure, and hospitalisation for heart failure in the overall study population but not rejection rates nor all the components of MACE included in this study, making this study novel with x3 larger KTR population but also for the outcomes assessed.
Strengths and limitations
This study reports a large retrospective cohort of the prescription of SGLT2i in KTRs. The study is based on a large multi-million patient database from participating healthcare organisations. As such, it makes this study generalisable and reflective of clinical practice.
As acknowledged by other peer -reviewed publications which have successfully demonstrated cardio-renal outcomes utilising TriNetX.52,53 Dependence on disease classification codes is a limitation that cannot be overcome. This was most noticeable in our study when we extracted the breakdown of comorbidities in our cohorts where evident duplication or interchangeable codes was utilised. The database also does not have the functionality to adjust for transplant type (donor after circulatory death, donation after brain death or living donor)within the included ICD-10 coding. This can limit our ability to analyse comprehensively and match the patient cohorts included in the study.
While real-world data reflects current clinical practice, the retrospective study means the cohorts are not randomised or controlled. Despite applying quasi-experimental approach with PSM replicates a randomised control trial within observational data, somewhat mitigating the risk.54 The data are derived from electronic health records for administrative purposes; therefore, there is the potential for data errors or missing data. Patients and data may also be lost to follow-up, which could potentially skew covariate distribution and outcomes. Furthermore, the database doesn't have the functionality for us to ascertain the main indication for SGLT2i prescription, including the duration of the SGLT2i prescription; however, based on the breakdown of comorbidity we can infer that heart failure Type 2 diabetes (including possible PTDM) could have been the indications.