Tropical cyclones (TCs) are discreate and destructive events that temporarily disrupts the lives and livelihoods of ecological communities (Needham et al. 2015). Researchers have focused on the genesis of TCs, causes and consequences of their rising intensities and frequencies across the world, and on their impacts on biodiversity (Woodruff et al. 2013; Kang & Elsner 2015; Mondal et al. 2022; Thompson et al. 2023). Lack of predictability of a TC track, immediate mobility of the scientific infrastructures and human resources following a TC are the barriers before cyclone research programme of estuaries unless regular institutional monitoring plans are in place (Rogers 2021; Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). Furthermore, estuaries are of diverse shapes, sizes, physical, chemical and biological attributes; therefore, an assessment of a TC mediated changes of a specific type of estuary (e.g., open river, intermittently open/close river, lagoon, tidal lakes) may not be accurate for other types of estuaries; therefore, to some extent such a monitoring plan has to have estuary type specific requirements (Whitfield 1992; Wetz & Yoskowitz 2013; Phlips et al. 2020). A few TC research programmes that are running in North America are tracking the impacts of the hurricanes on the estuaries and their inhabitants including biogeochemical cycles, plankton and other forms of lower food web for a considerably long period of time (Paerl et al. 2019; Walker et al. 2021). Cyclone research conducted in India, Sri Lanka, China, Taiwan, South Africa have studied the impacts of the TCs on different types of estuaries such as river-estuary, coastal lagoons, brackish lakes (Martin et al. 1992; Beyrend-Dur et al. 2013; Mishra et al. 2021; Xia et al. 2022). Those studies demonstrated many extreme and abrupt changes of the water quality of an estuary that follows a TC as well as the vulnerability of the various food web components including plankton that have triggered or could potentially trigger trophic cascades (Bhattacharya et al. 2014; Srichandan et al. 2015; Kumar et al. 2020; Paul et al. 2020a,b; Acharyya et al. 2021; Paul et al. 2023). A cyclone ecology research program of a river-estuary is rare (Paerl et al. 2019; Paul et al. 2023). Cyclone research of estuaries is mostly focused on intermittently open/close estuaries, coastal lagoons and tidal lakes (Srichandan et al. 2015; Xia et al. 2022; Thompson et al. 2023). Results of those research programs suggest that the intensity of the floods associated with a TC causes the major disruptions of the plankton communities and the windspeed of a TC has less to do with that (Peierls et al. 2003; Wetz & Paerl 2008). The distance to the landfall site of a TC does affect the extent of the disruption that a plankton community of an estuary may suffer after a TC (Kumar et al. 2017). Those observation may be less applicable for the plankton communities of a river-estuary such as the Ganges estuary (GE), India (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023).
The intensity of the TCs are increasing in the Bay of Bengal (BoB) and the region is possibly going to receive more frequent and intense cyclones in the 21 Century (Balaguru et al. 2014; Mondal et al. 2022). It is almost inevitable that in future the structures and functions of the estuarine communities of India would be stressed from the cyclone-mediated changes (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). If the TCs are going to be frequent than the estuarine communities would have less time to recover the impacts of those TCs (Paul et al. 2020b); therefore, evaluations of such impacts on various scales (e.g., immediate (a few days), short-term (a few week to a month or so), medium-term (a few months to a few years) and long-term (decadal or more)) are essential for finding effective monitoring and management plans for the components of the lower food web of an estuary (Paul et al. 2023).
Indian estuaries are not institutionally monitored on a regular basis for research programs; therefore, medium to long-term datasets are absent (Paul et al. 2023, 2024). Considering those needs of the country, the ‘Cyclone Ecology (CE)’ was established on February 2019 on the GE (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). That research programme runs on the Muriganga stretch of the GE and takes a before-after sampling approach considering the various categories of the TCs which landfall in the region (Paul et al. 2023). The Muriganga runs beside the Namkhana of West Bengal and it meets the BoB within a few kilometer; therefore, it is prone to face storm surges, depressions and TCs (Bhattacharya et al. 2014; Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). The CE programme uses the copepods as a model community and it studies the resilience and vulnerability of that community in face of a TC and/or successive TCs (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). From the CE programme sites on the Muriganga 36 species of copepods are reported (Paul et al. 2019, 2024) on various occasions and among them Bestiolina similis, Acartiella tortaniformis, Pseudodiaptomus serricaudatus, Paracalanus parvus and Acartia spinicauda are estuarine specialists which persist throughout the year (Paul et al. 2019, 2023, 2024). The programme has already studied the impacts of the TCs such as the Fani (May 2019), BulBul (November 2019) and Amphan (May 2020) which had varying intensities (Category-2 to 5); those studies suggested that the copepod community of the Muriganga suffered from the mechanical forcing that follows a TC rather from the extreme and abrupt changes of the abiotic conditions (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). Those observation also include a short-term depression of species richness and abundance of the copepod community (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). Even within a few days to a few weeks after a TC mediated disruption those copepods recolonize their microhabitats in the Muriganga often led by estuarine specialists (Paul et al. 2020a,b, 2023). Their spatial niches are segregated only by a few hundred meter stretch of the Muriganga stretch of the GE (Paul et al. 2019, 2024). The TCs in the recent past such as the Aila (a Category-1 TC that landfall on 25 May 2009) severely affected the composition of the copepod community of the Indian Sundarbans (Bhattacharya et al. 2014). The Fani a Category-4 TC that landfall on Puri coast of Orissa about 350 K.M. away from the CE programme sites passed it on 5 May 2019 in capacity of a major depression (Paul et al. 2020b). The post-Fani destructions and floods were limited and the copepod community of the CE programme sites is less affected by that (Paul et al. 2020b). A Category-2 TC Bulbul landfall on 9 November 2019 on the Dhanchi forest of the Indian Sundarbans which is not far from the CE programme sites (Paul et al. 2020a). The post-Bulbul floods were limited and the copepod community of the CE programme sites recovered with a few weeks from its immediate decline of abundance and richness that followed shortly after the TC (Paul et al. 2020a). On the 20 May 2020, a Category-5 TC Amphan landfall only a few kilometer from the CE programme sites on the Muriganga and it caused severe destruction of the entire region as well as floods (Halder et al. 2021; Kumar et al. 2021; Paul et al. 2023). The copepod community composition, abundance and dominance hierarchy changed after the TC Amphan passed the CE programme sites and it took months to recover the state that existed before the Amphan; however, in some cases (e.g., dominance hierarchy) neo-normal ecological trends were observed (Paul et al. 2023, 2024).
The category-1 TC Yass landfall on 26 May 2021near the Dhamra Port of the Balasore region, Odisha state of India with a maximum sustained wind speed of 130–140 K.M./h gusting up to 155 K.M./hour (Paul & Chowdhury 2021). On the same day, after its landfall the TC Yass progressed towards the coastal regions of the West Bengal that include the CE programme sites.In that time the BoB sea surface temperature dropped about 3°C, salinity and density had raised by 1 psu and ~ 2 kg/m3, respectively (Varma et al. 2023). Indian Tide Table 2021 published by the order of the Surveyor General of India in 2020, predicted astronomical high tide on 26 May 2021 of Sagar Island (which is only a few kilometer from the CE programme sites) could reach as high as 5.71 meter. The TC Yass brought with it a high storm surge of 3.5 to 5 meters in the coasts of the Odisha and West Bengal and the tidal waves of height 1 to 2 meters above the astronomical tide were observed (Mondal et al. 2022; Varma et al. 2023). During that cyclonic period 11,405.21km2 of the West Bengal’s coastal regions were inundated because about 1195 mm of rainfall occurred in short-time (Paul & Chowdhury 2021; Halder & Bandyopadhyay 2022). Within a short time, massive inundation occurred in the Namkhana (78.1 km2), Sagar Island (37.1 km2) and Kakdwip (32.6 km2) blocks of the South 24 Parganas of the West Bengal which are besides the GE and are close to CE programme sites and their 43.6%, 28.3% and 19.2% human populations, respectively were affected (Paul & Chowdhury 2021). The current study hypothesized that in short-term the copepod community structure is affected (in terms of diversity, dominance, distribution) by the TC Yass which may have consequences for the lower food web of the Muriganga stretch of the GE. This study would be useful for conceptualizing a short-term monitoring plan of the zooplankton community of the river-estuaries of India against a Category-1 TC.