Study design and participants
NHANES is a population-based survey carried out annually by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) since 1999, a division of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The NHANES included interviews, physical exams, and laboratory tests. The study protocol received approval from the NCHS Research Ethics Board, and all participants gave their written consent. Details of NHANES has been documented elsewhere (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/index.htm)13,14.
Ultimately, we obtained the data from the NHANES 2007–2012. These cycles were chosen because participants underwent the spirometry test in these waves. The total sample size of the NHANES 2007–2012 was 30,442. Individuals under 18 years old (n = 12,729), those missing data for asthma (n = 17), and those without data for blood furan (n = 10,649) were excluded after merging databases. Thus, 7,047 individuals satisfied the inclusion criteria for final analysis (Fig. 1).
Exposure Definitions
Serum blood furan levels were measured using a protocol outlined in a previously published study15. In brief, the approach detects specific volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in whole blood at low parts-per-trillion levels. Since non-occupationally exposed individuals have blood VOC concentrations within this range, this method is useful for measuring levels. Laboratory measurements were carried out using centralized quality assurance and control techniques. The minimum detectable concentration of blood furan was 0.0250 (unit: ng/mL).
Log10 transformations were carried out where required to achieve a normal data distribution of blood furan level. In addition, participants were assigned into two groups according to the median of log10-transformed blood furan levels (LBFL): LBFL ≤ -1.752 ng/mL is assigned to furan Low group while LBFL > -1.752 ng/mL is assigned to furan High group.
Primary outcome
There are two primary outcomes in this study: the prevalence of asthma and respiratory mortality in asthma.
Prevalence of asthma
Asthma is defined by a self-reported positive answer to the questionnaire: “Has a doctor or other health professional ever told you that you had asthma?”.
Respiratory mortality in asthma
Another primary outcome was respiratory mortality in asthmatics, including chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40 - J47), influenza and pneumonia (J10 - J18). The information about mortality status and cause of death was obtained by NHANES-linked National Death Index (NDI) on December 31, 2019.
Secondary outcome
The secondary outcomes of this study were lung function (absolute value of FEV1[L], FEV1% predicted, absolute value of FVC[L], FVC % predicted, obstructive, and restrictive spirometry pattern) and participants-reported health outcomes, including asthma-related health outcomes (asthma attack, emergency room [ER] visits for asthma), respiratory symptoms (wheezing, phlegm production, dry cough, and exertional dyspnea), and participants-reported health-related quality of life (HQL) (days when physical health was poor, days when mental health was poor, inactive days because of poor health).
Lung function
Lung function was assessed in participants ranging in age from 6 to 79 years. Detailed information about spirometry protocol and procedure is described elsewhere16. Spirometry testing was performed at the NHANES Mobile Examination Center following a standardized protocol, measuring forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC). Predicted spirometry values were determined using normative reference equations from NHANES III data17. Percent (%) predicted FEV1, FVC, and FEV1/FVC were calculated using Global Lung Initiative equations based on the participant’s age, gender, height, and race/ethnicity17. Detailed information on spirometry administration is available in the NHANES spirometry procedures manual18. Moreover, obstructive spirometry was determined as FEV1/FVC < 0.70, whereas restrictive spirometry was characterized as FVC < 80% of predicted and FEV1/FVC ≥ 0.7019.
Asthma-related health outcomes
Asthma-related health outcomes included asthma attack and ER visits for asthma in the past year. An asthma attack was identified by answering “yes” to the question. Detailed questions are described in Luyster FS et al’s study20.
Respiratory symptoms
Respiratory symptoms consisted of wheezing, phlegm production, cough, and exertional dyspnea. Respiratory symptoms listed above were identified by answering “yes” to the question. Specific questions are described in Wu et al’s study14.
HQL
HQL was assessed by questions about mental health and physical health in the past 30 days. Specific questions are described in Luyster FS et al’s study20.
Demographic and Clinical Data
The data of demographic and clinical on study participants was collected using questionnaires and laboratory tests, consisting of age, gender (male/female), race/ethnicity, educational attainment, marital status, poverty-income ratio (PIR) level, body mass index (BMI), serum cotinine (ng/ml), alcohol drinking, chronic disease (cancer/malignancy, coronary heart disease, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension) and count of white blood cell (WBC) count.
Race/ethnicity was classified by Mexican American, other Hispanic, non-Hispanic black and white, and others race. Educational attainment was categorized as college or more, high school, middle school or lower. Marital status was classified as married/partnered, divorced/separated, or widowed/single. The PIR was ranged from 0 to 5, calculated based on guidelines and adjusted for family size, year, and state. A value of zero means no income and five means income at least five times the federal poverty level. As a metabolite of nicotine, serum cotinine is utilized to measure recent engagement in tobacco use21. Alcohol drinking was defined as how many drinks did you have over the past 12 months on average annually, which classified as ≥ 4 drinks/day, 1–3 drinks/day, and never drinking. Chronic disease included bronchitis, emphysema, cancer/malignancy, coronary heart disease, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension defined as self-reported physician diagnosis.
Statistical analysis
Categorical variables are reported as frequencies and proportions, whereas continuous variables are expressed as means ± standard deviation (SD) or median (Quartiles [Q] 1, 3) based on the data distribution. The difference between two groups for each variable was analyzed appropriately using t-test or Mann Whitney U test for continuous variables and χ2 tests for categorical variables.
To explore the link between LBFL and asthma prevalence, we conducted an RCS analysis to evaluated the dose-response association. Multiple logistic regression analyses were used to assess this association, taking into account various covariates. Initially, we employed a crude model without adjusting any covariates. Next, we developed Model I, which adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity, marital status, and educational attainment. Finally, Model II comprised the same variables as Model I, with additional adjustments for BMI, PIR, serum cotinine levels, alcohol drinking in the past year, and diabetes mellitus.
In addition, we performed mediation analyses to determine if inflammation or lung function (represented by FEV1) mediated the relationship between LBFL and asthma prevalence, adjusting for confounders. In brief, mediation analysis was conducted using the R package "mediation" (version 4.5.0) with 1,000 simulations22. We estimated the average direct effect (ADE), average causal mediation effect (ACME), and average total effect using a model-based inference approach. The proportion of the exposure's effect on the outcome that was mediated was calculated by dividing the ACME by the total effect (ACME + ADE)22,23. Additionally, we conducted stratified analyses to explore potential moderating effects of age, BMI, gender, ethnicity, marital status, and educational attainment.
Multiple Cox regression analyses were implemented to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for furan exposure and respiratory mortality in patients with asthma. Initially, the crude model was employed. Subsequently, Model I included adjustments for age, PIR, marital status, educational attainment, while Model II adjusted for the same variables as Model I and for serum cotinine, past-year alcohol drinking, coronary heart disease, and hypertension.
All statistical analyses were conducted according to the CDS guidelines (https://wwwn.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/tutorials/default.aspx). The statistical analyses included sample weights to account for the complex multi-stage stratified survey design used in NHANES. All statistical analyses were executed using R (version 4.3.1). Statistical significance was assessed at a two-sided P value < 0.05.