Study Design
A delayed-start study design may be used to evaluate a treatment that slows the progression of disease by modifying the underlying pathology, rather than by attenuating symptoms. The delayed-start design consists of a double-blind, placebo-controlled phase, followed by a period when all patients on placebo (delayed start) as well as those on active treatment (early start) initially, are on active treatment for the rest of the study whilst blinded to the initial treatment allocation.
Hence, the Alzheimer’s disease THErapy with NEuroaid (ATHENE) study randomized patients to be (a) early starters: MLC901 from 0-12 months, or (b) delayed starters: placebo from 0-6 months, and MLC901 from 6-12 months, resulting in two treatment periods: a double-blind placebo-controlled phase from 0-6 months, followed by an early vs delayed-start phase during which all patients received MLC901 from 6-12 months. During the entire study period of 12 months, study personnel and patients were blinded to each patient’s allocation as an early or delayed starter. The trial protocol is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03038035) and has been published [24]. Briefly:
Primary Objective:
1. To test the hypothesis that the proportion of patients experiencing serious adverse events (SAEs) within the first 6 months after randomization among patients on standard treatment, will be no larger in those who receive MLC901 than in patients receiving placebo.
Secondary Objectives:
2. To test the following hypotheses: that (a) add-on MLC901 will show no increase in occurrence of any adverse event (AE) or discontinuation of treatment during 6 months of usage in patients with AD on standard treatment, (b) add-on MLC901 will be superior to standard treatments alone in cognitive change from baseline to M6 as measured by Alzheimer’s Disease Assessment Scale–cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog) and other cognitive assessments, (c) add-on MLC901 will show long-term safety, with no increase in occurrence of SAEs and AEs, during 1 year of usage in patients with AD on standard treatment, and (d) early starters will show less disease progression on cognitive assessments compared with delayed starters.
Data from the first 6-month placebo-controlled phase of the study was used to test hypotheses 1, 2a and 2b while data from the 12-months study period was used to test hypotheses 2c and 2d.
The ADAS-Cog is often used in clinical trials because it can measure incremental improvements or declines in cognitive function. The ADAS-Cog is a reliable, valid and responsive measure used in clinical trials across the Asian region and a 3-point ADAS-Cog change was shown to be an appropriate Minimal Clinically Relevant Change (MCRC) in patients with AD [25 - 27].
Study Participants
Patient eligibility was based on the following criteria. Inclusion criteria were male or female patients, aged ≥50 years old, diagnosed with probable AD according to the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke (NINCDS) and the Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Disorders Association (ADRDA) criteria, Mini–Mental State Examination (MMSE) score of 8 to 26, receiving AChEI or memantine or both during the prior 4 months and on a recommended stable dose defined in the study protocol for the prior 2 months [24]. Exclusion criteria were intake of any investigational product within 60 days or 5 half-lives prior to study entry, whichever was longer, and presence of any serious medical or psychiatric condition which might jeopardize the patient by participation in the study or may hamper ability to perform and complete study procedures.
Study Treatment and Blinding
MLC901 was provided in capsule form containing 400 mg of dry extracts from nine herbs (Radix Astragali, Radix Salviae miltiorrhizae, Radix Paeoniae rubra, Rhizoma chuanxiong, Radix Angelicae sinensis, Carthamus tinctorius, Prunus persica, Radix polygalae, and Rhizoma Acori tatarinowii). Matching placebo capsules contained dextrin, turmeric, carmine, and caramel and had the same appearance as the active treatment. Both MLC901 and placebo were provided by Moleac Pte Ltd.
The detailed protocol was approved by the independent institutional review board (IRB), namely NHG (National Healthcare Group) Domain Specific Review Board (DSRB), Singapore, and the study was performed according to the Good Clinical Practice guidelines and the Declaration of Helsinki. After obtaining informed consent, patients were randomly assigned to either MLC901 (400 mg capsules) 2 capsules 3 times a day or matching placebo for 6 months in a double-blind manner.
All patients who completed the first 6 months of the study were offered the opportunity to continue treatment (MLC901 400 mg capsules, 2 capsules 3 times a day) for 6 additional months (with placebo patients switching to MLC901). Standard treatment for AD were continued according to the treating physician’s judgement. Investigators and patients/caregivers remained blinded to initial treatment allocation, i.e., early or delayed starters.
Assessments and Outcomes
Patients were assessed at baseline, M1 (±7 days), M3 (±14 days), M6 (±14 days) during the first 6 months (placebo-controlled phase), and M7 (±7 days), M9 (± 14 days), and M12 (±14 days) during the next 6 months (early vs delayed-start phase). M1 and M7 assessments were performed by telephone calls, while other visits were in-person.
At baseline, data were collected on demography, medical history, and concomitant medications. Occurrence of any AE/SAE, dose of standard treatment for AD (AChEI, memantine) and compliance to study treatment were ascertained at all timepoints. Vital signs and physical examination were performed at baseline, M3, M6, M9 and M12. Safety laboratory investigations and ECGs were performed at M6 and M12. For the efficacy endpoints, ADAS-Cog, Alzheimer’s Disease Cooperative Study - Clinician's Global Impression of Change (ADCS-CGIC), Alzheimer’s Disease Cooperative Study - Activities of Daily Living Scale (ADCS-ADL), Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI), and MMSE were performed at baseline, M3, M6, M9 and M12.
Statistics
Sample Size Calculation
Based on data from earlier trials, it was assumed that the proportion of patients stable on standard AD treatment experiencing SAEs was 5%. To achieve a power of 80% and a 5% type I error, 118 subjects (59 per group) were required to conclude non-inferiority of MLC901 against placebo in the proportion of subjects experiencing SAEs at a non-inferiority margin of 10%. The sample size also provided >80% power to detect a difference of 3 points (28 versus 25) on the ADAS-Cog between early and delayed starters using a standard deviation of 6 at a 5% level of significance. Hence it was planned to recruit 150 subjects to allow for a 20% dropout rate.
Statistical Analyses
The safety analyses were performed on the “as-treated” population which consisted of all patients with documented intake of at least one dose of MLC901 or placebo. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients experiencing SAEs within the first 6 months of treatment (double-blind placebo-controlled phase). We calculated the differences in proportions of patients who experienced an outcome between early and delayed starters with their 90% confidence intervals (CI) using the method of Miettinen and Nurminen [28, 29] and compared them to a pre-specified non-inferiority margin of 10%. We assessed secondary safety endpoints by comparing SAEs and AEs in groups of comparable treatment duration: (a) delayed starters (6-12 months) vs. delayed starters (0-6 months), (b) early starters (6-12 months) vs. delayed starters (0-6 months), (c) early starters (0-12 months) vs. delayed starters (0-12 months), where time in the brackets indicates the time period of data for comparisons.
The efficacy endpoints (ADAS-Cog, ADCS-CGIC, ADCS-ADL, NPI, MMSE) were analyzed based on the intention-to-treat (ITT) population. Missing data were imputed using the last observation carried forward (LOCF) method. We compared the mean difference (MD) of change from baseline in ADAS-Cog and the other cognitive tests between early and delayed starters at the specified time points using a two-sample t-test with a two-sided significance level of 5%. The 11-item ADAS-Cog was categorized into cognitive domains of memory, praxis and language [25]. Additionally, a per-protocol (PP) analysis that included patients having ≥70% treatment compliance and without major protocol deviations was performed, as well as sensitivity analyses using the ITT population without LOCF and after adjustment for potential confounders. As AD is a progressive neurodegenerative condition, the ADCS-CGIC between early and delayed starters was compared at different time points using the Mann-Whitney U test and the proportions of patients with improvement/no change versus deterioration by the Chi-squared test.
We used SAS® (version 9.4) in performing all analyses.
Trial Oversight
An independent Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) assessed the blinded safety data and monitored the progress of the study at completion of 12-month follow-ups of 30, 60 and 90 patients. On each occasion the DSMB advised the study team to continue the study as planned. Towards the end of the study, based upon safety data available, the IRB expressed concerns related to high rates of stroke and vascular events (VE) in the study, and as a measure of precaution, decided that the study be discontinued and that remaining patients be taken off study treatment. Therefore, in compliance with this decision, the 14 study patients still participating to the trial at that date, all in the 6-12 month delayed-start phase, were discontinued from study treatment and from further study follow-up (except for reporting of any stroke or VE experienced up to 12 months following start of study medication). However, at the end of the study and after full analysis of the complete dataset, it was concluded that the risk of stroke and VE was not higher in MLC901 treated patients as shown below.