Study population
This longitudinal study was performed within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS). This prospective study was launched in 1999 in five phases and primarily aimed to address and prevent the non-communicable diseases’ (NCDs) risk factors (15). In spite of the first phase with a cross-sectional design, the four subsequent phases (II: 2002–2005, III: 2006–2008, IV: 2009–2011 and V: 2012–2015) were performed as prospective follow-up surveys.
The current study, a representative sample of 3021 individuals from phase III with 20- 79 years of age and complete data, were recruited and followed-up. Pregnancy and lactation, energy consumption (800 > x > 4200 kcal/d), specific dietary patterns and any history of myocardial infarction, cerebral vascular accident or cancer at baseline was considered as the exclusion criteria. Ultimately, 2054 individuals were enrolled for the final follow-up analysis of 5.4 years.
All participants were initially asked to provide written informed consent. The study protocol was also approved by the ethics committee research council of the Research Institute for Endocrine Science (RIES), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.
Dietary assessment
The habitual dietary intake was evaluated by a valid and reliable semi-quantitative food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ) at baseline (16, 17). The individual consumption frequency of each food item was designated by trained and experienced dietitians on daily, weekly or monthly basis. The portion sizes were collected in household measures and converted to grams. The USDA Food Composition Table (FCT) was used to calculate and interpret the energy and nutrient content of each food item. The estimated intake of total polyphenol and subclasses was based on the Phenol-Explorer database (www.phenol-explorer.eu/contents) (18).
Measurement of covariates
The physical activity level of each participant was assessed by the Modifiable Activity Questionnaire which has previously been validated for the Iranian population (19). A metabolic equivalent (MET-h/week) was calculated according to a list of common and daily routine activities.
Weight and height were collected to the nearest 0.1 kg and 0.1 cm, respectively. The weight was recorded in light clothing via a SECA digital weighing scale (Seca 707; Seca Corporation; range 0·1–150 kg), and height was taken without shoes on. BMI was defined as weight (kg) divided by square of height (m2). Arterial blood pressure was measured manually, using a mercury sphygmomanometer with a suitable cuff size for each participant after a 15-min rest.
Systolic (SBP) and Diastolic blood pressures were included the initial tapping and disappearance of Korotkoff sound, respectively. Blood pressure was measured twice and the average was considered as participant’s final measurement. Blood samples were taken from all participants at the TLGS research laboratory after a 12-14 hour fasting.
Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-h plasma glucose (equivalent to 75 g anhydrous glucose; Cerestar EP) were measured by enzymatic colorimetric using glucose oxidase and with inter-and intra-assay CV < 2%. Serum creatinine was measured by the standard colorimetric Jaffe_Kinetic reaction at baseline (2006–2008) and after 6 years of follow-up (2012–2015). Both Intra- and inter-assay CVs were below 3.1%. All analyses were performed using commercial kits (Pars Azmoon Inc.).
Definition
Although the morphological abnormalities of the kidneys or 3-month persistent urinalysis can distinctively define CKD, the glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) reduction is accepted as a more precise index of renal function. Therefore, in this study, the eGFR was expressed as ml/min/1.73m2 of body surface area, using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation (20) as follows.
eGFR = 186 × (Serum creatinine)-1.154×(Age)-0.203×(0.742 if female)×(1.210 if African-American)
Patients were classified based on the eGFR levels pertain to the National Kidney Foundation Guidelines (21). In this regard, eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73m2 was considered as non-CKD and eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 represented CKD diagnosis. Hypertension was primarily defined as SBP/DBP ≥ 140/90 mm-Hg or current therapy for a definite diagnosis of hypertension (22). Diabetes was also defined in accordance with the criteria of the American Diabetes Association (ADA) as fasting plasma glucose ≥ 126 mg/dl, 2-h post 75-g glucose load ≥ 200 mg/dl or current therapy for a definite diagnosis of diabetes (23).
Statistical analysis
In this study, the normal distribution of the variables was assessed by Kolmogorov–Smirnov test and Histogram chart. The participants’ characteristics and nutritional status across quartiles of total polyphenols were represented by mean ± SD and median [IQR] for normal and skewed distribution. Categorical variables were also reported by percentage. Linear regression model and Chi-square test were used for the trend of continuous and categorical variables in association with total polyphenol quartiles, respectively. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of CKD incidence across the quartiles of total polyphenols were assessed by Cox regression analysis and the lowest quartile was considered as reference. Three models were specified for the analyses. The first model remained unadjusted for the variables. The second and third models were adjusted for sex, age, physical activity, total calorie intake, BMI, diabetes and hypertension. The proportionality assumption underlying the Cox model was examined, and no evidence of violation was observed. All analyses were performed via IBM SPSS version 16 (SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA) and P < 0.05 was considered significant (two-tailed).