On September 6, 2017, Hurricane Irma made landfall on Puerto Rico and caused significant damage to some parts of the island. Two weeks later on September 20, 2017, Hurricane Maria, a major category 4 hurricane, caused major destruction and devastation to the entire island.(16) Even though most dialysis facilities on the island were able to reopen within a few days using generators and by making their own clean water,(3, 21) many ESRD patients encountered difficulties reaching their regular dialysis care sites because of road damage and transportation issues. Additionally, disruptions to power and telecommunications services made it impossible for many patients to communicate with their dialysis facilities. As in New York after Superstorm Sandy (2012),(22) the absence of medical records and dialysis documentation made the use of alternative dialysis facilities challenging and inefficient, which in turn resulted in delayed or even missed treatments in the first few weeks and even months after Irma and Maria.(21)
The dialysis unit at the San Juan VA Medical Center remained open during and after the hurricanes and continued providing services after the hurricanes. While other dialysis facilities reported about a 15% drop in their patient census through the month of December,(21) the SJVAMC dialysis unit saw an increase in the number of patients during the first month after the hurricanes (September-October of 2017), indicating minimal or no interruption of dialysis services.
In total, we observed an increase from 233 to 251 in the number of ESRD patients who used the SJVAMC dialysis clinic in the year following Irma and Maria although there was a substantial decrease in the general population on the island during that period. An analysis of geocoded tweets by Puerto Rico residents revealed that about 8.3% of the island residents relocated in the months following the hurricanes, and 4% were still displaced by May 2018.(23) These numbers were somewhat higher for ESRD patients as it was reported that about 10% (600 out of 6,000) of ESRD patients left Puerto Rico shortly before or after the hurricanes, and a small number of ESRD patients were medically evacuated to the mainland after Maria.(23, 24) While we do not have information about how many ESRD VA patients relocated from the island post-hurricanes, we do not expect this number to differ from non-VA dialysis patients. Therefore, the fact that more ESRD VA users sought care at the SJVAMC dialysis unit suggests that VA patients encountered difficulties accessing dialysis care at non-VA, community dialysis clinics after the hurricanes. Additionally, the fact that we saw very little difference in pre- and post-hurricane attendance among regular VA ESRD patients suggests that the excess number of dialysis patients at the SJVAMC after the hurricanes was mostly due to VA ESRD patients who previously received care in community settings before the hurricanes, but instead received at least some of their dialysis care at the SJVAMC after the hurricanes.
We observed an increase in the number of ESRD VA patients that either permanently or temporarily switched to receiving care from the VA dialysis unit rather than their regular community clinics, especially during September-October 2017. These observations might indicate that many ESRD patients used SJVAMC on an emergency rather than regular basis, most likely due to limited access to care in community settings. Large integrated healthcare delivery systems may be better able to handle post-disaster increased demands, i.e. surges, for care, even for extended periods lasting a few months, than smaller, standalone facilities. Even though there was an increase in the number of ESRD patients after the hurricanes, the total number of outpatient encounters and the number of dialysis visits decreased in the year following the hurricanes, perhaps because of departures from the island. Nonetheless, the percentage of dialysis visits and ED visits increased significantly following the hurricanes, indicating an overall increase in the acuity level for care. Additionally, we observed an increase in deaths among ESRD patients from 50 (21%) during the pre-hurricane period compared to 65 (26%) post-hurricanes, although this change was not statistically significant.
We found that age and various comorbid conditions such as PVD and IHD were significantly associated with mortality. In fact, we observed an increase from 6–12% for PVD and 28–45% for IHD. We also observed an increase in HF diagnoses in patients who died during the post-hurricanes period from 46–62%, and an increase from 35–47% in all patients. Missed or delayed dialysis can lead to volume overload and heart failure. Indeed, we observed a significant increase in HF diagnoses in the post-hurricane period, which could be related to limited access to dialysis services for the ESRD patients receiving dialysis at non-VA facilities right after the hurricanes. We did not observe any changes in dialysis schedules for the VA dialysis patients. That might be because SJVAMC remained open during the hurricanes. Most likely ESRD patients receiving dialysis at the VA lived in relatively close proximity to SJVAMC, and therefore were less affected by road closures and transportation issues.
We also observed a significant association between sepsis diagnosis and mortality, which may be related to the problems associated with vascular access as it often leads to infection. More than 50% of our study participants had procedures associated with vascular access. Also, 60% of patients who died after the hurricanes had vascular access-related visits, compared to 54% of those who died before the hurricanes. This might at least partially explain an association between mortality and sepsis diagnosis. While there was no difference in sepsis diagnoses between the pre- and post-hurricanes period, more than 40% of patients who died had a sepsis diagnosis compared to about 20% of those who did not.