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Research Article
Edoardo La Porta
Istituto Giannina Gaslini
Corresponding Author
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Background COVID-19 severity and mortality are strongly influenced by age and comorbidities. Among comorbidities, kidney dysfunction seems to play a crucial role. Indeed, acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent finding in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and seems to be associated to mortality and severity. On the other hand, the role of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in COVID-19 is more debated.
Aims and Methods We performed a retrospective study in a cohort of 174 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Italy from March 3rd to May 21st 2020, to investigate the role of kidney dysfunction on COVID-19 severity and mortality. Moreover, we examined in depth the relationship between kidney function, age, and progression of COVID-19, also using different equations to estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) were obtained by logistic regression, while a predictive analysis was made through a machine learning approach.
Results AKI and death occurred in 10.2 % and 19.5% respectively, in our population. Serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, neutrophils, lymphocytes, c-reactive protein and procalcitonin were significantly correlated to mortality and severity of the disease. The major risk factors for mortality in our cohort were age [adjusted HR, 6.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-21.4] and AKI [3.36 (1.44-7.87)], while, in these relationships, GFR at the baseline mitigated the role of age. The occurrence of AKI was influenced by baseline kidney function, D-dimer and procalcitonin and hypertension. Our predictive analysis for AKI and mortality reached an accuracy ≥ of 94% and 91%, respectively. In patients ≥ 70 years, MDRD and CKD-EPI showed a better performance in the prediction of AKI and mortality, compared to BIS-1 formula.
Discussion Our study confirms the importance of AKI as a risk factor in COVID-19 disease, while it scales down the role of CKD, especially in elderly patients. BIS-1 formula demonstrated a worse performance to predict the outcomes in COVID-19 patients when compared to MDRD and CKD-EPI.
Keywords
Covid-19, Acute Kidney Injury, Chronic Kidney Disease, Elderly Patients
Figure 1
No competing interests reported.
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This preprint is under consideration at Scientific Reports. A preprint is a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Learn more about In Review
Research Article
Edoardo La Porta
Istituto Giannina Gaslini
Corresponding Author
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
Peer Review Timeline
CURRENT STATUS: Under Review
Version 1
Posted 02 Jun, 2021
No community comments so far
Editorial decision: Major revision
On 13 Dec, 2021
Reviews received
Received 29 Nov, 2021
Reviewers agreed
On 12 Nov, 2021
Reviewers agreed
On 04 Nov, 2021
Reviews received
Received 23 Aug, 2021
Reviewers agreed
On 15 Aug, 2021
Reviewers invited
Invitations sent on 25 Jun, 2021
Editor assigned
On 25 Jun, 2021
Editor invited
On 25 Jun, 2021
Submission checks complete
On 24 Jun, 2021
First submitted
On 30 May, 2021
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Background COVID-19 severity and mortality are strongly influenced by age and comorbidities. Among comorbidities, kidney dysfunction seems to play a crucial role. Indeed, acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent finding in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and seems to be associated to mortality and severity. On the other hand, the role of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in COVID-19 is more debated.
Aims and Methods We performed a retrospective study in a cohort of 174 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Italy from March 3rd to May 21st 2020, to investigate the role of kidney dysfunction on COVID-19 severity and mortality. Moreover, we examined in depth the relationship between kidney function, age, and progression of COVID-19, also using different equations to estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) were obtained by logistic regression, while a predictive analysis was made through a machine learning approach.
Results AKI and death occurred in 10.2 % and 19.5% respectively, in our population. Serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, neutrophils, lymphocytes, c-reactive protein and procalcitonin were significantly correlated to mortality and severity of the disease. The major risk factors for mortality in our cohort were age [adjusted HR, 6.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-21.4] and AKI [3.36 (1.44-7.87)], while, in these relationships, GFR at the baseline mitigated the role of age. The occurrence of AKI was influenced by baseline kidney function, D-dimer and procalcitonin and hypertension. Our predictive analysis for AKI and mortality reached an accuracy ≥ of 94% and 91%, respectively. In patients ≥ 70 years, MDRD and CKD-EPI showed a better performance in the prediction of AKI and mortality, compared to BIS-1 formula.
Discussion Our study confirms the importance of AKI as a risk factor in COVID-19 disease, while it scales down the role of CKD, especially in elderly patients. BIS-1 formula demonstrated a worse performance to predict the outcomes in COVID-19 patients when compared to MDRD and CKD-EPI.
Figure 1
No competing interests reported.
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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