Objective:
Delayed graft function (DGF) is closely associated with the use of marginal donated kidneys due to deficits during transplantation and in recipients. We aimed to predict the incidence of DGF and evaluate its effect on graft survival.
Methods:
This retrospective study on kidney transplantation was conducted from January 1, 2018, to May 31, 2019, in the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University. We classified recipients into training and validation cohorts and used data from the training cohort to analyze the predictors of DGF. A nomogram was then constructed to predict the likelihood of DGF based on these predictors.
Results:
The incidence rate of DGF is 24.73%. Binary logistic regression analysis showed correlations between the incidence of DGF and cold ischemic time (CIT), warm ischemic time (WIT), donor body mass index (BMI), duration of pretransplant dialysis, diabetic donor, primary cause of donor death, and terminal serum creatinine concentration. The internal accuracy of the nomogram was 85.78%. One-year graft survival rates were 100% and 94.74%, respectively, for the groups with and without DGF (P<0.05).
Conclusion:
The nomogram established in this study showed good accuracy in predicting DGF after deceased donor kidney transplantation; additionally, DGF decreased one-year graft survival.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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On 21 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
Invitations sent on 12 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
Received 12 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
Posted 24 Aug, 2020
On 17 Sep, 2020
Received 14 Sep, 2020
Received 08 Sep, 2020
On 28 Aug, 2020
On 28 Aug, 2020
On 21 Aug, 2020
On 21 Aug, 2020
On 21 Aug, 2020
Invitations sent on 21 Aug, 2020
On 11 Aug, 2020
On 21 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
Invitations sent on 12 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
Received 12 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
On 12 Nov, 2020
Posted 24 Aug, 2020
On 17 Sep, 2020
Received 14 Sep, 2020
Received 08 Sep, 2020
On 28 Aug, 2020
On 28 Aug, 2020
On 21 Aug, 2020
On 21 Aug, 2020
On 21 Aug, 2020
Invitations sent on 21 Aug, 2020
On 11 Aug, 2020
Objective:
Delayed graft function (DGF) is closely associated with the use of marginal donated kidneys due to deficits during transplantation and in recipients. We aimed to predict the incidence of DGF and evaluate its effect on graft survival.
Methods:
This retrospective study on kidney transplantation was conducted from January 1, 2018, to May 31, 2019, in the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University. We classified recipients into training and validation cohorts and used data from the training cohort to analyze the predictors of DGF. A nomogram was then constructed to predict the likelihood of DGF based on these predictors.
Results:
The incidence rate of DGF is 24.73%. Binary logistic regression analysis showed correlations between the incidence of DGF and cold ischemic time (CIT), warm ischemic time (WIT), donor body mass index (BMI), duration of pretransplant dialysis, diabetic donor, primary cause of donor death, and terminal serum creatinine concentration. The internal accuracy of the nomogram was 85.78%. One-year graft survival rates were 100% and 94.74%, respectively, for the groups with and without DGF (P<0.05).
Conclusion:
The nomogram established in this study showed good accuracy in predicting DGF after deceased donor kidney transplantation; additionally, DGF decreased one-year graft survival.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
Loading...