Demographics and clinicopathological features
From January 2013 to June 2019, 245 patients with pathologically diagnosed IPMNs and MCNs were included in this study. Of the 245 patients, 218 (89%) were IPMNs and 27 (11%) were MCNs. Of 218 IPMNs, 125 (57.3%) were non-invasive, 93 (42.7%) were malignant, and 148 (67.9%) of them were males. Of 27 MCNs, 19 (70.4%) were non-invasive, 8 (29.6%) were malignant, and all of them were females. Detailed patient demographics and clinicopathological features were presented in Table 1.
Table 1
Demographic and clinicopathological features of the study cohort.
Demographics | IPMN | MCN | IPMN vs MCN |
All | Noninvasive | Malignant | p valuea | All | Noninvasive | Malignant | p valueb | p valuec |
Total subjects, (n) | 218 | 125 | 93 | | 27 | 19 | 8 | | |
Age, median (IQR) | 63.0(56.0–70.0) | 63.0(55.5–70.0) | 64.0(56.5–71.0) | 0.45 | 54.0(41.0–60.0) | 53.0(35.0–57.0) | 57.0(49.0-71.3) | 0.12 | < 0.0001 |
Female, % (n) | 32.1(70) | 30.4(38) | 34.4(32) | 0.53 | 100(27) | 100(19) | 100(8) | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 |
Diabetes Mellitus, % (n) | 24.3(53) | 15.2(19) | 36.6(34) | < 0.0001 | 18.5(5) | 15.8(3) | 25(2) | 0.62 | 0.5 |
Surgical Resections and Pathological outcomes |
Resection procedure, % (n) |
TP | 6.9(15) | 4.8(6) | 9(9.7) | 0.16 | 0(0) | 0(0) | 0(0) | - | 0.39 |
PD | 64.2(140) | 58.4(73) | 69.1(67) | 0.04 | 14.8(4) | 10.2(2) | 25(2) | 0.56 | < 0.0001 |
DP | 19.3(42) | 25.6(32) | 10.8(10) | 0.006 | 81.5(22) | 89.8(17) | 63(5) | 0.14 | < 0.0001 |
CP | 7.8(17) | 8.0(10) | 7.5(7) | 0.9 | 0(0) | 0(0) | 0(0) | - | 0.23 |
Enucleation | 1.8(4) | 3.2(4) | 0(0) | 0.14 | 3.7(1) | 0(0) | 13(1) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
Tumor Size (mm), median (IQR) | 40(23.8–70) | 38(21.5–75) | 40(27.5–67.5) | 0.89 | 45(35–65) | 40(35–55) | 58.5(35-68.8) | 0.39 | 0.89 |
Morphological type for IPMN (BD/MD/MT), n | 34/80/104 | 21/59/45 | 13/21/59 | 0.57 | | | | | |
Epithelial subtype for IPMN (G/I/P/O/M), n | 91/81/26/9/11 | 54/47/8/2/4 | 27/34/18/7/7 | 0.006 | | | | | |
Peripheral invasion, %(n) |
perineural invasion | 12.8(28) | 0(0) | 30.1(28) | | 14.8(4) | 0(0) | 50.0(4) | | 1.0 |
vascular invasion | 8.3(18) | 0(0) | 19.4(18) | | 0(0) | 0(0) | 0(0) | | 0.23 |
cancerization of ducts | 5.5(12) | 0(0) | 12.9(12) | | 7.4(2) | 0(0) | 25.0(2) | | 1.0 |
lymphatic metastasis | 6.4(14) | 0(0) | 15.1(14) | | 14.8(4) | 0(0) | 50.0(4) | | 0.24 |
common bile duct invasion | 3.7(8) | 0(0) | 8.6(8) | | 3.7(1) | 0(0) | 12.5(1) | | 1.0 |
peripancreatic fat invasion | 10.6(23) | 0(0) | 24.7(23) | | 7.4(2) | 0(0) | 25.0(2) | | 1.0 |
duodenum invasion | 6.4(14) | 0(0) | 15.1(14) | | 0(0) | 0(0) | 0(0) | | 0.38 |
Margin status |
Negative | 80.3(175) | 88.8(111) | 68.2(64) | < 0.0001 | 88.9(24) | 19(100) | 62.5(5) | 0.019 | 0.41 |
noninvasive component | 16.5(36) | 11.2(14) | 23.7(22) | 0.014 | 0(0) | 0(0) | 0(0) | - | 0.018 |
invasive component | 3.2(7) | 0(0) | 7.5(7) | < 0.0001 | 11.1(3) | 0(0) | 37.5(3) | 0.19 | 0.003 |
IQR, interquartile range; DP, distal pancreatectomy; PD, pancreaticoduodenectomy; TP, total pancreatectomy; CP, central pancreatectomy; |
MCN, mucinous cystic neoplasm; IPMN, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. BD/MD/MT, branch duct/ main duct/ mixed type; |
G/I/P/O/M, gastric/intestinal/pancreatobiliary/oncocytic/mixed type. |
a Comparison of invasive vs non-invasive IPMN; |
b Comparison of invasive vs non-invasive MCN; |
c Comparison of total IPMN vs total MCN. |
Demographics and clinicopathological feature in IPMNs associated with malignancy included preoperative diabetes mellitus (p < 0.001) and resection procedure with PDs (p = 0.04). In contrast, resection procedure with DPs was associated with non-invasive IPMNs (p = 0.006). Most of the malignant lesions were pancreaticobiliary and oncocytic epithelial type (p = 0.006). More positive margin status (both non-invasive component and invasive component) on pathology were observed in malignant diseases than in non-invasive diseases (p = 0.014 and < 0.0001).
Males were extremely uncommon in our cohort and all MCN patients included were females. Among them, 10 (37%) were premenopausal and 17 (63%) were peri- (n = 4) or postmenopausal (n = 13). 6 (22.2%) premenopausal women presented MCNs during or shortly after pregnancy and 5 (29.4%) peri- or postmenopausal patients presented estrogen-based high-risk tumors. No baseline demographics and pathological findings evaluated in this study were associated with the pathological finding of malignant diseases. However, the cyst size identified by pathological specimen in malignant cases was larger (median 58.5 mm) than that in non-invasive cases (40 mm) in spite of no statistical significance.
The cases of IPMN and MCN were further compared. MCNs were more common in females (p < 0.0001) and the patients tended to be younger than IPMNs (p < 0.0001). For resection procedures, DPs were more selected in MCN cases (p < 0.0001) and PDs were more often selected in IPMN cases (p < 0.0001). The peripheral invasion status was comparable in MCN and IPMN cases. However, margin involvement was significantly more in IPMN cases than that in MCN cases, with either non-invasive component (p = 0.018) or invasive component (p = 0.003).
Recurrence Data
The median follow-up time of the overall cohort was 34 months. In total, 37 (15.1%) patients experienced postoperative disease recurrence and 7 (2.9%) patients died (5 cases died of recurrence) during the follow-up period. Among the 37 cases of recurrence, 25 cases developed locoregional recurrence and 12 cases developed extra-pancreatic recurrence. The median time of recurrence was 8 months (range from 2–46 months) and the median time of death was 46 months (range from 3–91 months). Moreover, 36 (97.3%) of the 37 recurrence cases developed within 2 years. The overall OS at 1, 3, 5 years of MCNs and IPMNs combined after surgical resection were 98%, 95.9% and 93%, and the DFS was 86.4%, 81.8% and 81.3%, respectively.
For IPMNs, 34 patients (15.6%) developed postoperative recurrence and 6 patients died (4 cases died of recurrence). Of the 93 cases of malignant IPMNs, 22 cases (23.7%) relapsed and 12 cases (9.6%) of 125 non-invasive IPMNs relapsed. The recurrence rate was significantly higher in malignant cases than in non-invasive cases (P = 0.005). The OS at 1, 3, 5 years of IPMNs were 98.75%, 98.75% and 97.5%, and the DFS of IPMNs at 1, 3, 5 years were 85.7%, 81.1% and 80.6%, respectively.
For MCNs, 3 malignant cases of the 27 patients (11.1%) developed postoperative recurrence. Only 1 malignant case died after surgical resection due to the extra-pancreatic recurrence (omentum majus). No non-invasive cases relapsed or died during the follow-up time. Similarly, the recurrence rate was higher in malignant cases than in non-invasive cases (P = 0.019). The OS at 1, 3, 5 years of MCNs were 95.7%, 95.7% and 95.7%, and the DFS of MCNs at 1, 3, 5 years were 91.3%%, 87.0% and 87.0%, respectively. Detailed recurrence data are presented in Table 2 with corresponding Kaplan-Meier curves in Fig. 1.
Table 2
Summary of results of Kaplan-Meier survival analyses.
| Full cohort | Full cohort | Malignant | Noninvasive |
Total | IPMN | MCN | IPMN | MCN | IPMN | MCN |
Overall Survival |
At risk, (n) | 245 | 218 | 27 | 93 | 8 | 125 | 19 |
Median time, months (IQR) | 32(19–61) | 38.5(20–63) | 24(16–25) | 35(19–63) | 20(13-23.5) | 42(20–64) | 20(16–26) |
Deaths, %(n) | 2.9% (7) | 2.8% (6) | 3.7% (1) | 6.5% (6) | 12.5% (1) | 0% (0) | 0% (0) |
1-year, % | 98% | 98.75% | 95.7% | 97.1% | 87.5% | 100% | 100% |
3-year, % | 95.9% | 98.75% | 95.7% | 94.2% | 87.5% | 100% | 100% |
5-year, % | 93% | 97.5% | 95.7% | 91.3% | 87.5% | 100% | 100% |
Log-Rank, (P) | | p = 0.48 | p = 0.33 | p = 1.0 |
Disease-free survival |
At risk, (n) | 245 | 218 | 27 | 93 | 8 | 125 | 19 |
Median time, months (IQR) | 24(16–53) | 26(17–54) | 20(14–25) | 23(14–52) | 18(8–24) | 30(19–58) | 20(16–26) |
Recurrence, %(n) | 15.1% (37) | 15.6% (34) | 11.1% (3) | 23.7% (22) | 37.5% (3) | 9.6% (12) | 0% (0) |
1-year, % | 86.4% | 85.7% | 91.3% | 75.3% | 75.0% | 94% | 100% |
3-year, % | 81.8% | 81.1% | 87.0% | 74.0% | 62.5% | 90% | 100% |
5-year, % | 81.3% | 80.6% | 87.0% | 71.4% | 62.5% | 88% | 100% |
Log-Rank, (P) | | p = 0.67 | p = 0.27 | p = 0.2 |
IQR, interquartile range; P, p-value; MCN, mucinous cystic neoplasm; IPMN, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. |
According to Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, MCNs and IPMNs had comparable OS and DFS after surgery in overall cohort (p = 0.48 and 0.67), malignant cases (p = 0.33 and 0.27) and non-invasive cases (p = 1.0 and 0.2).
Factors Associated With Recurrence
Only 3 patients with MCNs relapsed, so to build a logistic regression model for MCN patients alone was lack of significance. Therefore, we established the logistic regression model of the overall study cohort. In addition, due to the small number of cases in each group, we combined the peripheral invasion status (perineural invasion, vascular invasion, cancerization of ducts, lymphatic metastasis, common bile duct invasion, peripancreatic fat invasion and duodenum invasion) together and in total 37 patients had peripheral invasions. Univariate analysis showed that pathological diagnoses with malignancy (P < 0.0001), presence of oncocytic type for IPMN (P = 0.01), resection procedure with PD (P = 0.013), peripheral invasion (P < 0.0001) and incisal margin invasion (P = 0.02) were significant pathological risk factors for recurrence. Furthermore, we found four independent risk factors in multivariate analysis: pathological diagnoses with malignancy (P < 0.0001, Odds Rate (OR) = 3.65), presence of oncocytic type for IPMN (P = 0.031, OR = 1.69), peripheral invasion (P < 0.0001, OR = 12.87) and incisal margin invasion (P = 0.039, OR = 1.99) (Table 3).
Table 3 Risk factors for development of recurrence tumor after surgical resection of IPMN and MCN on the univariate
and multivariate analyses (n = 245)
|
Univariate analysis
|
Multivariate analysis
|
Recurrence (+)
n=37
|
Recurrence (-)
n=208
|
P value
|
p
|
Odds ratio (OR)
|
95% confidence interval
|
Age, median years (IQR)
|
64 (54.5-71)
|
63 (54-70)
|
0.43
|
|
|
|
Sex, male, % (n)
|
59.5 (22)
|
61.1 (127)
|
0.85
|
|
|
|
Diabetes Mellitus, % (n)
|
32.4 (12)
|
19.7 (41)
|
0.08
|
0.32
|
|
|
Pathological diagnoses
|
Malignant, %(n)
|
67.6 (25)
|
32.7 (68)
|
< 0.0001
|
< 0.0001
|
3.65
|
2.2-6.5
|
Tumor size, median mm (IQR)
|
50 (30-70)
|
40 (24-70)
|
0.49
|
|
|
|
Morphological type for IPMN, n=218, recurrence (n=34)
|
Branch duct type, %(n)
|
17.6 (6)
|
15.2 (28)
|
0.72
|
|
|
|
Epithelial subtype for IPMN, n=218, recurrence (n=34)
|
Gastric type, %(n)
|
32.4 (11)
|
43.5 (80)
|
0.41
|
|
|
|
Intestinal type, %(n)
|
35.3 (12)
|
37.5 (69)
|
0.81
|
|
|
|
Pancreatobiliary type, %(n)
|
11.8 (4)
|
12.0 (22)
|
0.98
|
|
|
|
Oncocytic type, %(n)
|
14.7 (5)
|
2.2 (4)
|
0.01
|
0.031
|
1.69
|
1.13-1.97
|
Mixed type, %(n)
|
5.9 (2)
|
4.9 (9)
|
1.0
|
|
|
|
Resection procedure
|
TP, % (n)
|
5.4 (2)
|
6.3 (13)
|
1.0
|
|
|
|
PD, % (n)
|
75.7 (28)
|
53.8 (112)
|
0.013
|
0.12
|
|
|
DP, % (n)
|
16.2 (6)
|
12.5 (26)
|
0.54
|
|
|
|
CP, % (n)
|
2.7 (1)
|
7.7 (16)
|
0.45
|
|
|
|
Enucleation, % (n)
|
0 (0)
|
1.9 (4)
|
1.0
|
|
|
|
Peripheral invasion, % (n)
|
73.0 (27)
|
4.8 (10)
|
<0.0001
|
<0.0001
|
12.87
|
1.87-24.03
|
Margin status
|
Margin with noninvasive component, % (n)
|
13.5 (5)
|
14.9 (31)
|
0.82
|
|
|
|
Margin with invasive component, % (n)
|
13.5 (5)
|
2.4 (5)
|
0.02
|
0.039
|
1.99
|
1.08-3.06
|
IPMN, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, IQR, interquartile range; DP, distal pancreatectomy; PD, pancreaticoduodenectomy;
TP, total pancreatectomy; CP, central pancreatectomy.