Characteristics of subjects
The demographics and biomarker characteristics of the study participants are listed in Table 1. There were no differences in age and education among the groups. Compared with the CN ɛ4- and AD ɛ4+ groups, there were significantly fewer female subjects in the MCI ɛ4- group. Between CN ɛ4- and CN ɛ4+ and MCI ɛ4- and MCI ɛ4+, Aβ42 levels in APOE ε4 positive subjects decreased significantly. There was no similar phenomenon between AD ɛ4- and AD ɛ4+. Between MCI ɛ4- and MCI ɛ4+, the levels of T-tau and P-tau in APOE ε4 positive participants increased significantly. However, there was no similar finding between CN ɛ4- and CN ɛ4+, and between AD ɛ4- and AD ɛ4+. MMSE scores were lower in MCI ɛ4-, MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+ groups compared with CN ɛ4- and CN ɛ4+ subjects, and lower in AD ɛ4- and AD ɛ4+ groups compared with MCI ɛ4- and MCI ɛ4+. On the contrary, ADAS-Cog 11 scores were higher in MCI ɛ4-, MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+ groups compared with CN ɛ4- and CN ɛ4+ participants, and higher in AD ɛ4- and AD ɛ4+ groups compared with MCI ɛ4- and MCI ɛ4+ patients.
CSF Ng levels in APOE ε4 positive and negative participants in different diagnostic groups
CSF Ng levels were significantly higher in patients with MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+ (all p < 0.001) compared with CN ɛ4-. Higher Ng levels were also found in both MCI ɛ4+ (p < 0.05) and AD ɛ4- (p < 0.05) compared with CN ɛ4+. Between MCI ɛ4- and MCI ɛ4+, CSF Ng levels in APOE ε4 positive participants increased significantly (p < 0.001). However, there were no differences between CN ɛ4- and CN ɛ4+, and similarly between AD ɛ4- and AD ɛ4+ (Fig. 1).
CSF Ng levels in relation to Aβ and tau
Ng and Aβ42 were negatively correlated in CN ɛ4- participants (r = −0.353, p = 0.014). However, there were no significant associations between Ng and Aβ42 in CN ɛ4+, MCI ɛ4-, MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+ subjects (r = −0.095, p = 0.717; r = −0.194, p = 0.177; r = −0.023, p = 0.845; r = 0.172, p = 0.509; r = 0.080, p = 0.596, respectively) (Fig. 2A). Ng was strongly correlated with T-tau and P-tau in CN ɛ4- (r = 0.550, p < 0.001 for T-tau; r = 0.519, p < 0.001 for P-tau), CN ɛ4+ (r = 0.858, p < 0.001 for T-tau; r = 0.841, p < 0.001 for P-tau), MCI ɛ4- (r = 0.799, p < 0.001 for T-tau; r = 0.784, p < 0.001 for P-tau), MCI ɛ4+ (r = 0.746, p < 0.001 for T-tau; r = 0.726, p < 0.001 for P-tau), AD ɛ4- (r = 0.869, p < 0.001 for T-tau; r = 0.906, p < 0.001 for P-tau), and AD ɛ4+ subjects (r = 0.747, p < 0.001 for T-tau; r = 0.726, p < 0.001 for P-tau) (Fig. 2B and C).
Diagnostic accuracy of CSF Ng and core CSF biomarkers
ROC analyses were performed to test CSF biomarkers in relation to clinical diagnoses for MCI ɛ4-, MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+. All CSF biomarkers had significant diagnostic accuracy for MCI ɛ4+ (Table 2 and Fig. 3B), AD ɛ4- (Table 2 and Fig. 3C), and AD ɛ4+ (Table 2 and Fig. 3D) but not MCI ɛ4- (Table 2 and Fig. 3A) compared with CN ɛ4-. Compared with T-tau and P-tau, Ng had almost the same range of diagnostic accuracy for MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+ (Table 2 and Fig. 3B-D). However, compared with T-tau and P-tau, the combination of Ng, T-tau or P-tau did not significantly improve the diagnostic accuracy for MCI ɛ4-, MCI ɛ4+, AD ɛ4-, and AD ɛ4+ (Table 2 and Fig. 3A-D).
CSF Ng predict conversion from CN to MCI or AD and MCI to AD
Among the subjects, 18 CN individuals progressed to MCI or AD and 73 MCI participants progressed to AD during follow-up. We investigated whether CSF Ng predicted conversion from CN to MCI or AD and MCI to AD. Cox proportional hazard models were performed for Ng as a continuous variable. HRs were then calculated for Ng as a dichotomous variable using the median values of Ng as a cutoff (adjusting for age, education, and gender). CSF Ng did not significantly predict conversion from CN to MCI or AD (Fig. 4A) and MCI to AD (Fig. 4B).
CSF Ng and APOE ε4 in relation to cognition
High CSF Ng levels associated with low MMSE scores at baseline in the MCI ɛ4+ group (β = −0.18, p = 0.036), but not in the MCI ɛ4- and other groups (Fig. 5A). CSF Ng did not correlate with ADAS-cog 11 scores at baseline in every diagnostic group (Fig. 5A). Although there was trend for associations between CSF Ng and with ADAS-cog 11 in the AD ɛ4- group, but this did not reach statistical significance (β = −0.22, p = 0.064) (Fig. 5B).
CSF Ng and APOE ε4 in relation to brain structure
CSF Ng did not correlate with baseline FDG-PET or ventricular volumes in different diagnostic groups (Fig. 6A and B). However, high CSF Ng levels were associated with low hippocampal volumes in the MCI ɛ4- group (β = −0.39, p = 0.007), the MCI ɛ4+ group (β = −0.25, p = 0.036), and the AD ɛ4+ group (β = −0.42, p = 0.003) (Fig. 6C), whereas in the AD ɛ4- and other groups, no such associations were found.