Over the 3 years of the study the total number of plants increased, while the number of infestations decreased. Based on visual inspection of the detailed maps, the fewer infestations was due to previously smaller infestations connecting and becoming larger infestations in successive years. The downward trend in the number of infestations with a single plant supports this idea. The increase in the number of plants is consistent with the strong ability of purple loosestrife to produce thousands and thousands of seeds [1]. An increase in rainfall in August 2018 [17] could have contributed to the larger increase in number of plants from 2018 to 2019 as seeds would spread and be more likely to germinate with increased water availability [18, 19]. Yakimowski et al. [20] also found that the seed bank within invaded wetlands contained enormous numbers of purple loosestrife seeds (several hundred thousand/m2) and suggested that only environmental variations changed the emergence of seeds within an invaded wetland. Inconsistent weather patterns between years in our study is likely a factor of higher increases between 2018 and 2019, but is unlikely to be the main cause of increase in number of plants and size of invasions.
Infestations grew larger inside wetlands compared to outside wetlands along roadsides, particularly in the ditches along the roads, which is to be expected given the preference purple loosestrife has for germinating seeds in moist soil after being dispersed by water [1]. The ephemeral nature of water in ditches alongside the road has allowed the infestations to sustain themselves and grow larger in wetter years given their likely substantial seedbank [11]. The concern is the spread in small numbers along roadsides in ditches connecting wetlands will lead to invasions in all wetlands over time.
Further, the width of the road should be an impediment to the natural spread of purple loosestrife, as its seeds rarely spread independently beyond 10 m [1]. However, culverts that carry water under the road create another mechanism for spreading purple loosestrife between wetlands. We found that purple loosestrife infestations were found more frequently at culverts and more frequently on both sides of the road next to culverts compared to random sites along the route. This suggests that culverts are increasing the spread, potentially into new areas. Wilcox [4] also found that culverts under the New York State Thruway increased the spread of purple loosestrife along the highway, rather than from sites outsides the road corridor.
The analysis of adjacent polygons failed to reveal a directional spread of purple loosestrife due to mowing, despite [4] demonstrating that adjacent polygons containing infestations increased the likelihood of infestation. Our original goal to determine if mowing along the highway was promoting the spread of purple loosestrife was inconclusive. This could be due to the relatively large size of the polygons in the analysis compared to very small infestations. It was not practical to examine individual infestations and examine spread from year to year to capture individual population spread, as infestations merged, or possibly spread naturally in both directions. It is likely that water availability and proximity to wetlands more strongly affected the spread of purple loosestrife. As wetlands were spaced throughout the study area (71 of 186 polygons contained wetlands), each was providing a source for infestations to increase in density and likely to spread out from that location based on movements of water (e.g., culverts or ditches) rather than solely by being mowed. In addition, the local NYS DOT office (James Ayers, personal communication Mar 2021) described the patterns of mowing as twice each summer spread throughout the region, so each area gets mowed at slightly different times of the summer. For example, it is possible that regions with high infestations have previously been mowed when the seeds were ready to spread, while in other parts of the study, mowing might have been done prior to seed being set. We recommend that avoiding any increase in the spread to uninvaded wetlands should be the goal of any management because substantial seeds throughout infested wetlands were reported, even in parts of the wetland without obvious plant growth [17].
Thomas and Moloney [16] predicted invasions of wetlands based on local landcover variation. While their study was predominantly in an urban area centered around St. Paul/Minneapolis, the variations of land use have implications for our study. The mixture of lawns and state-mowed roadsides creates a variation where the spread of purple loosestrife is stopped by unsuitable habitat (lawns). Finer scale analysis and the inclusion of individual lawns as possible breaks in spread could reveal the connection between mowing and spread of purple loosestrife.
While controlling spread through mowing is one strategy, controlling the overall infestation with other management strategies, including biological controls, has had some success and has been well studied [10, 21, 22]. We did track the presence of herbivory across the study area and found some clusters of likely areas with beetles, though no beetles were seen in the first 2 years of the study (beetles emerge and generally complete their life cycle prior to the emergence of inflorescence). In 2018 we began to release Galerucella sp. beetles at one of the wetlands and have been monitoring these sites biannually since. In 2019, we propagated several thousand Galerucella calimerensis L. beetles at SUNY Potsdam according to methods by Rowell [23]. We intend to continue monitoring any released beetles at the largest infestations.