Baseline characteristics
Between March 1st, 2019 and December 31, 2020, 80 intend-to-treat patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma were classified into three treatment groups (22 received sintilimab, 23 received sintilimab and sorafenib, and 35 received a combination of sintilimab, sorafenib and TACE). The patients’ background, baseline characteristics, and medical history are summarized in Table 1. The average patient age was 55.2 ± 11.8 years and male patients (87.5%) were more common than female patients in this cohort study. There was no significant difference between the groups with respect to age, gender, Child-Pugh classification, Barcelona Clinic liver cancer stage, alcohol usage, hepatitis B virus infection, operation and ECOG performance status score. There was also no significant difference in laboratory data of the groups which shown in Table 1.
Table 1
Baseline characteristics of patients
Variable | All treated patients | Sintilimab group | Duplex group | Triple group | p value* |
| N = 80 | N = 22 | N = 23 | N = 35 | |
Age (years) | 55.2 ± 11.8 | 54.4 ± 10.8 | 54.0 ± 15.0 | 56.5 ± 10.2 | ns |
Gender (no. (%)) | | | | | ns |
Male | 70(87.5) | 19(86.4) | 21(91.3) | 30(85.7) | |
Female | 10(12.5) | 3(13.6) | 2(8.7) | 5(14.3) | |
ECOG performance status score (no. (%)) | | | | | ns |
0 | 43(53.8) | 11(50.0) | 12(52.2) | 20(57.1) | |
1 | 37(46.3) | 11(50.0) | 11(47.8) | 15(42.9) | |
Child-Pugh classification (no. (%)) | | | | | ns |
A | 38(47.5) | 7(31.8) | 12(52.2) | 19(54.3) | |
B | 42(52.5) | 15(68.2) | 11(47.8) | 16(45.7) | |
BCLC stage (no.(%)) | | | | | ns |
B | 24(30.0) | 5(22.7) | 5(21.7) | 14(40.0) | |
C | 56(70.0) | 17(77.3) | 18(78.3) | 21(60.0) | |
Alcohol use (no.(%)) | 13(16.3) | 4(18.2) | 6(26.1) | 3(8.6) | ns |
Hepatitis B virus infection (no.(%)) | 60(75.0) | 15(68.2) | 18(78.3) | 27(77.1) | ns |
Concomitant disease (no.(%)) | | | | | |
Hypertension | 14(17.5) | 1(4.5) | 7(30.4) | 6(17.1) | |
Diabetes | 10(12.5) | 1(4.5) | 3(13.0) | 6(17.1) | |
Gout | 1(1.3) | 1(4.5) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) | |
Atrial fibrillation | 1(1.3) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) | 1(2.9) | |
Operation (no.(%)) | 46(57.5) | 12(54.5) | 14(60.9) | 20(57.1) | ns |
Microvascular invasion | | | | | ns |
0 | 5(6.3) | 1(4.5) | 3(13.0) | 1(2.9) | |
1 | 5(6.3) | 1(4.5) | 3(13.0) | 1(2.9) | |
2 | 4(5.0) | 0(0.0) | 2(8.7) | 2(5.7) | |
Extrahepatic metastasis | 15(18.8) | 4(18.2) | 5(21.7%) | 6(17.1) | ns |
Macrovascular invasion | | | | | ns |
Main portal vein | 5(6.3) | 3(13.6) | 2(8.7) | 0(0) | |
Hepatic artery | 40(50.0) | 10(45.5) | 13(56.5) | 17(48.6) | |
Both | 2(2.5) | 1(4.5) | 1(4.3) | 0(0) | |
Lg(α-fetoprotein) (µg/L) | 2.5 ± 1.5 | 2.9 ± 1.6 | 2.1 ± 1.6 | 2.4 ± 1.4 | ns |
Lg(Des-γ-caboxy protein) (mAU/ mL) | 3.3 ± 1.3 | 3.8 ± 1.2 | 3.1 ± 1.4 | 3.1 ± 1.4 | ns |
Alanine aminotransferase (U/L) | 59.0 ± 66.4 | 57.0 ± 45.2 | 41.3 ± 36.8 | 71.9 ± 87.8 | ns |
Aspartate aminotransferase (U/L) | 78.8 ± 71.7 | 111.5 ± 106.0 | 57.2 ± 41.6 | 72.4 ± 53.0 | ns |
Total bilirubin (µmol/L) | 34.8 ± 69.4 | 73.6 ± 124.3 | 21.2 ± 15.4 | 19.4 ± 12.8 | ns |
Prothrombin time (s) | 13.3 ± 2.3 | 14.0 ± 2.9 | 13.6 ± 2.2 | 12.7 ± 1.8 | ns |
International normalized ratio | 1.2 ± 0.2 | 1.2 ± 0.2 | 1.2 ± 0.2 | 1.1 ± 0.2 | ns |
Data are presented as n (%) or mean ± SD, ns means not significant |
*Compared with each group (one-way ANOVA test, or Pearson’s chi-square test) |
α-fetoprotein and Des-γ-caboxy protein were calculated by means of log (-log) transformation. |
BCLC means Barcelona Clinic liver cancer. |
Table 2
The multiple comparison of between-group variance of survival analysis.
| Sintilimab vs Duplex | Sintilimab vs Triple | Duplex vs Triple |
| χ2 | p value* | χ2 | p value* | χ2 | p value* |
OS | 7.80 | 0.005 | 22.29 | < 0.001 | 4.21 | 0.040 |
PFS | 6.86 | 0.009 | 11.96 | 0.001 | 0.57 | 0.450 |
DOR | 0.04 | 0.850 | 3.90 | 0.048 | 2.67 | 0.103 |
DDC | 0.13 | 0.722 | 4.00 | 0.045 | 5.14 | 0.023 |
ORR | 1.09 | 0.297 | 1.71 | 0.191 | 0.04 | 0.836 |
DCR | 8.01 | 0.005 | 13.23 | < 0.001 | 0.30 | 0.587 |
CBR | 2.72 | 0.099 | 9.42 | 0.002 | 2.12 | 0.145 |
OS means overall survival; PFS means progression free survival; DOR means duration of object response; DDC means duration of disease control; ORR means object response rate; DCR means disease control rate; CBR means clinical benefit rate. |
*Compared with each group (Kaplan-Meier Analysis or Pearson’s chi-square test), p value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. |
Effectiveness
As of the date of clinical data collection cutoff, December 31, 2020, the median OS of all patients was 11.0 months (95% CI, 7.7–14.3), with a total of 39 patient (48.7%) death at the end of follow-up (Fig. 1A). The median OS of the triple group was 13.0 months (95% CI, NE-NE), which was longest of the three treatment groups with a mortality rate of 28.6% (p<0.0001) (Fig. 1B). In comparison, the sintilimab group had an OS of 3.0 months (95% CI, 1.9–4.1) and a mortality rate of 77.3% while the OS of the duplex group was 9.0 months (95% CI, 6.3–11.7) which was significantly longer (p = 0.005) (Table.2) than the former. The triple group’s OS was in turn significantly longer than that of the duplex group (p = 0.040).
Disease progression or death was observed in 60 patients (75.0%) across all three treatment regimens with a median PFS of 4.0 months (95% CI, 3.1–4.9) (Fig. 2A). Median PFS of the triple group and the duplex group were significantly longer than that of the sintilimab group (5.0 months, [95% CI, 2.9–7.1] and 4.0 months, [95% CI, 2.8–5.2] respectively vs 2.0 months, [95% CI, 1.7–2.3], p<0.001) (Fig. 2B). However, there was no statistically difference between the duplex and triple group (p = 0.450) (Table. 2).
Regarding the secondary assessment criteria, the best overall responses per group are shown in Table 3. Most patients in each group were in a stable disease state (33, 41.3%). 12 (15%) of the 80 patients achieved complete response (CR), half of which were given sintilimab combined sorafenib and TACE. The ratio of anti-tumor responses difference was similar between the duplex group and triple group; on the contrary, 15 (68.2%) of 22 patients in the sintilimab group achieved progressive disease (PD).
Table 3
The comparison of tumor responses in three groups.
| All treated patients | Sintilimab group | Duplex group | Triple group | p value* |
| N = 80 | N = 22 | N = 23 | N = 35 | |
Best overall response | | | | | |
CR | 12(15.0%) | 2(9.1%) | 4(17.4%) | 6(17.1%) | |
PR | 7(8.8%) | 1(4.5%) | 2(8.7%) | 4(11.4%) | |
SD | 33(41.3%) | 4(18.2%) | 11(47.8%) | 18(51.4%) | |
PD | 28(35.0%) | 15(68.2%) | 6(26.1%) | 7(20%) | |
ORR (95% CI) | 19(23.8%) (14.9–34.6) | 3(13.6%) (2.9–34.9) | 6(26.1%) (10.2–48.4) | 10(28.6%) (14.6–46.3) | 0.415 |
DCR (95% CI) | 52(65.0%) (53.5–75.3) | 7(31.8%) (13.9–54.9) | 17(73.9%) (51.6–89.8) | 28(80.0%) (63.1–91.6) | 0.001 |
CBR (95% CI) | 30(37.5%) (26.9–49.0) | 3(13.6%) (2.9–34.9) | 8(34.8%) (16.4–57.3) | 19(54.3%) (36.6–71.2) | 0.008 |
Data are presented as n (%, 95%CI) or n (%). |
*Compared with each group (Pearson’s chi-square test). |
CR means complete response; PR means partial response; SD means stable disease; PD means progressive disease. |
ORR means object response rate; DCR means disease control rate; CBR means clinical benefit rate. |
Table 4
The univariate analysis for the OS and PFS.
| OS | PFS |
| χ2 | p value* | χ2 | p value* |
Age | 0.144 | 0.704 | 1.315 | 0.252 |
Therapy | 24.934 | < 0.001 | 14.550 | 0.001 |
Gender | 0.001 | 0.972 | 0.254 | 0.614 |
ECOG | 6.073 | 0.014 | 0.719 | 0.396 |
Child-pugh | 10.123 | 0.001 | 3.370 | 0.066 |
BCLC | 1.870 | 0.171 | 0.110 | 0.740 |
HBV infection | 1.528 | 0.216 | 0.273 | 0.601 |
operation | 1.117 | 0.291 | 0.072 | 0.789 |
MVI | 4.589 | 0.205 | 10.804 | 0.013 |
Extrahepatic metastasis | 1.648 | 0.199 | 2.624 | 0.105 |
Co-diseases | 10.913 | 0.053 | 4.749 | 0.447 |
Macrovascular invasion | 9.216 | 0.027 | 2.101 | 0.552 |
AFP index | 0.638 | 0.424 | 0.521 | 0.471 |
DCP index | 2.105 | 0.147 | 0.668 | 0.414 |
*Compared with each group (Log-Rank test or Omnibus test for univariate). P < 0.05 means statistically significant. |
OS means overall survival; PFS means progression free survival; |
BCLC means Barcelona Clinic liver cancer. |
MVI means Microvascular invasion. |
Given that both the OS and PFS results were statistically significant, objective response rates, disease control rates and clinical benefit rates were sequentially compared (Table. 3). According to independent assessment with RECIST 1.1, the confirmed objective response rates were 13.6% (95% CI, 2.9–34.9) with sintilimab monotherapy, 26.1% (95% CI, 10.2–48.4) with sintilimab-sorafenib and 28.6% (95% CI, 14.6–46.3) with sintilimab combined sorafenib and TACE (p = 0.415). The disease control rates (objective response plus stable disease) were 31.8% (95% CI, 13.9–54.9), 73.9% (95% CI, 51.6–89.8), and 80% (95% CI, 63.1–91.6) respectively in the sintilimab monotherapy, duplex and triple therapy group (p = 0.001). Furthermore, there was a statistically significant difference in clinical benefit rates among the three groups (p = 0.008); 13.6% (95% CI, 2.9–34.9), 34.8% (95% CI, 16.4–57.3) and 54.3% (95% CI, 36.6–71.2) for the sintilimab monotherapy, duplex and triple groups respectively. The triple group was obviously superior to both the sintilimab group (p < 0.008) and the duplex group (p = 0.005) in regards to DDC, however, there was no significant difference between the duplex and the triple group (p = 0.587). Similarly, the CBR of the triple group was much considerably higher than that of the sintilimab group (p = 0.002), although there was no obviously superiority of the duplex group over the sintilimab group (p = 0.099), nor the triple group over to the duplex group (p = 0.145).
The calculated mean duration of objective response of the sintilimab group was 3.5 ± 1.6 months (95% CI, 0.3–6.6), longer than that of the duplex group (2.6 ± 1.0 months, [95% CI, 0.5–4.6]) and the triple group (3.4 ± 1.1 months, [95% CI, 2.0-4.8]), nevertheless there was no statistical significance (p = 0.056) (Fig. 3A). The estimated median duration of disease control was 2.0 months in the sintilimab group (95% CI, 0.8–3.2) and the duplex group (95% CI, 0.9–3.1), which were shorter than in the triple group (4.0 months, [95%CI, NE-NE], p = 0.0025) (Fig. 3B).
Additionally, we included 14 variates for univariate analysis of the OS and PFS. Therapy method (p < 0.001), ECOG (p = 0.014), Child-pugh classification (p = 0.001) and Macrovascular invasion (p = 0.027) were discovered to be associated with OS significantly, so as the therapy method (p = 0.001) and microvascular invasion (p = 0.013) to PFS (Table.4). Furthermore, these factors above were naturally included into the multivariate analysis of OS and PFS. According to the Table 5, we found that therapy method (including sintilimab-sorafenib (p = 0.002) and sintilimab-sorafenib combined TACE (p < 0.001)), ECOG (p = 0.011) and Child-pugh classification (p = 0.046) were independent factors affecting the OS of patients with unresectable hepatocarcinoma. Similarly, duplex (p = 0.021) and triple therapy (p = 0.002) are also independent factors impacting the PFS of hepatocarcinoma patients. In particular, compared with sintilimab monotherapy, patients received triple therapy had lowest risk of death (HR = 0.119, 95% CI [0.049,0.288]) and progress (HR = 0.376, 95% CI [0.203,0.695]).
Table 5
The multivariate analysis for the OS and PFS.
| OS | PFS |
| HR | 95% CI | p value* | HR | 95% CI | p value* |
Therapy | | | | | | |
Duplex group | 0.282 | 0.125–0.638 | 0.002 | 0.459 | 0.238–0.888 | 0.021 |
Triple group | 0.119 | 0.049–0.288 | < 0.001 | 0.376 | 0.203–0.695 | 0.002 |
ECOG | 2.737 | 1.260–5.949 | 0.011 | NE | NE | 0.228 |
Child-pugh | 2.100 | 1.013–4.354 | 0.046 | NE | NE | 0.074 |
MVI | NE | NE | 0.794 | NE | NE | 0.153 |
Macrovascular invasion | NE | NE | 0.850 | NE | NE | 0.581 |
*Compared with each group (Cox regression analysis). P < 0.05 means statistically significant. |
OS means overall survival; PFS means progression free survival; |
MVI means Microvascular invasion. |
NE means excluded by the Cox regression Model. |
Safety
A total of 80 patients who received sintilimab treatment (monotherapy or in combination with other therapies) were involved in safety analysis. Treatment-related adverse events of any grade are summarized in Table 6. The most common treatment-related adverse events of any grade were hypertension in 38 (47.5%) of 80 patients, fatigue in 19 (23.8%), diarrhea in 16 (20.1%) and abnormal liver function in 16 (20.1%). Grade 3 or 4 adverse events were infrequent compared to Grade 1 and 2, the most common of which were hypertension (8, [10%]) and liver dysfunction (4, [5%]). Hypertension had the highest incidence of treatment-related adverse events in the three groups: 11 (49.9%) of 22, 12 (52.1%) of 23 and 15 (42.8%) of 35 in the sintilimab, duplex and triple groups respectively.
Table 6
Treatment-related adverse events
| All patients N = 80 | Sintilimab group N = 22 | Duplex group N = 23 | Triple group N = 35 |
| Grade1 | Grade2 | Grade3-4 | Grade1 | Grade2 | Grade3-4 | Grade1 | Grade2 | Grade3-4 | Grade1 | Grade2 | Grade3-4 |
hypertension | 18(22.5%) | 12(15%) | 8(10%) | 5(22.7%) | 3(13.6%) | 3(13.6%) | 6(26.1%) | 5(21.7%) | 1(4.3%) | 7(20.0%) | 4(11.4%) | 4(11.4%) |
diarrhea | 13(16.3%) | 0 | 3(3.8%) | 3(13.6%) | 0 | 1(4.5%) | 2(8.7%) | 0 | 0 | 8(22.9%) | 0 | 2(5.7%) |
fatigue | 19(23.8%) | 0 | 0 | 5(22.7%) | 0 | 0 | 7(30.4%) | 0 | 0 | 7(20.0%) | 0 | 0 |
pyrexia | 9(11.3%) | 1(1.3%) | 2(2.5%) | 3(13.6%) | 1(4.5%) | 0 | 1(13.0%) | 0 | 0 | 3(8.6%) | 0 | 2(5.7%) |
Abnormal liver function | 11(13.8%) | 1(1.3%) | 4(5%) | 3(13.6%) | 0 | 0 | 5(21.7%) | 0 | 0 | 3(8.6%) | 1(2.9%) | 4(11.4%) |
constipation | 12(15%) | 0 | 0 | 2(9.1) | 0 | 0 | 3(13.0%) | 0 | 2(8.7%) | 5(14.3%) | 0 | 0 |
Blood bilirubin increase | 7(8.8%) | 2(2.5%) | 2(2.5%) | 1(4.5%) | 0 | 0 | 2(8.7%) | 1(4.3%) | 2(8.7%) | 4(11.4%) | 1(2.9%) | 0 |
Rash | 8(10%) | 2(2.5%) | 2(2.5%) | 1(4.5%) | 1(4.5%) | 1(4.5%) | 4(17.4%) | 0 | 0 | 3(8.6%) | 1(2.9%) | 1(2.9%) |
Abnominal pain | 6(7.5%) | 0 | 0 | 3(13.6%) | 0 | 0 | 1(4.3%) | 0 | 0 | 2(5.7%) | 0 | 0 |
Epistaxis | 2(2.5%) | 0 | 0 | 1(4.5%) | 0 | 0 | 1(4.3%) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PS | 5(6.3%) | 4(5%) | 0 | 2(9.1%) | 0 | 2(9.1%) | 1(4.3%) | 0 | 2(8.7%) | 2(5.7%) | 0 | 0 |
Cough | 3(3.8%) | 0 | 0 | 1(4.5%) | 0 | 0 | 1(4.3%) | 0 | 0 | 1(2.9%) | 0 | 0 |
PS means Palmar-planter erythrodys esthesia syndrome; |
Data are presented as n (%). |
Disease progression aside, there were no treatment adverse event related deaths or discontinuations. All the adverse events took a favorable turn after symptomatic and supportive treatment. Serious adverse events were frequent in the sintilimab dominated triple therapy group (13, [37.1%]) than in the duplex (7, [30.4%]) and monotherapy groups (7, [31.7%]). Except hypertension, the most common grade 3 or 4 adverse event in the triple group was liver dysfunction (4, [11.4%]). In contrast, constipation (2, [8.7%]) and elevated blood bilirubin (2, [8.7%]) were the most common grade 3 or 4 adverse events in the duplex group. On the hand, diarrhea (1, [4.5%]), rash (1, [4.5%]), and Palmar-Planter Erythrodysesthesia (2, [9.1%]) were the most common grade 3 or 4 adverse events in the sintilimab group.
No significant difference in incidence of grade 1 treatment-related adverse events was noted among three groups. There was also an observed phenomenon where although tolerable, a patient would present with several adverse events simultaneously or sequentially.