3.1 Data
A total of 1,142 completed surveys were collected from direct interviews with one selected individual per household. Up to three visits were made to each household in order to find the person to be surveyed. Among the total sample 650 (57%) were male, 491 (43%) were female, and 1 (0.09%) was a transgender. In our sample, 398 (35%) participants lived in the Metropolitan Region, 358 (31%) in the II Region, and 386 (34%) in the VIII Region. In terms of working status, 337 (30%) of them were working for a salary, 282 (25%) were working in household tasks, 215 (19%) were retired or pensioned, 160 (14%) were students, 56 (5%) were looking for a job, 25 (2%) were disabled, 17 (1%) were volunteer, and 50 (4%) were classified as in any other working situation. As for respondents’ religions, 653 (57%) participants are Catholics, 245 (22%) are Christians, 127 (11%) are Agnostic, 59 (5%) Atheists, and 58 (5%) belonged to other religion.
In addition, most of our sample respondents did not belong to a specific ethnic group (1,040 (91%)), while 50 (4%) were Mapuches, 36 (3%) declared to belong to a different ethnic group, 8 (1%) were Diaguita, and 8 (1%) were Aymara. In terms of education, the majority of participants have some level of education (1,003 (88%) participants), while 139 (12%) participants have no formal education. Finally, in terms of health insurance coverage, 929 (82%) participants are subscribed to the public insurance (FONASA), 105 (9%) belonged to the private insurance (ISAPREs), 13 (1%) to the army insurance, 26 (2%) to other insurance, and 69 (6%) had none insurance.
3.2 Results
A total of 1,142 sample respondents took the survey to prioritize 6 programs (A to F) that will improve their access to health care. The participants can assign to more than one program the same priority but each program could only be assigned once. These programs included:
Program A
Investment in new health care facilities to provide easier access (closer distance to places where survey subjects live) and reduce travel time.
Program B
More generous insurance coverage of benefits (FONASA, ISAPREs, etc.) such as for prescription drugs, lab exams, alternative medicine and medical attention.
Program C
Increase in the number of physicians and specialists available and improve their communication with patients.
Program D
Investment in information systems that make reservation for appointment easier and faster.
Program E
Improve the distribution of health care and public health awareness programs (e.g. oral health, sexual and reproductive health, mental health, etc.) to all regions and better dissemination of those programs.
Program F
Improve availability of prescription drugs in all health care facilities and pharmacies.
The estimated total number of assigned priorities was 6,852; however; in one case, only 4 programs were prioritized, giving a total of 6,850 responses. Table 2 presents a summary of priorities assigned by respondents.
Table 2
Summary of priorities assigned by respondents
Priority | Number and percentage of respondents |
With priority assigned | Without priority assigned | Total | Total |
Nº | % | Nº | % | Nº | % | Nº |
1st Priority | 1,142 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 1,142 | 100% | 2,304 |
2nd Priority | 1,025 | 89.8% | 117 | 10.2% | 1,142 | 100% | 1,346 |
3rd Priority | 935 | 81.9% | 207 | 18.1% | 1,142 | 100% | 1,028 |
4th Priority | 829 | 72.6% | 313 | 27.4% | 1,142 | 100% | 852 |
5th Priority | 719 | 63.0% | 423 | 37.0% | 1,142 | 100% | 724 |
6th Priority | 596 | 52.2% | 546 | 47.8% | 1,142 | 100% | 596 |
Total | | | | | | | 6,850 |
We summarized the frequency and percentage of respondents who choose one or more programs as first priority. According to Table 3, more than half of the interviewees (56.4%) chose a single program as their first priority, 20.1% selected two programs as their first priority, while 10.2% pointed out that all 6 programs were equally important, and therefore choose them as first priority.
Table 3
Count of programs in first priority
Number of programs in First Priority | Frequency | Percentage | Cumulative percentage |
1 | 644 | 56.4% | 56.4% |
2 | 229 | 20.1% | 76.4% |
3 | 117 | 10.2% | 86.7% |
4 | 26 | 2.3% | 89.0% |
5 | 9 | 0.8% | 89.8% |
6 | 117 | 10.2% | 100.0% |
Total | 1,142 | 100.0% | |
Likewise, in the second priority, 69.6% of the interviewees indicated a single program as their second priority.
Table 4 shows the frequencies obtained for each priority. Results indicate program C proposing to increase the provision of physicians and specialists in the country and improving their communication with patients was the one that most respondents (34.7% of them) chose as their first priority. This is followed by Programs A and B with 16.5% and 15.7% respectively.
Subsequently, in order to investigate more about the quantitative differences between priorities to improve the population's access to health services in Chile, respondents were asked to assign a score (stickers) to each program. Each respondent was given 18 stickers equivalent to 18 equal points, and was reminded that their choices of allocating these stickers will have an impact on access to health services. Our interviewers instructed them that to have an impact on health care services a respondent should assign at least 3 points or 3 stickers to a program. However, the more points respondents allocate to a program, the better improvement Chilean people will get from that program. The results of this exercise are summarized in Table 5. The results indicate that the most valued program is program C, which received 30.5% of the total score that was doubling the score from other programs. In fact, Program C obtained 5,069 points out of a total of 6,278 from those who chose this program as their first priority.
Table 4
Program | 1st Priority | 2nd Priority | 3rd Priority | 4th Priority | 5th Priority | 6th Priority |
Nº | % | Nº | % | Nº | % | Nº | % | Nº | % | Nº | % |
A) Infrastructure | 380 | 16.5% | 195 | 14.5% | 147 | 14.3% | 136 | 16.0% | 132 | 18.2% | 152 | 25.5% |
B) Better health care coverage | 361 | 15.7% | 234 | 17.4% | 182 | 17.7% | 162 | 19.0% | 142 | 19.6% | 60 | 10.1% |
C) Physicians and specialists | 800 | 34.7% | 216 | 16.0% | 65 | 6.3% | 29 | 3.4% | 13 | 1.8% | 19 | 3.2% |
D) Informatics Systems | 208 | 9.0% | 180 | 13.4% | 187 | 18.2% | 178 | 20.9% | 173 | 23.9% | 215 | 36.1% |
E) Awareness health care programs | 272 | 11.8% | 257 | 19.1% | 245 | 23.8% | 179 | 21.0% | 134 | 18.5% | 55 | 9.2% |
F) Prescribed drugs | 283 | 12.3% | 264 | 19.6% | 202 | 19.6% | 168 | 19.7% | 130 | 18.0% | 95 | 15.9% |
Total | 2,304 | 100% | 1,346 | 100% | 1,028 | 100% | 852 | 100% | 724 | 100% | 596 | 100% |
Table 5
Priority scores by program
| Program A | Program B | Program C | Program D | Program E | Program F | Total |
1nd Priority | 1,862 | 1,563 | 5,069 | 683 | 1,048 | 1,150 | 11,375 |
2nd Priority | 525 | 661 | 839 | 404 | 698 | 778 | 3,905 |
3rd Priority | 313 | 404 | 202 | 317 | 557 | 518 | 2,311 |
4th Priority | 217 | 293 | 55 | 246 | 303 | 315 | 1,429 |
5th Priority | 168 | 191 | 22 | 176 | 160 | 172 | 889 |
6th Priority | 116 | 37 | 19 | 170 | 70 | 104 | 516 |
Total | 3,201 | 3,176 | 6,278 | 2,026 | 2,836 | 3,037 | 20,554 |
Percentage | 15.6% | 15.5% | 30.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 100% |
We also generated a decision tree to predict future preferences based on the conditions or characteristics of the individuals in this study. This method allows us to extract patterns to predict whether a “new” individual who has similar characteristics to those individuals in the sample will choose a specific program as a priority.
To execute the method, we created a dummy variable with 2 categories: “Yes”, for those individuals who want to see a greater impact in the program and assigned 4 or more stickers to it, and “No”, otherwise. The variables used for the program´s decision tree were: region, income, ethnicity, nationality, body weight, chronic disease, healthcare utilization, gender, age, education, and health insurance. We use the following equation in R:
rpart(C ~ region + age + income + education + body weight + health insurance + ethnicity + nationality + chronic disease + healthcare utilization + gender ,data = datos, method="class")
Then, we prune the tree for better predictions and create a generalized model. Below in Fig. 1 we show the results for program C pruned decision tree.
Program C`s pruned decision tree considers two subgroups, 765 individuals in the working group and 377 individuals in the training group, adding a total of 1,142 individuals. According to this tree, 75% of individuals (577 respondents) indicated Program C as their priority program. Of the 765 respondents, 82 respondents had a private insurance or other type of insurance. Among them 61% (50 people) chose Program C as their priority and 39% of them (32 people) did not. Further, among the 82 respondents who has a private insurance or other type of insurance, 25 of them have an income in the following categories: $315,201-$371,054 CLP, between $1,500,001-$2,000,000 CLP, or higher than $2,500,001 CLP. Among them 68% (17 people) chose Program C as their priority while 32% (8 people) did not. Additionally, 82 participants have an income in the following ranges: between $0 - $315,200 CLP, $371,075 - $1,500,000 and $2,000,001 - $2,500,000 CLP. Among them, 74% (42 people) chose program C as a priority, while 26% (15 people) did not. On the other branch of the tree, out of the 765 respondents, 683 have a public insurance, an army insurance or non-insurance. Among them 77% (527 people) chose Program C as a priority and 23% (156 people) did not.
The second section of the survey asks about people´s preferences for a distributive justice principle for healthcare to guide priority setting of health care services in Chile. The principles included were: 1) equal access for healthcare, 2) equal access for equal health needs, 3) equal access for equal ability to benefit, and 4) equality in health.
We foresee that this is an abstract ethical question that not every sample respondents can easily understand, let along making a choice. In addition to a clear definition of what each distributive justice principle is, therefore, we also designed an innovative method that includes:
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Pictures of 3 persons with different age, gender, and health conditions (Table 6)
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A Question card showing the implications of choosing each distributive justice principle and how it affects these three representative persons in an example of heart transplant with only one available donated heart (see Table 7).
With this method, all respondents were able to make a choice, otherwise, it will be a very abstract question. These pictures of representative persons, and an example of resource allocation (donated heart for heart transplant) help our respondents to see the concrete consequences of choosing a distributive justice principle. Results indicate that there is no clear majority preference to establish which should be the distributive justice principle guiding healthcare resource allocation in the country. The principle that received the highest percentage (33%) was equal access for healthcare, which is closely followed by the principle of equal access for equal ability to benefit (29.1%). We summarized the results in Table 8.
Table 8
Distributive Justice Principle
Answer | Frequency | Percentage |
Equal access for healthcare | 378 | 33.1% |
Equal access for equal health needs | 264 | 23.1% |
Equal access for equal ability to benefit | 332 | 29.1% |
Equality in health | 168 | 14.7% |
Total | 1.142 | 100% |
Finally, we included a public opinion question regarding whether the Ministry of Health should ask the Chilean people about their opinion in major healthcare system policies. The answer was an overwhelming majority (95.4% of respondents) would like to be asked about their opinion, while 1.8% answered they would not like to participate, 0.5% provided an indifferent answer, and 2.2% of the participants did not know.