The birth rate of monozygotic twins is consistent worldwide (approximately 4 per 1000 births). However, birth rates of dizygotic twins vary by race. The highest birth rate of dizygotic twinning occurs in African nations, and the lowest birth rate of dizygotic twinning occurs in Asia[10].
The prevalence of twin deliveries in the four public hospitals of Dar es Salaam was 2.0%, equivalent to 20 per 1,000 births. These findings are comparable to a study done in two rural district hospitals in the South Western Highlands of Tanzania where the prevalence ranged from 15 to 20 per 1,000 births [11]. Both of these studies were based on hospital data. However, the present study provides data on an urban population whose demographic characteristics might differ to the rural population studied previously. The 2.0% prevalence we observed is lower than a study conducted in Sumve district hospital, Kwimba in Mwanza which had prevalence of 39 per 1000 births [12]. In our study, MNH had a significantly higher rate (4.1%) of twin deliveries compared to the municipal hospitals where we collected data. This may be because MNH was likely to receive twin pregnancies from the municipal hospitals, as these are classified as high-risk pregnancies during antenatal care and delivery.
The findings in this study also showed a lower prevalence of twin deliveries compared to those found in Western Africa. A study in Southwest Nigeria recorded an overall average frequency of 40.2 per 1000 deliveries which ranks among the highest recorded rates of twin births in the world [13]. The difference in prevalence of twins between this study and those in West Africa may be due to differences in diet, maternal history of twinning and socio-environmental factors which are said to influence the twinning rate. The rate of twinning also appears to be higher in developed counties (2.7-2.8%) compared to this study. Several reports attribute this to increased use of Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART) which is not widely available in developing countries[14].
The optimal safe mode of delivery of twins remains a challenge and a subject of controversy among obstetricians. In this study the major mode of delivery was vaginal delivery accounting for 77.3% of all twin deliveries compared to 20.1% delivered by caesarian section. The rate of caesarean section in this study is lower compared to other studies [15-18]. A study by Mutihir et al found the rate of caesarian sections to be 41.3% in Nigeria [19]. Also, in some developed countries [20], the rate of caesarian section in twin delivery has been increasing. Some factors which have correlated with the increase in caesarean section rate include the decline in internal version and breech extraction of a second transverse lie twin [21]. In this study, the presentation of the first and second twins was not studied, which may have influenced the mode of delivery.
Among the caesarian deliveries, 76.2% were done as emergencies and 23.8% were planned. The delivery mode in a majority of twin deliveries is decided by the clinician attending the patient during antenatal care, labour and delivery. However, in a few cases, the mode of delivery will be planned during the antenatal period. In this study, about two thirds of all twins delivered had been identified during the antenatal period, and approximately one fifth of them had their mode of delivery planned in the antenatal period. The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) suggests that the best route for the twin delivery should be based on the presentation of the fetuses, the ease of fetal heart rate monitoring, and maternal and fetal status [22].
Common indications for caesarian section were prolonged or obstructed labour (16.9%) and previous caesarian delivery (18.5%). For those who had combined delivery, retained second twin accounted for 5.6% of all indications. Other indications for combined delivery were transverse lie and cord prolapse. Undiagnosed twins during the antenatal period and during labour were common. This was reflected in the fact that 10 (5.6%) indications for caesarian section were Cephalopelvic disproportion. Intra-operatively, of course, a twin pregnancy was diagnosed. It is important to make the diagnosis of twin pregnancy during the antenatal period in order to plan the mode of delivery.
The modes of delivery at MNH were almost a 1:1 ratio between vaginal and caesarian delivery. This may be explained by the fact that twin pregnancies and deliveries are high-risk with many associated complications, likely to be referred to the tertiary centre. Indeed, in this study 46.7% of all twin pregnancies delivered at an estimated gestation age of less than 37 weeks (preterm delivery). With a risk of preterm delivery, municipal hospitals tend to refer these women to MNH for premature neonatal care. Also, in twin pregnancies where there has been a previous caesarian delivery, the mother is likely to attend the antenatal clinic at the tertiary hospital. There is no trial of labour in twin pregnancies with a previous caesarian delivery, accounting for the high rates of caesarian deliveries at MNH compared to the municipal hospitals.
In this study, there were lower Apgar scores at one minute in first twins delivered vaginally compared to first twins delivered by caesarian section. There were also lower Apgar scores at one minute in second twins delivered vaginally compared to second twins delivered by caesarian section. These findings agree with a Korean study by Ji Young at el who found that one-minute Apgar scores of twins delivered vaginally were 2-points lower those delivered by caesarean section (p = 0.048). In the same study, five minute Apgar scores were still 1 point lower in the vaginal delivery group than in the cesarean delivery group (p = 0.038)[9]. In this study, there was no statistically significant difference in Apgar scores observed at five minutes and no statistically significant difference in the number of stillbirths between the two modes of delivery.
In contrast to this study, a study by Dera et al in Poland showed a significant tendency towards low one minute Apgar score in the second twins delivered vaginally, but when the score was grouped to low (< 7 ) and normal (≥7) Apgar score, the final data did not indicate any statistically significant differences between the two modes of delivery[5]. However, the study by Dera et al was a randomized study with either planned vaginal delivery group or planned caesarian section group. This was not the case in the present study in which the mode of delivery in the majority of cases was not pre-planned. This may account for the discrepancy in findings.
In pairs of twins, the second-born twin is more prone to birth asphyxia, which is related to delayed delivery. In this study, fresh stillbirth and low Apgar scores (at one and five minutes) of the second twins delivered vaginally were significantly more common when the inter-twin delivery interval was 30 minutes or longer compared to those delivered in less than 30 minutes (p-value <0.0001). These findings concur with literature that stresses the risk associated with a long duration of delivery of the second twin. Leung et al observed that the risks of fetal distress and acidosis in the second twin are higher when twin-to-twin delivery interval is beyond 30 minutes[23]. Also, a population-based cohort study in Hesse, Germany by Stein et al found that an increasing time interval was related to a decline in the mean umbilical arterial pH, base excess, fetal acidosis and Apgar scores of less than seven at one, five at ten minutes[24]. Schmiz et al recorded an inter-twin delivery interval of 4.9+/-3.2 minutes after vaginal birth of the first twin. With this very short inter-twin delivery time, the perinatal outcomes were not different according to the mode of delivery [25]. Adverse outcomes (Apgar score <7 and fresh stillbirth) in second twins delivered vaginally in this study possibly reflect inadequate active management of the second twin or lack of proper selection criteria for right mode of delivery before or during labour. Therefore, it is important to shorten the inter-twin delivery interval as this may be the most important factor in the inconsistent prognosis of second twins.
Twin deliveries have a large impact on perinatal mortality rates. The perinatal mortality rate for the second twins (184 per 1000 births) in this study was higher compared to the first twins (125 per 1,000 births) with an overall perinatal mortality rate of 155 per 1000 births. Despite being high, this overall perinatal mortality rate was lower compared to a study by Kidanto et al at MNH which found a perinatal mortality of 269 per 1,000 births for multiple pregnancies (of which the majority were twin pregnancies). The study by Kidanto et al was a retrospective analysis of hospital data over five years which might be more reliable, as in the present study some data was missing [26]. The perinatal mortality rate in this study is high compared to another study in south western Tanzania where the perinatal mortality for twins was 57 per 1000 births. Both of the studies were based on district hospital data [11]. Most prospective studies show low twins perinatal mortality rates. This is probably related to the prior antenatal diagnosis of all twins, careful intrapartum monitoring, planned mode of delivery and inclusion of uncomplicated pregnancies. The poor outcome for second twins (high perinatal mortality rate) in this study may be related to lack of early diagnosis and inadequate intrapartum management of the second twins. On day seven 89 (16.8%) and 93 (18.7%) of the first and second twins respectively were admitted in the neonatal units. Prematurity was the leading cause of admission for both first and second twins which reflects the high proportion (46.7%) of preterm deliveries in this study.
The limitations of this study include missing data on the neonatal status of some of the twins on the seventh day after delivery. This was due to difficulty contacting the participants (including some not having cell phones). This hinders the reliability of the perinatal mortality rates. This study provides data that indicates twin deliveries are common in these four public hospitals but, being a hospital-based study and limited to public hospitals, we cannot generalize these findings to represent the whole population of Dar es Salaam or Tanzania in general.