Treatment Outcome and its Predictors Among Diabetic Patients Attending at Selected Hospitals of Southern Ethiopia.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-917406/v1

Abstract

Background: Diabetes is one of the largest health emergencies of the 21st century. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that globally, hyperglycaemia is the third highest risk factor for premature mortality, after high blood pressure and tobacco use. It is an important cause of blindness, kidney failure, lower limb amputation and other long-term consequences that impact significantly on quality of life. It result peoples in a disease, death and increase a health care expenditure.

Objectives: To determine treatment outcome of Diabetes mellitus and its predictors among patients attending diabetes treatments at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021.

Methods: All diabetic patients who attended selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia were a source population. Institution based cross-sectional study design was conducted at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia. Patient’s data was collected using pretested questionnaire. After cleaning and checking for errors, the data was entered in to Epi-data to minimize error then exported to SPSS for analysis. Descriptive findings were presented by tables and charts. The outcome variable was analyzed by using logistic regression model to identify predictors after assumptions of regression analysis had checked. All the independent variables with p<0.25 was used as a candidate for multivariate analysis. Then the level of significance will be set at p<0.05 and AOR with 95% CL was done as the final model.

Result: From the total sample; 277 (65.6%) were found to be good treatment outcome. The number of medication taken AOR 95%CI; 0.924 (0.869, 0.983), presence of complication AOR 95%CI; 0.425 (0.217, .832), increased fasting blood glucose AOR 95%CI; 0.080 (0.034, 0.188) were found to be independent predictors. Since the magnitude of treatment outcome found to be low, provision of health information about the adhering to prescribed medication and monitoring fasting blood glucose level will bring good clinical outcome.

Introduction

Diabetes mellitus is not a single disease entity but rather a group of metabolic disorders sharing the common underlying feature of hyperglycaemia, which results from defects in insulin secretion, insulin action, or both(1). According to the 2015 report of IDF, about 415 million people worldwide, or 8.8% of adults aged 20–79 years, were estimated to have DM. Of these, about 75% lived in low- and middle-income countries. If these trends continue, by 2040, some 642 million people (or one in ten adults) will have DM. The largest increases will take place in the regions where economies are moving from low-income to middle-income levels. In 2015, the IDF also estimated that, in the Africa region, 14.2 million adults aged 20–79 years had diabetes, representing a prevalence of 3.2 % (2). Poor diabetes outcome lead to complications in many parts of the body and can increase the overall risk of dying prematurely. Possible complications include heart attack, stroke, kidney failure, leg amputation, vision loss and nerve damage. In pregnancy, poorly controlled diabetes increases the risk of fetal death and other complications (3). The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that globally, hyperglycaemia is the third highest risk factor for premature mortality, after high blood pressure and tobacco use (4). It result peoples in a disease, death and increase a health care expenditure (5). It is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), traumatic lower extremity amputations, and adult blindness. It also predisposes to cardiovascular diseases. With an increasing incidence worldwide, DM will be a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the future. The goal of treatment for DM is to prevent mortality and complications by normalizing blood glucose level. But blood glucose level might be increased despite appropriate therapy resulting in complications, such as disturbances in fat metabolism, nerve damage, and eye disease (4, 6). Diabetes is a major cause of blindness, kidney failure, heart attacks, stroke and lower limb amputation (7).

Ethiopia is among the top four countries with the highest adult diabetic populations in sub-Saharan Africa. In Ethiopia According to IDF 2017 Country report the total country prevalence of diabetes mellitus was 5.2%, Number of people with diabetes was 2,567,900, Number of people with undiagnosed diabetes was 1, 960300, Number of deaths due to diabetes was 31,000 which accounts 81.8% of deaths due to diabetes in people under 60 years. Patient attendance rates and medical admissions related to diabetes in major hospitals have been rising. In Addis Ababa Ethiopia diabetes-related admissions in have increased from 7% in 2005 to 34% in 2009 (8). This requires a shift in healthcare priorities and up-to- date data on treatment outcome and it’s predictors in Ethiopia. The consequences of diabetes due to poor control of sugar in Ethiopia ranges from acute complication like DKA, chronic complication and death.

However, there no research evidences in the study area showing treatment outcomes and predictors. So, the aim of this study is to assess treatment outcome and its predictors in the study area in which it provides input for health care providers and institution.

Objectives

General objective

To assess treatment outcome and its predictors among DM patients attending treatments at selected hospitals of Southern Ethiopia, 2021

Specific Objective

To identify treatment outcome of DM patients attending at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021

To identify predictors of treatment outcome among DM patients attending treatments at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021

Methods and materials

Study area and period:

Study area:

The study was conducted at 3 selected hospitals called Hawassa university comprehensive specialized hospital, Wolaita Sodo University Teaching Referral Hospital and Nigist ellen general hospital. Hawassa University Comprehensive Specialized Hospital is a teaching Hospital located 275 km south of Addis Ababa, in Hawassa town Sidama region. Nigist Ellen Mohammed Memorial hospital is the General hospital found in Hadiya Zone, which is 230 kilometer from Addis Ababa. Wolaita Sodo University Teaching Referral Hospital is also found in Sodo town which is 328km from Addis Ababa

Study period: The study was conducted from October 24, 2021- February, 30, 2021

Study design

Institution based cross sectional study design had been conducted at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia.

Source population: All diabetic patients who attended selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia during study period.

Study population: All sampled DM patients who attended outpatient department at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia during the study period

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

All diabetic patients who attended outpatient department at selected hospitals in southern Ethiopia who can give informed consent will be included. Whereas, those who are not volunteer have been excluded

Sample size

Sample size calculation is based on the single population proportion formula.

N= [(Zα /2)2 P (1 – P)]/d2 is used.

N= is sample size,

Zα/2 is Z value which is 1.96 at 95% confidence interval,

P is proportion of diabetic patients and is taken 0.5 and d is marginal error which is 0.05.

At 95% confidence interval and by taking p value of 0.5 just to maximize the sample size; in order to accommodate the maximum variety of patients coming to the diabetic clinics, the sample size will be 384. Adding 10% non-respondent rate, the final sample size will be 422.

Sampling Technique

The study area was selected randomly using lottery method from those hospitals found in southern region of Ethiopia. Proportionate sample allocation was done to allocate samples for each hospital of Adare general hospital, Nigist Ellen general hospital and Wolayta sodo general hospital. So, every patient having appointment during study period was selected since patients visiting the health institutions are random in nature till the maximum number of sample size will be achieved. So, exit interview was conducted at each hospital.

Variables

Dependent Variable

Treatment outcome

Independent Variables

Socio demographic variables: - Age, Sex, educational status, marital status, income and job status.

Behavioral Variables are: - Alcohol drinking, cigarette smoking, Khat chewing, Physical activity practice, practices to prescribed diet regimen.

Disease and medication related Variables are: - Duration of Diabetes, Type of treatment, co-morbid illness, Fasting blood glucose level, DM control, Medication adherence

Data collection Instrument

In order to collect data from the patient, Data abstraction sheets, structured questionnaire and observation checklist was used. Data abstraction sheets were developed by investigator by reviewing different literature to collect relevant information from patient charts and laboratory results. Structured questionnaire for face to face interview was used to obtain patient Adherence level will be classified by taking the sum of 8 question responses and grouped as high, medium or low, if the total score will be ≥3 1 to 2 and 0, greater respectively using Morisky medication scale . The questionnaires have 6 parts, including socio-demographic information, Patient’s Physical activity questions, the Morisky medication adherence Scale with 8 items (MMAS-8) and laboratory and medication related variables. The data have been collected by 11 BSc Nurses and 3 M.Sc. health professionals had supervised data collection process. At the end the outcome will be measured which may be good or poor treatment outcome

Data processing and analysis

After checking collected data visually for completeness, the responses was cleaned, edited, coded and entered into the computer using Epi-data version 3.1. The data will be then exported to SPSS version 20.0. The data will be checked for missed value before analysis. The descriptive analysis including frequency will be used to assess frequency of variables with independent variables. Binary logistic regression will be carried out to assess the association of treatment outcome of DM with independent variables to determine predictors of treatment outcome having odds ratios with 95% confidence interval. Finally forward stepwise logistic regression model with all independent variables having p value <0.25 will be fitted and adjusted odds ratio will be calculated to identify independent predictors of treatment outcome of DM.

Data Quality

To assure quality of the data, properly designed data collection tool was prepared, pretested in hospital which would not be selected to check for understandability and applicability of the instrument and 3 day training will be given to data collectors and supervisor. Besides, on each data collection day, the collected data was reviewed and checked for its completeness by supervisor and principal investigator. Then data was checked and entered into Epi-data version 3.1 for double data entry verification.

Ethical Considerations

In order to follow the ethical and legal standards of scientific investigation, the study was conducted after approval of the proposal by Ethical Review Committee of Hawassa University. Permission for conduct of study was obtained from authorities at selected hospitals. Written informed consent was obtained from each study participant by assuring privacy and confidentiality throughout the data collection period in the Hospital. Individuals who were unwilling to participate from the beginning or at any part of the interview were allowed to withdraw. There was no risk or hazardous procedures putting the participants at harm.

Results

Socio demographic characteristic of the respondents

Out of total 422 sampled diabetes patients; yield a response rate of 100%. Among them 276 (62.3%) and 310(70%) were male and married respectively. The mean age for the participants was 46.51 with SD of 13.85. (See table 1below).

Table 1. Socio demographic characteristics and factors associated with medication adherence for the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422)

S.N

Sociodemographic variables

Categories

Frequency

Percent

1

Age

young age gruop

140

33.2

middle age gruop

139

32.9

old age gruop

143

33.9

1

Sex

male

264

62.6

female

158

37.4

2

Address 

urban

277

65.6

rural

145

34.4

3

Region

SNNPR

326

77.3

Sidama

96

22.8

4

Marital status

single

82

19.4

married

304

72.0

Widow/divorced

36

8.5

5

Religion

protestant

264

62.6

orthodox

104

24.6

catholic

4

0.9

muslim

46

10.9

others

4

0.9

7

Educational status

illitrate

40

9.5

readandwrite

49

11.6

grade1-8

113

26.8

grade10-12

97

23.0

College above

123

29.1

8

Occupational status

Un employeed

11

2.6

retired

45

10.7

students

32

7.6

disabled

1

.2

housewife

79

18.7

marchant

45

10.7

Daily labourer

4

.9

farmer

68

16.1

Government employeed

95

22.5

Private employeed

9

2.1

others

33

7.8

9

Income

low income group

136

32.2

middle income group

145

34.4

high income gruop

141

33.4

 

Behavioural characteristics and factors

From the respondents; those participants who didn’t drink alcohol and smoke cigarate were 95.7 % and 98.1 % respectively. ( see table 2 below).

Table 2. Behavioural related characteristics for the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422).

S. N

Behavioural factors

Categories

frequency

percent

1

Dietary practice

poor practice

180

42.7

good practice

242

57.3

2

Physical activity

Inactive( poor)

258

61.1

Active ( good)

164

38.9

3

Alcohol drinking

yes

18

4.3

no

404

95.7

4

Smoke cigarette

yes

8

1.9

no

414

98.1

 

Disease and medication related characteristics 

In this study 365 (82.4%) were type II diabetes and 277 (62.5%) had developed complication. Regard to medication adherence and treatment outcome; 195 (44%) and 290 (65.5%) were found to be poor and good adherence and outcome respectively. (See table 3 below) 

Table 3. Disease and medication related characteristics for the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422).

 

Disease and medication related  factors

Categories

frequency

percent

  1.  

Past hx of admission due to DM

yes

284

64.1

no

159

35.9

2

Presence of complication

yes

267

63.3

no

155

36.7

3

Type of complication

DKA

195

46.2

hhnks

21

5.0

others

44

10.4

hypoglycemia

7

1.7

4

Type of DM

type1

143

33.9

type2

272

64.5

others

7

1.7

5

MAT (Medication Adherence)

not adhered

16

3.8

adhered

406

96.2

6

RX 3(current DM medication intake)

insulin

175

41.5

Oral

247

58.5

9

Blood glucose level

FBS between 60-140

132

31.3

FBS >= 140

290

68.7

10

Frequency of Blood glucose Level measurement

never

29

6.9

once

31

7.3

sometimes

167

39.6

mostly

99

23.5

always

96

22.7

 

Prevalence of treatment outcome

From the total sample the treatment outcome 277 (65.6%) were good. Whereas 145 (34.4%) were found to be poor. 

Sociodemographic factors associated with treatment outcome

From the sociodemographic variables affecting the respondents; only marital status and educational status were found to be associated significantly with the treatment outcome. (See table 4 below). 

Table 4:- Sociodemographic factors associated with treatment outcome among the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422).

S.n

Variables 

category

Glycemic control

Exp(B)

95% C.I.for EXP(B)

p- value

Good 

poor

Lower

Upper

1

Age

young

88(31.8)

52(35.9)

 

 

 

0.511

middle

90(32.5)

49(33.8)

0.921

0.565

1.502

old

99(35.7)

44(30.3)

0.752

0.459

1.232

2

Sex

male

172(62.1)

92(63.4)

1.060

0.699

1.607

0.78

 

Female

105(37.9)

53(36.6)

 

 

 

3

address

Urban

190(68.6)

87(60.0)

0.687

0.452

1.043

0.078

Rural

87(31.4)

58(40.0)

 

 

 

4

Marital status

single

58(20.9)

24(16.6)

3.103

.659

14.625

0.033

married

188(67.9)

116(80.0)

4.628

1.039

20.604

Widow/divorced

31(11.2)

5(3.5)

1.406

.206

9.619

5

Educational status

illitrate

22(7.9)

18(12.4)

1.977

.949

4.120

0.04

Read and write

39(14.1)

10(6.9)

.620

.280

1.373

grade1-8

66(23.8)

47(32.4)

1.721

1.004

2.951

grade10-12

63(22.7)

34(23.4)

1.304

.738

2.306

College and above

87(31.4)

36(24.8)

 

 

 

0.443

7

Income

low

69(28.2)

31(22.0)

 

 

 

0.355

middle

87(35.5)

58(41.1)

0.769

0.446

1.326

high

89(36.3)

52(36.9)

1.141

0.708

1.838

 

Behavioural factors affecting treatment outcome

From the four behavioural variables included in the study; none of them were found to be associated significantly ( See table 5 below).

Table 5:- behavioural factors associated with treatment outcome among the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422).

S.n

Variables              

category

Glycemic control

Exp(B)

95% C.I.for EXP(B)

p- value

 

Good 

poor

Lower

Upper

1

Alcohol 

yes

11(4)

7(4.8)

 

 

 

0.68

No

266(96)

138(95.2)

0.815

0.309

2.150

2

Smoking

yes

3(1.1)

5(3.4)

 

 

 

0.109

No

274(98.9)

140(96.6)

0.307

0.072

1.301

3

Dietary practice

poor

112(40.4)

68(46.9)

1.317

0.877

1.97

0.184

good

165(59.6)

77(53.1)

 

 

 

4

Physical activity

inactive

173(62.5)

85(58.6)

0.852

0.565

1.284

0.443

active

104(37.5)

60(41.4)

 

 

 


Disease and medication related factors associated with treatment outcome

From eight variables studied under disease and medication related factor ; the following four factors called Past history of admission, Type of complication, Blood glucose  Check-up and Blood glucose level were found to be associated significantly ( See table 6 below).

Table 6:- behavioural factors associated with treatment outcome among the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422).

S.n

Variables 

category

Gycemic control

Exp(B)

95% C.I.for EXP(B)

 

Good 

poor

Lower

Upper

 

1

Past history of admission

yes

164(59.2)

103(71.0)

1.690

1.098

2.601

0.017

No

 

 

 

 

 

2

Presence of complication

yes

176(63.5)

91(62.8)

0.967

0.638

1.466

0.875

No

 

 

 

 

 

3

Type of complication

DKA

121(77.1)

64(64.6)

0.465

0.259

0.833

0.035

hyperglycemia

36 (22.9)

35(35.4)

 

 

 

4

Type of DM

Type I

90(32.5)

53(36.6)

1.472

0.276

7.857

0.684

Type II

182(65.7)

90(62.1)

1.236

0.235

6.496

others

5(1.8)

2(1.4)

 

 

 

5

Medication adherence

yes

264(95.3)

142(97.9)

 

 

 

0.192

no

13(4.7)

3(2.1)

2.331

0.653

8.315

6

Medication intake

Insulin

115(41.5)

60(41.4)

 

 

 

0.978

oral

162(58.5)

85(58.6)

1.006

0.669

1.512

7

Blood glucose  Check- up 

never

22(7.9)

7(4.8)

0.376

0.147

0.963

0.031

once

19(6.9)

12(8.3)

0.746

0.327

1.706

sometimes

121(43.7)

46(31.7)

0.449

0.266

0.760

mostly

63 (22.7)

36 (24.8)

0.675

0.381

1.198

always

277(65.6)

145(34.4)

 

 

 

8

Blood glucose level

FBS Between 60-140mg/dl

118(42.6)

14(9.7)

 

 

 

 

FBS >= 140mg/dl

159(57.4)

131(90.3)

0.144

0.079

0.262

.000

From the total of 19 variables studied under this study; only dietary practice, presence of complication and having FBS >= 140 were found to be independently associated with treatment outcome (See table 7).

Table 7. Independent predictors predicting treatment outcome among the respondents at selected hospitals of southern Ethiopia, 2021 (n=422).

Variables

Category

COR :95% C.I. for 

AOR 95% C.I. for

 

EXP(B)

Lower

Upper

EXP(B)         

Lower

Upper

Dietary practice

Good

1.317

0.877

1.97

0.924

0.869

0.983

Poor

 

 

 

 

 

 

Presence of complication

yes

 

 

 

 

 

 

No

0.967

0.638

1.466

0.425

0.217

.832

FBS

60-140mg/dl

 

 

 

 

 

 

>= 140 mg/dl

0.144

0.079

0.262

0.080

0.034

0.188

Discussion

According to this study from the total sample size of 422 participants; 277 (65.6%) were found to be good treatment outcome; Whereas 145 (34.4%) were found to be poor treatment outcome. But it is lower than different studies done in debretabor in Ethiopia, (71.4%) (8); Dessie Referral Hospital (70.8%) (9); Jimma University Teaching Hospital (70.9%) (10). This might be due to difference in measurement scale, improved patient treatment outcome and studies done in different health setting in southern Ethiopia.

This study also showed that those participants who do not adhered to the recommended dietary practice had 7.6 % times AOR; 0.924; 95% (0.869, 0.983) more developed poor treatment outcome compared to those who adhered to dietary practice. So, this study revealed that adherence to dietary recommendation had significant associated with glycemic control among diabetes patients. This study result is consistent with the study done in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (11) and turkey (12 ) demonstrated that poor compliance to diet control is significantly associated with poor glycemic control. It is also found to be associated independently according to the study done in debretabor in Ethiopia (8).

It is obvious that lifestyle modifications, such as compliance to the recommended diet, are very important strategies for controlling patients’ blood sugar. Thus, poor adherence to a recommended diet might make it more difficult to control blood sugar.

This study also showed that those participants who have complication were found to be 57.5 % times AOR; 0.425; 95% (0.217, 0.832) develop poor treatment outcome when compared with that of who had not complication.

Other studies done in south west tertiary hospitals (14) and Gondar hospital (13) in Ethiopia respectively indicated that having complication were strongly associated with poor glycaemic outcome. Other studies at mult selected public hospitals of western Ethiopia (14) also revealed that there is strong association of presence of complication with poor glycemic control.

This study also indicated that those participants who had FBS > = 140 mg/dl were found to be 8 % times AOR; 0.080; 95% ( 0.034,0.188) times developed poor treatment outcome when compared with that of who had FBS between 60 and 140mg/dl. It is generally accepted truth that as an individual FBS had increased the more individuals have a probability to develop poor treatment outcome.

RECOMMENDATION 

Since the magnitude of treatment outcome were found to be low, the health care providers together with the responsible bodies should strengthen to provide toward improvement of factors affecting the patients by inhibiting them not to be in a state of good treatment. 

LIMITATION

There might be recall bias in the past 7 days while the participants have responding to assess medication adherence.

Conclusion

According to this study; the magnitude of treatment outcome were found to be low. The study also revealed that dietary practice, presence of complication and having FBS greater than 140mg/dl were found to be predicting independently.

Abbreviations

CBE: Community based education

DM: Diabetes mellitus

HUCSH: Hawassa University Comprehensive Specialized Hospital

WHO: World health organization

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

After the ethical review committee of hawassa University College of medicine and health science have approved; the study was employed. Then after promising confidentiality written informed consent was got from each study participant in order to proceed in the study. An individual who was unenthusiastic to join in the study was allowed to take out. We also assure that there was no danger that put the participant putting the participants at hurt. 

Consent for publication

We all reach to consensus for publication. I am a corresponding author and first author of this finding.

Consent to publish

The consent form is held by the authors. Written informed consent was obtained from the participant. 

Availability of data and materials

The study finding were putted in public repositories 

Competing interests

There is no opposing interest.

Funding

No funding is required. To do this research the researcher did not receive any specific funding and performed as part authors intended to do so by their own intention to do research in the university hospital. It was mainly based on their past experience that we have in the hospital with in the university. Since there is no funder to do this research there is no conflict of interest. We also ask free publication fee since we both authors are living in the developing sub Saharan African country called Ethiopia.

Author’s contribution 

The author contributes in conception and design, acquisition of data or analysis and interpretation of data. They also take part in drafting article or revising and approval of the manuscript before it have been published with accountability of the work done in the manuscript

Acknowledgement

We first acknowledge Ethical review board of Hawassa University College of medicine and health science for running of an ethical clearance. We would also like to acknowledge the Hospitals for providing of agreement for study to be directed in chronic outpatient clinic. Besides; we also like to thank study participants for their valuable contribution in the study.

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