Characteristics of included studies
We identified 717 papers and 202 of which were removed due to duplications. Finally, 26 publications, published between 1993 and 2015, were eligible for inclusion (Figure 1). The studies examined 4491 newborns of HCV infected mother, with a follow up of at least 6 months. There were 3 retrospective cohorts and 23 prospective cohorts. Of the primary studies, 100% had described independent, consecutive sampling of their cohort. All studies detected HCV-RNA by polymerase chain reaction, and the MTCT incidence ranged from 1.3–38.5%.
Of the twenty-six studies, twenty-three independent eligible studies evaluated the risk of HCV MTCT between maternal HCV viremia group and negative HCV-RNA group (Table 1). Thirteen independent eligible studies evaluated the risk of HCV MTCT between HCV viremia/ HIV+ co-infected mothers and HCV viremia mono-infected mothers (Table 1). Nine independent eligible studies estimated the risk of HCV MTCT based on different HCV-RNA titers (Table 2).
Table 1
Characteristics of studies assessing maternal HCV-RNA and MTCT risk.
ID
|
First author
|
Year
|
Country
|
Study design
|
Year of enrollment
|
Mother-child pairs, n
|
Mother age, years
|
HCV-RNA detection method
|
Total no. of newborns
|
Follow-up
|
HCV MTCT incidence, %
|
Maternal HCV-RNA (+)
|
Maternal HCV-RNA (-)
|
MTCT (+)
|
MTCT (-)
|
MTCT (+)
|
MTCT (-)
|
2
|
Saez A et al.
|
2004
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1992.1-2000.12
|
119
|
32 (16 - 48)
|
PCR
|
122
|
0, 6, 12, 24, 36months from delivery
|
1.6%
|
2
|
81
|
0
|
39
|
3
|
Elmagd EKA et al.
|
2011
|
Egypt
|
retrospective
|
NR
|
8
|
20-40
|
PCR
|
8
|
up to 12 months after delivery
|
25.0%
|
2
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
5
|
Mariné-Barjoan E et al.
|
2007
|
France
|
prospective
|
1998.10-2002.9
|
214
|
34 (30 - 37)
|
PCR
|
214
|
at birth and at 3, 6 and 12
|
6.1%
|
12
|
125
|
0
|
61
|
9
|
Granovsky MO et al.
|
1998
|
America
|
prospective
|
1986.1-1991.1
|
NR
|
NR
|
PCR
|
122
|
up to 4 years after delivery
|
6.7%
|
6
|
66
|
1
|
31
|
11
|
Ngo-Giang-Huong N et al.
|
2010
|
Thailand
|
prospective
|
1997.6-1999.12
|
41
|
NR
|
PCR
|
41
|
at between 6 weeks and 6 months
|
9.8%
|
4
|
26
|
0
|
11
|
12
|
Steininger C et al.
|
2003
|
Australia
|
retrospective
|
1994-1999
|
73
|
NR
|
PCR
|
75
|
NR
|
12.0%
|
9
|
51
|
0
|
15
|
18
|
Dal Molin G et al.
|
2002
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1994.1-2000.12
|
105
|
30.25 ± 4.95
|
PCR
|
105
|
at 1 month, 3–4 months, and 8–13 months of age
|
4.8%
|
5
|
71
|
0
|
29
|
20
|
Money Det al.
|
2014
|
Columbia
|
prospective
|
2000-2003
|
117
|
30 (26 - 34)
|
PCR
|
117
|
at three, six, 12, and 18 months after birth
|
2.8%
|
4
|
81
|
0
|
32
|
26
|
Tajiri H et al.
|
2001
|
Japan
|
prospective
|
1993 to 1998
|
114
|
NR
|
PCR
|
114
|
at 0, 3, 6, 9, 12 months and every year thereafter
|
7.9%
|
9
|
72
|
0
|
33
|
27
|
Mazza C et al.
|
1998
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1994.1-1996.1
|
70
|
29.8 ± 5.3
|
PCR
|
70
|
was first detected between 2 and 6 months
|
8.0%
|
6
|
52
|
0
|
9
|
28
|
Ferrero S et al.
|
2003
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1990.3-2000.3
|
170
|
30.8 ± 5.3
|
PCR
|
188
|
at birth and at 3, 6, 9, 12 and 18 months of age
|
2.7%
|
5
|
130
|
0
|
53
|
31
|
Murakami J et al.
|
2012
|
Japan
|
prospective
|
"1992.6-1998.12
|
NR
|
31.2 ± 4.0
|
PCR
|
125
|
at least 6 months after delivery
|
8.8%
|
11
|
72
|
0
|
42
|
32
|
Mast EE et al.
|
2005
|
America
|
prospective
|
1993.11-1996.7
|
242
|
NR
|
PCR
|
244
|
at 1, 2, 4, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, and 24 months of age
|
3.7%
|
9
|
181
|
0
|
54
|
33
|
Garcia-Tejedor A et al.
|
2015
|
Spain
|
retrospective
|
1986-2011
|
710
|
NR
|
PCR
|
711
|
at 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18 and 24 months of age
|
2.7%
|
12
|
286
|
1
|
180
|
43
|
Ruiz-Extremera Á et al.
|
2013
|
Spain
|
prospective
|
1991-2009
|
122
|
NR
|
PCR
|
122
|
at birth and at 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 18 and 24 months, and thereafter at 3, 4, 5 and 6 years.
|
5.6%
|
15
|
74
|
0
|
33
|
40
|
OHTO H et al.
|
1994
|
Japan
|
prospective
|
1990.5-1992.12
|
54
|
NR
|
PCR
|
54
|
at birth and were followed for at least 6 months after birth
|
6.7%
|
3
|
28
|
0
|
23
|
42
|
Spence JD et al.
|
1997
|
Australia
|
prospective
|
1995-1997
|
125
|
NR
|
PCR
|
125
|
at birth and at 6, 12, 18 and >18 months of age
|
12.3%
|
6
|
57
|
0
|
26
|
45
|
Ceci O et al.
|
2001
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1995.1-1997.6
|
78
|
30 (21 - 42)
|
PCR
|
78
|
at birth, 4, 8, 12, 18 and 24 months of age
|
38.5%
|
30
|
30
|
0
|
18
|
49
|
Resti M et al.
|
1998
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
NR
|
403
|
NR
|
PCR
|
403
|
at birth and then at least three times during the follow up
|
3.2%
|
13
|
262
|
0
|
128
|
50
|
Zuccotti GV et al.
|
1995
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1991.1-1993.1
|
37
|
26 (19 - 33)
|
PCR
|
37
|
at birth and at 1 month of age, and then every 3 months until 18 months of age
|
16.2%
|
6
|
15
|
0
|
16
|
53
|
Zanetti AR et al.
|
1998
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1990
|
291
|
NR
|
PCR
|
291
|
at birth and at 3, 6,9, 12 months of age and then every 6 months.
|
27.0%
|
17
|
190
|
0
|
84
|
52
|
Paccagnini S.
|
1995
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1990
|
70
|
NR
|
NR
|
70
|
at 0, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15 and 18 months
|
8.2%
|
9
|
14
|
1
|
13
|
54
|
Resti M et al.
|
2002
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1993.4-1996.12
|
1372
|
NR
|
PCR
|
1372
|
at birth or within 3 months and then >3 times during the subsequent 2-year follow-up period.
|
7.6%
|
97
|
800
|
1
|
386
|
Notes: NR: not reported. |
Table 1
ID
|
First author
|
Maternal HCV viraemic/HIV+ co-infection
|
Maternal HCV viraemic/HIV-
|
MTCT (+)
|
MTCT (-)
|
MTCT (+)
|
MTCT (-)
|
2
|
Saez A et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
3
|
Elmagd EKA et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
5
|
Mariné-Barjoan E et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
9
|
Granovsky MO et al.
|
4
|
43
|
2
|
23
|
11
|
Ngo-Giang-Huong N et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
12
|
Steininger C et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
18
|
Dal Molin G et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
20
|
Money Det al.
|
0
|
15
|
4
|
89
|
26
|
Tajiri H et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
27
|
Mazza C et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
28
|
Ferrero S et al.
|
2
|
28
|
3
|
102
|
31
|
Murakami J et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
32
|
Mast EE et al.
|
2
|
6
|
7
|
175
|
33
|
Garcia-Tejedor A et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
43
|
Ruiz-Extremera Á et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
40
|
OHTO H et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
42
|
Spence JD et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
45
|
Ceci O et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
49
|
Resti M et al.
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
50
|
Zuccotti GV et al.
|
4
|
9
|
2
|
6
|
53
|
Zanetti AR et al.
|
9
|
23
|
8
|
167
|
52
|
Paccagnini S.
|
7
|
10
|
2
|
4
|
54
|
Resti M et al.
|
22
|
136
|
75
|
664
|
Notes: NR: not reported. |
Table 2
Characteristics of the included studies assessing HCV viral load and MTCT risk
ID
|
First author
|
Year
|
Country
|
Study design
|
Year of enrollment
|
Mother-child pairs, n
|
Mother age, years
|
HCV-RNA detection method
|
Total no. of newborns
|
Follow-up
|
HCV MTCT incidence, %
|
HCV-RNA category, log10 copies/mL
|
Infant HCV infected (+)
|
Infant HCV infected (-)
|
2
|
Saez A et al.
|
2004
|
Italy
|
prospective
|
1992.1-2000.12
|
80
|
32 (16-48)
|
PCR
|
80
|
at birth and at 6, 12, 24 and 36 months of age
|
2.5%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
0
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
2
|
14
|
5
|
Mariné-Barjoan E et al.
|
2007
|
France
|
prospective
|
1998.10-2002.9
|
194
|
34 (30-37)
|
PCR
|
194
|
at birth and at 3, 6 and 12 months of age
|
6.2%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
6
|
146
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
6
|
36
|
22
|
Lin HH et al.
|
1994
|
China
|
prospective
|
1989.3-1992.4
|
8
|
NR
|
PCR
|
8
|
at I week and 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months of age
|
12.5%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
0
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
1
|
6
|
25
|
Okamoto M et al.
|
2000
|
Japan
|
prospective
|
1992.6-1998.12
|
84
|
NR
|
PCR
|
84
|
NR
|
8.3%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
0
|
58
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
7
|
19
|
32
|
Mast EE et al.
|
2005
|
America
|
prospective
|
1993.11-1996.7
|
182
|
NR
|
PCR
|
182
|
at 1, 2, 4, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, and 24 months of age
|
3.8%
|
≤106 copies/ml
|
1
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
>106 copies/ml
|
6
|
115
|
33
|
Garcia-Tejedor A et al.
|
2015
|
Spain
|
retrospective
|
1986-2011
|
227
|
NR
|
NR
|
227
|
at 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18 and 24 months of age
|
1.3%
|
<106 copies/ml
|
2
|
169
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/ml
|
1
|
55
|
39
|
Ketzinel-Gilad M et al.
|
2000
|
Israel
|
prospective
|
1992-1997
|
17
|
23-41
|
PCR
|
17
|
at 2 days after birth and up to 4 years
|
11.8%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
1
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
1
|
5
|
40
|
OHTO H et al.
|
1994
|
Japan
|
prospective
|
1990.5-1992.12
|
37
|
NR
|
PCR
|
37
|
at birth and were followed for at least 6 months after birth
|
18.9%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
0
|
26
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
7
|
4
|
42
|
Spence JD et al.
|
1997
|
Australia
|
prospective
|
1995-1997
|
52
|
NR
|
PCR
|
52
|
at birth and at 6, 12, 18 and >18 months of age
|
11.5%
|
<106 copies/mL
|
4
|
41
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥106 copies/mL
|
2
|
5
|
Notes: NR: not reported. |
All of the 26 studies included in the present meta-analysis were regarded as acceptable quality, with NOS scores between 6 and 9. (supplementary Table 2, Table 3.)
Comparison of HCV MTCT risk between maternal HCV viremia and negative HCV-RNA group
Twenty-three publications 17,18,31−51 with 4382 newborns of HCV infected mother and 296 MTCT children were identified. The pooled MTCT incidence in the maternal HCV viremia group was 9.55% (95% CI: 8.55%-10.64%), compared with 0.30% (95% CI: 0.11%-0.80%) in negative HCV-RNA group (Table 1).
Heterogeneity was not presented in the included studies (Q = 8.21, P = 1.000; I2 = 0.00%). The pooled OR of MTCT in maternal HCV viremia compared to negative HCV-RNA group was 8.14 (95% CI, 4.62-14.31; P < 0.0001) by random-effects model (Fig. 2A). A sensitivity analysis including only prospective studies with a sample size larger than 100 showed the pooled OR of MTCT was 8.83(95% CI: 4.18–18.65), indicating good robustness of the results (supplementary appendix Fig. 1A)
The funnel plot showed symmetric distribution which indicated the absence of publication bias (supplementary appendix Fig. 2A). However, Begg’s test (P = 0.010) and Egger’s test (P = 0.357) suggested the existence of publication bias.
Multiple-subgroup analysis was conducted among maternal HCV viremia/HIV+ group, HCV viremia mono-infected group and HCV-RNA negative group. The pooled OR was 2.33 (95% CI: 1.16–4.68) for MTCT in HCV viremia/ HIV+ versus HCV viremia mono-infected group, 8.16 (95% CI: 3.19–20.88) for HCV viremia mono-infected versus HCV-RNA negative group, 15.41(95% CI: 5.69–41.74) for HCV viremia/ HIV+ versus HCV-RNA negative group, respectively. All the three significant pooled ORs survived Holm-Bonferroni correction (adjusted P values are 0.0174, 0.0003 and 0.0003 respectively) (Fig. 2A).
Subgroup analysis by country income showed the pooled OR of MTCT was 8.79 (95% CI: 4.85–15.95) in the high-income country subgroup, and 4.06 (95% CI, 0.68-24.21) in the middle-income country subgroup.
Subgroup analysis by regions of the different risk level showed the pooled OR of MTCT was 9.48 (95% CI, 4.77–18.85) in the moderate risk region subgroup; in the high-risk region subgroup, the overall MTCT OR was 5.00 (95% CI: 0.17-146.64) and in the low-risk region subgroup, the overall MTCT OR was 6.01 (95% CI: 2.13-16.97).
Meta-regression analysis indicated that publication year (Z = 0.13, P = 0.897) and MTCT incidence (Z = 0.92, P = 0.359) were not correlate to HCV MTCT risk.
Comparison of HCV MTCT incidence between different HCV-RNA titers
Nine publications 18,31,41–44,52−54 with 881 newborns of HCV infected mother met eligibility for comparing MTCT incidence between mothers with high (≥6 log10 copies/ml) or low level of viremia (< 6 log copies/ml) (Table 2). The pooled MTCT incidence in high viremia group was 11.30% (95% CI: 8.15%-15.47%) and 2.38% (95% CI: 6.57%-27.95%) in low viremia group.
No significant heterogeneity observed across studies (Q = 9.28, P =0.320; I2 = 0.00%). Pregnant women with high level of viremia experienced an elevated risk of HCV MTCT (OR=4.93, 95% CI: 2.38,-10.21; P<0.001) compared with those with low HCV viremia titer by random effects model analysis (Fig. 2B). We conducted further sensitivity analysis by limiting studies to those prospective studies with a sample size larger than 100, and the pooled OR of MTCT was 3.82 (95% CI: 1.35-10.79), indicating good robustness of the results (supplementary appendix, Fig. 1B).
The funnel plot showed symmetry, which indicated insufficient evidence of publication bias (supplementary appendix, Fig. 2B). Begg’s test (P = 0.920) and Egger’s test (P = 0.455) also suggested the absence of publication bias.
Subgroup analysis by country income showed the pooled MTCT OR was 5.00 (95% CI: 2.54–11.24) in the high-income country subgroup, and 0.69 (95% CI:0.02–26.90) in the middle-income country subgroup.
Subgroup analysis by region of the different risk level showed the pooled MTCT OR was 3.84 (95% CI, 1.22-12.09) in the moderate risk region subgroup, and the overall MTCT OR was 7.21 (95% CI, 1.62-32.12) in the low-risk region subgroup.
Meta-regression analysis indicated that publication year (Z = -0.27, P = 0.784) and MTCT incidence (Z =0.31, P = 0.754) were not relevant to MTCT risk.