Clinical characteristics of patients enrolled in this study are summarized in Table 1. The mean age of patients was 65.95 ± 1.5 years. There were 131 men and 68 women. In CRC patients, preoperative and surveillance chest CTs revealed 78 and 121 SPNs, respectively. The proportion of patients in which the index tumor was located in the rectum was significantly higher in the solitary LM group than that in the primary LC group (63.6% vs. 41.4%, P = 0.003). According to the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor-node-metastasis staging system [12], the proportion of patients with clinical stage I-II index tumor was significantly higher in the primary LC group than that in the solitary LM group (77.5% vs. 24.3%, P < 0.001).
CT features of SPNs were compared between primary LC and solitary LM groups (Table 2). The mean size of nodules was significantly greater in the primary LC group (1.91 cm; IQR: 1.50–2.25 cm) than the solitary LM group (1.49 cm; IQR: 1.00 − 1.70 cm) (P < 0.001).
Table 2
Comparison of CT Features of SPNs
| LC (n = 70) | LM (n = 129) | P value |
Size | 1.91 ± 0.55 | 1.49 ± 0.62 | < 0.001 |
Cranial-caudal location | | | 0.188 |
Upper | 35 (50.0) | 52 (40.3) | |
Non-upper | 35 (50.0) | 77 (59.7) | |
Axial location | | | 0.105 |
Central | 12 (17.1) | 12 (9.3) | |
Peripheral | 58 (82.9) | 117 (90.7) | |
Margin | | | < 0.001 |
Smooth | 7 (10) | 54 (41.9) | |
Lobulated Spiculated | 30 (42.9) 33 (47.1) | 68 (52.7) 7 (5.4) | |
Density | | | < 0.001 |
Solid | 47 (67.1) | 128 (99.2) | |
Sub-solid | 23 (32.9) | 1 (0.8) | |
Air-bronchogram | 30 (42.9) | 7 (5.4) | < 0.001 |
Cavitation | 13 (18.6) | 19 (14.7) | 0.296 |
Pleural tags | 41 (58.6) | 25 (19.4) | < 0.001 |
Pleural abutment | 32 (45.7) | 53 (41.1) | 0.528 |
Background emphysema | 18 (25.7) | 13 (10.2) | 0.004 |
Values in parentheses are percentages. Values are presented as mean ± standard deviation where applicable. Note: significant P values are shown in bold CT, computed tomography; LC, lung cancer; LM, lung metastases; SPNs, solitary pulmonary nodules |
The proportion of nodules with spiculated margins was significantly higher in the primary LC group than in the solitary LM group (47.1% vs. 5.4%, P < 0.001). The proportion of nodules with a sub-solid density was significantly higher in the primary LC group than in the solitary LM group (32.9% vs. 0.8%, P < 0.001). Air-bronchograms were significantly more frequent in the primary LC group than in the solitary LM group (42.9% vs. 5.4%, P < 0.001). Pleural tags were significantly more frequent in the primary LC group than in the solitary LM group (58.6% vs. 19.4%, P < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in the location of nodules or the presence of cavitation between the two groups (Table 2).
Inter-observer agreement for studied CT features was substantial (kappa > 0.60, ≤ 0.8) for central-peripheral location (kappa = 0.66), margin (kappa = 0.80), air-bronchogram (kappa = 0.71), cavitation (kappa = 0.80), pleural tags (kappa = 0.80), and pleural abutment (kappa = 0.66). It was almost perfect (kappa > 0.80) for all remaining CT features (Table 3).
Table 3
Analysis of inter-reader agreement showing the percent of concordance and kappa of agreement
CT features | Number (% of concordance)+ | kappa (95% CIs)++ |
Cranial-caudal location | 199/199 (100) | 1 (1, 1) |
Central-peripheral location | 136/199 (68.3) | 0.66 (0.50, 0.80) |
Margin | 174/199 (87.4) | 0.80 (0.72, 0.87) |
Density | 192/199 (96.5) | 0.83 (0.72, 0.95) |
Air-bronchogram | 182/199 (91.5) | 0.71 (0.58, 0.84) |
Cavitation | 188/199 (94.5) | 0.80 (0.69, 0.91) |
Pleural tags | 180/199 (90.5) | 0.80 (0.71, 0.88) |
Pleural abutment | 166/199 (83.4) | 0.66 (0.55, 0.77) |
Background emphysema | 198/199 (99.5) | 0.98 (0.94, 1.00) |
Note: +Values in parentheses are percentages ++Values in parentheses are 95% CIs CI, confidence interval. |
Predictive parameters for differentiation between primary LC and solitary LM were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models (Table 4). Age (P = 0.009), a history of smoking (P = 0.044), a colon location of the index tumor (P = 0.009), a clinical stage I-II CRC (P < 0.001), size of SPN (P < 0.001), a spiculated margin (P < 0.001), a lobulated margin (P = 0.007), sub-solid density (P ≤ 0.001), presence of an air-bronchogram (P < 0.001), presence of pleural tags (P < 0.001), and background emphysema (P = 0.005) were significant on univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis including these 13 factors as variables of interest, clinical stage I-II CRC (P < 0.001, odds ratio (OR) : 21.70), a spiculated margin (P = 0.020, OR: 8.34), a sub-solid density (P < 0.001, OR: 115.56), and presence of an air-bronchogram (P = 0.032, OR: 5.32) were significant predictive parameters for discriminating primary LC from LM.
Table 4
Multivariate Analysis of Clinical Characteristics and CT features for Discriminating LC from LM
| Univariate | | Multivariate | |
| OR | P value | OR | P value |
Age | 1.04 (1.01–1.08) | 0.009 | 1.05 (0.99–1.11) | 0.102 |
Smoking | 1.83 (1.02–3.30) | 0.044 | 2.81 (0.91–8.64) | 0.072 |
Index tumor (colon cancer)+ | 2.47 (1.36–4.48) | 0.009 | 1.41 (0.52–3.85) | 0.503 |
Stage I-II CRC | 10.75 (5.42–21.33) | < 0.001 | 21.70 (6.56–71.73) | < 0.001 |
Size of SPN | 3.34 (1.92–5.83) | < 0.001 | 2.01 (0.70–4.80) | 0.197 |
Upper lobe location | 1.48 (0.82–2.66) | 0.189 | 1.33 (0.46–3.79) | 0.600 |
Central location | 0.50 (0.21–1.17) | 0.110 | 2.11 (0.55–8.14) | 0.280 |
Spiculated margin Lobulated margin | 36.37 (11.71–112.99) 3.40 (1.39–8.35) | < 0.001 0.007 | 8.34 (1.39–50.08) 2.41 (0.66–8.89) | 0.020 0.186 |
Sub-solid density | 62.64 (8.23–476.85) | < 0.001 | 115.56 (9.96–1341.06) | < 0.001 |
Air-bronchogram | 13.07 (5.33–32.05) | < 0.001 | 5.32 (1.15–24.51) | 0.032 |
Cavitation | 1.32 (0.61–2.87) | 0.482 | | |
Pleural tags | 5.88 (3.08–11.22) | < 0.001 | 2.41 (0.77–7.53) | 0.131 |
Pleural abutment | 1.21 (0.67–2.17) | 0.529 | | |
Background emphysema | 3.06 (1.40–6.71) | 0.005 | 1.83 (0.55–6.06) | 0.322 |
Data in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals. Each variable with a P value ≤ 0.25 in univariate analysis was analyzed in the multivariate model. All statistical analyses were performed using the logistic regression model. Note: significant ORs and P values are shown in bold CT, computed tomography; LC, lung cancer; LM, lung metastases; OR, odds ratio +Reference value is the rectal location of index tumor |
ROC curves were used to assess the discrimination of primary LC from LM using clinical characteristics (clinical stage I-II CRC) and CT features (independent predicted factors: spiculated margin, sub-solid density, and air-bronchogram) both alone and in combination. Areas under ROC curve values of clinical stage I-II CRC, spiculated margin, subsolid density, and airbronchogram were 0.766, 0.772, 0.660, and 0.687, respectively. The area under the ROC curve value was 0.926 when both clinical and CT features were used (Fig. 2).