ROC analysis
ROC analysis was performed to identify the optimal cut-off point with the highest sensitivity and specificity, which was 443.607 for SII, 49.05 for PNI, and 3 for CONUT (sensitivity and specificity: 0.414 and 0.750 for SII, 0.425 and 0.708 for PNI, and 0.857 and 0.524 for CONUT, respectively). For each index, patients were divided into two groups for further analysis [SII <443.607 (low) and SII ≥443.607 (high); PNI <49.05 (low) and PNI ≥49.05 (high); CONUT < 3 (low) and CONUT ≥ 3 (high)]. The AUCs of the SII, PNI, and CONUT for OS were 0.602, 0.566, and 0.707, respectively (Figure 1a), and the AUC values for OS were 0.597, 0.558, and 0.701, respectively (Figure 1b). Hence, among the three indices analysed in the present study, CONUT was the best predictor of long-term survival in cases with NSCLC.
CONUT, controlling nutritional status; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; PNI, prognostic nutritional index;
Baseline characteristics of patients
In total, 278 cases were enrolled in the present study, of which 192 (69.1%) patients were male, 162 (58.3%) patients had a smoking history, and 176 (63.3%) patients had stage IV disease. A total of 114 (41.1%) patients were classified into the high CONUT group, and 164 (59.0%) patients were classified into the low CONUT group based on the cut-off value of 3. A total of 257 (92.4%) patients were divided into the high SII group, and 21 (7.6%) were divided into the low SII group based on the cut-off value of 443.607. A total of 127 (45.7%) patients were stratified into the high PNI group, and 151 (54.3%) were stratified into the low PNI group based on the cut-off value of 49.05. The characteristics of all patients are detailed in Table 2. A high CONUT score was significantly associated with older age, worse ECOG PS, advanced clinical stage, and lower PNI (all P < 0.05)
Prognostic value of SII, PNI, and CONUT
In the present study, we found that CONUT<3 before treatment was associated with longer PFS and OS (Figure 2). After stratification by TNM stage, the prognostic significance of the CONUT score was also maintained in patients with stage III and stage IV disease. (Figure 3)
A univariate analysis of the factors associated with PFS indicated that higher SII, higher CONUT, advanced clinical stage and lower PNI were factors associated with worse survival (Table 3). A multivariate analysis indicated that SII and CONUT were significant independent prognostic parameters for PFS (Table 4).
Table 2. The relationship between CONUT score and clinicopathological characteristics of the patients [n (%)].
Variable
|
Total
|
CONUT score
|
χ2
|
P
|
<3(n=164)
|
≥3(n=114)
|
Gender
|
|
|
|
0.742
|
0.389
|
Male
|
192(69.1)
|
110(67.1)
|
82(71.9)
|
|
|
Female
|
86(30.9)
|
54(32.9)
|
32(28.1)
|
|
|
Age
|
|
|
|
8.537
|
0.003
|
<60
|
109(39.2)
|
76(46.3)
|
33(28.9)
|
|
|
≥60
|
169(60.8)
|
88(53.7)
|
81(71.1)
|
|
|
Smoking status
|
|
|
|
1.276
|
0.259
|
Minimal/never
|
116(41.7)
|
73(44.5)
|
43(37.7)
|
|
|
Current/former
|
162(58.3)
|
91(55.5)
|
71(62.3)
|
|
|
ECOG-PS
|
|
|
|
5.623
|
0.018
|
0/1
|
160(57.6)
|
104(63.4)
|
56(49.1)
|
|
|
2
|
118(42.4)
|
60(36.6)
|
58(50.9)
|
|
|
Histology subtype
|
|
|
|
3.272
|
0.195
|
Squamous
|
113(40.6)
|
60(36.6)
|
53(46.5)
|
|
|
Adenocarcinoma
|
133(47.8)
|
82(50.0)
|
51(44.7)
|
|
|
others
|
32(11.5)
|
22(13.4)
|
10(8.8)
|
|
|
TNM staging
|
|
|
|
7.504
|
0.006
|
III
|
102(36.7)
|
71(43.3)
|
31(27.2)
|
|
|
IV
|
176(63.3)
|
93(56.7)
|
83(72.8)
|
|
|
Chemotherapy regimens
|
|
|
|
5.691
|
0.233
|
DP
|
32(11.5)
|
17(10.4)
|
15(13.2)
|
|
|
GP
|
97(34.9)
|
55(33.5)
|
42(36.8)
|
|
|
NP
|
37(13.3)
|
23(14.0)
|
14(12.3)
|
|
|
PC
|
83(29.9)
|
56(34.1)
|
27(23.7)
|
|
|
TP
|
29(10.4)
|
13(7.9)
|
16(14.0)
|
|
|
Metastasis
|
|
|
|
5.122
|
0.077
|
0
|
103(37.1)
|
53(32.3)
|
50(43.9)
|
|
|
1
|
122(43.9)
|
74(45.1)
|
48(42.1)
|
|
|
2+
|
53(19.1)
|
37(22.6)
|
16(14.0)
|
|
|
CEA
|
|
|
|
0.764
|
0.382
|
Normal
|
123(44.2)
|
69(42.1)
|
54(47.4)
|
|
|
High
|
155(55.8)
|
95(57.9)
|
60(52.6)
|
|
|
CYF
|
|
|
|
0.750
|
0.386
|
Normal
|
76(27.3)
|
48(29.3)
|
28(24.6)
|
|
|
High
|
202(72.7)
|
116(70.7)
|
86(75.4)
|
|
|
NSE
|
|
|
|
0.638
|
0.424
|
Normal
|
153(55.0)
|
87(53.0)
|
66(57.9)
|
|
|
High
|
125(45.0)
|
77(47.0)
|
48(42.1)
|
|
|
SII
|
|
|
|
2.777
|
0.096
|
<443.607
|
21(7.6)
|
16(9.8)
|
5(4.4)
|
|
|
≥443.607
|
257(92.4)
|
148(90.2)
|
109(95.6)
|
|
|
PNI
|
|
|
|
54.217
|
<0.001
|
≥49.05
|
127(45.7)
|
105(64.0)
|
22(19.3)
|
|
|
<49.05
|
151(54.3)
|
59(36.0)
|
92(80.7)
|
|
|
ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; CONUT, controlling nutritional status; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; DP, docetaxel plus cisplatin; GP, gemcitabine plus cisplatin; NP, vinorelbine plus cisplatin; PC, pemetrexed plus cisplatin; TP, paclitaxel plus cisplatin.
Table 3. Univariate analysis of potential factors associated with PFS and OS [Median (Q25, Q75)].
Variable
|
Total
|
PFS
|
χ2
|
P
|
OS
|
χ2
|
P
|
Gender
|
|
|
0.769
|
0.381
|
|
2.584
|
0.108
|
Male
|
192(69.1)
|
6.0(5.16,6.85)
|
|
|
25.0(22.25,27.75)
|
|
|
Female
|
86(30.9)
|
6.0(4.18,7.82)
|
|
|
26.00(20.88,31.12)
|
|
|
Age
|
|
|
0.899
|
0.343
|
|
1.881
|
0.170
|
<60
|
109(39.2)
|
6.0(5.28,6.72)
|
|
|
26.0(22.96,29.05)
|
|
|
≥60
|
169(60.8)
|
6.0(4.84,7.16)
|
|
|
23.0(19.26,26.74)
|
|
|
Smoking status
|
|
|
0.065
|
0.799
|
|
1.598
|
0.206
|
Minimal/never
|
116(41.7)
|
6.0(4.76,7.24)
|
|
|
25.0(20.25,29.75)
|
|
|
Current/former
|
162(58.3)
|
6.0(4.96,7.04)
|
|
|
25.0(22.16,27.84)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ECOG-PS
|
|
|
1.615
|
0.204
|
|
5.642
|
0.018
|
0/1
|
160(57.6)
|
6.0(4.97,7.03)
|
|
|
27.0(24.68,29.32)
|
|
|
2
|
118(42.4)
|
6.0(4.94,7.06)
|
|
|
22.0(19.76,24.24)
|
|
|
Histology subtype
|
|
|
0.646
|
0.724
|
|
1.730
|
0.421
|
Squamous
|
113(40.6)
|
6.0(4.85,7.15)
|
|
|
25.0(22.48,27.52)
|
|
|
Adenocarcinoma
|
133(47.8)
|
6.0(4.67,7.33)
|
|
|
25.0(20.72,29.28)
|
|
|
others
|
32(11.5)
|
6.0(4.63,7.38)
|
|
|
26.0(15.7,36.26)
|
|
|
TNM staging
|
|
|
6.549
|
0.010
|
|
12.981
|
<0.001
|
III
|
102(36.7)
|
6.0(5.24,6.76)
|
|
|
27.0(23.35,30.65)
|
|
|
IV
|
176(63.3)
|
6.0(4.76,7.24)
|
|
|
23.0(20.23,25.77)
|
|
|
Chemotherapy regimens
|
|
|
1.156
|
0.885
|
|
1.419
|
0.841
|
DP
|
32(11.5)
|
5.0(1.67,8.33)
|
|
|
20.0(14.46,25.54)
|
|
|
GP
|
97(34.9)
|
6.0(4.79,7.21)
|
|
|
26.0(22.08,29.92)
|
|
|
NP
|
37(13.3)
|
7.0(4.02,9.98)
|
|
|
23.0(15.87,30.13)
|
|
|
PC
|
83(29.9)
|
6.0(5.01,6.99)
|
|
|
25.0(20.71,29.29)
|
|
|
TP
|
29(10.4)
|
5.0(3.49,6.51)
|
|
|
26.0(19.87,32.13)
|
|
|
Metastasis
|
|
|
1.424
|
0.491
|
|
3.373
|
0.185
|
0
|
103(37.1)
|
6.0(5.06,6.94)
|
|
|
23.0(19.74,26.27)
|
|
|
1
|
122(43.9)
|
6.0(4.59,7.41)
|
|
|
26.0(22.93,29.07)
|
|
|
2+
|
53(19.1)
|
6.0(3.97,8.04)
|
|
|
27.0(18.05,35.95)
|
|
|
CEA
|
|
|
3.240
|
0.072
|
|
2.163
|
0.141
|
Normal
|
123(44.2)
|
6.0(5.06,6.94)
|
|
|
25.0(22.02,27.98)
|
|
|
High
|
155(55.8)
|
6.0(4.54,7.46)
|
|
|
26.0(22.39,29.61)
|
|
|
CYF
|
|
|
3.147
|
0.076
|
|
1.105
|
0.293
|
Normal
|
76(27.3)
|
6.0(4.88,7.13)
|
|
|
25.0(21.92,28.08)
|
|
|
High
|
202(72.7)
|
6.0(4.97,7.03)
|
|
|
25.0(22.08,27.93)
|
|
|
NSE
|
|
|
0.945
|
0.331
|
|
1.406
|
0.236
|
Normal
|
153(55.0)
|
6.0(4.99,7.01)
|
|
|
23.0(20.49,25.51)
|
|
|
High
|
125(45.0)
|
6.0(4.71,7.29)
|
|
|
26.0(22.07,29.93)
|
|
|
SII
|
|
|
11.779
|
0.001
|
|
7.963
|
0.005
|
<443.607
|
21(7.6)
|
15(6.97,23.03)
|
|
|
40.0(29.18,50.82)
|
|
|
≥443.607
|
257(92.4)
|
6.0(5.42,6.58)
|
|
|
23.0(20.86,25.14)
|
|
|
PNI
|
|
|
12.750
|
<0.001
|
|
46.426
|
<0.001
|
≥49.05
|
127(45.7)
|
7.0(5.82,8.18)
|
|
|
31.0(27.72,34.28)
|
|
|
<49.05
|
151(54.3)
|
5.0(4.14,5.86)
|
|
|
18.0(15.50,20.51)
|
|
|
CONUT score
|
|
|
62.912
|
<0.001
|
|
78.963
|
<0.001
|
<3
|
164(59.0)
|
8.0(5.72,10.28)
|
|
|
30.0(27.58,32.42)
|
|
|
≥3
|
114(41.1)
|
4.0(3.13,4.87)
|
|
|
16.0(14.17,17.83)
|
|
|
ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; CONUT, controlling nutritional status; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; DP, docetaxel plus cisplatin; GP, gemcitabine plus cisplatin; NP, vinorelbine plus cisplatin; PC, pemetrexed plus cisplatin; TP, paclitaxel plus cisplatin.
In Cox hazard analyses, univariate analysis showed that ECOG PS, SII, CONUT score, clinical stage and PNI were significantly associated with OS (Table 3). After the exclusion of variables that showed no impact on OS in univariate analysis, Cox multivariate regression analysis was performed, which identified only PNI and CONUT score as independent prognostic factors of OS (Table 4).
Table 4. Multivariable Cox regression analyses for PFS and OS.
Variable
|
PFS
|
|
OS
|
HR(95% CI)
|
Waldχ2
|
P
|
|
HR(95% CI)
|
Waldχ2
|
P
|
SII
|
2.108(1.242~3.578)
|
7.628
|
0.006
|
|
1.760(0.979~3.165)
|
3.566
|
0.059
|
PNI
|
0.996(0.751~1.32)
|
0.001
|
0.976
|
|
1.529(1.128~2.073)
|
7.489
|
0.006
|
CONUT score
|
2.524(1.864~3.417)
|
35.882
|
0.000
|
|
2.305(1.689~3.145)
|
27.741
|
0.000
|
ECOG-PS
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
1.002(0.771~1.303)
|
0.001
|
0.987
|
TNM staging
|
1.15(0.875~1.512)
|
1.003
|
0.317
|
|
1.182(0.875~1.596)
|
1.185
|
0.276
|
Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; SII, systemic immune inflammation index; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; ECOG-PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; CONUT, controlling nutritional status; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis;