Patient characteristics
Of the 193 patients, 64 (33%) had DHF and 129 (67%) had DF based on the 2011 WHO dengue disease classification[24]. The mean age in those with DHF was 30.5 years (± SD 13.3) and 32.8 years (± SD 14.9) in those with DF. The average day of recruitment of patients to the study was on day 4 (SD±1) of illness. The clinical and laboratory features of these 193 patients are shown in table 1. There were no fatalities and only 7 (3.6%) developed shock.
Serum LPS levels in patients with acute dengue
In this study, we initially measured LPS in serum samples of all 193 patients. We found that serum LPS levels on day 4 (SD± 1) of illness were significantly (p=0.01) higher in patients with DHF (median- 11.36, IQR- 0 to 28.5 pg/ml), when compared to those with DF (median-0, IQR- 0 to 17.63 pg/ml). LPS was detected in 45 (70%) of those with DHF and 63 (49%) of those with DF. Therefore, patients with DHF were significantly more likely to have detectable LPS in their sera compared to those with DF (p=0.0055, OR=2.48, 95% CI: 1.29 to 4.64). Among the 64 patients with DHF, there were 7 patients who developed dengue shock syndrome (DSS). There was no significant difference (p=0.62) between the LPS levels in patients with DHF who did not develop shock (median-11.28, IQR- 0 to 29.23 pg/ml) compared to those who developed DSS (median-13.99, IQR 8.25 to 22.91 pg/ml) (Fig 1A).
31/193 (16%) patients with acute dengue had received antibiotics due to clinical suspicion of a concurrent bacterial infection (recurrence of fever, productive cough and sore throat). Of these patients 10/31(32%) had positive bacterial cultures and the predominant organisms identified were E. Coli, Streptococcus, Staphylococcus species and Pseudomonas aeroginosa. 15/31(48%) patients with suspected concurrent bacteraemia and 7/10 (70%) patients with culture confirmed bacteraemia had DHF, while 3 (30%) had DF. Of those with DSS, 2/7 (28%) had suspected concurrent bacteraemia and only 1/7 had culture confirmed bacteraemia. Only 16/31 (52%) patients with suspected concurrent bacteraemia and only 5/10 (50%) patients with culture confirmed bacteraemia had detectable levels of LPS in serum.
Kinetics of changes in LPS levels throughout the course of illness
Since we found LPS levels were higher in patients with DHF than in those with DF, we sought to investigate the kinetics of LPS throughout the course of illness in those with DF and DHF in order to understand if rise in LPS precedes or follows the onset of the vascular leakage phase. We were only able to assess the changes in LPS levels throughout the course of illness in 90/193 patients in our cohort. 41/90 patients had DHF while 49/90 had DF. In this subset of patients, LPS was detected in 25 (61%) patients with DHF and 23 (47%) patients with DF. Although we found that LPS levels were significantly higher in patients with DHF when analyzing our larger cohort of patients (n=193), this increase was not observed when analyzing the changes in LPS levels in this sub cohort. In this sub-cohort LPS levels were not significantly higher at any time point of illness, although there was a trend for LPS levels being higher in patients with DHF during early illness. (Fig 1B).
We also proceeded to determine if higher viral loads associate with clinical disease severity and the relationship with the viral loads with serum LPS levels. The viral loads on day 4 (SD± 1) of illness in those with DF (median 302, IQR 0 to 11430 viral copies/ml) were similar to those with DHF (median 324, IQR 0 to 2190 viral copies/ml, p=0.48). Interestingly, we observed a statistically significant but weak correlation between the degree of viraemia and serum LPS levels (Spearmans’r=-0.28, p=0.004).
Association of LPS levels with presence of comorbid illnesses
As patients with metabolic diseases have been shown to have low grade endotoxaemia [18], presence of LPS at the time of infection with the DENV could aggravate disease severity. Therefore, in order to find out if patients with metabolic diseases had higher LPS and more severe disease we analyzed the association of serum LPS levels with presence of comorbid illnesses.
47/193 (24%) patients in our cohort had co-morbid illnesses. 22/47 (47%) had atopic diseases such as asthma, allergic rhinitis and 29/47 (62%) of them had metabolic diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, ischaemic heart disease and hyperlipidemia. 22/29 (75.9%) patients with metabolic diseases and 17/22 (77.3%) of patients with atopic diseases had detectable LPS in their sera. Therefore, those with metabolic diseases were significantly more likely (p=0.025) to have detectable LPS than those who did not (OR=2.9, 95% CI- 1.17 to 7.59) and those with atopic diseases (asthma and allergic rhinitis) were also significantly more likely (p=0.039) to have detectable LPS in their sera compared to those without atopic disorders (OR=3.06, 95% CI-1.07 to 7.81). However, those with metabolic disease or atopic disease were not more likely to develop DHF in our cohort as this study was not powered to evaluate such associations. There were no significant differences of viral loads with the presence of any comorbid illnesses (p=0.52) or metabolic diseases (p=0.54) or atopic diseases (p=0.98).
Association between Serum CRP and LPS in patients with acute dengue
Since patients with DHF were more likely to have higher LPS levels, we next sought to investigate the possible association of CRP values with serum LPS. We found that although CRP levels were slightly higher in patients with DHF (median 8.67, IQR 5.34 to 20.33 mg/L) than those with DF (median 6.82, IQR 5.27 to 11.85 mg/L), the difference was not significant (p=0.103) (Figure 2A). In addition, there was no significant difference (p=0.21) between the CRP levels in patients with DHF who did not develop shock (median-8.3, IQR 5.32 to 19.34 mg/L) compared to those who developed DSS (median-15.05, IQR 6.49 to 38.15 mg/L). However, patients with elevated CRP levels (>10mg/L) were significantly more likely (p=0.01) to have detectable LPS in their sera compared to those with normal CRP levels (OR=2.261, 95% CI: 1.206 to 4.169). There was no significant correlation between CRP levels and viral loads (Spearman’s r=0.06, p=0.56).
As serum CRP levels were found to be higher in patients with DHF although not significant, we sought to investigate the kinetics of CRP in patients with DHF and DF throughout the course of illness in patients with DHF (n=41) and DF (n=51), as a high CRP in early illness was suggested to have a good predictive value in developing severe dengue[27]. We indeed found that the CRP values in early illness (day 3 of illness) was significantly higher (p=0.03) in those with DHF (median 20.3, range 5.1 to 56 mg/dl) compared to those with DF (median 9.4, range 4.8 to 22.9 mg/dl) (Figure 2B). When we analyzed the association in the kinetics of serum LPS and CRP levels throughout the course of illness, we found that serum CRP levels statistically significantly but weakly correlated (Spearman’s r=0.15, p=0.017) with serum LPS levels (Figure 2C).
Association of serum IL-18 and LPS in patients with acute dengue
As we have previously observed that significant changes occur in levels of serum cytokines in patients with acute dengue at different phases of illness, in order to fully understand the changes in IL-18 levels we evaluated the changes in serum IL-18 levels in patients with DHF (n=30) and DF (n=23) throughout the course of illness. We found that although serum IL-18 levels were higher in patients with DHF compared to those with DF, especially during early illness, these differences were not significant at any time point (Figure 3A). The median values of IL-18 seen throughout the course of illness was similar to the values observed previously in patients with DHF (median values 409.5 pg/ml in early illness to 352.3 pg/ml in late illness) and DF (median values 327.1 pg/ml in early illness to 224.2 pg/ml in late illness) (Fig 3A)[28] and were several folds higher than IL-18 levels seen in healthy individuals[28]. However, serum IL-18 levels did show a statistically significant but weak correlation with serum LPS levels (Spearman’s r=0.20, p=0.009) (Figure 3B).
Association of serum LBP with LPS in patients with acute dengue
As LBP has shown to be crucial for the immune responses to LPS, we assessed the LBP levels in patients with DHF (n=30) and DF (n=23) throughout the course of illness. We found that LBP levels were markedly high in both group of patients throughout the course of illness. Although the LBP levels were slightly higher in those with DHF there was no significant difference between both groups at any time point during the course of illness (Fig 3C). The LBP levels remained high throughout (4 to 5-fold higher than values detected in healthy individuals[29]) in patients with both DF and DHF. There was no association between serum LBP and LPS levels (Spearman’s r=0.112, p=0.16) (Figure 3D).
Association of serum PAF levels with LPS levels in acute dengue
We previously reported that LPS treated DENV infected monocytes produced significantly more PAF compared to uninfected monocytes treated with LPS alone and DENV infected monocytes untreated with LPS [14]. Since we also reported that PAF was an important cause of vascular leakage in acute dengue[15], we proceeded to determine if PAF levels were higher in those with endotoxaemia. Serum PAF levels were assessed in 103 (DHF=23, DF=80) and there was no significant difference of serum PAF levels on day 4 (SD ±1) between patients with DHF (median 11.63, IQR 9.57 to 14.74 ng/ml) compared to DF (median 11.63, IQR 10.17 to 14.14 ng/ml). There was no difference in PAF levels in those who had LPS (median 11.51, IQR 9.76 to 14.11 ng/ml) in their serum compared to those who did not have LPS (median 12.39, IQR 10.89 to 14.98 ng/ml) (Figure 4A). Serum PAF levels did not correlate with serum CRP, LPS or PCT levels. However, serum PAF levels did statistically significantly but weakly correlate with serum viral loads (Spearman’s r=0.23, p=0.02) (Figure 4B)
Serum procalcitonin (PCT) levels in patients with acute dengue
PCT is considered to be a biomarker that can be useful in differentiating sepsis from other non-infection triggers in critically ill patients[30]. However, it was recently shown that PCT can also be elevated in patients with acute dengue and that PCT levels more than 0.7 ng/ml were associated with DSS [31]. PCT levels above 0.1 ng/ml have been shown to indicate probable sepsis and therefore patients with PCT values over 0.1ng/ml are considered to have an elevated PCT [32, 33]. Therefore, in order to find out the usefulness of PCT in acute dengue to differentiate those who develop complications of acute dengue (DHF, DSS) from those who have concurrent bacteraemia, we evaluated PCT values in our cohort of patients.
Serum PCT levels were not significantly (p=0.24) higher in those with DHF (median-0.11 ng/ml, IQR-0 to 0.30 ng/ml) compared to those with DF (median-0.08 ng/ml, IQR-0.02 to 0.19 ng/ml) (Fig 5 A). Although the PCT was elevated (>0.1ng/ml) in 32 (50%) patients with DHF and 52 (40%) patients with DF, an elevated PCT was not significantly associated (p=0.22) with DHF (OR 1.481, 95% CI: 0.798 to 2.762). There was no significant difference (p=0.29) between the PCT levels in patients with DHF who did not develop shock (median-0.1, IQR 0 to 0.289 ng/ml) compared to those who developed DSS (median-0.2, IQR 0.08 to 0.47 ng/ml) (Fig 5A). In addition, none of the patients in our cohort with DSS had PCT values >0.7 ng/ml. However, the PCT levels were significantly (p=0.02) higher in patients who had detectable LPS in their serum (median-0.1 ng/ml, IQR- 0.03 to 0.27 ng/ml) compared to patients who did not have LPS (median-0.07 ng/ml, IQR 0 to 0.16 ng/ml) (Fig. 5B). Serum PCT levels also statistically significantly but weakly correlated with LPS levels (Spearman’s r=0.163, P=0.023) and CRP levels (Spearman’s r=0.233, P=0.001) (Fig. 5 C and D).
We also found that 20/29 (69%) of those with metabolic diseases were significantly more likely (p=0.004) to have elevated PCT levels in their sera (OR=3.5, 95% CI- 1.47 to 8.5). However, there was no association between elevated PCT and presence of atopic disorders (asthma and allergic rhinitis).