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Research Article
Shallow slow earthquakes to decipher future catastrophic earthquakes in the Guerrero seismic gap.
Raymundo Plata-Martínez
Division of Earth and Planetary sciences, Kyoto University
Corresponding Author
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The Guerrero seismic gap is presumed to be a major source of seismic and tsunami hazard along the Mexican subduction zone. Until recently, there were limited observations to describe the shallow portion of the plate interface in Guerrero. For this reason, we deployed offshore instrumentation to gain new seismic data and identify the extent of the seismogenic zone inside the Guerrero gap. We discovered episodic shallow tremors and potential slow slip events which, together with repeating earthquakes, seismicity, residual gravity and residual bathymetry suggest that a portion of the shallow plate interface in the Guerrero seismic gap undergoes stable slip. This mechanical condition may not only explain the long return period of large earthquakes with origins inside the Guerrero seismic gap, but also reveal why the rupture from past M<8 earthquakes on adjacent megathrust fault segments did not propagate into the gap to encompass a larger slip area. Nevertheless, a large enough earthquake initiating nearby could rupture through the entire Guerrero seismic gap if driven by dynamic rupture effects.
Keywords
Shallow tremors, Guerrero seismic gap.
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This is a preprint. It has not completed peer review.
Research Article
Shallow slow earthquakes to decipher future catastrophic earthquakes in the Guerrero seismic gap.
Raymundo Plata-Martínez
Division of Earth and Planetary sciences, Kyoto University
Corresponding Author
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
History
CURRENT STATUS: Posted
Version 1
Posted 18 Nov, 2020
No community comments so far
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
Subject Areas
Seismology
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Declarations:
Declarations
- The author has confirmed that a statement listing potential conflicts of interest or lack thereof is included in the text.
The Guerrero seismic gap is presumed to be a major source of seismic and tsunami hazard along the Mexican subduction zone. Until recently, there were limited observations to describe the shallow portion of the plate interface in Guerrero. For this reason, we deployed offshore instrumentation to gain new seismic data and identify the extent of the seismogenic zone inside the Guerrero gap. We discovered episodic shallow tremors and potential slow slip events which, together with repeating earthquakes, seismicity, residual gravity and residual bathymetry suggest that a portion of the shallow plate interface in the Guerrero seismic gap undergoes stable slip. This mechanical condition may not only explain the long return period of large earthquakes with origins inside the Guerrero seismic gap, but also reveal why the rupture from past M<8 earthquakes on adjacent megathrust fault segments did not propagate into the gap to encompass a larger slip area. Nevertheless, a large enough earthquake initiating nearby could rupture through the entire Guerrero seismic gap if driven by dynamic rupture effects.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Due to technical limitations, full-text HTML conversion of this manuscript could not be completed. However, the latest manuscript can be downloaded and accessed as a PDF.