A total of 589 patients met inclusion criteria, of whom 55 (9.3%) were COVID-19 positive, 137 (23.3%) were COVID-19 negative but culture positive, and 397 (67.4%) were COVID-19 negative but culture negative. Of the 55 COVID-19 positive patients, 24 (43.6%) were also culture positive. All outcomes were statistically similar between COVID-19 patients who were culture positive or culture negative; as such, we collapsed COVID-19 positive patients into a single COVID-19 positive group (see supplemental materials for outcomes stratified by culture positive and negative in COVID-19 positive patients). Of the COVID-19 negative but culture positive patients, 11 (8.0%) had two or more positive cultures.
Demographic and clinical characteristics of each group are provided in Table 1. Compared to COVID-19 negative patients, COVID-19 patients averaged greater APACHE IV scores, BMI, and had a higher rate of steroid use, whereas culture positive patients had greater rate of dialysis compared to COVID-19 or culture negative patients; all other characteristics were statistically similar between groups.
Static Compliance
COVID-19 patients required invasive ventilation for the longest period during their hospital stay and therefore had the largest number of ventilator checks (Table 2). When modeling change in static compliance across ventilator checks, a statistically significant ventilator check-by-group fixed interaction effect was observed (p = .011) indicating that change in static compliance across ventilator checks differed between groups (Figure 1). Static compliance of COVID-19 patients decreased nonsignificantly by an average of 0.08-units per ventilator check (95% CI: –0.21 to 0.05, p = .241), whereas statistically significant increases in static compliance per ventilator check were observed in both culture positive patients (slope: 0.12, 95% CI: 0.01-0.24, p = .042) and culture negative patients (slope: 0.18, 95% CI: 0.05-0.32, p = .007). The between-group difference in change was statistically significant for COVID-19 patients compared to both culture positive patients (difference = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.03-0.37, p = .022) and culture negative patients (0.26, 95% CI: 0.08-0.44, p = .005), whereas no difference was observed between culture positive and culture negative patients (difference = 0.06, 95% CI: –0.11 to 0.34, p = .481). These results were maintained after adjusting for APACHE IV score, BMI, and biological sex (Figure 1), with group-specific change in static compliance being constant across APACHE IV scores (ventilator check-by-group-by-APACHE IV interaction p = .625), BMI (ventilator check-by-group-by-BMI interaction p = .562), and biological sex (ventilator check-by-group-by-sex interaction p = .840).
Use of noninvasive respiratory support was highest in COVID-19 patients compared to both culture positive and culture negative patients (Table 2). Each additional day of pre-intubation noninvasive respiratory support was associated with overall static compliance being lower by an average of 0.60-units (95% CI: 0.09 to 1.12, p = .022); this effect did not differ across patient groups (days of noninvasive respiratory support-by-group interaction p = .357) nor did it differ across ventilator checks (days of noninvasive respiratory support-by-ventilator check interaction p = .637).
Driving Pressure
When modeling driving pressure across ventilator checks, a statistically significant ventilator check-by-group interaction was observed (p = .014) indicating that change in driving pressure differed between groups (Figure 1). Specifically, there was a statistically significant difference in linear change in driving pressure between the COVID-19 and the Culture Negative groups (0.04 vs. –0.03, respectively; difference = 0.07, 95% CI: 0.02-0.13, p = .011) and between the COVID-19 group and the Culture Positive group (0.04 vs. –0.03, respectively; difference = 0.07, 95% CI: 0.02-0.12, p = .005). There was no difference in change between the Culture Negative and Culture Positive groups (difference = 0.00, 95% CI: –0.03 to 0.04, p = .918). A similar set of results were observed after adjusting for APACHE IV score, BMI, and biological sex (Figure 1). Further, each additional day of pre-intubation noninvasive respiratory support was associated with overall driving pressure being higher by an average of 0.17-units (95% CI: 0.05 to 0.29, p = .006); this effect did not differ across patient groups (days of noninvasive respiratory support-by-group interaction p = .438) nor did it differ across ventilator checks (days of noninvasive respiratory support-by-ventilator check interaction p = .333).
In-hospital Mortality and Length of Stay
The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 29.5% (95% CI: 26.0% to 33.4%). Statistically higher mortality rates were observed in COVID-19 patients compared to culture positive patients (47.3% vs. 29.2%, p = .017) and culture negative patients (47.3% vs. 27.2%, p = .002); no difference was observed between culture positive and culture negative patients (p = .653; see supplemental materials). On average, time-to-death differed between groups (log-rank p = .029), with statistically significant differences between COVID-19 patients and culture positive patients (median: 24 days vs. 44 days, p = .049) and between culture positive patients and culture negative patients (median: 44 days vs. 29 days, p = .009); no difference in time-to-death was observed between COVID-19 patients and culture negative patients (p = .149; see supplemental materials). Divergence in survival probability occurred at hospital day 20, particularly in COVID-19 patients; therefore, we modeled risk of death using a heaviside function at day 20. As shown in Table 3, prior to hospital day 20, culture positive patients had 44% lower risk of death compared to culture negative patients (95% CI: 16% to 63%, p = .005), with no other differences between groups; beginning with hospital day 20, COVID-19 patients averaged 3.2-times higher risk of death compared to culture negative patients (95% CI: 1.2-8.8, p = .025) and 2.5-times higher risk of death compared to culture positive patients (95% CI: 1.0-6.1; p = .049). Finally, hospital length of stay was statistically shorter for culture negative patients compared to both COVID-19 patients (median: 9 days vs. 26 days, p < .001) and culture positive patients (median: 9 days vs. 19 days, p < .001); no difference in length of stay was observed between COVID-19 patients and culture positive patients (p = .664; see supplemental materials).