The world community is experiencing a pandemic of the COVID-19 virus and is looking for ways to solve the problems that have arisen due the spread of a new infection. The Tuvinian Institute for the Exploration of Natural Resources of the SB RAS does not stand aside from important work to combat the spread of the virus. We tried to analyze the available data for the Republic of Tuva, Russia and the world. In this work, we used data from the sites of stopcoronavirus.rf, worldometers.info, Yandex.com and others. For successful control of SARS-CoV-2, it is important to take preventive measures as early as possible and prepare medical institutions to combat the spread of the virus, which can be ensured by analyzing the previous development of the process and building a model for planning. The analysis is carried out using the mathematical apparatus of the normal distribution (Gauss), which, in our opinion, most closely describes the laws of the process.