Patients
In this study, a total of 1432 patients were included based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Among them, 1038 patients received RFA, and 394 patients received liver resection. There were 595 patients aged more than 60 years in the RFA group and 224 patients aged more than 60 years in the liver resection group. In the RFA group, 12 patients received radiotherapy, and 304 patients received chemotherapy. In the liver resection group, 8 patients received radiotherapy, and 40 patients received chemotherapy (Table 1).
Survival outcomes in all patients
Before PSM, the mOS and mCSS in the RFA group were 44 months (95% CI: 39.9-48.1 months) and 55 months (95% CI: 46.3-63.7 months). In the liver resection group, the mOS and mCSS were 51 months (95% CI: 44.9-57.1 months) and 61 months (95% CI: 52-70), respectively. There were no statistically significant differences in mOS (P=0.109) or mCSS (P=0.592) between the two groups (Figure 2). After PSM, similar results were presented, and there were no statistically significant differences in mOS (42 months, 95% CI: 34.9-49.1 months; vs. 57 months, 95% CI: 47.4-66.6 months; P=0.052) or mCSS (56 months, 95% CI: 46-66 months; vs. 65 months, 95% CI: 52.2-77.8 months; P=0.351) between the RFA group and the liver resection group (Figure 3).
Predictors for OS and CSS
In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the results showed that RFA did not increase the all-cause mortality risk (HR: 1.172, 95% CI: 0.971-1.416; P=0.098) or the cancer-specific mortality risk (HR: 1.058, 95% CI: 0.847-1.351; P=0.569) compared with liver resection for HCC patients with the Milan criteria (Table 2).
In the competing risk analysis, after excluding the factor of age that might influence the outcomes, RFA still did not increase the mortality risk (HR: 1.021, 95% CI: 0.807-1.291; P=0.862) compared with liver resection in the treatment of patients with HCC within the Milan criteria before PSM. After PSM, similar results were presented (HR: 1.044, 95% CI: 0.807-1.352; P=0.742) (Table 3).
Subgroup analysis
Before PSM, there was no statistically significant difference in mOS (84 months, 95% CI: 57.8-110.2 months; vs. 66 months, 95% CI: 51.8-80.2 months; P=0.881) or mCSS (108 months, 95% CI: 77.8-138.2 months; vs. 75 months, 95% CI: 57.9-92.1 months; P=0.697) in the patients with a single HCC of no more than 2 cm between the RFA and liver resection treatments. In patients with a single HCC 2-3 cm, the mOS (49 months, 95% CI: 42.3-55.7 months; vs. 47 months, 95% CI: 35.5-59.5 months; P=0.835) and mCSS (56 months, 95% CI: 42.7-69.3 months; vs. 51 months, 95% CI: 40-67 months; P=0.638) in the patients with RFA were not significantly longer than those in the patients with liver resection. In the patients with a single tumor 3-5 cm, the mOS (27 months, 95% CI: 23.1-30.9 months; vs. 45 months, 95% CI: 35.2-54.8 months; P<0.001) and mCSS (31 months, 95% CI: 26.6-35.4 months; vs. 49 months, 95% CI: 36.2-61.8 months; P=0.001) in the patients with RFA were significantly shorter than those in the patients with liver resection. In the patients with 2-3 HCC no more than 3 cm, the mOS (43 months, 95% CI: 36.7-49.3 months) in the RFA group was significantly shorter than the mOS (64 months, 95% CI: 46.5-81.5 months; P=0.03) in the liver resection group. However, there was no statistically significant difference in mCSS (81 months, 95% CI: 44.2-117.8 months; vs. NA; P=0.425) between the RFA group and liver resection group (Supplementary Figure 1).
After PSM, there was no statistically significant difference in mOS (108 months, 95% CI: 43.1-172.9 months; vs. 66 months, 95% CI: 49.9-82.1 months; P=0.966) or mCSS (108 months, 95% CI: 34.6-181.4 months; vs. 75 months, 95% CI: 59.1-90.9 months; P=0.601) in the patients with a single HCC no more than 2 cm between the RFA and liver resection treatments. In patients with a single HCC 2-3 cm, the mOS (42 months, 95% CI: 28.5-55.5 months; vs. 39 months, 95% CI: 25.6-52.4 months; P=0.644) and mCSS (56 months, 95% CI: 26.1-85.9 months; vs. 49 months, 95% CI: 25.9-72.1 months; P=0.486) in the patients with RFA were not significantly longer than in the patients with liver resection. In the patients with a single tumor 3-5 cm, the mOS (34 months, 95% CI: 27.2-40.8 months; vs. 52 months, 95% CI: 37.7-66.3 months; P=0.033) in the patients with RFA was significantly shorter than that in the patients with liver resection. However, the mCSS (35 months, 95% CI: 25.1-44.9 months) in the patients with RFA was not significantly shorter than the mCSS (72 months, 95% CI: 39.7-104.3 months; P=0.051) in the patients with liver resection. In the patients with a 2-3 HCC no more than 3 cm, the mOS (40 months, 95% CI: 28.9-51.1 months) in the RFA group was significantly shorter than the mOS (68 months, 95% CI: 37.9-98.1 months; P=0.011) in the liver resection group. However, there was no statistically significant difference in mCSS (81 months, 95% CI: 37.3-124.7 months; vs. NA; P=0.302) between the RFA group and the liver resection group (Supplementary Figure 2).
Before PSM, after adjusting for age at diagnosis, sex, year of diagnosis, race, grade of tumor, summary stage, AJCC stage, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, AFP, and marital status, RFA did not increase the all-cause mortality risk (HR: 1.178, 95% CI: 0.688-2.018; P=0.551) or the cancer-specific mortality risk (HR: 1.171, 95% CI: 0.617-2.221; P=0.629) compared with liver resection in patients with a single HCC of no more than 2 cm. In patients with HCC 2-3 cm, RFA did not increase the all-cause mortality risk (HR: 0.875, 95% CI: 0.626-1.224; P=0.435) or cancer-specific risk (HR: 0.830, 95% CI: 0.562-1.228; P=0.352) compared with liver resection. However, in the patients with a single HCC 3-5 cm, RFA did increase the all-cause mortality risk (1.443, 95% CI: 1.055-1.972; P=0.022) and cancer-specific risk (1.448, 95% CI: 1.038-2.133; P=0.031) compared with liver resection. In the patients with a 2-3 HCC 2-3 cm, RFA did not increase the all-cause mortality risk (HR: 1.596, 95% CI: 0.88602.875; P=0.120) or the cancer-specific risk compared with liver resection (P=0.224) (Table 4).