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The COVID-19-related economic crisis and food- and health-system disruptions threaten to exacerbate undernutrition in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). We used three modelling tools (MIRAGRODEP, Lives Saved Tool, and Optima Nutrition Tool) to estimate impacts on child stunting, wasting, and mortality, maternal anemia, children born to low BMI women, and future productivity losses for three scenarios across 2020–2022 (n = 118 LMICs). We also estimated the additional cost of mitigation for six nutrition interventions to maximize non-stunted and alive children. By 2022 COVID-19 could result in an additional 9.3 million wasted and 2.6 million stunted children, 168,000 additional child-deaths 2.1 million maternal anemia cases, 2.1 million children born to low BMI women and US$29.7 billion future productivity losses due to excess stunting and child mortality. An additional $1.2 billion per year is needed to mitigate these effects. Governments and donors must maintain nutrition as a priority, continue to support resilient systems, and ensure efficient use of new and existing resources.
Keywords
Economic Crisis, Food Disruption, Health-system Disruption, MIRAGRODEP, Lives Saved Tool, Optima Nutrition Tool, Child Stunting, Child Mortality
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There is NO Competing Interest.
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
- WebAnnex1Table1FINAL.docx
Web Annex 1 Table 1
- WebAnnex2.docx
Web Annex Details on methodologies of the costing analyses
- WebAnnex3STfNauthors.docx
Web Annex 3 STfN authors
- WebAnnex4listofcountries07122020.pdf
Web Annex 4 List of Countries
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This preprint is under consideration at a Nature Portfolio Journal. A preprint is a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Nature journals have partnered with Research Square to offer In Review, a journal-integrated preprint deposition service.
Article
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
Peer Review Timeline
CURRENT STATUS: Under Review
Version 1
Posted 11 Dec, 2020
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
Subject Areas
Development Economics
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
The COVID-19-related economic crisis and food- and health-system disruptions threaten to exacerbate undernutrition in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). We used three modelling tools (MIRAGRODEP, Lives Saved Tool, and Optima Nutrition Tool) to estimate impacts on child stunting, wasting, and mortality, maternal anemia, children born to low BMI women, and future productivity losses for three scenarios across 2020–2022 (n = 118 LMICs). We also estimated the additional cost of mitigation for six nutrition interventions to maximize non-stunted and alive children. By 2022 COVID-19 could result in an additional 9.3 million wasted and 2.6 million stunted children, 168,000 additional child-deaths 2.1 million maternal anemia cases, 2.1 million children born to low BMI women and US$29.7 billion future productivity losses due to excess stunting and child mortality. An additional $1.2 billion per year is needed to mitigate these effects. Governments and donors must maintain nutrition as a priority, continue to support resilient systems, and ensure efficient use of new and existing resources.
Figure 1
Figure 2
There is NO Competing Interest.
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
- WebAnnex1Table1FINAL.docx
Web Annex 1 Table 1
- WebAnnex2.docx
Web Annex Details on methodologies of the costing analyses
- WebAnnex3STfNauthors.docx
Web Annex 3 STfN authors
- WebAnnex4listofcountries07122020.pdf
Web Annex 4 List of Countries
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