An overall 5-year survival (OS) of the 185 enrolled patients was 43 ± 7%, the mean and median value for OS was 48,7 ± 1.9% and 55,2 ± 5 (95%CI: 44,4 – 66,1) months. While CRC patients OS whose metastatic lesions were predominantly located within peripheral and central liver segments was 56 ± 8% and 27 ± 9% respectively (p = 0,08), (Fig.1A). OS median in the same groups was estimated as 60,3 ± 4,6 (95%CI: 51,4 – 69,3) and 46,5 ± 6,5 (95%CI: 33,7 – 59,3) months respectively (Fig.1A).
There weren’t statistical differences in 5-year OS between cohorts of the patients with R1v and R0 resection margin, 48 ± 7% and 13 ± 12 % respectively, p = 0,67 (Fig. 1B). A 5-year DFS of patients with peripheral and central liver cites metastatic lesions was 31 ± 7 % and 15 ± 7%, p = 0,12 (Fig. 1C). Whereas cohort (n = 27) of CRC patients with R1v margin didn’t reach a 5-year follow-up, the DFS median was 34,2 and 46,5 months for R1v and R0 cohorts respectively, p = 0,62 (Fig. 1D).
In attempt to comprehensively assess the risks of survival and their relation to independent clinical and surgical factors, we performed a comparative analysis of the existing database (see table 3).
Table 1
Univariate and multivariate analysis for overall survival prognosis
|
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
|
n
|
Median, months
|
P
|
B-factor
|
P
|
Preoperative factors:
|
T1-2
|
27
|
-
|
0,32
|
0,54
|
0,21
|
T3-4
|
158
|
31,6
|
|
|
N-
|
93
|
-
|
0,24
|
-0,34
|
0,44
|
N+
|
78
|
30,9
|
|
|
M0
|
82
|
-
|
0,21
|
0,98
|
0,79
|
M1
|
103
|
39,2
|
|
|
Primary tumor site:
|
|
|
|
|
Right colon
|
28
|
25,4
|
0,52
|
-0,83
|
0,13
|
Left colon
|
157
|
-
|
|
|
Lung metastases
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yes
|
18
|
16,7
|
0,001
|
-0,41
|
0,53
|
No
|
167
|
-
|
|
|
KRAS-status
|
|
|
|
2,3
|
0,001
|
Mutation
|
48
|
14,6
|
0,001
|
|
|
Wild type
|
137
|
-
|
|
|
Tumor burden of the liver
|
Number of metastatic sites:
|
|
|
|
|
|
1-5
|
99
|
39,2
|
0,67
|
-0,67
|
0,12
|
>5
|
86
|
25,4
|
|
|
Size of metastatic lesion*:
|
|
|
|
|
|
<50mm
|
132
|
66,2
|
0,99
|
0,36
|
0,45
|
≥ 50 mm
|
53
|
35,1
|
|
|
Involved segments
|
|
|
|
|
|
1-3
|
127
|
-
|
0,001
|
0,96
|
0,02
|
≥4
|
58
|
14,6
|
|
|
Predominant location of metastatic lesions
|
|
|
|
|
|
Central
|
78
|
-
|
0,3
|
0,35
|
0,46
|
Periphereal
|
107
|
37,4
|
|
|
Surgical factors
|
|
|
|
|
|
Resection margin:
|
|
|
|
|
|
R0
|
158
|
-
|
0,44
|
-0,66
|
0,91
|
R1v
|
27
|
28,1
|
|
|
Acknowledgement. “-” – median survival not reached at the time of analysis, * – in case of multiple lesions, the largest lesion size was chosen; В – Beta coefficient; In current equation, the independent variable is the overall cumulative survival rate.
Table 3 contains data from univariate and multivariate analysis (MVA) of risk assessment for overall cumulative survival depending on a number of surgical and clinical factors. According to univariate analysis, the overall survival significantly depended on the presence of lung metastases. MVA variables depended on the presence of KRAS mutation and the involvement of ≥ 4 anatomical liver segments.