Participant characteristics
The total numbers of participants in each data collection wave were: 6,822 for the antenatal survey (DCW0), 6,389 for the 9-month survey (DCW1), 6,508 for the 2-year survey (DCW2), and 5,899 for the 4-year survey (DCW3). Descriptive results are presented in Table 1. In the antenatal survey, the proportion of NZ European participants was 0.55, Māori 0.13, Pacific 0.14 Asian 0.14 and other ethnicities 0.04. The number of participants included in each analysis differed, depending on wave-specific participation coverage and data completeness for covariates. Participants with missing data were excluded from regression analyses.
Determinants of healthcare access
Immunisation
At the antenatal survey, 81% of 4520 mothers in our regression sample intended to immunise their children. Unadjusted analyses showed higher levels of intention to immunise among all ethnic groups compared to NZ Europeans (Table 2). Looking at actual immunisation, 71% of 5384 children received their first-year immunisations on time, with Māori and Pacific children having lower proportions and Asian children having a higher proportion than NZ Europeans. However, Pacific children appear to be marginally more likely to be immunised on time than NZ European children when regressions are adjusted for individual characteristics. At 2-years survey, the proportion of Asian and Pacific children fully immunised was higher than NZ Europeans, and the gaps between ethnic groups were smaller. By the 4-year survey, complete immunisation rate was 86% (of 4844 mothers). In the unadjusted model, higher vaccination coverage for Asian and Pacific children persisted, while Māori children had lower likelihood of being immunised. However, the difference in 4-year immunisation rates between Māori and NZ European children is statistically insignificant in the adjusted model.
Overall Pacific and Asian children had higher immunisation intention and uptake across all four waves. These findings are supported by negative marginal effects in the antenatal and 9-month waves for ‘NZ born’ mothers who are mostly NZ European and Māori.
Other factors associated with lower immunisation uptake were having lower household income, larger household size, and being discouraged to immunise. Factors associated with higher uptake were being the first-born child, attending childcare services, and being encouraged to immunise.
We also conducted ethnic and age-specific regressions for the timeliness of first-year immunisations (Supplementary Tables A.1 and A.2). The positive effect associated with the child being first born was consistent across ethnic groups, while discouragement to immunise played a stronger role for NZ European and Māori, than for Pacific and Asian groups.
When comparing regressions analyses for administrative immunisation records (NIR) and self-reported child immunisation (Supplementary Table A.3) the results were qualitatively similar, which suggests that our analysis was not affected by reporting biases.
Primary care uptake and satisfaction
At the antenatal survey, 79% of 4527 mothers had seen a GP while pregnant. Both unadjusted and covariate-adjusted analyses show that this was higher for Pacific and Asian mothers than NZ Europeans (Table 3). The likelihood of being able to consult the first-choice lead maternity carer (LMC) was lower for Pacific and Asian mothers. At 9-months, 68% of 5341 mothers were satisfied with their child’s GP, and this was higher for Pacific mothers but lower for Māori mothers, when compared to NZ Europeans. However, there was no statistical difference between Māori and NZ European mothers in the multivariate model. Finally, at 2-years, the proportion of mothers satisfied with child’s GP was lower for Māori and Asian mothers.
Additional factors associated with lower primary care uptake and satisfaction were maternal smoking, low household income, rural location, feeling discriminated against, and being discouraged to immunise. Factors associated with higher uptake and satisfaction were higher mobility (self-driving) and being encouraged to immunise, while negative social feedback was associated with lower access and satisfaction.
Explaining the gap between Māori and NZ European
In Table 4, we decompose the observed differences in outcomes between NZ European and Māori (Panel A) and between NZ European and Pacific (Panel B) across all four survey waves. As indicated in Table 1, all independent variables are classified into six categories – mother, child, socio-economic, household, mobility, and other social aspects. Table 4 shows how much of the total ethnic difference in healthcare outcomes were explained by the covariates included along with the respective share of each category in the explained difference.
For immunisation coverage, the total ethnic difference in antenatal intention to immunise is only -0.059, with the negative sign indicating Māori having higher intention to immunise than NZ European. Approximately 86% of the gap can be explained by the covariates incorporated in our analysis (-0.051 out of -0.059). A substantial proportion of the ‘explained’ difference is driven by maternal characteristics (-0.040, (82%)). For timely immunisations observed at 9-month survey, Māori children had lower coverage than NZ Europeans. Almost 68% (0.115 out of 0.169) of the total ethnic gap could be explained by the independent variables. Household characteristics accounted for 40% of the gap. At 2-years, the ethnic gap in immunisations between Māori and NZ European is small (-0.003), and more than fully explained by the covariates included. At 4-years, we find that 51% of the total immunisation gap is explained (0.020 out of a total of 0.039) by the independent variables and is primarily driven by household characteristics (explains 44%).
The gap in first choice LMC is over-explained by the independent variables and mostly driven by maternal characteristics. In terms of the primary care-related outcomes, results vary depending on outcome of interest and time point. For instance, 76% of the ethnic gap in satisfaction with GP can be explained when the child is 9-months old, but this falls to 33% when the child is 2-years old. At 9-months, social factors are the largest contributor towards the explained gap in satisfaction with GP satisfaction. These factors include perceived discrimination, as well as external sources of both encouragement and discouragement towards immunisations.
Explaining the gap between Pacific peoples and NZ European
The negative total difference in antenatal intention to immunise between Pacific Peoples and NZ European indicate that Pacific mothers have higher intention to vaccinate their children (Table 4). The factors included in the model explain 49% of the antenatal gap. Pacific children are also more likely to be fully immunised by 2-years and by 4-years. However, the respective differences are under explained in the decomposition model indicating that the unexplained (unobserved) difference substantially exceeds the explained difference. The difference in timely immunisation at the 9-month survey is more than fully explained by the covariates included in the decomposition analysis (195%). This indicates that if Pacific households had the same observable characteristics/household resources of the population represented by the pooled sample of both the ethnic groups, their immunisation timeliness at the 9-month stage would have exceeded that of NZ Europeans.
For primary care-related outcomes, Pacific mothers are less likely to have their first choice for LMC compared to NZ Europeans. However, the individual and household level variables included in the model explain only 3% of this ethnic difference. Pacific mothers are more likely to be satisfied with their GP at 2-years, and 39% of the ethnic gap is explained by the model. The total ethnic gap for the same outcome at 4-years remains mostly unexplained.