Description of the study area
The studies were conducted in the southern Guinea, northern Guinea and the Sudan savanna zones across three States in northern Nigeria (Kano, Kaduna and Katsina States). The Sudan savanna (SS) has a length of growing season of around 120 days lasting from May to October with total of 753 ± 171 mm of rain over 57 ± 9 rainy days. Average minimum and maximum temperatures are 20.0 and 33.7 ⸰C respectively. The SS is bordered by the northern Guinea savanna (NGS) in the southern extremes. The NGS climate is characterized by a longer growing season and larger number of rainy days (63 ± 9 days) and higher total annual rainfall amount (998 ± 133 mm) than the SS. It has a growing season of 140 days. Average minimum and maximum temperatures are respectively 19.2 and 31.6 ⸰C. The southern Guinea savanna (SGS) is the wettest zone of all the savannas with an annual total rainfall of 1541 ± 270 mm and length of growing season of over 150 days covering April to October. Average minimum (21.1 ⸰C) and maximum (32.4 ⸰C) temperatures are similar to that of the SS. Description of the zones are based on 30-year averages from 1980–2009 as reported by Tofa et al (2021). These zones together present the most suitable maize growing area in Nigeria and are part of the larger maize belt of Nigeria as described by Aliyu et al (2020).
Experimental procedures
Two different field experiments were conducted across the study area from 2015–2017 rainy seasons. The first set of experiment was the nutrient omission trials (NOTs) that were conducted is the three consecutive experimental years. The sites for the NOTs were selected such that the varying maize cropping conditions across the study area are well represented. The site selection was explicitly reported in Shehu et al (2018, 2019) for 2015 and 2016. Modification of the spatial sampling frame work for 2017 is reported in Aliyu et al (2021).
Ninety-five (95), 103 and thirty (30) experiments were established on farmer fields in 2015, 2016 and 2017 growing seasons respectively. The experiments in 2015 and 2016 consisted of six nutrient treatments, which comprised of a Control (no nutrient application), PK, NK, NP, NPK and NPK + treatment which had Mg, Ca, S, Zn and B nutrients added to NPK. In 2017, the NPK + treatment was split into NPKS, NPKB, NPKZn and NPKSZnB in addition to the treatments in 2015 and 2016. During each year, the N, P and K nutrient were applied uniformly at 140 kg N ha− 1, 50 kg P2O5 ha− 1 and 50 kg K2O ha− 1 respectively at all trial sites. Nitrogen (N) was applied in three equal splits, i.e., at planting (basal), at 21 and 42 days after sowing (DAS), while full dosages of P and K were applied at planting. The nutrients S, Ca, Mg, Zn and B were basally applied at the rates of 10–24, 10, 10, 5–10 and 5 kg ha− 1 respectively. The maize variety SAMMAZ 15 is the most widely adopted variety within the experimental area because of its’ tolerance to drought, Striga and maize streak virus infestation was used throughout the study. Two seeds per hole were sown at 0.25 m spacing, and later thinned to one plant per in all the studies.
In each year, each treatment plot consisted of six ridges constructed 0.75 m apart, each measuring 5 m long given a plot area of 22.5 m2. Yield was estimated from a plot area of 9 m2, defined by disregarding 1 row from each side of the plot and 1 m from either row side of the four middle rows. All cobs and stover in the net plot area were harvested and weighed fresh. Five cobs were then sub-sampled at random for determining moisture content, shelling percentage, and harvest index. Grain yield (in kg ha− 1) was expressed on a dry weight basis at 15.0% moisture content adjustment using a grain moisture tester.
In the second experiment, a fertilizer response trial (FRT) was established in the 2017 rainy season. This experiment was conducted across the larger maize belt of the Nigeria savannas across eight States with site selection procedure fully described by Aliyu et al (2020). The trial was established in 935 farms from which 120 sites which belong to the focal area for this study were considered in this study. The FRT treatments included NPK, NPKSZnB, NPSZnB and a Control where no nutrient was applied. The whole plot for the NPK was made up of 20 rows of 10 m × 15 m lengths spaced at 0.75 m. The net plot was determined by leaving out the first two and last two rows of each plot and 1 m each from both ends of each row. Thus, maize yield was estimated from a plot area of 8 m × 12 m = 96 m2. The same maize variety used in the NOTs was used in this experiment. Planting, fertilizer application and crop management practices were the same as the NOTs.
The NPK treatment was common between the two studies because it is the dominant/recommended fertilizer management practice in the study area. Therefore only data of the NPK treatment across the experiments were used and reported in the study.
Soil and ear leaf sampling and analysis
Prior to establishment of the fields, soil samples were collected at 20 cm depth from representative spots at each experimental site and analyzed for physical and chemical properties. Total soil organic carbon (OCtot) was determined using modified Walkley & Black chromic acid wet chemical oxidation and spectrophotometric method (Heanes 1984). Total nitrogen content (Ntot) was measured using micro-Kjeldahl digestion method (Bremner, 1996). The pH (soil/water ratio of 1:1) was measured using a glass electrode pH meter. Available phosphorus (Pav), available sulphur (Sav), exchangeable cations (K, Ca, Mg and Na) and micronutrients (Zn, Fe, Cu, Mn and B) were extracted by Mehlich-3 procedure (Mehlich 1984) and read through inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES, Optima 800, Winlab 5.5, PerkinElmer Inc.,Waltham, MA, USA). Effective cation exchange capacity (ECEC) was calculated as the sum of exchangeable cations (K, Ca, Mg and Na) and exchangeable acidity (H + Al). Soil texture was analyzed using hydrometer method (Gee and Or 2002).
For ear leaf analysis, ten maize ear leaves were randomly collected from the second and fifth rows immediately at the beginning of silking stage (female flower initiation stage) in the NOTs. For the FRT, first ear leaf was sampled from a plant selected arbitrarily at the centre of the plot. The second and third ear leaves were sampled from the fifth plants to the left and right in reference to the first sampled plant. Two rows perpendicular to the first sampled row from both sides were selected and same procedure was repeated. The tenth sample was randomly collected from within the plot.
The samples were washed with distilled water and air dried. The dried samples were then ground with agate pestle and mortar and analysed for nutrient contents. Nitrogen was analyzed by digesting the samples in hot sulphuric acid solution in the presence of Se as catalyst, followed by colorimetric N analysis using autoanalyzer (Technicon AAII, SEAL Analytical Inc.) following indophenol blue method. For the determination of Sulphur, ball-milled samples were digested with nitric acid (HNO3) and the nutrient contents in the digest were determined in Inductively Coupled Plasma Optical Emission Spectrometry (ICP-OES Optima 3300 DV, Perkin Elmer, Norwalk, USA). Phosphorus (P), K, Ca and Mg and micronutrients (Zn, Fe, Cu, Mn and B) were analyzed by first dry-ashing the samples for four hours at 550°C and then prepared and read on ICP-OES Optima 800, Winlab 5.5 (manufactured by PerkinElmer Inc., Waltham,MA, USA).
Data analysis
DRIS analysis
Diagnosis and Recommendation Integrated System (DRIS) (Beaufils 1987) was used to assess the nutrient balance index in maize using the results of the ear leaf analysis. First step in DRIS analysis is the establishment of DRIS nutrient norms. The norms are the average nutrient pair ratios of the high yielding (reference population). The reference population was determined by sorting the data according to yield in decreasing order and a cut-off yield was determined. In this study, the cut-off point was determined at mean yield + 0.5 × standard deviation (Aliyu et al. 2021). Using this criterion, plots with yield ≥ 5645 kg ha− 1 were considered high yielding and were used as the reference. The reference sub-population constituted 27% of the entire dataset. The Mean value for each nutrient pair, their corresponding coefficient of variation (CV), and variance (σ2) were then calculated separately for the two sub-populations. The mean value of each nutrient pair ratio in the high-yielding population were considered as the norms (Walworth and Sumner 1987). For calculating the DRIS index, we expressed all possible forms of nutrient pair expressions i.e., A/B, B/A and A×B. Accuracy of DRIS diagnosis depends on the variability of the nutrient pair ratios for the high versus the low yielding sub-populations. Thus, we again calculated the variance (σ2) for each form of nutrient pair expression separately for each sub-population. It is hypothesised that the data of the low yielding sub-population is more imbalanced and therefore should have larger variance than the high yielding one. Therefore, we divided the variance of the low yielding sub-population by that of the high yielding sub-population. Finally, the nutrient pair ratio expression that present the highest variance ratio between the low and high yielding sub-population was selected among the three nutrient pair expressions, and was used for calculating the DRIS index. The DRIS index for each nutrient was calculated as bivariate relationship between that nutrient and all other nutrients.
As explained by Walworth and Sumner (1988), If we consider hypothetical nutrients A, B through N, then:
\(A index= \frac{\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{B}}\right)+\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{C}}\right)+\text{f} \left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{D}}\right)+\dots +\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{N}}\right)}{\text{N}}\) [1]
\(B index= \frac{- \text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{B}}\right)+\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{B}}{\text{C}}\right)+\text{f} \left(\frac{\text{B}}{\text{D}}\right)+\dots +\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{B}}{\text{N}}\right)}{\text{N}}\) [2]
\(N index= \frac{- \text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{N}}\right)-\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{B}}{\text{N}}\right)-\text{f} \dots -\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{M}}{\text{N}}\right)}{\text{N}}\) [3]
For, if A/B ≥ a/b;
\(\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{B}}\right)=\left[\frac{\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{B}}\right)}{\left(\frac{\text{a}}{\text{b}}\right)}-1\right] \times \frac{1000}{\text{C}\text{V}}\) [4]
or, if A/B < a/b;
\(\text{f}\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{B}}\right)=\left[1- \frac{\left(\frac{\text{a}}{\text{b}}\right)}{\left(\frac{\text{A}}{\text{B}}\right)}\right] \times \frac{1000}{\text{C}\text{V}}\) [5]
Where a/b is the norm for the ratio of nutrients A and B, and CV is the coefficient of variation associated with that norm expressed as percentage. A/B denotes the ratio of average concentration of the ten ear leaves collected per plot for nutrients A and B, n is the number of nutrients considered in the diagnosis, and f (A/B) is a function of nutrients A and B ratio. The 1000 multiplier in equations 4 and 5 comprises of a factor 10 to give the resultant indices a convenient magnitude and a factor 100 to express the CV as fraction rather than as percentage.
A DRIS index value for given nutrient close to zero (“0”) indicates nutritional balance for that given nutrient relative to other nutrients in the diagnosis. A negative index value for a given nutrient, indicates lower amount relative to other nutrients and further indicates that the nutrient is yield limiting. On the other hand, positive index value of a nutrient indicates excess presence of that nutrient relative to others and could also affect yield negatively (Walworth and Sumner 1986).
Statistical analysis
After generating the DRIS nutrient index value for each nutrient, the values were summed across all the diagnosed nutrients for each plot to obtain overall nutrients DRIS index value for each plot. K-means cluster analysis was performed on the summed DRIS index of each field so that, fields with similar overall nutrient DRIS values are grouped to allow for an in-depth analysis of major soil properties influencing the DRIS index values for each cluster. Selection of optimal number of clusters used in this study was guided by highest cubic clustering criterion. This analysis was done in JMP Pro version 14 statistical package (SAS Institute Inc. 2017). Between each of the identified clusters, analysis of variance was used to compare the average levels of soil properties. The mean contents of the soil properties were separated using LSD.
Random forest (RF) regression was used to assess the major soil properties influencing maize DRIS indices in each of the identified clusters. The model considered all the analyzed soil properties as predictor variables using random forest regressor in XLSTAT statistical software. The RF model was trained with 50% of the observations, 30% was used for model validation and 20% for model testing. Feature importance was used to explain the influence of various soils properties on overall DRIS index values for each cluster. Errors in the models training were monitored using out-of-bag (OOB).