Hormone Replacement Therapy is associated with improved cognition and larger brain volumes in at risk APOE4 women: results from the European Prevention of Alzheimer’s Disease (EPAD) cohort

doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1853899/v1

Background:

The risk of dementia is higher in women than men. The metabolic consequences of estrogen decline during menopause accelerates neuropathology in women. The use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) in the prevention of cognitive decline has shown conflicting results. Here we investigate the modulating role of APOE genotype and age at HRT initiation on the heterogeneity in cognitive response to HRT.

Methods:

The analysis used baseline data from participants in the European Prevention of Alzheimer’s Dementia (EPAD) cohort (total n= 1906, women= 1178, 61.8%). Analysis of covariate (ANCOVA) models were employed to test the independent and interactive impact of APOE genotype and HRT on select cognitive tests, such as MMSE, RBANS, dot counting, Four Mountain Test (FMT) and the supermarket trolley test (SMT), together with volumes of the medial temporal lobe (MTL) regions by MRI. Multiple linear regression models were used to examine the impact of age of HRT initiation according to APOE4 carrier status on these cognitive and MRI outcomes.

Results:

APOE4 HRT users had the highest RBANS delayed memory index score (P-APOE*HRT interaction = 0.009) compared to APOE4 non-users and to non-APOE4 carriers, with 6-10% larger entorhinal (left) and amygdala (right and left) volumes (P-interaction= 0.002, 0.003, and 0.005 respectively). Earlier introduction of HRT was associated with larger right (standardized β= -0.555, p=0.035) and left hippocampal volumes (standardized β= -0.577, p=0.028) only in APOE4 carriers.

Conclusion:

HRT introduction is associated with improved delayed memory and larger entorhinal and amygdala volumes in APOE4 carriers only. This may represent an effective targeted strategy to mitigate the higher life-time risk of AD in this large at-risk population subgroup. Confirmation of findings in a fit for purpose RCT with prospective recruitment based on APOE genotype is needed to establish causality.

More than two thirds of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) patients are women (1, 2). The recent 2022 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) report shows that the age-standardised dementia prevalence is higher in women (Female-to-male ratio= 1.69 (1.64–1.73)(3). Thus, higher incident cases in women cannot simply be explained by greater life expectancy (4-6). The neurophysiological impact of estrogen decline during menopause is emerging as the main aetiological basis for the higher prevalence of AD in females (7, 8). Estrogen receptors are expressed throughout the brain, with estrogen regulating multiple physiological processes including neuronal synaptic plasticity, neuroinflammation, brain macronutrient utilisation, DHA metabolism and blood brain barrier (BBB) integrity (9-11).

Consequently, the use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) during the menopausal transition and post-menopausal period is being considered as a strategy to mitigate cognitive decline. Early observation studies showed that HRT may be protective against dementia (12) , with a risk reduction of 34% in an early meta-analysis (13). However, results of clinical trials have been inconsistent (14, 15) or even shown harmful effects (16). For example, the Women’s Health Initiative Memory study (WHIMS), in women over the age of 65 years, showed that the use of estrogen alone or estrogen plus progesterone resulted in a 49% or 76% increased risk of dementia respectively (17). A recent meta-analysis showed that the negative effect of HRT on global cognition has been predominately tested in those >60y. In this meta-analysis, only two studies recruited participants <60y, with one showing a null finding and the second a positive impact on global cognition (18). Limited recent, mainly preclinical, data has identified APOE genotype and age of HRT initiation as potential modulators of the HRT cognitive response (19-21).

APOE genotype is the most important common genetic determinant of cognitive decline and AD risk. In Caucasians, a 3-4-fold and 12-15-fold increased risk of AD is evident in APOE3/E4 and APOE4/E4 relative to the wild-type APOE3/E3 genotype with several years earlier age of onset (22). A greater penetrance of an APOE4 genotype in females, first reported in the early 90s (7, 23), is likely to be an important contributor to the higher AD rates in women (7). This somewhat understudied association has been reiterated over the years (24-26). More decline in MMSE, immediate and delayed memory scores was observed with increasing number of APOE4 alleles in women compared to men (27).

The other possible contributor of inconsistencies to the impact of HRT on AD risk is the timing of its initiation (28). For cognition and AD risk, HRT intervention may be most beneficial if introduced before a certain threshold of neuronal damage accumulates (19), with potentially a ‘critical window’ where HRT can be neuroprotective (29, 30). This critical window is likely to be during the transition to menopause, where gradual estrogen decline increases the brain liability to AD-related pathologies. In a UK BIOBANK analysis, despite showing that cumulative life-time estrogen exposure was associated with increased brain ageing (measured by cortical thickness, and cortical and subcortical volumes), a subgroup analysis revealed that women who started HRT earlier had less apparent brain ageing compared to later starters. Importantly, this effect of HRT timing was only evident in APOE4 carriers (31), raising the notion that the interaction of APOE and HRT initiation might have a significant effect on brain health later in life. However, to date there are no comprehensive analyses investigating APOE genotype and HRT interactions on multiple cognitive and MRI outcomes in humans, which the current study addresses.

Therefore, we hypothesize that HRT will have more cognitive benefits in APOE4 compared to non-APOE4 women, in particular when introduced early during menopausal transition. The independent and interactive effect of APOE genotype and HRT use on select cognitive function tests and medial temporal lobe related MRI brain volumes was tested cross-sectionally in the European Prevention of Alzheimer’s Dementia (EPAD) cohort.

1. Participants and study design of the EPAD cohort

The European Prevention of Alzheimer’s Dementia (EPAD) project started in 2015 (32). Its main objectives were to develop longitudinal models over the entire course of AD prior to dementia clinical diagnosis (33). These datasets will help in setting up a proof-of-concept trial (PoC) for the secondary prevention of AD (34). Participants were included if they were above 50 years, with no dementia diagnosis at baseline. They should not have had any medical or psychiatric illness that could potentially exclude them from a future PoC trial (35). Recruitment was carried out in ten European countries.

The current analysis was carried out on the EPAD-LCS-v.IMI dataset, released in October 2020 and accessed from the Workbench of the Alzheimer’s Disease Data Initiative (ADDI) Portal website: https://portal.addi.ad-datainitiative.org/. The baseline (V1) data from 1906 participants was included, with numbers varying according to the availability of cognitive tests scores and neuroimaging data.

2. Demographics, APOE and hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) data:

Participants’ sex, age, years of education, handedness, marital status, were downloaded and analysed. Those with a Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) scale score > 1.0 were excluded, as scores ≥ 1 are indicative of cognitive impairment (36).

APOE genotype data were categorised into a non-E4 group, which included E2/E2, E2/E3 and E3/E3, and the E4 group, which included E3/E4 and E4/E4. E2/E4 genotype was excluded from the analysis as it includes both the protective and risk alleles.

HRT treatment data was used for women who were current or previous users of estrogen or estrogen and progesterone preparations (Estradiol, estriol, diethylstilbesterol, zumeston, desogestrel, kliogest and desogestrel preparations), via both oral and transdermal routes of administration, and at different doses. Age at HRT initiation was calculated by subtracting the duration of HRT use from the age of the participant.

3. Cognitive test

The cognitive tests analysed used were based on the recommendations of the EPAD scientific advisory group (37) and included the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE), Dot counting to evaluate verbal working memory (38), and the Repeatable Battery for the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status (RBANS) total score and its five main indices that score for attention, delayed memory, immediate memory, language and visuo-construction. Items comprising each index were also analysed where necessary (39). The RBANS total score is taken as the primary outcome of EPAD (40, 41) due to its ability to detect and track very early cases of cognitive decline (42). The Four Mountain Test (FMT) was used to detect changes in the allocentric and orientation spatial memory (43). The supermarket trolley virtual reality test (SMT) was used to test for changes in egocentric space (44).

4. MRI brain volumetric parameters

MRI volumetric brain neuroimaging data were downloaded from the ADDI portal. The protocols used, quality controls and data transfer are described in details elsewhere (40). The analysis focussed on the medial temporal lobe (MTL) as the main brain region regulating cognition and memory processing (45).The MTL includes the hippocampus (right and left), parahippocampus (right and left), entorhinal cortex (right and left) and amygdala (right and left). A wider exploratory analysis for 20 different brain regions was carried out separately and presented in the supplemental document.

5. Statistical analysis:

All data files were processed using RStudio and the statistical analysis was conducted by SPSS version 28 (IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 28.0. Armonk, NY: IBM Corp). Variables were checked for normality; box cox transformation and z-scoring were performed when required. Regional MRI volumes were adjusted to whole brain volume before statistical analysis.

5.1 Demographic analysis:

Age, years of education, marital status, handedness, and CDR scores were compared between non-APOE4s and APOE4s, and HRT users and non-users. Independent t-tests were used to determine differences in normally distributed variables (age, years of education and age at HRT initiation), with the Mann-Whitney test used for skewed variables (duration of HRT use). Chi-square test was used for categorical variables (marital status, handedness, and CDR).

5.2 Analysis of the impact of APOE genotype and HRT on cognition and volumes of medial temporal lobe components:

Analysis of covariate analysis (ANCOVA) was used to investigate the main and interactive effects of APOE genotype and HRT use, on cognition and MTL brain volumes. Multivariate ANCOVA (MANCOVA) was used on RBANS indices and MTL regions. HRT and APOE genotype were the independent variables, while select cognitive tests and regional brain volumes were the dependent variables. Adjustment of the brain volumes to the whole brain volume was carried out before statistical analysis. Age, years of education, marital status, handedness and CDR were used as covariates in the ANCOVA model.

Correction for multiple comparisons was carried out for each of the above eight regions (8 X 3) using the Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) method. Uncorrected p-values for other brain regions (n=23) are represented in the supplemental information (supplemental table 1). Similarly, FDR correction for multiple testing was carried out for the cognitive tests (10 tests X 3).

5.3 Regression analysis:

Multiple linear regression was carried out to determine the association between the age of HRT initiation with cognition and MTL specific areas. Model-1 covariates: Age + years of education + handedness + marital status + CDR. Model-2: Model 1 covariates + age of HRT initiation. Reported results are for model-2.

Demographics of women of the EPAD study at baseline according to APOE genotype:

There was no difference in age, marital status, handedness, CDR, number of HRT users and duration of HRT use between the APOE4 and non-APOE4 groups. APOE4 carriers had less formal education (P= 0.014). (table 1)

Table 1: Select baseline characteristics in women according to APOE genotype status

	non-E4 (n=675)	E4 (n=399)	Total (n=1074)	P_APOE
Age (mean, SD)	65.2(7.3)	65.1(7.3)	65.1(7.3)	NS
Years of Education (mean, SD)	14.4(3.8)	13.8(3.6)	14.1(3.7)	0.014
Marital status (n, %)				NS
Married/cohabiting	443(65.6)	280(70.0)	723(67.5)
Divorced	108(16.0)	48(12.0)	156(14.3)
Single	64(9.5)	31(7.8)	95(8.5)
Widowed	59(8.7)	40(10.0)	99(9.6)
Handedness (right/left)	614/46	371/17	985/63	NS
CDR (n, %)				NS
0.0	477(71.6)	265(68.5)	742(70.2)
0.5	189(28.4)	122(31.5)	337(29.8)
HRT use				NS
Yes/No	52/623	31/368	83/991
Current/past users	46/6	30/1	76/7
Duration in years (mean, SD)	7.2(6.26)	8.0(7.17)	7.5(6.58)
Age at HRT initiation (years)	56.2(8.36)	56.5(7.01)	56.4(7.83)

NS: non-significant

Impact of APOE genotype and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use on cognitive status in women:

A trend towards an APOE*HRT interaction (P-interaction = 0.097) was evident for the total RBANS score which was significant for the RBANS delayed memory index (P-interaction = 0.009), with scores consistently higher in APOE4 HRT users compared to all other groups (table 2).

Within APOE genotype group comparisons shows that HRT users have a higher RBANS total scale score (p= 0.045) and in delayed memory index (p=0.002), only in APOE4 carriers(table 2 and Figure 1).

Table 2: Cognitive outcomes scores (mean±SEM) according to HRT use and APOE4 genotype status

	Non-E4								E4									P_APOE	P_HRT	*P_APOEHRT**
	no-HRT	n		HRT	n	Total	n	p-HRT	no-HRT	n	HRT	n	Total		n	p-HRT
MMSE total score	28.49 ±0.07	603	28.43 ±0.36		50	28.49 ±0.07	653	0.607	28.15 ±0.11	350	28.22 ±0.30	30	28.16 ±0.10	380			0.960	0.565	0.724	0.782
Dot count score	16.60 ±0.22	389	17.05 ±1.06		32	16.62 ±0.22	421	0.726	16.24 ±0.30	235	17.44 ±0.71	21	16.32 ±0.29	256			0.848	0.953	0.942	0.710
RBANS scores
RBANS total scale	103.57 ±0.62	600	105.04 ±2.78		49	103.63 ±0.61	649	0.921	100.52 ±0.85	351	106.68 ±3.44	29	100.88 ±0.83	380			0.045	0.488	0.128	0.097
RBANS attention index	97.65 ±0.70	601	102.61 ±2.73		28	97.86 ±0.68	629	0.222	97.23 ±0.93	352	102.23 ±3.34	29	97.51 ±0.90	381			0.706	0.818	0.297	0.652
RBANS delayed memory index	102.09 ±0.59	602	102.07 ±2.46		28	102.09 ±0.58	630	0.757	98.29 ±0.85	352	108.37 ±2.79	29	98.85 ±0.81	381			0.002	0.695	0.027^a	0.009^a
RBANS immediate memory index	106.55 ±0.58	602	105.18 ±30		28	106.49 ±0.57	630	0.854	101.65 ±0.87	352	105.59 ±3.83	29	101.87 ±0.85	381			0.150	0.434	0.307	0.209
RBANS language index	100.10 ±0.47	602	100.79 ±2.61		28	100.13 ±0.47	630	0.752	99.30 ±0.69	353	101.50 ±2.84	29	99.42 ±0.67	382			0.303	0.399	0.536	0.311
RBANS visuo-constructional index	105.16 ±0.65	602	106.82 ±2.95		28	105.23 ±0.63	630	0.310	104.66 ±0.92	352	108.32 ±2.91	29	104.87 ±0.88	381			0.483	0.163	0.938	0.233
FMT total score	8.31 ±0.43	32	9.33 ±0.33		3	8.40 ±0.40	35	0.803	7.48 ±0.55	33	10.50 ±1.50	3	7.77 ±0.56	36			0.195	0.449	0.271	0.439
SMT total score	6.54 ±0.63	34	6.33 ±0.88		3	6.53 ±0.58	37	0.781	5.14 ±0.54	33	10.00 ±1.53	4	5.53 ±0.55	37			0.158	0.549	0.451	0.241

Mean ± SEM of cognitive test scores stratified according to APOE genotype and HRT use. Significant P values for APOE genotype, HRT and APOE*HRT are shown, using the ANCOVA model (MANCOVA for RBANS scores). p-HRT within each APOE genotype is calculated using the pairwise comparison of estimated marginal mean with Bonferroni adjustment for multiple comparison. Age, years of education, marital status, handedness and CDR were used as covariates. HRT: hormone replacement therapy, MMSE: mini mental state examination, RBANS: Repeatable Battery for the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status. FMT: four mountain test, SMT: supermarket trolley test. P- significant <0.05. ^a insignificant after FDR correction for multiple comparison. Bold: significant after FDR correction.

Impact of APOE genotype and intake of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) on MRI volumes of medial temporal lobe specific regions in women:

Entorhinal (left) and amygdala (left and right) volumes were larger in APOE4 HRT-users compared to non-APOE4 and non-HRT users (P-interaction= 0.002, 0.003, and 0.005 respectively) (table 3). Similar trends were observed for the right entorhinal volume (P-interaction= 0.074). HRT users had larger left entorhinal (P= 0.03) smaller anterior cingulate gyrus (right and left, p= 0.003 and 0.062) and larger left superior frontal gyrus volumes (p= 0.009) than non-users, independent of their APOE genotype (supplemental table 1).

Within APOE genotype group comparison shows that HRT users had larger entorhinal (right and left) and amygdala (left) volumes only in APOE4 carriers. In non-APOE4 carriers, amygdala volumes were smaller in HRT-users compared to non-users (table 3 and figure 2)

Table 3: MRI volumes (mean±SEM) of medial temporal lobe specific regions, according to APOE genotype status and HRT use

	Non-E4				E4				P_APOE	P_HRT	*P_APOEHRT**
	no-HRT (n=591-593)	HRT (n=48-50)	Total (n=639-643)	p-HRT	no-HRT (n=345-347)	HRT (n=29)	Total (n=374-376)	p-HRT
Right hippocampus	2360 ±13	2383 ±60	2362 ±13	0.367	2298 ±22	2384 ±37	2304 ±21	0.568	0.903	0.920	0.313
Left hippocampus	2284 ±13	2335 ±57	2288 ±12	0.690	2227 ±22	2333 ±43	2235 ±20	0.378	0.889	0.652	0.345
Right parahippocampal	2670 ±13	2735 ±50	2675 ±13	0.693	2624 ±20	2670 ±52	2628 ±19	0.370	0.430	0.660	0.966
left parahippocampal	2930 ±15	2971 ±46	2933 ±14	0.602	2840 ±20	2946 ±59	2849 ±19	0.801	0.587	0.698	0.302
right entorhinal	2422 ±15	2444 ±53	2426 ±14	0.943	2378 ±22	2529 ±69	2373 ±22	0.040^a	0.432	0.116	0.074
Left entorhinal	2026 ±12	2014 ±43	2029 ±12	0.426	1967 ±17	2172 ±55	1974 ±17	<0.001	0.106	0.026^a	0.002
Right amygdala	1031 ±07	987 ±21	1029 ±06	0.030^a	1002 ±11	1062 ±31	999 ±10	0.063	0.178	0.888	0.005
left amygdala	1073 ±07	1038 ±23	1072 ±06	0.039^a	1039 ±10	1105 ±33	1038 ±10	0.031^a	0.204	0.661	0.003

Mean (mm³) ±SEM of medial temporal lobe specific MRIbrain volumes, according to APOE4 genotype and HRT use. Significant P values for APOE genotype, HRT and APOE*HRT are shown. MANCOVA model was used. p-HRT within each APOE genotype is calculated using the pairwise comparison of estimated marginal mean with Bonferroni adjustment for multiple comparison. Adjustment of the brain regions to the whole brain volume was carried out before statistical analysis. Age, years of education, marital status, handedness and CDR were used as covariates. p- significant <0.05. ^a insignificant after FDR correction for multiple comparison. Bold: significant after FDR correction.

Earlier introduction of HRT was associated with larger hippocampal volumes only in APOE4 carriers:

In APOE4 carriers, significant negative association between age of HRT initiation and hippocampal volumes was observed. Early HRT introduction was associated with larger right hippocampal volume (standardized β= -0.555, p=0.035) and left hippocampal volume (standardized β= -0.577, p=0.028). This association was not evident in non-APOE4 carriers (figure 3). The association between right and left hippocampal volume and age of HRT initiation without stratification by APOE genotype was not significant (right hippocampus: standardized β= -0.086, p=0.601, left hippocampus: standardized β= -0.220, p=0.192). Associations of age of HRT initiation and other cognitive tests and brain regions were insignificant (data not shown).

Higher AD risk and progression necessitates a more focused preventive approach in women. Results of the use of HRT for the prevention of cognitive decline have been inconsistent (15), or even harmful (16). Here we demonstrate that APOE genotype and the age of HRT initiation are important modulators of the effect of HRT intervention on cognitive function and cognition-related brain volumes and can explain some of the discrepant outcomes. We report that APOE4 women are most responsive to HRT. APOE4 HRT users had larger entorhinal cortex and amygdala volumes compared to APOE4-non-HRT users and scored higher in the RBANS delayed memory index. We also importantly show that the earlier the age of HRT initiation, the larger the hippocampus volume, an association only observed in APOE4 women. To our knowledge, this is the first study which demonstrates that HRT can have a beneficial effect on a range of cognitive function tests and cognition-related regional brain volumes in APOE4 women.

In non HRT users, APOE4 carriers had a 3% lower delayed memory index score than non-APOE4 (table2). This result is consistent with literature showing that delayed and immediate memory are lower in at-risk APOE4 women (27, 46, 47). HRT was found to influence cognition in an APOE dependent manner. The use of HRT in APOE4 women was associated with a 10% higher delayed memory scores. A recent meta-analysis of 23 RCTs showed no impact of HRT on delayed memory scores, even at younger age (<60 years), with an overall negative effect on global cognition. However, no sub-group analysis according to APOE genotype was carried out (18).

There is limited evidence of a positive effect of HRT on cognitive tests and cognition related brain region in APOE4 carriers. In a sub-group analysis of the WHIMS RCT based on APOE genotype, a significant APOE x HRT interaction on the change in modified mini-mental status examination (3MSE) scores was observed, with the beneficial effect being exclusive to the homozygous APOE4 carriers (48). However, the analysis did not expand to include other cognitive tests or MRI findings (48). In a UK Biobank analysis (age=40-69 years), early HRT use was associated with less evident brain ageing in APOE4 carriers only (31). In a small 2007 cross-sectional study, HRT use (n= 83) was associated with larger hippocampal volume in APOE4 (n=15) compared to APOE3 carriers (49).

Consistent with our cognitive data, APOE4 HRT users had 6-10% larger right and left entorhinal and right and left amygdala volumes. Both the entorhinal cortex and amygdala play an important role in cognition, with the entorhinal cortex being one of the first regions to be affected by AD-related pathological changes (50), independent of ageing-related pathology (51). These changes were even seen earlier in the entorhinal cortex than in hippocampus (52). Consequently, reduction in entorhinal volume was considered as a better predictor than hippocampus volumes in the conversion from MCI to AD (53). In APOE4 carriers, smaller entorhinal volume in normal cognition (54) and with cognitive decline (55) have been observed. In the current study, no overall effect of APOE genotype on the entorhinal volume was evident. This is in line with previous studies which showed that at baseline there was no differences in entorhinal volumes according to APOE genotype (56), however the rate of atrophy increases more with time in APOE4 carriers, specifically in females (57).

Here we show that APOE genotype status influences the response to HRT, with larger entorhinal volume observed in APOE4 carriers than non-carriers. The effect of HRT on cognition-related brain regions generally showed conflicting results (58, 59). To our knowledge, only one study has showed that long term HRT use was associated with larger hippocampus volume in APOE4 carriers compared to APOE3, with associated higher N-acetylaspartate a neuronal metabolic marker. However, no changes in cognitive test scores were observed (49). In addition, in EPAD we also observed that HRT use (for on average of 8 years) is associated with a differential effect on the amygdala with higher volumes only in APOE4 carriers.

The amygdala plays an important role in cognition and emotion, which are inextricably linked (60). In a recent meta-analysis, the volume of the hippocampus, parahippocampus and amygdala were smaller in 2262 MCI patients compared to controls, (61). Indeed, distinct amygdala radiomic features were able to distinguish between 97 AD patients, 53 MCI patients and 45 normal controls, showing that microstructural changes in the amygdala can occur early during the course of AD (62). In MCI participants, amygdala volume was positively associated with the change in MOCA, MMSE and RAVLT memory scores after 24 months of follow up (63). The impact of APOE genotype and HRT use on amygdala volume is almost unknown. In one cross sectional study, APOE4 women with MCI had smaller amygdala volume compared to APOE4 men, an effect which was dependent on the number of APOE4 alleles (27). Taken together, we show here that amygdala, together with the entorhinal cortex can benefit from HRT use in APOE4 women.

An effect on cerebral blood flow (CBF) may explain the large entorhinal and amygdala volumes in APOE4 HRT users. Previous studies show that APOE4 carriers have higher CBF than non-carriers (64, 65). This observation was seen at younger age, with lower CBF observed in older age (66, 67). HRT use in early menopause has been shown to improve peripheral vascular function (68). It is possible that a HRT mediated effect on CBF in APOE4, could in part underpin the impact on brain volume and associated improved memory, which is worthy of future investigation.

Another possible explanation for the select benefits in APOE4 carriers is the complex interaction between APOE4 genotype and age with neurophysiology and neuropathology. Although carrying the APOE4 genotype increases the risk for cognitive decline and AD in older adults, select studies suggest that APOE4 can be associated with enhanced cognitive performance at younger age (69-71). While the differential penetrance of APOE4 by age is not well understood, it may be partly due to dysfunctional DHA metabolism (72, 73), or β-amyloid clearance (74) or higher neuroinflammation (75) in older adults which all contribute to accelerated neuronal damage and loss, which may be mitigated by HRT use.

Besides APOE genotype, timing of HRT initiation is gaining attention as a mediator of the cognitive impact of HRT use, leading to the ‘critical window’ hypothesis (76). This hypothesis suggests that the neuroprotective effects of HRT are only evident when it is introduced during the menopausal transition or early post-menopausal period (77). In the WHIMS RCT (age > 65 years), the use of estrogen alone or estrogen plus progestogen for up to 8 years was associated with 76% increased risk of dementia (17), and reduction in hippocampus and total brain volumes (78). However, there was no impact of HRT intervention on cognition in a younger subgroup (age 50-55 years, WHIMSY) (age 50-55) (79, 80). Similarly, an observational study showed that the introduction of HRT in midlife (age 48.7 years) was associated with a 26% reduced risk of dementia compared to 48% increased risk when HRT was initiated in later life (age 76 years). In a recent meta-analysis in healthy post-menopausal women, HRT use was associated with reduced global cognition, which was less evident for those younger than 60 years old (18). Our results are consistent with these findings, with our findings specifically observing that this impact of early initiation is specific to APOE4 carriers. To our knowledge, the only study that looked at APOE*age of HRT initiation was carried out by De lange et al (31), where less brain ageing (calculated by machine learning) was associated with earlier HRT initiation in APOE4 carriers.

LIMITATIONS

This was a cross-sectional analysis precluding the establishment of causal relationship. Data about age of menopause, or if there was a gap between age at menopause and the start of HRT is not available, which would allow further granularity in our analysis. In addition, doses of HRT were not available for some prescriptions. A further limitation is the small number of participants in the APOE4 HRT user’s subgroup (n= 29-31).

In conclusion, we show that HRT had more cognitive benefits in APOE4 carriers. APOE4 women on HRT performed better in delayed memory tasks and had large entorhinal and amygdala volumes than non-HRT users. Earlier HRT initiation is associated with larger hippocampus volume, an effect only seen in APOE4 carriers. These results highlight the importance of personalized medicine in the prevention of AD. This work provides the rationale for the conduct of an RCT which examines the impact of early (perimenopause or early post-menopause) HRT introduction on cognition and brain atrophy according to APOE4 carrier status to confirm the observed associations. Finally, the findings highlight the heterogenous nature of AD with the effectiveness of HRT in APOE4 carriers only, indicating differences in the mechanistic basis of cognitive decline and pathology relative to non-carriers.

Ethical Approval:

This is a cross sectional analysis of the online datasets of the EPAD LCS study. The studies involving human participants were reviewed and approved by the Independent Ethics Committee or other relevant ethical review board for written approval as required by local laws and regulations. A copy of approval is required by the University of Edinburgh as Sponsor before the study commences at each site. The study is designed and conducted in accordance with the guidelines for Good Clinical Practice (GCP), and with the ethical principles as proclaimed in the Declaration of Helsinki. All participants are required to provide written informed consent prior to participation in any research activities laid out in the EPAD LCS protocol. The patients/participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Authors' contributions

RS and AM designed the current study. RS conducted the statistical analysis, analysed the data, designed the figures and wrote the manuscript. MH critically reviewed the manuscript and gave valuable feedback on shaping the results and data presentation. CR is the chief investigator of the EPAD study, he reviewed and gave feedback on the manuscript. AM: supervised the overall direction and planning of the current study, and comprehensively edited the manuscript. All the authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Funding

No funding was received for this analysis, as the data is publicly available

Availability of data and materials

The dataset is publicly available and can be accessed from the Workbench of the Alzheimer’s Disease Data Initiative (ADDI) portal website: https://portal.addi.ad-datainitiative.org/.

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No competing interests reported.

SupplementalSalehetalART2022.docx

Hormone Replacement Therapy is associated with improved cognition and larger brain volumes in at risk APOE4 women: results from the European Prevention of Alzheimer’s Disease (EPAD) cohort

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Introduction

MATERIALS AND METHODS