This cohort study distinctly characterizes the association between onset-to-surgery time for PPU against 30-day sepsis morbidity, postoperative morbidity and mortality. Surgery within 12 hours after onset significantly reduced the morbidity of sepsis and postoperative complications. Patients in the ES group have better surgical outcomes. And there was a significantly reduced the need for ICU admission in the ES group. On the basis of this analysis and previous work, the optimal time of onset to surgery for PPU is within 12 hours.
For the past decades, there has been a significant trend towards early surgery if the indications for surgical treatment are clear, especially in patients with delayed presentation [12]. Early in the year 1994, a study from Norway has found that delayed treatment exceeded 12 hours after PPU reduced survival, increased complications, and prolonged hospital stay [13]. In 2013, a cohort study from Denmark showed that every hour of delay in the first 24 hours from admission to surgery was associated with an adjusted 2.4% decreased of survival compared with the previous hour [14]. Recently, a nationwide cohort study from United Kingdom demonstrated that hourly delay to surgery in patients with PPU leads to 6% increased risk of 90-day mortality [9]. In our study, the higher 30-day mortality was observed among patients undergoing surgery exceeded 12 hours. And only 50.7% of the patients with PPU received surgery within 12 hours, highlighting the potential need to improve timely access to diagnosis and treatment for patients presenting to the hospital with severe abdominal pain.
Surgery is the most effective means to control the source of infection in patients with PPU [16]. However, the long-term mortality after surgery for PPU is high, mainly attributing to new onset sepsis and/or multi-organ failure [17]. Sepsis is a major healthcare problem, affecting millions of people worldwide each year and imposing a growing economic burden [5, 18]. Sepsis is a time critical medical emergency that occurs when an infection exceeds local tissue containment. Early prevention and blocking, especially adequate source control, can reduce the occurrence of sepsis [19]. Currently, whether early surgery for PPU can decrease sepsis morbidity is rarely reported. A study published in 1982 has found that late surgery (after 48 hours) significantly increased the risk of severe peritoneal contamination, positive cultures, and septic complications [20]. Another study published in 2016 from Switzerland showed that the duration of symptoms more than 24 hours increased septic complications [21]. In our study, 12.9% of patients with PPU suffered sepsis within 30 days after hospitalization, and sepsis accounted for 50% of fatalities. Compared with patients who underwent surgery exceeded 12 hours, we found that the 30-day sepsis morbidity was significantly decreased in patients who received surgery within 12 hours, which indicates that early surgery for PPU can reduce the incidence of sepsis. Therefore, raising awareness and leading to early presentation to hospital can reduce the sepsis morbidity through timely and appropriate medical care.
Risk factors affecting postoperative complications in patients with PPU has been widely reported. A systematic review performed in 2010 provided strong evidence that shock upon admission, preoperative metabolic acidosis, tachycardia, acute renal failure, low serum albumin level, high ASA score, and delayed surgery (> 24 h) were significant factors for increased risk of postoperative morbidity [22]. A cohort study among Black Africans with PPU in Côte d'Ivoire indicated that the risk factors of postoperative complications or mortality were comorbidities, tachycardia, purulent intra-abdominal fluid collection, hyponatremia, delayed hospital admission (> 72 h), and delayed surgery (between 24 and 48 h). Another recent study from India showed that the overall postoperative morbidity was 62.5% and found that advanced age, preoperative shock, delayed presentation (> 24 h) and raised serum creatinine were significantly associated with the postoperative morbidity [23]. Consistently with previous studies, delayed surgery was associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications in our study. 40.2% of patients had 30-day postoperative complications after late surgery (onset-to-surgery time > 12 h), while only 25.5% in the ES group. Thus, we can consider that the earlier the surgery, the less postoperative complications.
Delayed surgery affects not only the morbidity and mortality but surgical outcomes such as operative time, estimated blood loss and hospital stay. Our data showed longer operation time, more estimated blood loss, longer length of hospital stay, and more need for ICU admission in the LS group. With regard to hospital stay, some studies have found that surgical delay (> 12 h) was one of major factors associated with longer length of hospital stay [13, 24].
Our study has several limitations. First, a selection bias existed due to its retrospective design. To reduce this, we used rigorous data collection procedures. As a result, this factor was not significant source of bias. Second, the statistical power is insufficient because the number of patients enrolled may not be sufficient, especially in the mortality analysis. Third, patients transferred from other hospitals were not collected, which might be different between both groups and thus have influenced outcomes. Fourth, the clinical pathway varied among surgeons, which might lead to a potential bias. Finally, only three centres participated in our research, which may not represent the current situation in China.
Looking forward, there is obviously a drive to reduce morbidity and mortality and lead to a better outcome by raising awareness and implementing change. The SMASH trial from Sweden is ongoing, seeks to determine whether a new standardised perioperative protocols consisting of rapid start of operation in emergency abdominal surgical procedures leads to a better outcome compared with the present standard in Swedish routine health-care [25]. In China, the Abdominal Pain Center model has been in place for several years and has demonstrated a better management and in-hospital clinical outcomes of patients with abdomen. To minimize delays to diagnosis and treatment in PPU, we recommend that time points should be audited include: from arrival to CT/X-ray scan, from arrival to diagnosis, and from decision to surgery. Moreover, the time from onset of severe abdominal pain to arrival is a factor which needs to minimize delays by better education.