In the present study, the Sanger sequencing method could detect most of instances of “astrocytoma, grade 4”, with the addition of MLPA successfully identifying all cases. Correlations between TERTp mutation and 7p gain or 10q loss have already been reported.11 In the present study, the correlation analysis showed that TERTp mutation was associated with EGFR gain and PTEN loss, and + EGFR/-PTEN astrocytoma always accompanied by TERTp mutation. This fact may result from a relationship between TERTp mutation, gain of chromosome 7, and loss of chromosome 10. The database of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)6 included 86 IDH-wild-type grade II or III gliomas, and TERTp status was examined in 56 cases. TERTp mutation was detected in 37 cases, and EGFR amplification was shown in 15 out of 37 TERTp mutant gliomas and in 4 of 19 TERTp-wild-type gliomas. The status of + 7/-10 was evaluated in 55 of the 56 cases of TERTp mutant grade II or III glioma, with 27 cases showing + 7/-10. Among these 27 cases, 12 cases showed both TERTp mutation and EGFR amplification, 14 cases showed TERTp mutation alone, and the remaining 1 case showed EGFR amplification alone. In the present study, EGFR amplification was defined as different from EGFR gain, so + EGFR/-PTEN tumours never showed EGFR amplification. As in the present study, for IDH-wild-type grade II or III gliomas in TCGA database, TERTp status revealed almost all cases of “astrocytoma, grade 4” and the addition of EGFR status successfully identified all other cases of “astrocytoma, grade 4.” Sanger sequencing and MLPA were thus thought to be reasonable methods for classifying IDH-wild-type lower-grade gliomas based on the recommendations from cIMPACT-NOW update 3.15
WHO grade was a good marker of prognosis in the present study. IDH-wild-type AAs showed lower survival curve than IDH-wild-type DAs. Based on the WHO 2016 classification, glioma grade is partly affected by molecular factors including 1p/19q codeletion and histone mutations, but gliomas are mainly classified according to histological characteristics, which are almost the same as in the WHO 2007 classification. Although our cohort showed no differences in sex, age, or other prognostic factors detected in multivariate analysis, treatment selections did differ between DAs and AAs. Patients with AAs tended to be initially treated with strong chemoradiation therapies like the Stupp regimen,23 and those with DAs tended to undergo observation alone more often; this might be one reason why the results of log-rank testing showing no statistical difference. The survival curve of DAs was definitely favourable compared with AAs in the early course, and the generalized Wilcoxon test showed a significant difference. Taking IDH-mutation status into consideration, WHO grade was reported as a significant factors for OS in lower-grade gliomas,11,24,25 and one of the studies showed that WHO grade had larger prognostic value in IDH-wild-type astrocytomas compared with in IDH-mutant astrocytomas, with the authors proposing histological mitotic count as a significant predictor of prognosis.24 This fact supports that histological grading systems remain important, especially for IDH-wild-type astrocytoma.
The survival analysis showed TERTp mutation as a prognostic factor for OS in the group of all IDH-wild-type astrocytomas and IDH-wild-type DAs, and the diagnosis of “astrocytoma, grade 4” with EGFR amplification was significant only in all IDH-wild-type astrocytomas. TERTp mutation and EGFR amplification have been reported as characteristics of IDH-wild-type GBM and as unfavourable prognostic factors in IDH-wild-type astrocytomas in many studies,10–12, 26 although a few studies have reported no significance.14,27 In our study, EGFR amplification was slightly more frequent in AAs than in DAs, while TERTp showed no difference between subtypes. TERTp mutation, EGFR amplification, and diagnosis of “astrocytoma, grade 4” were significant factors in the group of all IDH-wild-type astrocytomas.
As mentioned above, WHO grade, TERTp mutation, EGFR amplification and diagnosis of “astrocytoma, grade 4” were good predictors of IDH-wild-type astrocytomas in Kaplan-Meier analysis, but Cox proportional hazard modelling detected no significance for OS in these factors. According to the Cox proportional hazard model of our cohort, copy number alteration of PTEN and PDGFRA amplification were significant predictors of OS.
Copy number alteration of PTEN was a strong predictor, as demonstrated by both the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard modelling. No different in OS was evident between PTEN hemizygous loss astrocytomas and PTEN homozygous loss astrocytomas, with both showing shorter OS than PTEN-intact astrocytomas. In addition, whether combined with EGFR gain or not, PTEN loss resulted in a significant difference in OS. PTEN loss is one of the typical genetic alteration of GBM, observed in about 30–40%.28,29 Some studies of prognostic factors in GBM patients have been published, but have been controversial about the significance of PTEN loss.27,30,31 However, in IDH-wild-type lower-grade astrocytomas, some papers have stated that PTEN loss is associated with poor prognosis,27,32 potentially because PTEN is a tumour suppressor gene27,33 and inactivation of PTEN signalling is thus important to malignant progression to glioblastoma.34 The present study indicated PTEN loss as a strong predictor of poor prognosis in IDH-wild-type astrocytomas.
PDGFRA amplification showed a strong risk ratio in the present study, but only 4 AAs were included in the present study. PDGFRA amplification was also recognised as a characteristics of proneural GBM, which showed relatively good prognosis.29,35 The frequency of PDGFRA amplification in lower-grade glioma has only been reported from studies of small numbers of low-grade gliomas,36,37 and there was not enough evidence to conclude prognostic value of it. Strum et al. reported about subgrouping of GBMs based on the methylation profiles and compared them with other profiles of mutation and copy number status.35PDGFRA amplification was more common in a methylation cluster, “RTK I”, than the other four clusters. “RTK I” cluster also showed CDKN2A loss frequently. In the present study, a correlation between PDGFRA gain/amplification and CDKN2A homozygous loss was seen, and might imply that astrocytoma with alteration of PDGFR is associated with “RTK I” GBMs. In our cohort, no PDGFRA amplification was seen in DAs, but no difference in its frequency was evident between DAs and AAs because of the small number with PDGFRA amplification. Further studies are required to clarify the prognostic value of PDGFRA.
After the report of cIMPACT-NOW update 3, the genetic analyses such as copy number analysis have been extensively studied in lower grade gliomas, and it becomes clearer that several genetic markers are surely prognostic and that they need to be incorporated into clinical practice. In this context, our study has important implications by showing that such prognostic stratification can be done by direct sequencing and MLPA with a reasonable cost.
There are several limitations in the present study. First, the number of study population was small. Second, we did not perform external validation analysis. The result of MLPA analysis was not confirmed by other methodology such as CNV array.