1/ Population Characteristics
In the Franche-Comté region of France, between January 1st, 2012 and December 31st, 2018, 1 066 patients started chronic dialysis, including 981 adults who started in one of the four participating centers. Of these 348 (35.5%) had either no previous nephrology consultation or an unknown number of consultations (that could not be found because of a change in medical record format in one center during the study period), 57 (5.8%) had only 1 consultation. Among the 576 remaining patients, 111 were not included on account of missing biology data. Finally, 465 were included for analysis. Among these 465 patients, 309 (70.2%) were men and the median age was 70.0 (IQR: 59-79). The initial dialysis technique was PD for 138 (29.7%) patients and the median eGFR at dialysis start was 8.5 mL/min/1.73m² (IQR: 6.7 – 10.7).
According REIN registry, UDS concerned 94 patients (20.3%) and this information was missing for 3 patients (table 1). The clinical factors associated with UDS according to REIN definition were: diabetes (53.2% in US vs. 39.1%, p=0.01), cardiac failure (58.5% vs. 39.1%, p<0.0003) stroke (20.2% vs. 8.4%, p=0.001). The number of visits was significantly higher in the non-urgent group (4.5 ± 1.9 for US vs. 5.7 ± 2.0, p<0.0001). Moreover, non-urgent starters were more likely to have RASB therapy at dialysis initiation (50.3% and 37.6% for planned starters (PS) and US respectively, p=0.03). Fewer US started RRT on PD (1.1% vs 37.2%, p<0.0001) and they were more likely to start dialysis with a CVC (83.0% vs 21.0%, p<0.0001).
According our classification, 17.2% patients were considered as US, 15.7% had a SDS and 67.1% had a PDS (table 1). Concerning factors associated with UDS, we observed similar results than those previously described. Cardiac failure was associated with UDS affecting 49.4% of US, 41.1% of suboptimal starters (SOS) and 32.4% of PS (p=0.04). Stroke was also associated with UDS concerning 21.0% of US, 11.0% of SOS and 8.4% of PS (p=0.004). Nevertheless, contrary to REIN classification, diabetes repartition was less clear since 44.4% of US were diabetic, 38.6% of PS and more than 53.4% of SOS (p=0.05). Cancer, COPD, smoking status, peripheral arteriopathy, ESA use and ID were not associated with UDS whatever the classification.
Comparing the 2 classifications (table 2), 16% of the patients classified in REIN as US were considered, with our definition, as having a PDS. Conversely, 5.7% of the patients classified as non-urgent starters in REIN were classified as US in our classification.
2/ Biological parameters at dialysis initiation
According our classification, the biological analysis of patients starting dialysis objectively showed significant differences on all biological parameters with better parameters in PS, except for CRP and serum calcium levels (Supplementary table 1). Indeed, PS had a better hemoglobin level (p<0.0001), a lower serum phosphate level (p<0.0001), a higher albumin level (p<0.0001) and a higher serum bicarbonate level (p=0.0004). Concerning eGFR, we observed significantly lower eGFR in US (7.8 mL/min/1.73m² ±3.1 for US vs. 8.5±2.6 and 9.3±3.2 for SOS et PS respectively, p=0.0002). In addition, patients starting in emergency had more frequently overload fluid (72.5% of US, 54.6% of suboptimal starters and 43.8% of PS, p=0.0001).
Similar results were observed with REIN classification (data not shown) with especially a mean eGFR of 7.6 mL/min/1.73m² ±3.0 for US vs. 9.3 ±3.1 for PS (p<0.0001).
3/ Risk factors of UDS
In multivariable analyses (Supplementary table 2), two factors were independently associated with UDS: cardiac failure (OR=1.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.07 – 2.96], p=0.003) and stroke (OR=2.76, 95%CI [1.41 - 5.43], p=0.02). The number of consultations during the year prior dialysis start, considered as a continuous variable, was associated with a significant reduction of UDS risk (OR=0.73; 95%CI [0.64 - 0.83], p=0.02). There was not any other factor independently associated with UDS.
4/ Mortality during the first year of dialysis
Concerning mortality during the first year of dialysis, we observed 31 deaths and half of deaths occurred before a median period of 4.7 months (IQR 3.6-7.8). We did not observe any significant difference between the two groups defined by REIN classification (7 (7.5%) vs. 24 deaths (6.5%) in UDS and PDS respectively, p=0.74). In contrast, according to our classification, survival analysis showed a correlation between dialysis starting context and mortality, UDS patients being at higher risk of mortality with 12 deaths in this group (15%) vs. 7(9.6%) and 12(3.9%) in SOS and PS respectively (p<0.001). Survival curves estimated with Kaplan Meier method are shown in figure 1. Survival probabilities were 95.7%, 89.5% and 83.4% at one year respectively for PS, SOS and US (p=0.001).
The realization of KT in the first year after dialysis was more frequently observed in patients with planned dialysis start (0 vs. 1 (1.4%) vs. 22 (7.1%) in US, SOS and PS respectively; p=0.005). In contrast US were more at risk of dialysis withdrawal (7.5% for US vs 4.1% and 1.9% for suboptimal and PS respectively, p=0.03).
Univariable Cox regression (table 3) showed only two factors associated with one-year mortality: start with a CVC (Hazard Ratio (HR)=2.8; 95%CI [1.4 - 5.8]) and UDS (HR=3.2; 95%CI [1.5 - 6.5]). Because of a few number of deaths, no multivariable analysis was performed.