Study design
A prospective multicenter cohort study, named EMERAUDE (Evaluation of bioMarkErs to Reduce Antibiotics Use in hospitalizeD nEonates), was conducted in 2 French NICUs (Hôpital Femme Mère Enfant, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Bron; Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Nantes, Nantes) between November 19, 2017 and November 20, 2020.
Eligibility Criteria
Hospitalized neonates of ≥ 7 days of life with suggestive signs of LOS and requiring a blood culture were consecutively included. Suspected LOS was defined as the presence of any of the following criteria: fever > 38°C, tachycardia > 160 beats per minute, capillary refill time > 3 seconds, grey and/or pale skin complexion, apnea or bradycardia events, abdominal bloating, rectal bleeding, hypotonia or lethargy, seizures without other obvious cause, increased respiratory support and/or increased FiO2, cutaneous rash, inflammation at the needle-puncture site of the central venous catheter. A consent form signed by at least one parent/ legal representative was also mandatory to include the patient. Exclusion criteria were treatment with antibiotics for a bacteriologically confirmed infection during the previous 48 hours prior to inclusion as well as surgery or vaccination during the 7 days prior to inclusion. Patients with invalid inclusion criteria were excluded from the study, as well as those without analyzable blood samples.
Data Collection
The characteristics of patients at the time of inclusion and between 48 and 72 hours were collected, including demographics, medical history, disease history, physical examination, and results of the blood culture. Results of other tests that could have been performed for routine care (chest X-ray, bacteriological samples, CRP, white blood cell count, absolute neutrophil count) were also collected, as was the decision whether or not to treat the patient with antibiotics, which was at the discretion of the physician.
Sample Collection And Biomarker Measurement
For each included patient, at the time of the venipuncture prescribed for standard care, up to 0.4 mL blood was collected in BD™ Microtainer™ Serum Separating Tubes (Becton Dickinson, Franklin Lakes, NJ, USA; reference BD365968). After 2 hours clotting at room temperature and centrifugation at 2,500 g for 10 minutes, sera were aliquoted and stored frozen at -80°C until the measurement of 11 biomarkers (procalcitonin [PCT], interferon gamma inducible protein 10 [IP-10], interleukin 6 [IL-6], interleukin 10 [IL-10], neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin [NGAL], pentraxin 3 [PTX3], presepsin [CD14], lipopolysaccharide-binding protein [LBP], gelsolin, calprotectin, and interleukin-27 [IL-27]), as detailed in the Additional file 1 Methods. The selection of these biomarkers was based on the results of previous studies about their value in the context, as well as the absence of variation related to gestational or postnatal age, and an increase in case of infectious disease.11–21
Outcome
The primary outcome was the diagnosis of LOS determined by an independent expert panel, composed of 3 neonatologist experts, independent of the management of neonates in the study centers. This independent adjudication committee classified the patients into the following categories: infected patients, not infected patients or unclassified patients. Classification by each adjudication committee member was based on the clinical and microbiological data as well as the CRP level collected at inclusion and after 48 hours, blinded to the values of the study biomarkers and to the decision of their peers. Final diagnosis was determined by panel majority agreement (at least 2 out of 3 concordant classifications); if this was not attained the 3 experts arrived at a consensus by discussion.
The diagnostic performance of the biomarkers combination and of the clinical signs were based on the classification of the adjudication committee.
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables were described by the median and range, and qualitative variables by count and percentage. Comparisons between groups were made using the Kruskal-Wallis or Wilcoxon tests for continuous variables, and Chi-Squared or Fisher’s exact test for qualitative variables.
The diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers and of clinical signs was assessed in the groups of infected and not infected patients. Univariate logistic regression was used to assess the association between clinical signs and confirmed infection; the association was quantified by odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals [95%CI]. Clinical signs with a Pvalue < 0.20, with low collinearity, were included in a multivariate model.
Biomarkers were combined through logistic regression models to predict the infection status, considering an additive effect on the logistic scale. Logarithmic transformations were applied when necessary to fulfill the hypotheses of the model. Predictions of the model (predicted probabilities of infection) were then used as a new marker.
Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were built to estimate the performance of the clinical signs, biomarkers, or combination of biomarkers for the diagnosis of infection. The area under curve (AUC) and partial AUC (part of the curve for which the sensitivity is ≥ 0.898) were then calculated.22 For each biomarker (or combination of biomarkers), the threshold with the highest specificity and a sensitivity of ≥ 0.898 was estimated (for combination of biomarkers, the threshold of predicted infection probability), with the associated specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and positive and negative likelihood ratios. A cut-off of at least 0.898 was defined for the sensitivity in order to identify the best biomarker alone or in combination to exclude early-on the diagnosis of LOS in symptomatic neonates. The optimism, that means the fact that the model gives better predictions on the data used to build the model than on independent datasets, was assessed by 20-times 5-fold cross validation.23
Statistical analyses were performed using R software, version 4.0.2 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) and SAS Institute software, version 9.4 (Cary, CN, USA).
A heatmap was generated by scaling and centering log10-transformed biomarkers concentrations and the dendogram was drawn based on hierarchical clustering analysis (Euclidean distance matrix with Ward’s method) using Partek® Genomics Suite® software version 7.0 (Partek Inc., St. Louis, MO, USA).
Ethics Statement
Written informed consent was obtained from at least one of the parents or legal guardians. The study was approved by a French ethics committee (Comité de Protection des Personnes [CPP Sud-Ouest et Outremer III]) under the registration number 2017-A02492-51, and was conducted according to the recommendations of Good Clinical Practice and the Declaration of Helsinki. The study was registered in ClinicalTrials.gov.fr under the number NCT03299751.