Study participants
Participants were recruited from the Seoul Metabolic Syndrome Cohort, of which total 13,296 patients were diagnosed and treated for type 2 diabetes from November 1997 to September 2016 at Huh Diabetes Center as previously described[3, 21]. Patients aged 19 years or older who had undergone repeated carotid artery ultrasonography at 1-2-year intervals for up to 6-8 years were enrolled. Participants were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes according to the American Diabetes Association classification[22]. Patients were excluded for any one of the following criteria: 1) under 19 years of age; 2) diagnosed with type 1 diabetes; 3) pregnant; 4) diagnosed with liver disease other than NAFLD, such as viral or autoimmune hepatitis; and 5) history of heavy alcohol consumption (> 140g/week). Patients with baseline bilateral carotid artery plaque in whom occurrence of new-onset plaque was difficult to judge in repeat ultrasonography were also excluded. In total, we enrolled 1,120 patients with type 2 diabetes who underwent repeat carotid artery ultrasonography at 1-2-year intervals for up to 6-8 years and evaluations for the presence of hepatic steatosis or fibrosis at baseline. All participants provided written informed consent, and the Ethics Committee of the Yonsei University College of Medicine approved this study (4-2019-0270).
Measurements and definitions of clinical and laboratory parameters
At baseline, we collected information from participants regarding their medical and family history, smoking and alcohol history/consumption, and physical activity level per week. Medication history regarding aspirin, statin, and anti-diabetic drug (insulin, sulfonylurea, metformin, thiazolidinedione) usage was also reviewed. Anthropometrics including weight, height, and waist circumference were obtained by trained nurses who were blinded to patients’ clinical and laboratory data, and blood samples were collected from participants a) after ≥ 8 hours of fasting, and b) 2 hours after a meal. Metabolic parameters including HbA1c, lipid profiles (total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), triglyceride), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatinine, total bilirubin, aspartate/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT), total protein, albumin, and platelet count were measured by routine laboratory methods on fresh samples at the same day of collection.
The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was derived from the Modification of the Diet in Renal Disease equation (MDRD)[23]. Diagnosis and classification of CKD was based on the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines, and patients with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 for > 3 months were diagnosed as CKD stage III-V accordingly[24].
Insulin sensitivity was assessed by calculating the rate constant for plasma glucose disappearance (KITT; %/min) in a short insulin tolerance test[25]. The test was performed at 8:00AM after an overnight fast, and venous blood samples were collected at 0, 3, 6, 9, 12, and 15 min after an intravenous bolus injection of regular insulin (Humulin; Eli Lilly, Indianapolis, IN, USA) at a dosage of 0.1 U/kg. Plasma glucose concentrations were measured immediately after sampling using Beckman glucose analyzer II (Beckman Coulter Inc., Brea, CA, USA), and KITT was determined by calculating the rate of the fall in log-transformed plasma glucose between 3 and 15 min. To prevent potential hypoglycemia, 100 mL of 20% dextrose solution was administered intravenously immediately after testing. Insulin resistance was defined as KITT < 2.5%/min[26].
The diagnosis of metabolic syndrome was made according to a joint interim statement of the International Diabetes Federation Task Force on Epidemiology and Prevention; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; American Heart Association; World Heart Federation; International Atherosclerosis Society; and International Association for the Study of Obesity published in 2009[27]. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure (BP) ≥ 140 mmHg and/or a diastolic BP ≥ 90 mmHg, or current use of antihypertensive medications. Individuals who drank twice a month or more were defined as regular alcohol consumers, and participants who had ever smoked more than five packs of cigarettes were considered ever-smokers. Regular exercise was defined as moderate to vigorous physical activity for over 30 mins more than once a month. Overweight was defined as body mass index (BMI) ≥ 23 kg/m2 according to scientific statement from the World Health Organization[28].
Liver status measurements
Among 1,120 participants, 1,086 underwent abdominal ultrasonography (iU22; Philips Healthcare, Andover, MA, USA) with a 3.5-MHz transducer after 8 hours of fasting. Ultrasound examinations were performed by trained radiologists who were blinded to the patients’ clinical and laboratory information. According to ultrasonographic findings, participants were assessed on whether or not they had hepatic steatosis. The presence of hepatic steatosis in 34 patients who did not undergo abdominal ultrasonography was determined by calculating the Comprehensive Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Score (CNS)[29], in which a score ≥ 40 indicated hepatic steatosis. Those with hepatic steatosis were further evaluated for the presence of independent hepatic fibrosis by calculating the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index. Significant fibrosis was defined as FIB-4 index ≥ 1.45 in this study[30].
Carotid atherosclerosis measurements
Every participant underwent repeated carotid ultrasonography every 1-2 years to evaluate carotid atherosclerosis status. We compared the rate of atherosclerosis progression at baseline and at 6-8 years. Both common carotid arteries were examined by high-resolution ultrasonography (LOGIQ7; GE Healthcare, Chicago, IL, USA) by trained technicians who were blinded to the patients’ clinical and laboratory data. The mid and distal common carotid artery was scanned by lateral longitudinal projection, and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT; mm) was measured at three points: far wall of mid; distal common carotid artery; and 1 cm proximal to the carotid bulb. Carotid IMT was defined as the distance between lumen-intima interface and media-adventitia interface, of which the mean value of three measurements on each side was used to represent carotid atherosclerosis status.
Carotid atherosclerosis progression was defined as the appearance of newly developed carotid plaque lesions on repeat ultrasonography. The presence of carotid plaque was defined as meeting any one of the following criteria: 1) carotid IMT of 1.5 mm or higher; 2) protrusion of atherosclerosis into the lumen of artery with ≥ 50% thickness compared to the surrounding area; and 3) presence of distinct area of hyperechogenicity[31].
Statistical analysis
Baseline characteristics of study participants were analyzed according to liver status: no steatosis; steatosis only; and steatosis with fibrosis. Continuous variables were expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD) and analyzed with one-way ANOVA for intergroup comparison, followed by Bonferroni test or Dunn procedure for post-hoc analysis. All categorical variables were expressed as number (proportion) and compared by Chi-square test.
We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to calculate odds ratio (OR) of carotid atherosclerosis progression according to the presence of hepatic steatosis. After subdividing patients with hepatic steatosis into steatosis only and steatosis with fibrosis, Chi-square test was performed to compare the proportion of carotid atherosclerosis progression in each liver status subgroup (no steatosis, steatosis only, and steatosis with fibrosis).
To verify independent association between liver status and carotid atherosclerosis progression, we performed multivariable logistic regression analysis in which various confounding factors were adjusted in a stepwise manner: age and gender were adjusted in Model 2; duration of diabetes, HbA1c, LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, statin use, alcohol/smoking consumption, exercise status, systolic BP, diastolic BP, KITT and CKD stage III-V were adjusted in Model 3; and BMI was adjusted in model 4. Models 5 and 6 were built by further adjusting Model 4 with waist circumference and follow-up duration, respectively.
Also, logistic regression analysis was performed to detect the association between liver status and carotid atherosclerosis progression after dividing patients into two subgroups by age (70 years), BMI (overweight status: 23.0 kg/m2), presence of metabolic syndrome, or KITT (2.5%/min). Cut-off for age was chosen according to the previous report that cytochrome P450 level declines significantly after age 70[32], which is known to be very closely related to cholesterol homeostasis and atherosclerosis[33-35]. Finally, study participants were divided into nine subgroups according to liver status and metabolic syndrome criteria, and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to calculate OR of carotid atherosclerosis progression in each subgroup. p values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant, and all statistical analyses were performed using R version 4.0.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) and IBM SPSS Statistics version 24.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA).