Significant variation in the incidence rate of CRC exists around the world and the factors leading to it are still unclear, although, certain factors may include varying genetic composition, diet intake, gut microbiota composition and implementation of screening programs for early detection of CRC 19. Previous studies in the Indian population has demonstrated higher rates of MSI compared to European/ non-Hispanic white patients 2, 7. In our study, we systematically studied the prevalence of MSI and LS across 190 unrelated CRC patients in India. We show a significant association between MSI status and Lynch syndrome positivity rates with age at diagnosis, tumour location and family history of cancer. Furthermore, we observe a strong association of MSI and Lynch syndrome positivity rate with proximal colon cancer site.
In our study, average age of diagnosis of CRC was 52.3 years, which is significantly lower than that reported in patients of European/ non-Hispanic white ethnicity. Interestingly, the observation is in congruence with the recent data reported from tertiary centres which reported mean age of presentation at 47.7 years across 970 CRC patients 20–22. Intriguingly, the study by Deo et al. in Indian population observed a higher proportion of patients with age at diagnosis of < 40 years with rectal cancer (41.3%) compared to colon cancer (25.4%) 20. In contrast to this observation, our study didn’t observe significant difference in the mean age of diagnosis by cancer site (Proximal colon = 50.3 ± 13.2 years; transverse colon = 49 ± 14.5 years; distal colon = 55.5 ± 14.4 years and; rectum = 49.3 ± 14.6 years). Nonetheless, a consistent observation of young age at diagnosis of cancer is coupled with a substantial rise of 20.6% in the rates of CRC between 2004 and 2014 across India, with the highest increase of 60.7% observed in Kolkata 22. This has substantial implications for planning and deployment of screening strategies. For example, in the UK, Europe and USA, guidelines now recommend initiating colonoscopic surveillance in individuals from the age of 50 years, regardless of family history, in order to identify colorectal neoplasms 23. With an average lower age of diagnosis and a significant increase in rates of CRC across India, an earlier age limit for initiation of colonoscopic surveillance could likely help towards earlier detection of cancer or cancer prevention.
The identification of Lynch syndrome has traditionally relied upon screening via clinical criteria such as Amsterdam or Revised Bethesda guidelines which incorporates information on family history of cancer to delineate the probability of an individual being a Lynch syndrome carrier 24. Based on this, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and the US Multi-Society Task Force on CRC published guidelines which recommend germline genetic evaluation of any individual if the predicted risk of being a Lynch syndrome carrier is 5% or higher using any one of the 3 prediction models: MMRPro, MMRPredict and PREMM 24. However, this approach is seldom used in clinical practice worldwide due to its low clinical utility as it fails to capture the entire spectrum of Lynch syndrome patients, especially patients with low variants in low penetrance genes such as MSH6 and PMS224. Indeed, the current NICE guideline recommends universal MSI testing across all CRC patients in order to identify Lynch syndrome patients due to its superior sensitivity and specificity 4. Despite this, anecdotal evidence suggests that the uptake of universal MSI testing in India is low due to high cost associated with MSI testing which borne by the patient. Therefore, clinical utility of aforementioned prediction models for Lynch syndrome detection could be conceivable in the Indian population considering 90% of the patients in our cohort have variants in high penetrance MLH1 and MSH2 genes, against which these models have high sensitivity and specificity. Although, a study assessing their utility would be required for Indian CRC patients.
Interestingly, we observed a high proportion of Lynch syndrome patients in our cohort with variants c.154del and c.306G > T in the MLH1 gene. Considering that these variants were observed in unrelated individuals, they are likely to be founder mutations. Founder mutations in specific populations are commonly observed in several Mendelian disorders. They are shared by apparently unrelated individuals which inherited the mutation from a common ancestor hundred to thousands of years ago. At least 50 founder mutations have been identified in MMR genes to date with the most evident example being two founder variants c.454-1G > A and exon 16 deletion in the MLH1 gene, which together accounts for 50% of all Lynch syndrome patients observed in Finland 25. It is well known that analysing a particularly frequent founder mutation is the first step towards low-cost Lynch syndrome screening as it avoids expensive germline testing in a significant number of samples. To the best of our knowledge, no common founder mutation has yet been identified in the Indian population. Whilst our observation is intriguing, proving c.154del and c.306G > T as founder variants using a combination of haplotype analyses in case-control cohort is beyond the scope of the current study.
The high positivity rates of MSI and Lynch syndrome amongst our cohort has significant clinical implications. For example, the latest long-term follow-up results from the CAPP2 randomised controlled trial in Lynch syndrome patients suggests a 50% risk reduction of CRC in patients randomised to aspirin at 20 years follow-up 26. In addition, a 50% reduction in risk of upper gastrointestinal cancers, particularly- stomach, liver and pancreas- was observed in Lynch syndrome patients randomised to resistant starch at 20 years follow-up 27. Indeed, the NICE now recommends regular intake of low-dose aspirin in patients identified to be Lynch syndrome carriers in the UK, in order to reduce risk of CRC 28. In contrast, the current ICMR guidelines do not recommend universal MSI testing and limits germline testing for Lynch syndrome in patients with strong family history of cancer 29. Our results provide evidence towards application of universal MSI testing and germline Lynch syndrome testing, regardless of age or family history of cancer, in Indian patients with MSI-high and BRAF V600E negative CRC.
Whilst our study observations are, in most parts, in congruence with the reported literature, it has some limitations too. First, we utilised the published NICE pathway for carrying out molecular genetic testing in tumour and germline 4. Whilst the pathway is designed to identify Lynch syndrome patients primarily on the molecular phenotype of tumour (i.e. MSI-high and BRAF V600E negative), we did observe germline MMR gene mutation in patients with MSS tumours. This is in congruence with the published literature whereby approximately 2% of patients with MSS CRC tumours are observed with germline mutations in MMR genes 30. With the germline testing being restricted to patients with a strong family history of cancer in our cohort, we could not explore the prevalence of Lynch syndrome amongst patients with MSS CRC tumour regardless of age and family history. Second, we couldn’t record detailed histological features of tumour biopsies. Typical histological features of Lynch syndrome based colorectal cancers includes a combination of the presence of tumour infiltrating lymphocytes, Crohn like peritumoural lymphoid aggregates, poor differentiation, areas of mucinous or signet ring cell component and medullary growth pattern 31. Exploration of association between certain histological features of tumour and germline mutation in MMR gene could be intriguing since it could provide indirect source of evidence for a patient likely being a Lynch syndrome carrier. Third, an element of referral bias could be present since the patients were recruited at tertiary care hospitals rather than data being captured from population-based cancer registries. This could lead to preferential selection of patients with family history of cancer or synchronous/ metachronous cancer. Indeed, we observed 7.9% of patients with synchronous/ metachronous cancer in our study. In contrast, a recent epidemiological study of colorectal cancer patients from a tertiary care hospital in India observed 2.2% of the patients with a synchronous cancer 20. We could not reconcile this disparity during our study due to the lack of access to the overall number of patients treated at each given study site in the study during the study period. Nonetheless, our Lynch syndrome yield are similar to those reported in a recent meta-analysis by John et al. for CRC patients from the Indian subcontinent 2. High quality data can be generated high population coverage and structured data collection, unfortunately major low-middle income countries lack high quality cancer registry programs and mostly gather basic demographic data rather than longitudinal and genetic data which are crucial to delineating epidemiology and planning future strategies for screening, diagnosis, treatment and prevention.