In this study, each level increase in the daily sedentary time (i.e., 2h) was related to 23–46% increase in the prevalence of TNs, with the association being particularly stronger for the risk of TI-RADS2 TNs (29–46%). The ORs among the elderly doubled the estimates among the younger ones.
Association between sedentary lifestyle and TNs
We found a positive association between a sedentary lifestyle and the prevalence of TNs. Although no relevant studies were available for comparison, some existing evidence may support our findings. A cohort study of patients with TNs suggested that mental workers were more likely to suffer from TNs of increased sizes compared with manual workers (RR: 1.948, 1.638–2.164)[26]. A sedentary lifestyle may interpret the increased risk among the mental workers. Furthermore, a sedentary lifestyle was found to be associated with the increased incidence of ovarian cancer (RR = 1.29, 95%CI = 1.07–1.57)[8], breast cancer (RR = 1.20, 95%CI 1.10–1.30)[9], endometrial cancer (ORs, 1.28–1.36)[10], prostate cancer (RR = 1.07; 95%CI 0.99–1.16; P = 0.10)[11], colorectal cancer (ORs, 1.08–1.21)[12], and lung cancer (ORs, 1.21–1.27)[10]. As a kind of early-stage tumor, TNs may share similar biological mechanisms with cancers, thus, the existing evidence on the relationship between a sedentary lifestyle and cancer may also to some extent explain the impact of the sedentary lifestyle on TNs.
Implications and public health significance of the findings
Our findings provide additional evidence on the hazards of a sedentary lifestyle. Sedentary lifestyle has become a growing issue in modern society, especially since the COVID-19 pandemic. The adverse health effects caused by a sedentary lifestyle may become one of the long-term effects of COVID[27]. Preventive strategies are needed to alter the sedentary lifestyle among the population and improve public well-being. For the government staff, the health management center should promote the health education and healthy work patterns, especially among the high-risk groups.
Potential mechanisms of the association
In summary, the possible mechanisms underlying the increased prevalence of TNs included vitamin D and hormonal changes, metabolic dysfunction, and chronic low-level inflammation. Vitamin D deficiency and altered hormone levels were probably the most important mechanism. Epidemiological studies have found that a sedentary lifestyle was related to vitamin D deficiency due to limited sunlight exposure[28]. Vitamin D could regulate the function of thyroid as well as the release of TSH from the pituitary gland through vitamin D receptor[16]. Increased level of TSH following vitamin D deficiency was considered to stimulate the growth of thyroid cells, causing TNs and thyroid carcinoma[18]. In addition, with the vitamin D receptor and ossifying triol involved[29], vitamin D was related to the regulation of cell differentiation, apoptosis, and inflammation[30], all of which significantly contributed to the formation of TNs[31]. Metabolic dysfunction might a potential mediator on the pathway from the sedentary lifestyle to TNs [5] [32]. Nevertheless, more research would be needed to confirm or refute this hypothesis.
The inflammatory response is another potential pathway from the sedentary lifestyle to TNs. Previous studies have shown that sedentary people tended to have a higher concentration of inflammatory biomarkers such as C-reactive protein[19–23] which was considered to cause tumors through multiple pathways[33, 34]. In addition, inflammatory biomarkers may inhibit thyroid hormone synthesis, leading to an increased serum level of TSH[35] which was considered an independent predictor of TNs and thyroid carcinoma.
Modification effect of age
We found that the adverse effect of sedentary lifestyle was more pronounced in people of higher age. This finding was expected as the elderly tended to have a decreased ability to ingest materials, synthesize and process vitamin D[36] as well as a decreased function of metabolic system[37] and immune system[38]. In addition, the long-term sedentary lifestyle over previous years tended to cumulatively contributed to a higher vulnerability to TNs among the elderly. The results implied that medications targeted on the dysfunction of metabolic and immune systems such as vitamin D supplements may be an effective way to protect the elderly against the adverse impact of the sedentary lifestyle.
Association of sedentary lifestyle with the risk of TNs of different features
We found that the increased sedentary time was associated with a lower risk of TNs with blood flow signal. Similar studies were very limited, with only one suggesting that lack of exercise (as a surrogate of the sedentary lifestyle) was associated with less vascularity in TNs[39]. Given that blood flow signal usually represents a lower possibility of malignancy, this finding was consistent with the findings of our main analysis, suggesting that sedentary lifestyle may be more associated with TNs of low malignancy. We believe it would be reasonable to consider the sedentary lifestyle as a mild exposure which more likely to cause benign rather than malignant TNs. Our results indicated a positive association of sedentary lifestyle with TNs of all grades and features compared with the control group.
Strengths and limitations
The study has several strengths including that it used data from annual medical examination of government staff which have a higher quality than regular screening records. We focused on the public employees who were suffering a greater issue of sedentary lifestyle. However, some limitations should be acknowledged. Since all TNs were diagnosed based on ultrasound results and TI-RADS level but not based on biopsy, the malignancy of TNs could not be determined. The sedentary time was self-reported, which may lead to bias and only reflects approximate trends. However, the recall bias was acceptable, because most thyroid nodules do not have symptoms to affect their reports on sedentary time. Thyroid-related information such as that for TSH and 25 hydroxyvitamin D was not collected for interpretation of the mechanism. More data are needed to clarify the potential biological mechanisms and the potential causality between the sedentary lifestyle and TNs.