The present study compared four different methods of measuring patellar height and their ability to predict the incidence of RPD. Our findings revealed that the AUC associated with the mIS method was the largest (0.96). The AUC of mIS, 0.96 suggests good-excellent accuracy in predicting the incidence of RPD. It indicates that the patellar alta diagnosed using mIS methods could have the most reliable diagnostic ability which can differentiate patellar recurrent instability from asymptomatic stable patella. The pathogenesis of RPD is multifactorial, and previous studies have proposed many risk factors for RPD. Although the patella alta is recognized as an important predisposing factor for RPD,[4] there are few published studies focusing on the predictive performance of patellar height indices for the incidence of RPD.
Numerous studies have found that patella alta is associated with many patellofemoral pathologies, such as anterior knee pain,[1] patellofemoral cartilage lesions,[24] Osgood-Schlatter disease,[25] and patellar instability (including RPD).[15] [26] Larse et al. reported that the recurrence rate of patellar dislocation in patients with patella alta was 51%; the recurrence rate of acute patellar dislocation after conservative treatment ranged from 15–44%.[3] Several authors have compared the patellar height between patients with RPD and control subjects. Simmons et al. used the IS method and revealed that the mean index values were 1.02 and 1.58 in normal controls and RPD, respectively.[4] Furthermore, Dowd et al. used the IS method and reported that the mean index values were 1.03 in 50 knees of normal volunteers and 1.25 in 33 knees with patellar instability.[16] Our results for the control (1.00) and RPD (1.28) groups, according to the IS method, aligned with those of previous reports.
Several studies have compared several patellar height measurement methods in various knee conditions, including 90° flexion,[14] trochlea dysplasia,[26] in children,[27] and after valgus high tibial osteotomy.[28] Individually, these studies recommended one or two patellar height measurement methods, which varied based on the condition. However, most studies have compared the patellar height measurement methods in terms of their reliabilities and reproducibility. Aparicio et al. demonstrated that the CD method was more reliable and reproducible than the BP method in children.[27] Although the main purpose of our study was to evaluate the predictive performance for the incidence of RPD, we also analysed the ICCs. Our results indicated that the ICC scores for the four methods were good and similar or higher than the scores reported by previous studies.[29]
In this study, we used four representative measurement methods: the IS, BP, CD, and mIS. The IS and mIS methods showed the highest AUC values, which were 0.91 and 0.96, respectively. The IS method is one of the most studied and commonly used methods for the clinical diagnosis of patella alta. It is reported that both indices are independent of the tibial plateau; therefore, these methods mainly reflect the lengths of the patella and patellar tendon.[30] Although the mIS method has a similar concept to the IS method, the mIS index had a slightly higher AUC than the IS. While the IS ratio consists of patellar tendon and patellar lengths, the mIS ratio consists of the patellar tendon length and the articular surface length of the patella. Ward et al. reported that the patellar articular surface and its contact pressure are associated with patellar instability.[31] This could explain why the AUC value associated with mIS, which reflects the articular length of the patella, was slightly higher than that of the IS method. The BP and CD methods also had relatively high AUC values (0.72 and 0.86, respectively). These results indicate that while the BP and CD indices might be useful, they are less able to predict the incidence of RPD than the mIS and IS methods. The IS and mIS methods reflect the patellar tendon length, while the BP and CD methods reflect the patellar height when starting from the tibial plateau. Neyret et al. reported that the length of the patellar tendon is more specific and more sensitive than the CD index for predicting patellar instability.[32] Furthermore, Meyer et al. reported good long-term function of the patellar tendon following patellar tendon tenodesis for episodic patellar dislocation.[33] Our results may support these conclusions. Although the patella alta is an important factor for predicting patella instability, our results indicate that the patellar tendon length may be more important than the patellar position (starting from the tibial plateau). However, additional studies are needed to confirm these findings.
Previous studies have reported unsatisfactory results following conservative treatment for PPD. Stefancin et al. reported that conservative treatment resulted in a re-dislocation rate as high as 50%.[34] Furthermore, Thomas et al. reported that the rate of RPD was 45.1% after 10 years[5]. However, whether to perform surgical treatment for PPD is still controversial, and indications for surgery have not been established. Nwachukwu et al. suggested that patients with a high risk of RPD after PPD might benefit from surgical treatment.[18] Furthermore, several meta-analyses reported that surgical treatment reduced the rate of re-dislocation in PPD patients when compared to conservative treatments.[35] [36] [37] [38] [39] Hence, further studies are necessary to establish uniform criteria that clinicians can use when making decisions regarding surgery. Numerous studies have reported various risk factors associated with recurrent instability, such as patellar alta, trochlear dysplasia, small patella, general laxity, and valgus knee alignment. Recent studies have reported several classification systems that can be used to predict the re-dislocation after PPD.[40] [41] [42] However, there are no defined indications for surgical treatment for PPD when using the patellar height index. Currently reported classification systems could be accurate; however, they are also complex. Thus, it appears that a simple and easy index using lateral radiograph can be helpful in predicting the incidence of RPD. Our study reports a high AUC value for mIS (0.96) and a recommended cut-off value (1.77) that can be used to predict the incidence of RPD in the general population. Furthermore, considering other predisposing factors, such as trochlea dysplasia, lower limb mal-alignment, and general laxity, it might be used to predict RPD incidence for the general population and sometimes for patients after PPD.
This study has some limitations. First, patellar height was determined using lateral radiographs and a knee flexion angle ranging from 30° to 50°. Therefore, small differences in the flexion angle might influence the index value recorded. Second, the number of patients is relatively small, and all the patients were Asian; therefore, the results may not be reflective of other races. Third, the control group in this study comprised patients without any patellar symptom. There is a possibility that patients without recurrence after PPD for a long time could be another better control group that could be used to identify the index for decision making during surgical treatment after PPD. Fourth, because this is the simple and easy method for predicting RPD incidence using just lateral knee radiograph, the other known risk factors including trochlea dysplasia, lower limb mal-alignment, and patient ages were not considered in this study’s analysis. Considering other associated risk factors, its diagnostic ability could be more helpful, and further studies seem to confirm this.