Study design and setting
We used data from the baseline survey of the SuNCD-AA (Surveillance of Non-Communicable Diseases in Addis Ababa) project designed to monitor the epidemiology of chronic diseases in the city on a five-yearly basis using the WHO’s STEPwise Approach to NCD Risk Factor Surveillance (STEPS) 25. The SuNCD-AA baseline survey was completed in June 2021.
Addis Ababa, is the capital and largest city of Ethiopia and has an estimated population of 4.5 million, of which 68% are adults 18–64 years of age 26. Administratively Addis Ababa is divided into 10 sub-cities and 116 districts and has 12 public hospitals, 40 private hospitals, 96 health centres and more than 800 clinics. In 2006, a STEPS survey in the city reported high prevalence of overweight and obesity (29%), low physical activity (25%) and hypertension (30%) among adults 25–64 years of age 27.
Study population and design
In the SuNCD-AA survey, women and men 18 to 64 years of age, who were permanent residents of the city were eligible for inclusion irrespective of their medical history. Women participants were excluded if they had a self-reported pregnancy or gave birth in the preceding 12 months of the survey.
The baseline survey enrolled 600 adults 18–64 years of age. The original sample size was estimated using Cochran's single population proportion formula 28 assuming 95% confidence level, 4% margin of error, 21% expected prevalence of overweight and obesity and design effect (DEFF) of 1.5. DEFF of 1.5 was determined using the standard DEFF = 1 + δ (n – 1) formula taking cluster size (n) of 20 and intra-cluster correlation of (δ) of 2%. Post-hoc analysis indicated, the available sample size was adequate to estimate 18.9% prevalence of NWO with 95% confidence level, 4% margin of error and DEFF of 1.5.
Study subjects were selected using multistage cluster sampling approach. Initially from each of the 10 sub-cities 1 district, and subsequently from each district 2 villages (“ketena”), were drawn using lottery method. Ultimately 20 villages were represented in the study. In each of villages, using urban health extension workers’ database as a sampling frame, 20 households were selected at random. In each of selected household eligible subjects were listed and one was selected using simple random sampling technique. Few selected individuals who were not willing to take part in the study or could not be found at home after repeated visits had been replaced with randomly selected eligible subjects from adjacent households.
Variables of the study
The explanatory variable, NWO, was defined as having normal BMI (18.5–24.9 kg/m²) with high %BF. As there is no universally agreed excess body fat threshold 12,20, we primarily used the age- and sex-specific cut-offs (≤ 20th percentile of the norms) proposed by American College of Sports Medicine (ACSM) for adults 20 years or older 29. The ACSM thresholds that we used were: > 23.1 to28.4% for men and > 27.1 to 35.4% for women, according to age 29. As the ACSM provided no thresholds for adolescents 18 or 19 years of age, we applied the norms for young adults (20–29 years) to this group.
We have also provided alternative NWO prevalence figures based on the following three sex-specific %BF thresholds commonly used in the literature: (1) American Council on Exercise (ACE) threshold (≥ 25% for men and ≥ 32% for women) 30, (2) ≥ 25% for males and ≥ 35% for females 31 and (3) ≥ 20·6% for men and ≥ 33·4% for women 15,32.
The primary outcomes of interest were blood pressure, blood glucose level and lipid profile (low-density lipoprotein (LDL), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), triglyceride and total cholesterol). The primary outcomes were analysed both as continuous and dichotomous variables. We considered age and sex as key control variables.
Based on JNC 7 classification 33, hypertension was defined as a systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 140 mm Hg or more, or a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) of 90 mm Hg or above, or currently on medication for raised blood pressure. Base on the recommendation of American Diabetic Association, we defined elevated blood sugar by aggregating prediabetic (Fasting Blood Sugar (FBS) between 100 and125 mg/dl or Postprandial Blood Sugar (PPBS) between 140 ann199 mg/dl) and diabetic (FBS > = 126 mg/dl or PPBS > = 200 mg/dl or on medication for raised blood sugar) states 34. Elevated LDL (≥ 100 mg/dL), triglyceride (≥ 150 mg/dL) and total cholesterol (≥ 200 mg/dL), and low HDL (< 40 mg/dL) were defined using clinically relevant cut-off values. Total cholesterol to HDL ratio was calculated as composite index of dyslipidaemia.
Data collection tools and procedures
Data were collected following the STEPwise Approach, a standardized method for monitoring behavioural, dietary and metabolic risk factors of NCDs 25. The STEPS questionnaire was translated to Amharic language, pretested and contextualized to the local setting. Questions extracted from the standard Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) questionnaire were used to collect socio-demographic information. Physical activity level was measured using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPAQ) incorporated into the STEPS tool and classified as high, moderate or low based on the level of metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-minutes per week 25.
Data were digitally collected using the Open Data Kit (ODK)® system via KoBo Toolbox® platform. Enumerators and supervisors were trained nurses with extensive field experience. The training included standardization of anthropometric measurements and procedures for measuring blood pressure and blood sugar levels.
Anthropometric measurements
All participants underwent weight, height, waist and hip circumferences and skinfold measurements in the field following standard procedures. Weight was measured to the nearest 100 g without shoes and heavy clothing using SH2003B® digital scale (accuracy ± 100 g). Standing height was measured without shoes to the nearest 0.1 cm using portable Heuer® stadiometer. BMI was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared and classified as underweight (< 18.5), normal (18.5–24.9), overweight (25.0–29.9) or obese ( > = 30).
Waist and hip circumferences were measured to the nearest 0.1 cm using a non-stretchable flexible tape with minimal clothing. Waist circumference was classified as normal (men < 94 cm and women < 80 cm), increased risk (men 94–102 cm and women 80–88 cm) or greatly increased risk (men > 102 cm and women > 88 cm) 35. Waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) was classified as normal (men < 0.90 and women < 0.85) or substantially increased (men ≥ 0.90 and women ≥ 0.85) 35.
All anthropometric measurements were performed in duplicate and if the difference was within a tolerable range (200 g for weight, 0.5 cm for height, and 1 cm for waist and hip circumferences), the average was used. Otherwise, the measurements were repeated.
Skinfold measurement and estimation of gross body composition
Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is considered as the gold standard for measuring body fat. However, its applicability in community-based studies of low-income countries is limited to due to cost and feasibility reasons. In this study, we estimated body fat using the validated Durnin & Womersley Equation based on four skinfold measurements 36.
Triceps, biceps, subscapular and suprailiac skinfold thicknesses measurements were completed in duplicate to the nearest millimetre using Plicometro® callipers. Body density (g/ml) was predicted based on Durnin & Womersley Equation as a function of four skinfold measurements 36. Though multiple equations have been proposed to estimate %BF using skinfold measurements, the Durnin & Womersley Equation has showed the strongest concordance with DXA measurements 37. According to the equation, \(\text{B}\text{o}\text{d}\text{y} \text{d}\text{e}\text{n}\text{s}\text{i}\text{t}\text{y}\left(\frac{\text{g}}{\text{m}\text{l}}\right)=x-\left(y\text{log}10L\right)\)where: L is the total of the skinfolds (mm) and x and y are age- and sex- specific constants. Then %BF was determined using the Siri Eq. 38, \(\text{\%} \text{B}\text{F}=(495/\text{D}) – 450\), where D is density of the body (g/ml) estimated using Durnin & Womersley Equation. Ultimately fat body mass (FBM) was computed by multiplying total bodyweight by %BF and lean body mass (LBM) was determined by subtracting FBM from the total bodyweight.
Lipid profile, blood pressure and blood sugar measurements
Blood pressure was measured using Folee® automated digital monitor system in sitting position after 15 minutes of rest. In individuals with recent exercise, smoking, heavy meal or caffeine intake, the measurement was delayed for at least 30 minutes. The measurement was repeated twice and if the difference was within acceptable limit (10 mmHg in SBP and 5mmHg in DBP) the average was recorded. Otherwise, a new set of readings was taken. Random blood glucose level was determined from capillary blood using Diavue® monitoring system. Lipid panel including, including low-density lipoprotein (LDL), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), triglyceride and total cholesterol were determined at the national reference laboratory of Ethiopian Public Health Institute (EPHI).
Statistical analysis
SPSS version 25 was used for data processing and analysis. Survey weights were applied to adjust for differences in probability of selection and to align the sample with known age and sex profile of the population. Survey weights were determined as a product of design weight and poststratification weight. Design weight was computed as inverse of the sampling fraction. Poststratification weight was determined based on the age and sex composition of the city as reported in the recent national census 26.
Categorical variables are expressed using frequency distributions. The normality of numeric variables was first assessed using Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and then appropriate measures of central tendency and dispersion were used to summarize the data. Arithmetic mean (± standard deviation (SD)) and median (inter-quartile range (IQR)) were applied for normal and skewed distributions, respectively. For proportions, 95% confidence interval (CI) was estimated using STATA’s binomial CI calculator. We also used a series of Pearson’s chi-square and chi-square tests for trend tests to compare proportions across two or more levels.
The association between NWO and the outcomes of interest was measured by comparing normal-weight lean (normal %BF and BMI) and normal-weight obese individuals. Simple and multiple linear regression models were fitted for continuous outcomes (SBP, DBP and blood sugar level) and unstandardized regression coefficients (β) were used for interpretation. For dichotomous outcomes (hypertension, elevated blood glucose level, low HDL and elevated LDL, triglycerides and cholesterol) bivariable and multivariable logistic regression models were fitted and crude (COR) and adjusted (AOR) odds ratio were reported. All multivariable models were adjusted for age and sex.
Ethical considerations
The protocol was cleared by Institutional Review Board of College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University (109/20/SPH). Data were collected after taking informed written consent from the study participants. The study was performed in accordance with the national and international ethical guidelines.