AADA is an urgent surgical disease: and its different clinical manifestations and timely surgical treatment determine the clinical results. In the present study: we identified the clinical manifestations: laboratory tests: and imaging features that were significantly associated with AADA preoperative deaths. We provided a simple and quick bedside scoring model: by which surgeons can quickly perform preoperative risk assessments: reasonably arrange the operation: and establish fast channels to more effectively treat patients with AADA: especially in those deemed to be at high risk for preoperative death. For patients with poor prognosis: model predictions are not necessarily used to deny aggressive treatment.
In agreement with the general cardiac surgery findings [15: 16]: in this study: ALT ≥ 200 U/L and AST ≥ 120 U/L were associated with preoperative death (P < 0.001). However: serum albumin level: a widely used evaluation indicator of liver dysfunction: was not measured in most patients in the present study and therefore was not included in the variables.
D-dimmer: a specific end product of fibrin hydrolysis: increases with the activation of the fibrinolytic system. Thus: the level of D-dimmer indicates whether the body is in a hypercoagulable state or when acute thrombosis is formed. AD is caused by aortic intimal rupture: in which blood forms hematoma through intimal incision. The damaged arterial wall activates the exogenous coagulation system: and pseudocavity thrombosis activates the endogenous coagulation cascade reaction: which in turn activates the fibrinolytic system and results in elevated levels of plasma D-dimmer. The time from the onset of symptoms to the consultation could affect the plasma D-dimmer concentration in patients with AD [17]: and its increase also showed a strong correlation with hospital mortality in patients with AAD [18]. The OR of this variable in the model also supports this finding (OR = 2.982: P < 0.001).
The model included variables with electrocardiographic myocardial ischemia. Electrocardiography is very important for the early differential diagnosis of patients with acute severe chest pain due to its simplicity and convenience. AD and coronary heart disease (CHD) are both high-risk cardiovascular diseases: and the case of acute myocardial ischemia (AMI) combined with AD is a clinically rare critical illness: with a reported incidence of only 1–5% [19: 20]. It is generally believed that AD can cause AMI. The mechanism is that the intima of the AD can extend to the coronary openings: or the false lumen compresses the coronary artery: resulting in acute myocardial ischemia and hypoxia leading to AMI [21: 22]. The variable CHD was not included in this study: because only a small proportion of patients were diagnosed using coronary angiography or other objective methods; also: the definition of CHD and its application in retrospectively collected data may also affect the results in terms of prevalence. In addition: in this study: cTnT ≥ 200 pg/ml was associated with preoperative death (P = 0.009). Considering that most patients with angina pectoris had more severe vascular disease: coronary artery stenosis and thrombosis caused greater myocardial and vascular damage: which increased the cTnT.
In the present study: the FL/TL of the ascending aorta: the thoracic aorta: and the abdominal aorta were all ≥ 0.75 and statistically significant in the univariate analysis; however: only the FL/TL of the thoracic aorta ≥ 0.75 was selected among the results of the logistic regression multivariate analysis. Vessel malperfusion could lead to severe complications [12]. The ascending aorta connects the three branches of the aortic arch upward and connects the aortic root downward; the abdominal aorta consists of important abdominal blood vessels: but only the thoracic aorta has none. This was an interesting finding. According to current research: wall shear stress was used to evaluate each section of the aorta: and it was found that the aortic arch was in the position prone to rupture [23: 24]. We speculated that thoracic aorta malperfusion might be the high-risk factor associated with rupture. Further study is needed to support this finding.
In support of the results of Pape’s study: an ascending aorta diameter ≥ 55 mm measured by CTA was not statistically significant [25]: but in the present study: an average ascending aorta diameter ≥ 55 mm measured by TTE increased the preoperative mortality. This may be related to the differences in the measurement methods of the ascending aorta diameter between TTE and CTA. In addition: it is difficult to measure the diameter of the aorta prior to the development of AD: and further research is needed to explore the connection between the diameter of the aorta and the pathogenesis of AD.
In this study: age was not a predictive factor: which was different from the findings of previous studies [11: 26–27]. The age of the patients ranged from 9 to 91 years old: and only three patients were younger than 20 years old; thus: the model prediction results for those with younger age might not be accurate. This might be related to the longer average time for patients with AADA to undergo surgical treatment in China [14]. In China: due to the uneven distribution of medical resources: many regional hospitals cannot carry out surgical treatment of AD by themselves; therefore: they can only refer to higher-level hospitals or request experts in higher-level hospitals for assistance in consultation and surgical treatment. Thus: the vast majority of patients with AADA admitted in our hospital were transferred from other hospitals. These patients had undergone a preliminary examination at the regional hospital since the onset of the disease and were considered to be diagnosed with AD: and then they were referred to our hospital for treatment: awaiting the completion of relevant examinations and preparations prior to surgery. This process took an average of about 3 days: which was why we set the entry criteria for being unable to undergo surgical treatment within 3 days from the onset of disease. According to reports: the mortality rate of patients with AADA who did not undergo surgical treatment had increased dramatically over time: with an hourly mortality rate of 1% and a 90-day expected mortality rate of 70–90% [10: 28].
Ventilation: inotropic support: cardiopulmonary resuscitation: and preoperative syncope are related to in-hospital death [11]. However: the number of patients who had undergone these management methods in this study was small and does not qualify for inclusion as a variable in the model. Since most patients were referrals from other hospitals: some patients who received support due to their critical condition might not be able to transfer. This may explain why the number of patients was relatively small.
Limitations
This study is a single-center retrospective study: which is subject to selection bias. We used an endpoint time of preoperative death within 3 days: which was the sole outcome. However: it should not lessen the importance of other outcome variables such as nonfatal adverse events: complications: patient functional status: etc. Further study is required to analyze these outcomes.