Metabolomics sample characteristics
The main, batch 1, discovery dataset (used for SDB-SMA analysis and LASSO regression) included 1,874 female participants (mean age = 42.8), and 1,425 male participants (mean age = 41.6), and the validation dataset included 960 female participants (mean age = 51.9) and 562 male participants (mean age = 51.2) from batch 2 (Table 1). Consistent with their older age, the prevalence of moderate to severe SDB was higher in batch 2 compared to batch 1 participants (REI3\(\ge\)15, 13.8% compared to 11.5% in batch 1 participants); similarly, comorbidities were higher in batch 2 participants (30.1% prevalent diabetes mellitus and 45.7% prevalent hypertension, compared to 20.4% and 32.2%, respectively, in batch 1).
Table 1
Characteristics of Hispanics/Latinos represented by the metabolomic analytic sample from the HCHS/SOL study
| Batch 1 | Batch 2 |
Mean (SD)* | Female | Male | Overall | Female | Male | Overall |
n | 1874 | 1425 | 3299 | 960 | 562 | 1522 |
Age at baseline | 42.82 (15.10) | 41.62 (14.94) | 42.22 (15.03) | 51.89 (12.31) | 51.18 (13.73) | 51.57 (12.96) |
Hispanic/Latino background (%) | | | | | | |
Dominican | 205 (10.9) | 114 (8.0) | 319 (9.7) | 128 (13.3) | 61 (10.9) | 189 (12.4) |
Central American | 191 (10.2) | 130 (9.1) | 321 (9.7) | 108 (11.2) | 53 (9.4) | 161 (10.6) |
Cuban | 251 (13.4) | 264 (18.5) | 515 (15.6) | 158 (16.5) | 116 (20.6) | 274 (18.0) |
Mexican | 753 (40.2) | 531 (37.3) | 1284 (38.9) | 327 (34.1) | 171 (30.4) | 498 (32.7) |
Puerto Rican | 312 (16.6) | 254 (17.8) | 566 (17.2) | 151 (15.7) | 116 (20.6) | 267 (17.5) |
South American | 113 (6.0) | 86 (6.0) | 199 (6.0) | 74 (7.7) | 40 (7.1) | 114 (7.5) |
Multi/other | 49 (2.6) | 46 (3.2) | 95 (2.9) | 14 (1.5) | 5 (0.9) | 19 (1.2) |
BMI (kg/m2) | 30.28 (6.86) | 28.87 (5.37) | 29.58 (6.20) | 30.22 (5.96) | 28.68 (5.04) | 29.54 (5.62) |
Alcohol drinking status (%) | | | | | | |
never | 481 (25.7) | 104 (7.3) | 585 (17.7) | 315 (32.9) | 56 (10.0) | 371 (24.4) |
former | 659 (35.2) | 435 (30.5) | 1094 (33.2) | 303 (31.6) | 193 (34.3) | 496 (32.6) |
current | 733 (39.1) | 886 (62.2) | 1619 (49.1) | 340 (35.5) | 313 (55.7) | 653 (43.0) |
Smoking status (%) | | | | | | |
never | 1286 (68.7) | 664 (46.6) | 1950 (59.1) | 639 (66.6) | 232 (41.4) | 871 (57.3) |
former | 300 (16.0) | 378 (26.5) | 678 (20.6) | 175 (18.2) | 186 (33.2) | 361 (23.8) |
current | 287 (15.3) | 382 (26.8) | 669 (20.3) | 145 (15.1) | 142 (25.4) | 287 (18.9) |
Physical activity (MET-min/day) | 481.45 (757.57) | 943.14 (1197.58) | 711.22 (1027.14) | 331.97 (595.88) | 798.99 (1208.27) | 538.38 (946.79) |
The Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI 2010) | 46.81 (7.47) | 48.87 (7.47) | 47.83 (7.54) | 48.31 (7.03) | 50.07 (7.42) | 49.09 (7.25) |
OSA status = OSA, REI3 ≥ 15 (%) | 141 (7.5) | 240 (16.8) | 381 (11.5) | 94 (9.8) | 116 (20.6) | 210 (13.8) |
REI0 (events/hr) | 14.24 (16.78) | 22.20 (21.53) | 18.21 (19.69) | 18.87 (17.42) | 26.05 (21.76) | 22.05 (19.78) |
REI3 (events/hr) | 3.82 (7.73) | 8.26 (15.09) | 6.03 (12.18) | 5.59 (10.28) | 10.03 (15.17) | 7.56 (12.87) |
Average length of each respiratory event (seconds) | 17.82 (4.16) | 19.61 (4.52) | 18.71 (4.43) | 18.47 (4.71) | 21.06 (5.31) | 19.62 (5.14) |
Percentage sleep time with SpO2 < 90% | 0.40 (1.50) | 1.10 (4.23) | 0.75 (3.18) | 0.67 (2.26) | 1.48 (4.13) | 1.03 (3.25) |
Sleep-related time in hypoxia (5% sleep < 90% saturation) (%) | 42 (2.2) | 82 (5.8) | 124 (3.8) | 32 (3.3) | 36 (6.4) | 68 (4.5) |
Hypoxic burden (%minute/hour) | 14.17 (23.38) | 26.62 (44.70) | 20.37 (36.17) | 20.41 (30.99) | 33.59 (47.14) | 26.26 (39.51) |
Minimum SpO2% | 88.27 (5.09) | 86.70 (6.18) | 87.49 (5.71) | 86.93 (6.11) | 85.38 (6.80) | 86.25 (6.47) |
Average SpO2% | 96.66 (0.68) | 96.38 (1.09) | 96.52 (0.92) | 96.43 (0.82) | 96.19 (1.01) | 96.32 (0.91) |
Baseline Diabetes status (ADA)**(%) | 381 (20.3) | 292 (20.5) | 673 (20.4) | 277 (28.9) | 181 (32.2) | 458 (30.1) |
Baseline Hypertension status ***(%) | 613 (32.7) | 449 (31.5) | 1062 (32.2) | 439 (45.7) | 256 (45.6) | 695 (45.7) |
Incident Diabetes (ADA) **(%) | 183 (12.9) | 122 (12.8) | 305 (12.9) | 118 (12.6) | 80 (14.7) | 198 (13.4) |
Incident Hypertension ***(%) | 172 (9.2) | 127 (8.9) | 299 (9.1) | 137 (14.3) | 85 (15.1) | 222 (14.6) |
Triglycerides (mg/dL) | 116.38 (71.35) | 144.28 (99.83) | 130.28 (87.82) | 135.03 (72.51) | 181.31 (331.72) | 155.54 (228.40) |
HDL (mg/dL) | 52.32 (12.79) | 45.30 (12.01) | 48.82 (12.89) | 52.15 (12.24) | 44.77 (11.20) | 48.88 (12.34) |
LDL (mg/dL) | 119.69 (35.58) | 122.57 (35.63) | 121.11 (35.63) | 126.35 (36.06) | 122.50 (36.95) | 124.67 (36.49) |
Fasting glucose (mg/dL) | 100.25 (32.46) | 105.24 (35.22) | 102.74 (33.95) | 105.66 (39.89) | 120.58 (56.54) | 112.28 (48.54) |
Fasting insulin (mU/L) | 13.32 (12.18) | 13.04 (19.03) | 13.18 (15.96) | 13.26 (9.94) | 12.48 (9.19) | 12.91 (9.62) |
HOMA-IR | 3.45 (3.80) | 3.51 (5.53) | 3.48 (4.74) | 3.66 (3.83) | 3.78 (3.44) | 3.72 (3.66) |
Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 195.35 (41.71) | 196.42 (42.90) | 195.88 (42.30) | 205.41 (41.32) | 200.47 (46.69) | 203.22 (43.84) |
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | 116.73 (17.69) | 124.40 (15.74) | 120.55 (17.18) | 125.15 (20.20) | 128.51 (16.48) | 126.64 (18.71) |
Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | 71.35 (10.56) | 74.51 (10.99) | 72.92 (10.89) | 73.37 (11.22) | 75.02 (10.96) | 74.10 (11.13) |
* Means and percentages were weighted using sampling weights to provides estimates of the HCHS/SOL target population characteristics.
** Baseline and incident diabetes are based on American Diabetes Association definition (Diabetes Care 2010;33:S62-69), defined as fasting glucose > = 126 mg/dL, or post-OGTT glucose > = 200 mg/dL or A1C > = 6.5%, or use of anti-diabetic medication.
*** Baseline and incident hypertension is defined as systolic or diastolic BP greater than or equal to 140/90 respectively, or current use of antihypertensive medications.
SDB PC1 and SDB PC2 characterize study population on different dimensions
In total, 11,653 HCHS/SOL study participants with complete SDB measures were included in the principal component analysis of SDB phenotypes. Supplemental Table S1 shows the sample characteristics stratified by gender while accounting for sampling weights, so that means and proportions are representative of the HCHS/SOL target population. The first two principal components of the SDB measures accounted for 79.8% of the total variance (Supplementary Figure S2). For both PCs, higher values indicate more severe hypoxemia. However, PC1 is also characterized by more frequent respiratory events while PC2 is characterized by shorter respiratory events. Specifically, high SDB PC1 is correlated with increased REI3 (Spearman correlation coefficient \(\rho\)=0.67) and REI0 (\(\rho\)=0.77), increased hypoxic burden (\(\rho\)=0.67), high percentage of sleep time with SpO2<90% (\(\rho\)=0.45), decreased average oxygen saturation (\(\rho\)=-0.64) and lower minimum oxygen saturation (\(\rho\)=-0.79). High SDB PC2 is mostly correlated with reduced average event length (\(\rho\)=-0.53), lower average (\(\rho\)=-0.38) and minimum oxygen saturation (\(\rho\)=-0.32), and increased percentage of sleep time with SpO2<90% (\(\rho\)=0.2) (Fig. 2).
To better understand the phenotypic characteristics that SDB PC1 and PC2 represent, we also compared the populations defined by the top and bottom 10% of SDB PC1 and PC2 (Table 2). The top 10% compared with the bottom 10% SDB PC1 was comprised of individuals who were on average older and have a higher BMI; more likely to be male and have prevalent and incident hypertension and diabetes mellitus; and more likely to have history of smoking. The top 10% SDB PC2 compared to the bottom PC2 included participants who were slightly younger, less likely to be males, and more likely to be current smokers but did not differ in rates of baseline and incident hypertension and diabetes (Table 2). As for sleep disturbance traits, the top and bottom 10% SDB PC1 participants self-reported similar insomnia symptoms according to the Women’s Health Initiative Insomnia Rating Scale and similar sleep quality (typical night’s sleep in the past 4 weeks being restless or very restless), but reported more severe excessive sleepiness, more frequent snoring and shorter sleep duration, while the top 10% SDB PC2 participants reported worse insomnia symptoms and sleep quality, and were more likely to have long sleep ( > = 9 hours) compared to the bottom 10% SDB PC2.
Table 2
Characteristics of study participants with low and high values of SDB PCs.
| SDB PC1 | SDB PC2 |
Mean (SD)* | Top10% | Bottom 10% | Top 10% | Bottom 10% |
n | 1166 | 1166 | 1166 | 1166 |
Demographic variables | | | | |
Age at baseline | 54.38 (12.15) | 30.80 (11.65) | 39.22 (15.69) | 42.23 (13.99) |
Gender = Male (%) | 649 (55.7) | 301 (25.8) | 404 (34.6) | 447 (38.3) |
Hispanic/Latino background (%) | | | | |
Dominican | 87 (7.5) | 135 (11.6) | 127 (10.9) | 61 (5.2) |
Central American | 138 (11.8) | 118 (10.1) | 89 (7.6) | 160 (13.8) |
Cuban | 190 (16.3) | 137 (11.8) | 215 (18.4) | 115 (9.9) |
Mexican | 439 (37.7) | 479 (41.2) | 390 (33.4) | 542 (46.6) |
Puerto Rican | 203 (17.4) | 171 (14.7) | 250 (21.4) | 146 (12.6) |
South American | 82 (7.0) | 66 (5.7) | 52 (4.5) | 114 (9.8) |
Multi/other | 27 (2.3) | 58 (5.0) | 43 (3.7) | 25 (2.1) |
Sleep disordered breathing | | | | |
REI0 (events/hr) | 58.19 (24.43) | 2.09 (1.66) | 17.25 (29.86) | 17.36 (13.35) |
REI3 (events/hr) | 38.53 (23.53) | 0.09 (0.16) | 9.05 (21.60) | 2.28 (2.90) |
Minimum SpO2% | 73.86 (7.42) | 92.00 (1.54) | 85.48 (7.94) | 91.55 (1.83) |
Average SpO2% | 94.59 (1.82) | 97.07 (0.33) | 95.92 (1.66) | 97.04 (0.29) |
Percent sleep time with SpO2 < 90% | 7.53 (9.40) | 0.00 (0.02) | 2.07 (7.07) | 0.02 (0.09) |
Sleep-related time in hypoxia (5% sleep < 90% saturation) (%) | 466 (40.0) | 0 (0.0) | 118 (10.1) | 0 (0.0) |
Average length of each respiratory event (seconds) | 23.19 (5.70) | 15.72 (4.34) | 14.57 (2.89) | 22.98 (3.86) |
Hypoxic Burden (%minute/hour) | 113.89 (78.36) | 1.20 (1.25) | 24.92 (63.00) | 14.33 (11.82) |
Lifestyle variables | | | | |
BMI (kg/m2) | 32.95 (5.54) | 27.39 (6.71) | 31.12 (7.17) | 27.87 (5.22) |
Alcohol drinking status (%) | | | | |
never | 231 (19.8) | 221 (19.0) | 223 (19.2) | 248 (21.3) |
former | 398 (34.2) | 353 (30.3) | 390 (33.5) | 396 (34.0) |
current | 536 (46.0) | 591 (50.7) | 551 (47.3) | 520 (44.7) |
Smoking status (%) | | | | |
never | 614 (52.7) | 848 (72.8) | 677 (58.2) | 737 (63.4) |
former | 376 (32.2) | 109 (9.4) | 176 (15.1) | 254 (21.9) |
current | 176 (15.1) | 208 (17.9) | 311 (26.7) | 171 (14.7) |
Physical activity (MET-min/day) | 614.03 (1048.52) | 696.78 (946.68) | 675.35 (931.15) | 727.81 (1017.02) |
The Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI 2010) | 50.44 (7.65) | 45.44 (7.44) | 45.52 (6.69) | 48.67 (6.48) |
Comorbidities | | | | |
Incident Diabetes (ADA) **(%) | 160 (18.6) | 46 (6.3) | 95 (12.0) | 118 (13.1) |
Baseline Diabetes status (ADA)**(%) | 451 (38.7) | 86 (7.4) | 255 (21.9) | 195 (16.7) |
Incident Hypertension ***(%) | 125 (10.7) | 56 (4.8) | 107 (9.2) | 105 (9.0) |
Baseline Hypertension status ***(%) | 663 (56.9) | 100 (8.6) | 337 (28.9) | 317 (27.2) |
Self-reported sleep duration and sleep disturbance | | | | |
Sleep duration (hours) | 7.81 (1.38) | 8.37 (1.45) | 7.91 (1.55) | 7.82 (1.13) |
Women's Health Initiative Insomnia Rating Scale (WHIIRS) total score | 6.43 (5.41) | 6.48 (5.08) | 7.58 (5.33) | 5.70 (5.02) |
Typical night's sleep in past 4 weeks (restless or very restless) (%) | 214 (20.5) | 208 (20.7) | 256 (24.7) | 187 (18.2) |
Take sleeping pills (%) | 83 (7.2) | 52 (4.5) | 115 (10.1) | 76 (6.6) |
Trouble getting back to sleep (3 or more times a week) (%) | 215 (18.9) | 193 (17.0) | 252 (22.4) | 214 (18.9) |
Wake up earlier than you plan (3 or more times a week) (%) | 269 (23.3) | 235 (20.5) | 259 (22.7) | 256 (22.2) |
Wake up several times at night (3 or more times a week) (%) | 487 (42.2) | 328 (28.6) | 426 (37.3) | 383 (33.1) |
Trouble falling asleep (3 or more times a week) (%) | 249 (21.6) | 262 (22.9) | 334 (29.3) | 263 (22.8) |
Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) total score | 7.21 (5.51) | 5.67 (4.21) | 5.35 (4.47) | 5.37 (4.51) |
Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) total score > = 10 (%) | 247 (21.5) | 135 (11.8) | 165 (14.5) | 163 (14.1) |
Self-reported snoring (6–7 nights a week) (%) | 627 (65.7) | 67 (8.5) | 249 (29.2) | 200 (25.2) |
Heart rate during sleep | | | | |
Minimum resting heart rate during sleep (beats per min, BPM) | 50.18 (9.64) | 51.00 (7.72) | 52.23 (9.05) | 51.86 (7.84) |
Maximum resting heart rate during sleep (BPM) | 101.05 (12.74) | 101.81 (13.67) | 101.32 (13.39) | 97.32 (10.37) |
Average resting heart rate during sleep (BPM) | 70.28 (9.40) | 67.41 (8.95) | 70.68 (9.65) | 66.26 (9.70) |
Standard deviation of resting heart rate during sleep | 5.84 (1.99) | 5.35 (1.44) | 5.48 (1.70) | 4.96 (1.12) |
SDB: sleep disordered breathing; PC: principal component; ESS: Epworth Sleepiness Scale; OSA: moderate or severe OSA (REI3 ≥ 15) |
* Means and percentages were weighted using sampling weights to provides estimates of the HCHS/SOL target population characteristics.
** Baseline and incident diabetes are based on American Diabetes Association definition (Diabetes Care 2010;33:S62-69), defined as fasting glucose > = 126 mg/dL, or post-OGTT glucose > = 200 mg/dL or A1C > = 6.5%, or use of anti-diabetic medication.
*** Baseline and incident hypertension is defined as systolic or diastolic BP greater than or equal to 140/90 respectively, or current use of antihypertensive medications.
Single metabolite associations (SMA) with SDB PCs
Figure 3 shows 15 metabolites associated with SDB PC1 and 4 metabolites associated with SDB PC2 (FDR P < 0.05) in HCHS/SOL batch 1 in Model 1 (the corresponding effect estimates are provided in Supplemental Table S2). Among the 15 SDB PC1 metabolites, four metabolites – pregnanolone/allopregnanolone sulfate, linoleoyl-linoleoyl-glycerol (18:2/18:2) [1], glucuronide of C10H18O2 (8) and 5alpha-pregnan-3beta,20alpha-diol monosulfate (2) replicated (one-sided p-value < 0.05) in batch 2 in Model 1 analysis (Fig. 4). Pregnanolone/allopregnanolone sulfate and glucuronide of C10H18O2 (8) remained associated with PC1 when adjusted for additional lifestyle and comorbidity covariates in batch 2. Three of the four metabolite associations with SDB PC2 in batch replicated in batch 2 (one-sided p-value < 0.05) in Model 1 and 2, all of which were sphingomyelin lipids - sphingomyelin(d18:2/24:2), sphingomyelin(d18:2/24:1,d18:1/24:2), and sphingomyelin(d18:2/23:0,d18:1/23:1, d17:1/24:1). Full results from the SMA sex-combined analysis are provided in Supplemental Table S3.
In the sex-specific SMA, tauro-beta-muricholate, a lipid from the bile acid metabolism pathway, was associated with SDB PC1 (FDR p < 0.05) among males, while no metabolite was identified for SDB PC2 in male-only analyses after FDR correction. The association of tauro-beta-muricholate with SDB-PC1 in males did not replicate in batch 2. In female-specific discovery analysis, ten metabolites were associated with SDB-PC1, of which eight were discovered in the sex-combined SMA analysis, and two, 3-hydroxyoctanoylcarnitine (1) and 3-hydroxyoctanoylcarnitine (2), were unique to the sex-stratified analysis. A single metabolite, allantoin, was associated with SDB-PC2 among females (Supplemental Table S3). Among the twelve metabolites identified in either the male- and female-specific SMA analysis, only the associations of pregnanolone/allopregnanolone sulfate and glucuronide of C10H18O2 (8) with PC1 were replicated in batch 2 among females (Supplemental Table S4). When testing for evidence of interaction with sex, only tauro-beta-muricholate had significant interaction effect (FDR p = 0.014) (Supplemental Table S5).
Given that half of the discovered and replicated SDB PC1 metabolites were from the progesterone steroids biosynthesis pathway, we compared and visualized the concentration levels of the eight progesterone steroids sulfate metabolites with statistically significant associations with SDB PC1 after FDR correction in batch 1 by age groups in each sex strata. As age increases, we observed a decreasing trend in the levels of circulating progesterone steroids sulfate metabolites in both men and women. The patterns become more visible in the rank-normalized metabolites (Supplemental Figure S5). Sulfated metabolites of progesterone − 5alpha-pregnan-3beta,20alpha-diol disulfate, 5alpha-pregnan-3beta,20alpha-diol monosulfate (2), and 5alpha-pregnan-3beta,20beta-diol monosulfate (1), 5alpha-pregnan-diol disulfate and
Pregnanolone/allopregnanolone sulfate, were higher among younger women compared to younger men (in age groups < 40 and 40–45), while the differences diminished in older age groups (50–55, 55–60, and > 60) that would typically include post-menopausal women. The circulating pregnenolone steroids sulfate metabolites XXXpregnanediol sulfate (C21H34O5S)*,
pregnenetriol sulfate*, and pregnenolone sulfate, were higher in men compared to women across all age groups. The patterns were similar in the two batches.
LASSO regression for joint selection and estimation of metabolite associations with SDB PCs in HCHS/SOL batch 1
To identify a set of metabolites that were jointly associated with SDB PCs, we also implemented a LASSO regression in HCHS/SOL batch 1 (discovery dataset), both in sex-combined and stratified study samples. 125 metabolites were identified for SDB PC1, and 80 metabolites for SDB PC2, with 27 metabolites overlapping between the two groups. The breakdown of super pathways of the metabolites are shown in Supplemental Figure S3 and coefficients for all metabolites from LASSO trained in sex-combined and sex-stratified samples are provided in Supplementary Table S6.
We constructed SDB PC1-MRS and SDB PC2-MRS for batch 1 and batch 2 HCHS/SOL participants based on results from the LASSO penalized regression. Study sample means and SD used in standardizing the MRSs are provided in Supplemental Table S7. In a secondary analysis, we constructed MRSs based on SMA results. Supplemental Table S8 provides weights of these secondary SDB-MRSs. As expected by construction, all SDB-MRSs were significantly associated with their corresponding SDB PCs in batch 1 in all models. The associations replicated for both LASSO based SDB-MRSs but not for SMA-based SDB PC1-MRS in batch 2 (Table 3). Therefore, we move forward with the SDB-MRSs based on LASSO. The sex-specific SDB PC-MRSs, although also replicated in batch 2, did not show stronger associations with their corresponding SDB-PCs.
Table 3
Estimated associations between SDB PC metabolite indices and their respective phenotypes, in batch 1 and 2
| Batch 1 | Batch 2 |
| Both | Female | Male | Both | Female | Male |
| Coefficient | p | Coefficient | p | Coefficient | p | Coefficient | p | Coefficient | p | Coefficient | p |
SDB PC1 MRS | | | | | | | | | | |
Model 1 | 0.29 [.24,.34] | 2.03E-33 | 0.30 [.25,.36] | 1.55E-27 | 0.26 [.19,.33] | 1.44E-12 | 0.15 [.08,.23] | 1.15E-04 | 0.09 [.00,.19] | 0.0611 | 0.20 [.10,.31] | 1.36E-04 |
Model 2 | 0.29 [.24,.34] | 4.75E-34 | 0.31 [.25,.36] | 2.72E-28 | 0.26 [.19,.33] | 9.72E-13 | 0.15 [.07,.23] | 2.23E-04 | 0.08 [-.01,.17] | 0.0914 | 0.20 [.10,.30] | < 0.0001 |
SDB PC2 MRS | | | | | | | | | | |
Model 1 | 0.23 [.19,.28] | 6.04E-22 | 0.24 [.16,.32] | 7.71E-10 | 0.23 [.17,.28] | 1.12E-14 | 0.14 [.05,.22] | 1.40E-03 | 0.14 [.01,.26] | 0.0353 | 0.14 [.05,.23] | 2.15E-03 |
Model 2 | 0.23 [.18,.28] | 5.5E-22 | 0.23 [.15,.30] | 1.2E-09 | 0.22 [.17,.28] | 2.35E-15 | 0.14 [.06,.22] | 3.97E-04 | 0.13 [.02,.24] | 0.0228 | 0.15 [.06,.25] | 2.26E-03 |
Sex Specific SDB PC1 MRS | | | | | | | | | | |
Model 1 | | | 0.32 [.26,.37] | 1.94E-32 | 0.32 [.26,.38] | 2.82E-26 | | | 0.08 [.00,.15] | 0.0457 | 0.13 [.04,.21] | 2.09E-03 |
Model 2 | | | 0.32 [.27,.37] | 5.74E-35 | 0.32 [.26,.37] | 8.5E-28 | | | 0.07 [-.01,.14] | 0.0758 | 0.13 [.04,.21] | 2.38E-03 |
Sex Specific SDB PC2 MRS | | | | | | | | | | |
Model 1 | | | 0.13 [.06,.20] | 0.000112 | 0.23 [.17,.30] | 2.77E-12 | | | 0.03 [-.09,.14] | 0.6426 | 0.12 [.02,.22] | 1.89E-02 |
Model 2 | | | 0.10 [.04,.17] | 0.001702 | 0.22 [.16,.29] | 4.38E-12 | | | 0.04 [-.06,.13] | 0.4718 | 0.13 [.04,.22] | 5.27E-03 |
SMA SDB PC1 MRS | | | | | | | | | | |
Model 1 | 0.17 [.12,.21] | 2.72E-13 | 0.17 [.12,.23] | 3.62E-10 | 0.15 [.08,.21] | 5.91E-06 | 0.02 [-.04,.09] | 5.15E-01 | 0.05 [-.04,.14] | 0.2409 | -0.03 [-.14,.07] | 5.40E-01 |
Model 2 | 0.17 [.12,.21] | 6.99E-14 | 0.17 [.12,.22] | 1.55E-11 | 0.15 [.09,.21] | 2.02E-06 | 0.02 [-.05,.08] | 5.89E-01 | 0.04 [-.04,.13] | 0.3040 | -0.03 [-.14,.07] | 5.28E-01 |
SMA SDB PC2 MRS | | | | | | | | | | |
Model 1 | 0.13 [.09,.18] | 1.08E-08 | 0.13 [.07,.20] | 5.37E-05 | 0.13 [.07,.20] | 6.25E-05 | 0.09 [.03,.16] | 4.78E-03 | 0.10 [.01,.19] | 0.0225 | 0.08 [-.01,.18] | 8.69E-02 |
Model 2 | 0.13 [.09,.18] | 1.03E-08 | 0.13 [.07,.20] | 7.95E-05 | 0.13 [.07,.20] | 5.65E-05 | 0.10 [.04,.17] | 1.70E-03 | 0.11 [.03,.20] | 0.0107 | 0.10 [.01,.19] | 3.90E-02 |
* per 1 STD increase in the metabolite index (MRS).
Model 1 adjusted for demographic variables, including age, sex, field center, Hispanic/Latino background (Mexicans, Puerto Ricans, Cubans, Central Americans, Dominicans, and South Americans and other/multi) and body mass index (BMI); Model 2 adjusted for all model 1 covariates and lifestyle variables – alcohol use, cigarette use, physical activity (MET-min/day), and diet (Alternative Healthy Eating Index 2010) in addition to demographic variables.
SDB PC1 MRS: metabolite risk score calculated based on the coefficients from LASSO regression trained in both sexes combined to predict SDB PC1 in discovery dataset (batch 1); SDB PC2 MRS: metabolite risk score calculated based on the coefficients from LASSO regression trained in both sexes combined to predict SDB PC2 in discovery dataset (batch 1);Sex Specific SDB PC1 MRS: metabolite risk score calculated based on the coefficients from LASSO regression trained in each sex strata to predict SDB PC1 in discovery dataset (batch 1); Sex Specific SDB PC2 MRS: metabolite risk score calculated based on the coefficients from LASSO regression trained in each sex strata to predict SDB PC2 in discovery dataset (batch 1);SMA SDB PC1 MRS: metabolite risk score calculated based on coefficients from unpenalized regression of metabolites identified in single metabolite association analysis with SDB PC1 in discovery dataset (batch 1);SMA SDB PC2 MRS: metabolite risk score calculated based on coefficients from unpenalized regression of metabolites identified in single metabolite association analysis with SDB PC2 in discovery dataset (batch 1)
Associations with incident cardiometabolic outcomes
In the HCHS/SOL sleep study target population, SDB PC1 showed positive associations with incident diabetes mellitus and hypertension over an average of 6.1 years (4.3–9.4 years) in both Model 1 and 2 among the samples without diabetes or hypertension at baseline, respectively. These composite phenotypes showed stronger associations than the individual SDB measures REI3 and hypoxic burden. SDB PC2 was not significantly associated with either incident outcome (Supplemental Table S9).
In the batch-combined analysis, both SDB-MRSs were significantly associated with increased incidence rate ratio (IRR) for incident hypertension, while only SDB PC2 MRS was significantly associated with developing incident diabetes mellitus, when adjusted for demographic and lifestyle risk factors (Fig. 5and Supplemental Table S10). One SD increase of SDB PC2-MRS was associated with a 28% [IRR: 1.28 95% CI: 1.12–1.46, p = .0004] higher incidence rate of hypertension and a 30% [IRR: 1.30 95% CI: 1.12–1.51, p = .0005] higher incidence rate of diabetes mellitus, adjusted for demographic and lifestyle covariates (Supplemental Table S10). The effect estimates were slightly lower for SDB PC1-MRS when adjusting for the same covariates (Fig. 5and Supplemental Table S10). For comparison, we also computed OSA-MRS, 1 SD increase of OSA-MRS was associated with a 43% [IRR: 1.43 95% CI: 1.27–1.60, p < .0001] higher incidence rate of hypertension and a 57% [IRR: 1.57 95% CI: 1.38–1.80, p < .0001] higher incidence rate of diabetes mellitus. None of the single metric physiological phenotypes (i.e., REI3, HB, SDB PCs) were significantly associated with incident cardiometabolic outcomes in both models (Fig. 5and Supplemental Table S10 – S11).
Secondary analysis was carried out by stratifying the study samples for incident diabetes mellitus into two subgroups: individuals with normal glucose regulation (n = 1,376) and with impaired glucose regulation (n = 1,532) at baseline. The observed associations between SDB-PC1 MRS and incident diabetes mellitus became weaker in the two strata and lost statistical significance. The association between SDB-PC2 MRS was statistically significant in both groups, with a stronger association observed in the normal glycemic group (IRR = 1.42) compared to the impaired glucose regulation group (IRR = 1.25), both adjusted for demographic and lifestyle covariates. The association between OSA-MRS and incident diabetes also became weaker in both strata compared to the combined sample, and remained statistically significant only in the pre-diabetic group (IRR = 1.57 in the combined group, IRR = 1.37 in the pre-diabetic group, and IRR = 1.30 in the normal glycemic group) when adjusted for demographic and lifestyle covariates.
Focusing on OSA-MRS, which had the strongest association with incident outcomes of all MRSs, we also compared risk for incident outcomes by quartiles. Compared with the lowest quartile of the OSA-MRS, the top quartile showed more than a three-fold increase in incidence rate for diabetes mellitus [IRR: 3.98 95% CI: 2.75–5.75; p < .0001] in Model 1 and remained significant when adjusted for lifestyle covariates in addition [Model 2 IRR: 3.35 95% CI: 2.30–4.89, p < .0001] (Supplemental Figure S4 and Supplemental Table S12).
There is no evidence supporting stronger associations with incident outcomes among SDB PCs-MRSs trained in each sex stratum separately versus the sex-combined MRSs.