Our research shows that the overall sensitivity of the Xpert assay remained higher than 80% when the mixing ratio was between 1/2 and 1/8, which is comparable to the positive rates of several earlier studies of sputum sample pooling (89.1–91.8%)[5–7]. More notably, we observed that patients with high sputum Mtb load (smear ≥ 2+, TTP ≤ 10 days, and Xpert medium or high), cough, or cavities had a higher positive rate by the Xpert pooling assay, even at a 1/16 mix ratio. This implies that screening by the Xpert assay with pooled samples is a promising strategy for use in areas with a high proportion of infectious cases. When resources are limited, it may be more cost-effective to prioritize pooled screening to find and treat highly infectious cases in order to reduce the community transmission of tuberculosis; the public health value of Xpert pooling assay in a large population could be very substantial. The lower reagent and labor costs being incurred, particularly when positive results are infrequent may permit such screening to be repeated regularly for timely detection of TB in the community. However, if the proportion of patients in the community who are highly infectious is low this screening method will be of limited value. In this study, about half of the Xpert-positive samples yielded low or very low results. This reduced the sensitivity to about 69.0% when a 1/16 mixing ratio was used, missing about 1/3 of the TB cases.
The Xpert assay has a low limit of detection (LOD) at 131 cfu/mL. This is significantly better than 10,000 cfu/mL for smears and very close to the LOD for solid culture[4]. Xpert, therefore, maintains a comparatively high sensitivity even after the sample has been diluted. However, the use of the Xpert pooling assay to detect patients who have low Mtb load (Xpert low or very low and smear less than 1+) remains a problem due to inadequate sensitivity in this population, as demonstrated here. None of the samples with a very low Mtb load tested positive when sputum samples were mixed at a ratio of 1/16. Even with a 1/4 mixing ratio, only 53.0% of samples were positive. This inadequate sensitivity at low loads is consistent with Lao’s finding that pooled tests identified 40% of TB patients (2/5) with very low Mtb loads at a 1/4 mixing ratio[6]. The next-generation version of Xpert, Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert Ultra), has improved sensitivity (LOD 15.6 cfu/mL[8], close to that of liquid culture); in the pooling strategy it could give results 100% consistent with individual detection. The use of the Xpert Ultra may offset the reduction of sensitivity caused by pooling samples with very low Mtb loads, but the increased cost per sample may make the Xpert Ultra pooling test less attractive to countries with limited resources. The balance between sensitivity and cost of testing by pooling assay should be carefully assessed alongside the prevalent TB characteristics before the screening of large populations begins.
There are several limitations to this study. First, this is merely a lab simulation of a population-based pooling test in which negative and positive sputum samples are simply mixed in various ratios. Our study's findings, however, may help to guide the selection of mixing ratios based on estimates of the proportion of infectious cases in the community. Second, we only focused on how different mixing ratios affected the precision of the mixed test in our study. The time and money to be saved by mixed testing also depend on the level of TB prevailing at the screening location, with smaller mixing ratios at higher prevalence rates being more cost- and time-effective than larger mixing ratios[9].
In conclusion, our results show that the Xpert pooled assay has high overall sensitivity, especially for highly infectious patients. This pooling strategy with lower cost and labor consumption could support TB screening in communities with limited resources, thereby reducing the community transmission and incidence of TB worldwide.