The German NoCo cohort is the largest cohort worldwide of recently-acquired HCV infection in MSM from the DAA era. Most of these infections occurred in PLWH (216 out of 237, 91%). The six participating centers care for about one fifth of Germanys estimated MSM population living with HIV(10). The annual incidence of recently acquired HCV infection remained on a stable level of approximately 0.3–0.4% despite an unrestricted and broad, but delayed (see below) use of DAAs in Germany since 2014. Unlike in cohorts from neighboring European countries where a steep decline was related to reinforced DAA use(6)(7)(8), this finding could not be observed here. One explanation might be the delayed timing of DAA treatment: due to a restriction of DAA treatment approval to the chronic phase of HCV infection, most care providers in Germany refrained from early treatment, and consequently, the median delay between HCV diagnosis and treatment was 6.6 months. This may have led to a prolonged transmission window if risk behavior was maintained, which may potentially not have been the case in other countries where treatment might have been commenced earlier(11)(12). Further, the focus on RAHCV infection in NoCo restricts the analysis on a subgroup with the highest risk behavior and transmission rates, and policy makers in Germany ought to be well-advised to recommend early treatment in this specific population, even more so as response rates are excellent(13) and chances for spontaneous HCV clearance in PLWH are negligible(14).
In 2021, however, in the aftermath of the first lockdowns in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, a decline in the incidence of HCV infections of 94.6% was observed, virtually eliminating HCV in the NoCo cohort. Potentially, this finding may be explained with behavioral changes related to COVID-19 restrictions due to social distancing on an individual level and closure of venues and clubs that facilitate sexual encounters leading to HCV transmission. Although data on behavior change during lockdowns among MSM(15) is scarce and some studies even suggest an increase in individuals’ substance use(16)(17), an effect on sexual behavior in our cohort is possible (the NoCo behavioral sub-study is not part of this publication and is published simultaneously by Schmidt AJ, et al.). As the number of HCV RNA tests in NoCo remained stable during this period and the number of HIV-positive MSM in care remained high, an effect of reduced testing and treatment rate during the pandemic as described in other settings(18) seems unlikely here. Moreover, earlier modeling studies have suggested that behavior change may be needed to achieve HCV elimination(19), and the results from NoCo seem to confirm this, but it remains unclear if this effect proves to be sustainable(9).
As it has been undoubtedly demonstrated elsewhere(20), treatment rates were excellent, and, in NoCo, not a single treatment failure was documented, independently of the DAA regimen used. Our 100% SVR rate argues even more in favor of early treatment as suggested by international guidelines(21)(22).
Surprisingly, nearly 20% of men had not started treatment by the time of the analysis, mainly for the patients’ decision or health insurance constraints. It remains unknown to what extent these cases contribute to further maintain transmission, or if these men have been cured afterwards.
Over one third of HCV infections in NoCo were reinfections (103 episodes in 88 subjects, 37.1%), and HCV reinfection was associated with crystal methamphetamine and ketamine use. The incidence rate was as high as 15.5 per 100 patient-years. HCV reinfection is a common finding in cured HCV patients with ongoing risk behavior, especially in MSM(5), and HCV reinfection may challenge elimination efforts. Treatment rates have been high in reinfection in MSM even in the pre-DAA era(23), and our findings confirm high cure rates. Behavioral interventions on an individual level might be a strategy to reduce reinfection rates in this setting(24).
A minority of individuals in our cohort were HIV-negative MSM (9%), and most of them (71%) used HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). As the overall number of MSM in care in the participating centers is unknown, we were not able to perform an incidence analysis, and no specific demographic or virological factor was identified except for the fact that PLWH were older (mean 46 vs 39 years). Sexually acquired HCV infection in HIV uninfected MSM has been described in several cohorts(25)(26)(27) with viral clustering between HIV-positive and -negative subjects. In NoCo, cases in HIV-negative MSM started to increase in 2018, probably related to the wider use of PrEP in Germany, and increasing mixing between men on PrEP and men with HIV.
In over one third of patients, an STI preceded HCV diagnosis in the previous twelve months, in the majority of cases syphilis (62%), followed by chlamydia trachomatis or gonococcal infections. While an STI may be seen as an indicator (gonorrhoea/chlamydia) or even facilitator (syphilis/LGV) of HCV transmission, we would like to point out that most men in our study had not been STI-diagnosed just prior to HCV diagnosis, and no difference in the prevalence of STIs was seen prior or post HCV infection. Of note, most HCV diagnoses were made through routine testing (56%), and in only a third of cases due to elevated liver function tests, while only very few patients were clinically symptomatic. In a setting with high risk for HCV transmission, regular surveillance is needed to identify cases and to stay on track for HCV elimination goals.
Our study has some limitations. First of all, the NoCo cohort recruited from a primary care setting and cases were included at the centers’ discretion. We have no knowledge whether potential cases were missed or not included for other reasons. It is also possible that patients who cleared HCV spontaneously were not documented in the cohort, and in fact our reported spontaneous clearance rates are lower than in other studies reported to date(14).
Secondly, the patient data were taken from medical files based face-to-face interview and not from a standardized anonymous questionnaire. Especially behavioral data on illicit substance use may have therefore been underreported. However, NoCo is accompanied by a behavioral study arm and the results will be reported elsewhere.
Lastly, NoCo is not a comprehensive epidemiological study but a multi-centric clinical cohort. Trends seen here do not necessarily reflect the overall HIV-positive MSM population in Germany. However, we believe that due to the sizes and distribution of the participating centers, the results seen here are of general significance.
In conclusion, HCV micro-elimination in MSM in Germany is potentially not achievable through high treatment rates alone. Moreover, a substantial number of individuals opts out from antiviral treatment for several reasons. Early treatment and rapid viral clearance in at-risk individuals seem necessary to reduce transmission chains. Behavior changes enforced by COVID-19 lockdowns may have contributed largely to HCV micro-elimination in MSM in Germany, but this effect needs to be further elucidated. As RAHCV is mainly clinically inapparent and most men are diagnosed following routine testing during regular HIV or PrEP check-ups, screening efforts need to be maintained especially in high-risk individuals.