4.1 Distribution of the life cycle CO2 equivalent emissions
The calculations show that the CO2 equivalent emissions from construction of the tunnel and the maintenance and renewal of the track asset are approximately 1,420 tons (approx. 10%) higher for the ballasted track than for the ballastless track, during its lifetime, with the conditions for the life cycle analysis in this study. Figure 4 shows that the life cycle emissions for ballasted track are 15,744 tons of CO2 equivalents and 14,324 tons of CO2 equivalents for ballastless track including the track transitions.
The largest ballasted track emission items are the renewal works and excavation and transport of the tunnel rock and removed ballast (illustrated in Fig. 5 as diesel and explosives), manufacture of rails (hot dip galvanized steel), sleepers and reinforcements (steel). Figure 5 presents the distribution of the emissions items for the track solution with ballast.
For the ballastless track solution, the most emissions are generated from the manufacture of rails (visualized in Fig. 6 as hot dip galvanized steel), excavation, and transport of the tunnel rock material (the most significant part of the diesel post) as well as the manufacture of concrete for TCL and the levelling layer.
The study indicates that choosing a track with ballast is more detrimental to the climate from a life cycle perspective than choosing a track without ballast. It is also clear that the materials that make up the respective track form significantly contribute to the number of CO2 equivalents emitted. These materials' required number of replacements is essential.
The natural modulus of elasticity of the tunnel bottom allows a structural modification of the ballastless track system Rheda 2000® to reduce its life cycle CO2-equivalent emissions. This is achieved through (i) reducing the concrete content in the track system, (ii) using CEM II with a lower content of clinker, contributing to a lower emission factor of the concrete, and (iii) eliminating the longitudinal reinforcement in TCL.
4.2 Sensitivity Analysis of the Significant CO2 Emission Factors
In the current study, several significant factors on the life cycle CO2 equivalent emission were identified. These factors are as follows.
-
CO2 emissions related to diesel consumption during
- rock excavation for tunnel construction
- track installation
- track maintenance and renewal
-
CO2 emissions related to manufacturing of
-
rails
-
sleepers
-
concrete for TCL and the levelling layer.
To examine the influence rate of these factors on the life cycle CO2 equivalent emission, a sensitivity analysis was carried out. Firstly, the consumption of diesel during corresponding track works has been estimated. Then, the magnitude of the significant factors with a rising by 10% was calculated. Further, the change in life cycle CO2 equivalent emission for the track forms and the significant factors has been calculated using CICT. Finally, the difference between the change in life cycle CO2 equivalent emission for the track forms. The outcome of these calculations is presented in Table 4.
Table 4
Change in the life cycle of CO2 equivalent emissions from the ballasted and the ballastless track solutions depending on changes in the magnitude of the significant CO2 equivalent emission factors by 10%.
10% Change in CO2 Emission Factor
|
Change in Life Cycle CO2 Emission, ton CO2e
|
Difference in the Life Cycle CO2 Emission, ton CO2e
|
Ballasted Track
|
Ballastless Track
|
Diesel consumption
|
Consumption during rock excavation for tunnel construction, m3
|
157
|
141
|
16
|
Consumption during track installation, m3
|
43
|
36
|
7
|
Consumption during track maintenance and renewal, m3
|
134
|
70
|
64
|
Manufacturing of the rails, sleepers and concrete
|
Rail manufacturing, m
|
603
|
611
|
-8
|
Manufacturing of the sleepers, pc
|
155
|
310
|
-155
|
Manufacturing of the concrete for TCL and the levelling layer, ton
|
0
|
244
|
-244
|
The larges difference concerns the factor “Manufacturing of the concrete for TCL and the levelling layer. The next larges difference is for the factor “Manufacturing of the sleepers”. The authors selected the first factor for further sensitivity analysis.
The calculation of the break-even point allows to determine at which value of the factor´s magnitude, the ballastless track ceases to be more beneficial from the climate impact perspective compared to the ballasted track. The calculation for the factor “Manufacturing of the concrete for TCL and the levelling layer” encompasses the manufacturing of concrete of two types, i.e., C 30/37 for TCL, and C20/25 for the levelling layer, the in-situ plain side concrete, and the in-situ plain filling concrete. The break-even point has been calculated for the given factor separately for each type of concrete. The reason for this is different environmental product declaration factor (EPD) for these two types of concrete. Implementing a rise of the factor`s magnitude on 10% at each stage, the simulation revealed that the original life cycle CO2 equivalent emission of the ballastless track solution become equal to that of the ballasted track solution in the Hallsberg-Stenkumla tunnel (15 744-ton CO2e) when the manufacturing of concrete C30/37 rises on 81%. For the factor “Manufacturing of the concrete C20/25 this value is 77%. Figure 7 displays the relationship between the change in the magnitude of the factors and the life cycle CO2 equivalent emission of the ballastless track solution.
Based on experience, it can be assumed that the increase in the quantity of the concrete C30/37 for TCL by 81% as well as the increase in the quantity of the concrete C20/25 for the levelling layer, the in-situ plain side concrete, and the in-situ plain filling concrete by 77% compared to that calculated in the study is technically infeasible. Consequently, when considering the factor of manufacturing the concrete, the authors of this study conclude that the life cycle CO2 equivalent emission of the ballastless track solution in the Hallsberg-Stenkumla tunnel cannot be higher than that of the ballasted track solution, thus confirming the robustness of the study outcome.
4.3 A Look into the Future
The calculations are made with the "worst-case" scenario, which means a lack of development in the production of fuels, vehicles, machines, or materials about climate performance and energy efficiency. The emission totals reported for each track form are likely overestimated.
With the CO2 equivalents emission reduction targets agreed upon by the countries of the world in the Paris Agreement [12], intensive climate development work is underway with players using materials, fuels, and vehicles on which the Swedish Transport Administration depends in building facilities. In addition, the Swedish Transport Administration also sets specific climate requirements in its projects to encourage further development. The goal is to have Swedish Transport Administration contracts free of fossil fuels by 2030, and by 2040 the building and maintenance of the authority´s facilities will generate zero net CO2-equivalent emissions. Machines that perform the work and materials shall be embedded in the object. Exactly how much will be reduced and how quickly this adjustment will occur depends on how quickly production processes and the production of alternative fuels, vehicles, and machines can be adjusted. However, a plausible scenario is that a part of emissions from renewal occurring in the second half of the track asset life cycle can be eliminated.